Updated Projections For 2016 Draft Order

Last week, we examined what the NFL’s projected draft order for the top 10 picks of 2016 would look like, with the Titans in the lead for the number one overall pick. Tennessee’s blowout loss to the Texans on Sunday kept the Titans firmly in the driver’s seat for the No. 1 pick, and the club could clinch that top selection with a loss next weekend against the Colts.

While the outlook at the top of the projected 2016 draft order remains the same, with the Browns right behind the Titans for that first overall pick, there were a few other changes to the top 10 based on this weekend’s results. The Ravens’ win over Pittsburgh dropped Baltimore from No. 3 to No. 8, while victories by the Saints and Bears removed those teams from the top 10 for now, with the Buccaneers and Giants taking over their spots.

Here’s the current projected order for the top 10 picks of the 2016 NFL draft, with just one week left in the regular season. Teams are sorted by worst record, with strength of schedule serving as the tiebreaker — the weaker a team’s schedule, the higher its draft pick.

  1. Tennessee Titans: 3-12 (.493)
  2. Cleveland Browns: 3-12 (.532)
  3. San Diego Chargers: 4-11 (.511)
  4. Dallas Cowboys: 4-11 (.529)
  5. San Francisco 49ers: 4-11 (.558)
  6. Miami Dolphins: 5-10 (.453)
  7. Jacksonville Jaguars: 5-10 (.467)
  8. Baltimore Ravens: 5-10 (.489)
  9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 6-9 (.453)
  10. New York Giants: 6-9 (.498)

While a loss by the Titans would lock them into the first overall pick, the door remains open for the Browns, and given all the ties on this list, it’s possible the top 10 could shuffle around significantly by next Monday, so stay tuned.

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2 comments on “Updated Projections For 2016 Draft Order

  1. Doesn’t head-to-head competition come before strength of schedule?

    • Luke Adams

      I don’t believe head-to-head is a factor for draft order — just for playoff tiebreakers.

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