Bucs To Re-Sign TE Cade Otton

Instead of testing the market during his first trip to free agency, Cade Otton will choose to remain in place. A new Buccaneers pact is being finalized with the fifth-year tight end, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports.

Otton has landed a three-year deal, Ari Meriov of the 33rd Team reports. The pact has a base value of $30MM, and it contains $20MM in guarantees. That $10MM AAV now ranks 15th among tight ends, with his guarantees ranking 14th at the position.

The 2022 fourth-round pick out of Washington earned the trust of Tom Brady as a rookie, when he finished with 42 receptions for 391 yards and two touchdowns. He continued that production when Baker Mayfield took over under center, with Otton emerging as a key target on a talented offense.

He had his best showing in 2024, when he hauled in 59 catches for 600 yards and four touchdowns in 14 games. His follow-up showing wasn’t as impressive, especially as the Buccaneers navigated a number of injuries on offense. Still, Otton finished the year with another 59 catches for 572 yards and one touchdown. The 26-year-old has also graded out as an above-average pass blocker in recent years.

Otton will continue to lead the depth chart in 2026. He could theoretically see an increased target share following the departure of Mike Evans. However, with the likes of Chris Godwin, Emeka Egbuka, Jalen McMillan, and Tez Johnson still around, it’s more likely Otton will see a similar offensive role in 2026.

Adam La Rose contributed to this post.

Offseason Outlook: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

From 2022-24, the Buccaneers stood in command of the NFC South while residing as a fringe Super Bowl threat. Last season dislodged Tampa Bay's grip on the NFL's worst division, bringing state-of-the-union questions to the forefront. Todd Bowles survived, but it is safe to say the Bruce Arians successor is on the hot seat.

Injuries harpooned the Bucs last season, but the team could not recapture much momentum even after a host of offensive talent returned late in the year. December home losses to the Falcons and Saints prevented the Bucs' Week 18 win over the Panthers from mattering. As a team that continues to rely on a draft-develop-extend/re-sign blueprint, last year's 8-9 season invited concern about the franchise's direction.

Coaching/front office:

The Bucs have a different offensive coordinator for a fifth straight year. Rather than follow Dave Canales and Liam Coen in landing head coaching jobs, Grizzard followed Byron Leftwich in receiving a pink slip. The Bucs had aimed for rare continuity with Grizzard, elevating him from pass-game coordinator to OC. The longtime Dolphins assistant, who joined the Bucs' staff in 2024, could not replicate what Canales and Coen provided.

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Tyler Linderbaum, Kenneth Walker Too Expensive For Giants?

Recent reports have linked pending free agents Tyler Linderbaum and Kenneth Walker III to the Giants, but an aggressive pursuit may be unlikely in both cases. Linderbaum and Walker are now out of the Giants’ price range, sources told Connor Hughes of SNY. For a team with $14.28MM in cap space, winning a bidding war for Linderbaum or Walker would be a challenge.

As the Ravens’ center since entering the NFL in 2022, Linderbaum has only played for head coach John Harbaugh during his four-year career. However, it does not appear their partnership will continue with the Giants in 2026.

Linderbaum, a three-time Pro Bowler and PFR’s top-ranked pending free agent, is poised to surpass the Chiefs’ Creed Humphrey as the game’s highest-paid center. Humphrey inked a four-year, $72MM contract with over $50MM in guarantees in 2024.

If the Giants want to upgrade over starting center John Michael Schmitz, established free agent choices are dwindling. Connor McGovern (Bills) and Tyler Biadasz (Chargers) have come off the market over the past couple of days. Cade Mays, Ethan Pocic and Lloyd Cushenberry are a few of the experienced names left.

Riding the momentum of a Super Bowl LX MVP win with the Seahawks, Walker will be the prize among free agent running backs this offseason. Five-year Jaguar Travis Etienne will not be cheap, but he will be more affordable for the Giants and other teams that lose out on Walker. The Giants are reportedly interested in Etienne. Rico Dowdle, Tyler Allgeier, Rachaad White and Kenneth Gainwell are in the next tier of unsigned veterans. It’s unclear whether the Giants will go after any of them. The team kept veteran Devin Singletary around for a pay cut on Sunday. New York also has Cam Skattebo and Tyrone Tracy under contract for 2026.

Along with their interior offensive line, cornerback and linebacker are among positions the Giants will prioritize, according to Hughes, who points to Buccaneers CB Jamel Dean as a name to watch. The Bucs are expected to move on from Dean after a seven-year run in which he mostly worked as a full-time starter. Dean, 29, is heading for the market after intercepting a career-high three passes in 14 games last season. He could replace pending free agent corner Cordale Flott in New York.

DB Rumors: Bryant, Bucs, Flott, Pierre

Joining Riq Woolen and Josh Jobe as Seahawks DB regulars less than a day away from free agency, Coby Bryant will be expected to draw extensive interest once the legal tampering period begins Monday. PFR’s No. 28-ranked free agent, Bryant is part of a crowded safety market that could see several starter-level players need to take lesser-value deals. Bryant may come in above that line, and the Seahawks are attempting to keep him off the market. The defending Super Bowl champs — who made a summer effort to extend Bryant last year but had not circled back as of Super Bowl LX — are interested in re-signing the converted corner, ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler notes.

The Seahawks already have Julian Love on a three-year, $33MM deal, and even though the team once employed Love and Quandre Diggs alongside Jamal Adams‘ then-record deal, that came under Pete Carroll. Bryant started 26 games for the Seahawks over the past two seasons. While Ty Okada moving into the lineup alongside Love could serve as a Seattle contingency plan, it appears the team wants to keep Bryant from reaching the market. At 11am CT Monday, the Seahawks will need to compete against other teams for him.

Here is the latest from NFL secondaries.

  • After removing a year from Jamel Dean‘s contract — as a pay cut also took place — the Buccaneers are expected to move on from the seven-year veteran, per the Tampa Bay Times’ Rick Stroud. Dean was tied to a four-year, $52MM deal entering September but was given a pay cut. The 29-year-old cornerback still excelled, allowing just 49.5% of the passes thrown his way to be completed and earning a fifth-place CB ranking from Pro Football Focus. As discussed in the Buccaneers’ Offseason Outlook, this will sever ties with Tampa Bay’s Super Bowl-era CB corps. The team will have Benjamin Morrison and Jacob Parrish positioned to start on the outside in 2026, Stroud adds.
  • The Giants were believed to have been the runners-up for Trent McDuffie, pointing to heavy cornerback interest. This effort may have been overblown, The Athletic’s Dan Duggan tweets, expressing some doubt about the team’s interest in paying top dollar for a cornerback. No free agent on this year’s market will draw that kind of offer, but Duggan notes Cor’Dale Flott is expected to land somewhere from $8-$14MM per year. PFR’s No. 42 free agent, Flott started 37 games as a Giant. John Harbaugh identified the former third-round pick as a player the team would like to keep. With Paulson Adebo on an $18MM-per-year contract, how much will Big Blue be willing to spend to ensure he stays?
  • James Pierre delivered a surprising season, based on his past as a part-time starter in Pittsburgh. PFF ranked Pierre second among corners last year, though he only logged 408 snaps. A six-year Steeler who has only started 13 career games, Pierre played well in spot duty (five starts) last season. As a result, The Exhibit’s Josina Anderson hears eight or nine teams have shown preliminary interest. This would be a nice development for Pierre, a former UDFA who played on a veteran-minimum deal in 2025. Pierre’s market will be hindered, to a degree, by his age. The Lamar Jackson cousin turns 30 this offseason.
  • The Bills‘ recent Sam Franklin re-signing is for $7MM over three years, according to OverTheCap. The veteran special-teamer will see $2.53MM guaranteed.

Mike Evans To Explore Free Agent Options; Browns Among Likely Suitors

4:36pm: While Evans will gauge his market, Fox Sports’ Greg Auman notes the Buccaneers will be able to provide counter offers before a final decision is made. One of Tampa Bay’s top priorities in free agency will be electing to match the bids made by interested teams in this case or allowing Evans to depart.

2:27pm: Mike Evans will play in 2026 but it remains to be seen if his iconic Buccaneers tenure will continue. Outside options will be explored before a final decision is made in this case.

Evans’ agent Deryk Gilmore confirmed to the media (including Dianna Russini of The Athletic) on Sunday that no early Buccaneers re-up will take place this time around. That was the case in 2024, but other teams will have the opportunity to make a push for Evans this week.

Discussions with Tampa Bay are ongoing, but the team already has much of its WR setup in place for 2026. The Bucs spent last offseason re-signing Chris Godwin and selecting Emeka Egbuka in the first round of the draft; those two will work with Jalen McMillan once again next year. It will be interesting to see how prepared Tampa Bay is to make a competitive Evans offer over the coming days.

A long list of suitors has emerged in the six-time Pro Bowler’s case recently, and it appears it could grow once the negotiating period open. Mary Kay Cabot of cleveland.com reports the Browns are expected to be among the teams which make a push to sign Evans this week. New head coach Todd Monken worked with Evans from 2016-18 when he was Tampa Bay’s offensive coordinator. That level of familiarity could come into play on the open market, but in general the Browns figure to be in the market for a receiver upgrade.

Cleveland ranked 31st in passing yards this past season. Stronger play up front and at the quarterback position would of course go a long way in improving on that figure in 2026. As Monken prepares to lead the Browns, though, an addition or two in the pass-catching department would certainly be welcomed as well. Thanks to the latest Deshaun Watson restructure, Cleveland currently has $15.8MM in cap space.

Evans was limited to eight games in 2025, leaving him short of 1,000 yards for the first time in his 12-year career. At the age of 33 (by the time the coming campaign begins), durability could increasingly become an area of caution for interested teams. In the event of a Buccaneers departure – something which seems to be increasingly likely – Evans will account for a $13MM dead money charge on Tampa Bay’s capsheet.

Colts WR Alec Pierce, Packers WR Romeo Doubs Drawing Extensive Interest; Pierce Prefers To Stay In Indy

Since the Colts have placed the transition tag on QB Daniel Jones, the only way they can keep WR Alec Pierce from speaking to interested teams when the legal tampering period opens tomorrow is by agreeing to terms on a new contract. ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler expects negotiations between Pierce and Indianapolis to go down to the wire, and there are a number of clubs waiting to pounce if a deal is not consummated.

Fowler names the Patriots, Commanders, Raiders, and Titans as teams that are in the mix for Pierce. New England’s interest was noted previously, and with the club set to make Stefon Diggs a one-and-done in Foxborough, it makes sense that it wants to bring in another weapon for third-year QB (and 2025 MVP runner-up) Drake Maye.

After advancing to the NFC Championship Game in Jayden Daniels’ rookie year in 2024, the Commanders limped to a 5-12 mark last season. That was due in large part to Daniels’ health woes, which limited him to just seven games, but Washington could stand to bolster its contingent of pass-catchers. Beyond WR1 Terry McLaurin, the club has Luke McCaffrey, Treylon Burks, and 2025 fourth-rounder Jaylin Lane under contract for 2026.

That trio combined for 558 receiving yards and four TDs last year, so a player with Pierce’s abilities would be a welcome addition. Fowler hears this free agency period could be an especially active one for the Commanders, who have roughly $90MM in cap space and who are looking to capitalize on Daniels’ rookie-contract window. In addition to wide receiver, Washington is interested in upgrading at running back, cornerback, edge rusher, and possibly tight end. Fowler names the team as a “sleeper” for Tampa Bay’s Mike Evans, whom the Buccaneers are actively trying to re-sign.

The Raiders will release veteran signal-caller Geno Smith and are poised to select QB Fernando Mendoza with the No. 1 pick in the draft. Even though Las Vegas reportedly prefers to keep Mendoza on the bench for at least the early stages of his rookie campaign, adding weapons for him will be a key goal. According to Fowler, the Raiders are also interested in Rashid Shaheed, who has a big fan in new head coach Klint Kubiak (Kubiak, of course, has worked with Shaheed in both New Orleans and Seattle). Fowler cautions that the Raiders’ bigger need is the offensive line, but the club has plenty of spending power with over $120MM in cap room.

Like the other teams mentioned in connection with Pierce, the Titans are looking to add receiving help for a young quarterback. Tennessee is hoping Cam Ward, the No. 1 overall pick of the 2025 draft, will progress quickly under the tutelage of new offensive coordinator Brian Daboll, and acquiring proven pass-catchers will be key in achieving that goal (particularly with Calvin Ridley on the chopping block). The team has been connected to the Giants’ Wan’Dale Robinson as well.

Pierce is a big-play threat who has led the NFL in yards-per-catch in each of the past two seasons. However, some evaluators believe the PackersRomeo Doubs is the most well-rounded receiver eligible for free agency this year, and in addition to Pierce’s market, the Patriots, Commanders, and Titans are closely monitoring Doubs’ situation. 

The 49ers are looking at Doubs as well, per Fowler. The four-year Packer, who is also expected to draw interest from the Bills, has three 600-plus-yard seasons on his resume, including a career-high 724 (on 13.2 yards per catch) in 2025. San Francisco could lose Jauan Jennings to the open market and is set to move on from Brandon Aiyuk, making wide receiver an obvious area of need. Green Bay, though, has not ruled out a Doubs re-up; GM Brian Gutekunst said at this year’s scouting combine that he would love to see the Nevada product return (via Myles Simmons of Pro Football Talk).

Fowler confirms Pierce, who has a close relationship with Jones, would prefer to stay with the Colts. That said, the Cincinnati product is in line for a deal paying him at least $27MM per year, and if Indianapolis does not pony up that kind of cash, it may not be able to keep Pierce in the fold.

49ers, Bills, Chargers, Commanders, Giants Could Pursue Mike Evans

MARCH 6: A new Buccaneers deal remains something to watch for in this case, Tony Pauline of Essentially Sports reports. He adds the Titans and Raiders could also be in play provided the “right deal” can be worked out, though.

MARCH 4: Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans has established himself as a franchise icon over his 12-year career. The six-time Pro Bowler could continue his career in Tampa Bay next season, but he will at least hear other teams out in free agency.

In 2024, the last time Evans was on the cusp of free agency, the Buccaneers stopped him from reaching the open market with a two-year, $52MM offer. Evans was then coming off one of the best seasons of a potential Hall of Fame career. He caught 79 passes for 1,255 yards and a personal-high 13 touchdowns in his lone 17-game campaign.

Soon to turn 33, Evans is now looking for a new deal on the heels of his worst year. Multiple injuries – including a hamstring strain and a broken clavicle – held Evans to eight games, 30 receptions, 368 yards and three scores. His nine absences prevented him from a 12th straight 1,000-yard season, which would have given him the all-time record. He instead will remain tied with the legendary Jerry Rice for that honor.

Although 2025 fell well short of a typical Evans year, he will have no shortage of interest on the open market. Evans may not do as well on his next deal, but a pact in the range of $20MM per year is realistic, sources told Jonathan Jones of CBS Sports. The 49ers, Bills, Chargers, Commanders and Giants are among potential suitors for the 6-foot-5, 231-pounder, per Jones.

The 49ers, Bills and Chargers were all playoff teams last season, which should appeal to Evans. As part of an 8-9 Bucs squad, the one-time Super Bowl winner missed out on postseason play for the first time since 2019 last year.

San Francisco could lose pending free agent Jauan Jennings, who led the team’s wide receivers in catches (55), yards (643) and touchdowns (nine) last season. The 49ers will also finalize a divorce from Brandon Aiyuk sometime soon.

The Josh Allen-led Bills are in dire need of at least one high-end outside complement to reliable slot man Khalil Shakir. The 2024 second-round selection of Keon Coleman has not worked out, and neither have recent free agent signings Josh Palmer and Curtis Samuel. Odds are the Bills will cut Samuel this offseason. They are also facing the possible departure of Brandin Cooks in free agency.

The Chargers have wideouts Ladd McConkey, Quentin Johnston and 2025 second-rounder Tre Harris under contract for next season. Perennially productive 33-year-old Keenan Allen is unsigned, which leaves room for a venerable veteran pass catcher. That could still be Allen, but Evans is at least on the Chargers’ radar.

The Commanders and Giants were miles from the playoffs last year, but both teams at least have prized young quarterbacks. Washington’s Jayden Daniels won Offensive Rookie of the Year honors during a dazzling NFL introduction in 2024. He helped lead the Commanders to 12 wins and an NFC title game in his first season, but they skidded to 5-12 during an injury-ravaged 2025. Daniels missed 10 games, and No. 1 receiver Terry McLaurin sat out seven.

Adding Evans to a healthy Daniels and McLaurin could make for a potent Washington passing attack in 2026. Whether it’s Evans or someone else, the Commanders will add to a receiving corps that could see Deebo Samuel walk away in free agency.

As a rookie last season, Giants signal-caller Jaxson Dart impressed despite losing No. 1 receiver Malik Nabers to a season-ending ACL tear in Week 4. Wan’Dale Robinson stepped up as Dart’s go-to target, but he is now nearing free agency. There is reportedly a good chance the Giants will re-sign Robinson, but he primarily works from the slot. There would still be room for Evans on the outside. That would give Dart and the new head coach-offensive coordinator duo of John HarbaughMatt Nagy a formidable receiver trio.

Among wideouts scheduled to hit the open market, the Colts’ Alec Pierce should have the most earning power on a long-term contract. No soon-to-be free agent has a better resume than Evans, though, and that will help him secure another strong payday on a short-term agreement.

RFA/ERFA Tender Decisions: 3/5/26

Here are today’s RFA and ERFA tender calls:

RFAs

Non-tendered:

ERFAs

Tendered:

2026 NFL Top 50 Free Agents

While this year did not bring a record-setting salary cap spike, a $20MM-plus bump occurred for the third straight offseason and fourth over the past five years. We continue to see year-to-year leaps that dwarf what the 2011 CBA brought.

Now that the franchise tag application deadline has passed, a clearer picture of the 2026 free agent market emerges. The aim for PFR’s top 50 remains contract-based, but as our Offseason Outlook series has illustrated, numerous deals carrying creative vesting structures have seen players secure favorable guarantees without the full amounts being locked in up front. So, this year’s list leans a bit more toward total guarantees as opposed to upfront security.

Although players like Travis Kelce and Aaron Rodgers are bound for the Hall of Fame, they will not appear here. Big names are still present within this value-based collection, however. Players who could be released at the start of the 2026 league year – as likely post-June 1 cuts – or soon after are not included, only those out of contract for the ’26 season appear below. Teams have until 11am CT March 9, when the legal tampering period begins, to keep free agents-to-be off the market.

In Year 34 of full-fledged NFL free agency, here are the top options for teams to target once the legal tampering period starts:

1. Tyler Linderbaum, C. Age in Week 1: 26

The fifth-year option not being truly position-based affects a few of this year’s free agents, none more so than Linderbaum. Because all offensive linemen are grouped together under the tag formula, centers are almost never tagged. Few guards are. Linderbaum has presented the best case for a center tag in many years, and he is days away from bridging the gap that exists between the two interior offensive line positions.

There are seven guards earning $20MM per year, yet Creed Humphrey’s $18MM-AAV contract tops the center market. Only two centers (Humphrey and Cam Jurgens) earn more than $12MM – now that Drew Dalman surprisingly elected to retire and the Titans have cut Lloyd Cushenberry. Linderbaum will almost definitely become the NFL’s first $20MM-per-year center, and this free agency could remind of when Antoine Winfield Jr.’s 2024 Bucs extension briefly dragged the safety market past cornerback.

Baltimore has offered Linderbaum a market-topping deal, and after the Combine, the 2022 first-round pick likely knows his price range. The Ravens only have a few days left before ceding exclusive negotiating rights and losing the best center in team history.

The Ravens have seen four center Pro Bowl seasons in their 30-year history; Linderbaum has three of them (Jeremy Zuttah received the other). The Iowa alum has anchored the Ravens’ interior O-line, as the team continues to see guards come and go. Losing him would be significant for the AFC North franchise.

ESPN’s pass block win rate metric ranked Linderbaum fourth among all interior O-lineman last season; he ranked 13th in 2024. Pro Football Focus, conversely, has graded Linderbaum as a far superior run blocker. The agile lineman has certainly made a considerable difference for a run-reliant offense. The Ravens were able to keep Ronnie Stanley from testing free agency at the last minute in 2025, though the longtime LT was seeking a third contract. Will they do the same with Linderbaum?

Humphrey’s Chiefs deal includes just more than $50MM guaranteed in total. Tyler Smith’s $81.26MM number tops the guard market. I would expect Linderbaum’s guarantee to land closer to the Cowboys guard than the Chiefs center.

Corey Linsley set a center AAV record as a 2021 free agent; Linderbaum should blow the current mark out of the water. Citing cap inflation, Adam La Rose’s most recent PFR mailbag pegged a price around $21MM per year as realistic. In the event of a widespread bidding war, something close to Smith’s $24MM AAV could even be required to close this deal. With Humphrey, Jurgens and Frank Ragnow before them not testing the market when they signed big-ticket deals, future center extension aspirants may owe a debt of gratitude to Linderbaum moving forward

2. Alec Pierce, WR. Age in Week 1: 26

Like the changing of the guard the Colts observed when Michael Pittman Jr. usurped T.Y. Hilton in the wideout pecking order, Pierce made his case as Indianapolis’ WR1 in 2025. The former second-round pick ripped off his first 1,000-yard season despite the Colts splitting their final five games between Riley Leonard and a 44-year-old Philip Rivers at quarterback. Pierce paced the NFL in yards per reception for a second straight season, posting a 21.3-yard average a year after managing (somehow) a 22.3-yard number and 824 total with Anthony Richardson targeting him.

Richardson completed fewer than 48% of his passes that season, one of the least accurate starter slates this century, but Pierce (824 yards in 2024) continued his ascent from the Matt Ryan/Gardner Minshew years. He hit another gear in 2025 (1,003 yards in 15 games) and will benefit soon – from either a Colts re-signing or a big-ticket free agency deal. With George Pickens franchise-tagged, Pierce tops this year’s receiver market.

That is an interesting distinction for a player who has never caught more than 47 passes in a season. Pierce is maybe more high-end No. 2 than true No. 1, but this is typically the type of player who cashes in on the market. As Daniel Jones is the best quarterback Pierce has played with (with Ryan at the end by his Indianapolis stint), teams undoubtedly see growth potential in the deep threat.

Fifteen receivers are tied to $50MM guarantees; not counting Travis Hunter’s rookie deal, another six secured at least $40MM in total guarantees. Every player among that contingent caught at least 58 passes in a season before signing his second contract (11 recorded at least one 90-reception season). Of that group, all but two (Jameson Williams and Jerry Jeudy) had posted 70-catch seasons. Williams $66.13MM guaranteed without the benefit of free agency, while Eagles WR2 DeVonta Smith is at $69.99MM. Both may be better than Pierce, but the open market awaits.

Pierce’s Devery Henderson-like profile differs, making him an unusual player with regards to this WR salary bracket. But he will be able to infiltrate it soon. It will be interesting to see if the team that signs Pierce will call on him to be its lead wideout – the expected salary would make that likely – or cast him as a high-end complementary cog. The former second-round pick will soon be an outlier when it comes to reception volume among upper-crust WR earners.

3. Jaelan Phillips, EDGE. Age in Week 1: 27

This year brings a deep crop of free agent edge rushers. With this being a premium position, questions surround the lot of prime-years players available. Phillips is coming off a bounce-back season, once under-the-hood numbers are considered, and will garner considerable free agency attention. The Eagles were able to keep breakthrough linebacker Zack Baun from testing the market last year, but they are running out of time with Phillips.

Philly sent Miami a third-round pick for the rental rusher, and while he only finished his comeback season with five sacks, the 2021 first-rounder’s 35 QB pressures ranked 12th leaguewide. His pressure rate (18.8% — far north of Trey Hendrickson or Odafe Oweh’s 2025 numbers) ranked fourth among players with at least 250 defensive snaps.

Finishing a season healthy did maybe as much for Phillips’ stock, after he went down with Achilles (2023) and ACL (2024) tears. Phillips’ injury past stretches back to college, when he briefly retired from the sport after a concussion and other maladies (including some from a moped accident). A transfer to Miami, however, reenergized him.

The former five-star recruit landed on the first-round radar with the Hurricanes and showed plus form with the Dolphins, combining for 15.5 sacks over his first two seasons. Year 2 included a career-high 25 QB hits. The 6-foot-5 EDGE was on his way to a career-best season in 2023, tallying 6.5 sacks and seven tackles for loss in eight games. A Black Friday Achilles tear stalled his momentum, and a September 2024 ACL tear continued the midcareer misery.

Josh Sweat did not carry injury concerns and received “only” $41MM guaranteed in total from the Cardinals. That topped last year’s EDGE market, where Chase Young – who did carry major injury concerns – received $33MM guaranteed. Phillips hovers between these two in age, but his extensive injury past may place a cap on this market.

But with the NFL’s salary ceiling rising yet again, it would be hard to see this market settling south of $20MM per year. Last year, the Chiefs and Bills agreed to extensions (with George Karlaftis and Greg Rousseau, respectively) that included $64.8MM and $54MM in total guarantees. Phillips’ camp, representing a player who matches that duo with zero Pro Bowls, can aim for that range next week.

4. Trey Hendrickson, EDGE. Age in Week 1: 31

Among this market’s prime pass rushers, Hendrickson’s resume laps his peers. The Bengals sack ace finished back-to-back seasons with 17.5 sacks and has two more campaigns (2020, 2021) with at least 13. Hendrickson recorded at least 24 QB hits from 2020-24, topping out at 36 in managing to finish as Defensive Player of the Year runner-up on a bad 2024 Cincinnati defense. The Bengals appear set to lose their five-year defensive end cornerstone; this was preventable, but the team’s antiquated stand against post-Year 1 salary guarantees prevented an extension from being completed in 2025.

The Bengals offered Hendrickson a backloaded extension – three years, $95MM – last year but saw the disgruntled D-end reject it due to insufficient guarantee protection beyond Year 1. The Steelers’ T.J. Watt extension included full guarantees for the 2026 and ’27 seasons. Watt is more accomplished than Hendrickson, but he is also 31 and had tallied fewer sacks between the 2023 and ’24 seasons. The Bengals’ offer also trailed the Texans’ Danielle Hunter AAV of $35.6MM despite the latter being the same age with a similar resume.

Hendrickson agreed to a one-year, $21MM extension in 2023 in fear the Bengals would use the franchise tag on him in 2025. With the Tee Higgins saga lasting past that point, Hendrickson miscalculated that. He now resides in a similar situation to Haason Reddick.

Also starting slowly, Reddick joined Hendrickson as a 2017 draftee who broke through in a 2020 contract year. Both players signed $15MM-per-year deals – Hendrickson in 2021, Reddick in 2022 – they outplayed. Age became an issue for Reddick, whose 2024 holdout backfired, and it is worth wondering how much it will impact Hendrickson’s free agency.

Last year represented a clear window for Hendrickson to cash in – at 30 and coming off the two straight top-level pass-rushing seasons – but he was negotiating with a difficult adversary. And he underwent season-ending core muscle surgery after a seven-game campaign. That will dock Hendrickson’s stock, but by how much?

From 2016-25, there have been 79 10-sack seasons from players aged 27-30. In that span, only 17 such seasons exist from players aged 31-34. These are the years a Hendrickson suitor is acquiring. Among pure EDGE players, that age-31-34 sack number plummets to 11. Hendrickson should do well next week, but the decision to sign that Bengals extension in 2023 could cost him thanks to an injury-shortened 2025.

5. Rasheed Walker, T. Age in Week 1: 26

When the Rams and Ravens respectively took Alaric Jackson and Ronnie Stanley off last year’s market, Dan Moore Jr. benefited. A much-criticized Steelers tackle on his rookie contract, Moore became the NFL’s seventh-highest-paid left tackle at the time of signing. His four-year, $82MM deal – one that outflanked Jackson and Stanley’s pre-free-agency deals and Dion Dawkins and Garett Bolles’ 2024 extensions – represents a good guide for Walker, who received better reviews on his Packers rookie pact.

The Packers turned to Walker, a 2022 seventh-round pick, as their David Bakhtiari fallback option and saw him far outplay his draft position. Walker started 48 games from 2023-25, fending off first-round pick Jordan Morgan for the Green Bay LT gig. Morgan is poised to commandeer it (by default, as Broderick Jones did in Pittsburgh post-Moore), but Walker will cash in elsewhere.

Walker ranked 11th in pass block win rate last season and 14th in 2024. PFF was a bit less bullish due largely to the Penn State product’s run blocking. The advanced metrics site never ranked Walker higher than 40th overall among tackles. Similar skepticism did not derail Moore, and Walker will almost definitely do better than the $50MM guarantee Moore received from the Titans.

Seven LTs are on contracts that include at least $50MM in total guarantees. Not counting Will Campbell’s rookie deal, four more secured at least $40MM guaranteed. It would be stunning if Walker did not land at least $40MM guaranteed. Considering how rare it is that early-prime LTs hit the market – like the Steelers, the Packers used a first-round pick on a blindside successor (Morgan) – the former No. 249 overall pick will be one of this year’s FA winners.

6. John Franklin-Myers, DL. Age in Week 1: 30

The Broncos extended six players between late July and their bye week. After paying top-priority talents Courtland Sutton, Zach Allen and Nik Bonitto in camp, Denver turned to three other regulars – center Luke Wattenberg, defensive tackle Malcolm Roach and kicker Wil Lutz – during its bye. Franklin-Myers did not expect a new deal and has likely known what is about to happen on the market.

Although Franklin-Myers is approaching an age-30 season, the runway is clear for him to cash in. He is the best interior D-line option on this market – probably by a wide margin. After last year produced Milton Williams and other attractive interior D-line options, no one is rivaling Franklin-Myers – as of now, at least – in terms of unattached inside pass rushers.

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RFA/ERFA Tender Decisions: 3/4/26

More teams made tender/non-tender decisions on restricted and exclusive rights free agents today. Here are the latest updates:

RFAs

Non-tendered:

Before taking a backseat to second-year safety Tykee Smith this year, Izien served as a major contributor for the Bucs secondary. In his first two years as an undrafted player out of Rutgers, Izien started 14 of 31 game appearances, logging 140 total tackles, three interceptions, and two forced fumbles. Meanwhile, Tucker made himself a bowling ball in the redzone this year, recording a team-leading seven rushing touchdowns on just 86 attempts. His 320 rushing yards were third in Tampa Bay’s running backs room behind Bucky Irving (588) and Rachaad White (572).

ERFAs

Tendered: 

While Moody seemingly continues to struggle to stay employed after getting draft in the third round three years ago, Bates and Szmyt will get another go around in Detroit and Cleveland.

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