Justin Fields Expected To Return In Week 11

The Bears’ plan of evaluating Justin Fields skidded off track in October. A Week 6 thumb injury sidelined the young quarterback, but the team is on track to resume its Year 3 study soon.

Matt Eberflus confirmed Fields is expected to come back in Week 11, with NFL.com’s Ian Rapoport previously indicating the third-year passer was readying to return after four missed games. Fields never landed on IR, but Chicago has been cautious with the 2021 first-round pick.

Since the draft settled in April beginning in 1976, no team had knowingly traded a No. 1 overall pick before April until GM Ryan Poles pulled the trigger on the blockbuster with the Panthers. The second-year GM did so before free agency in March, pledging to see how Fields would look in an improved offense. The young QB’s dislocated thumb put this plan on hold for an extended stretch, leading to four Tyson Bagent starts. The Bears will see how Fields looks coming off this injury — in what figures to be an important stretch for the franchise’s long-term outlook.

Through six games, calling this evaluation incomplete would be the kind way to frame this process. Fields ranks 25th in QBR and has again displayed an issue avoiding sacks. Fields took 24 sacks despite finishing only five games this season. In four-plus games, Bagent has been sacked just five times. While Chicago was missing multiple starting offensive linemen frequently during Fields’ early-season run, the QB’s 2022 sacks-taken number (a league-high 55, despite two missed starts) makes this an area to monitor as the Ohio State product’s 2023 season resumes.

That said, Fields is still on pace to top his career high for passing TDs. The run-oriented quarterback threw 11 before the injury. Fields made a run at Lamar Jackson‘s single-season record for rushing yards by a QB — a mark he may well have hit had the Bears not rested him in Week 18, en route to the No. 1 overall pick — the former No. 11 overall pick finished last year with only 17 touchdown passes. Fields’ midseason pause also came with his yards per attempt (7.4) and completion percentage (61.7) figures north of his 2022 numbers, providing some optimism. But Chicago’s long-term QB situation remains uncertain.

By virtue of the trade with Carolina, Chicago holds 2024’s No. 1 overall draft slot. Its Bagent-directed Week 10 win over the Panthers helped the cause. That status does not mean too much yet, considering two months remain in the season. But the Bears are a near-lock to exit this season with two top-10 picks. That will provide considerable ammo for a team that might be hunting for a quarterback.

While Poles committed to Fields for this year, Ryan Pace drafted him. Poles holding a top-two pick in next year’s draft would likely mean a move for Drake Maye or Caleb Williams, putting Fields in limbo. Fields may already be in an uphill battle to keep the Chicago gig for another season, but that effort is set to resume this week.