Earlier this month, the Falcons picked up Bijan Robinson‘s fifth-year option, which is projected to be $11.3MM (via OverTheCap). The next step is a multi-year extension, which will come in at a much higher annual price tag.
Robinson is expected to break into the upper echelon of the running back market on a long-term deal, per CBS Sports’ Jonathan Jones. He should surpass Derrick Henry ($15MM AAV) and approach, if not eclipse, Christian McCaffrey ($19MM AAV). He could even push to become the league’s highest-paid running back ahead of Saquon Barkley, who is currently earning $20.6MM per year.
Robinson should receive more than fellow 2023 first-rounder Jahmyr Gibbs, Jones adds. The Falcon has outperformed the Lion in terms of rushing and receiving yards since they were drafted, though Gibbs has significantly more touchdowns.
It is unclear, though, which deal gets done first. The Falcons have yet to finalize a long-term extension with 2022 first-round pick Drake London – another franchise cornerstone – and could prioritize the more pressing contract situation. The Lions have typically been proactive in signing their players to early extensions when possible, though they also have key players (Jack Campbell, Brian Branch) entering the final year of their contracts.
Another factor is Colts running back Jonathan Taylor, who is due a raise as he enters the final year of his $14MM per year contract. He led the league in rushing attempts, first downs, and touchdowns last year and has his own case to join Barkley and McCaffrey close to $20MM per year. In other words, expect to see another significant bump in the running back market within the next year.

Are we supposed to be surprised by the article headline or something lol. No kidding he’ll expect and receive top 3 money