Prior to the Falcons’ Week 15 matchup with the Panthers, Arthur Smith appeared more likely than not to be given a fourth season in charge. The ugly loss in Charlotte may have changed the situation.
As the Falcons prepare for a crucial matchup with the Colts, they have fallen behind the Buccaneers and Saints in another mediocre NFC South race. With three games remaining, the heat on Smith’s seat appears to be increasing. Although the Falcons have not made a decision on Smith, CBS Sports’ Josina Anderson notes “sentiments of dismay” are rising within the building.
The Falcons finished 7-10 in each of Smith’s first two seasons. While that marked an improvement in 2021, the team is stuck at the game’s premier position. Atlanta, which has held back on quarterback investments since trading Matt Ryan in March 2022, has pivoted once again to Taylor Heinicke. Desmond Ridder, whom the team chose in last year’s third round after narrowly losing the Deshaun Watson sweepstakes, has now been benched twice this season.
Arthur Blank, who backed Ridder along with Smith this offseason, did not confirm the former Titans OC would be back for a fourth year. While the owner is expressing support for his HC, that hardly qualifies as a true endorsement at this point on the calendar.
“We are committed to coach Smith,” Blank said, via Georgia Public Broadcasting’s Jeff Hullinger. “We are going to play these last three games; we are committed to win. We will let the season play out and go from there. Obviously, this has not been the kind of year we expected; you would hear that from coach Smith, you would hear it from our fans and our players. We understand that; we understand the challenges. At the end of the year, we will assess where we are and go from there.”
Blank denied the Falcons need to make the playoffs in order for Smith to preserve his job but indicated Ridder’s lack of progress has been an issue. The Falcons fully committed to Ridder by March (as Lamar Jackson was free to negotiate with teams after receiving the nonexclusive franchise tag). The Falcons were hardly alone in refusing to pursue the tagged Raven, but Ridder sits 24th in QBR and has lost his job for a second time.
“That was never really a requirement,” Blank said of a playoff run being necessary for Smith. “The requirement was we have more of a competitive team this year. I think through this part of the season, it’s been mixed, quite honestly, that’s what I think. … It has been tough; we certainly had high hopes for Desmond Ridder. He has done some good things for us this year. He would be the first to tell you, he hasn’t been the kind of consistent performer we’d like him to be.”
Failing to reach double-digit points against Carolina, Atlanta has seen its playoff odds (per ESPN’s FPI) plummet to 11%. Despite improving to eighth in points allowed, Smith’s team sits 26th offensively. Being in that position after spending three straight top-10 picks on skill-position players under Smith and GM Terry Fontenot is not optimal. Based largely on their ground attack, the Falcons ranked 15th during Marcus Mariota‘s lone season at the controls.
Although the Jets look likely to bring back Robert Saleh after three straight losing seasons, the Aaron Rodgers matter is being viewed as a mulligan. With no such issue impeding the Falcons, they are close to completing a sixth straight sub-.500 season. Modern HCs are rarely allowed to stay on the job after three straight losing seasons, and based on Blank’s comments, it is safe to say Smith is coaching for his job to close out the season.
Smith seemed to be clueless on what personnel to use. The fact that they ignore Bijan Robinson for games at a time just shows ineptitude. And his overall attitude is snarky and self righteous and petty. That’s my opinion anyway, he’s a hard guy to like personality wise and it’s not surprise the fan base seems to dislike him so much.