With Week 13 underway, the picture at the top of the NFL draft board continues to become clearer. Plenty is yet to be determined with respect to the top of the order, however.
The Panthers’ ongoing struggles led to Frank Reich‘s firing, but the Bears own Carolina’s top pick this year due to the 2023 swap which landed Bryce Young via the No. 1 selection. Chicago being able to have the top pick once again – coupled with their own selection landing in the top-10 – would make the Bears a team to watch closely come April. The race for the top two or three slots (and, as such, the ability to draft QBs Caleb Williams and Drake Maye, along with wideout Marvin Harrison Jr.) will also be a key late-season storyline for the Cardinals and Patriots.
The Commanders have lost three straight games, overshadowing a promising season from first-year starter Sam Howell. After deciding to move on from defensive ends Chase Young and Montez Sweat at the trade deadline, the team’s defense has continued to struggle. DC Jack Del Rio is out as a result, and head coach Ron Rivera‘s position is not believed to be on strong footing. A top-five pick could make the job in Washington more attractive presuming a opening arises this offseason.
For non-playoff teams, the draft order will be determined by the inverted 2024 standings — plus a series of tiebreakers, starting with strength of schedule — with playoff squads being slotted by their postseason outcome and regular-season record. Here is an updated look at the current draft order:
- Chicago Bears (via Panthers)
- Arizona Cardinals: 2-10
- New England Patriots: 2-9
- Chicago Bears: 4-8
- Washington Commanders: 4-8
- New York Giants: 4-8
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 4-7
- New York Jets: 4-7
- Los Angeles Chargers: 4-7
- Tennessee Titans: 4-7
- Las Vegas Raiders: 5-7
- New Orleans Saints: 5-6
- Green Bay Packers: 5-6
- Los Angeles Rams: 5-6
- Cincinnati Bengals: 5-6
- Buffalo Bills: 6-6
- Arizona Cardinals (via Texans)
- Denver Broncos: 6-5
- Atlanta Falcons: 5-6
- Minnesota Vikings: 6-6
- Seattle Seahawks: 6-6
- Indianapolis Colts: 6-5
- Pittsburgh Steelers: 7-4
- Houston Texans (via Browns)
- Miami Dolphins: 8-3
- Detroit Lions: 8-3
- Jacksonville Jaguars: 8-3
- Dallas Cowboys: 9-3
- Kansas City Chiefs: 8-3
- San Francisco 49ers: 8-3
- Baltimore Ravens: 9-3
- Philadelphia Eagles: 10-1
Penix to Bucs. Caleb to patriots. Maye to giants or Rams
I sincerely hope ATL:
1: fires Smith
2: signs Captain Play Action (Cousins)
3: drafts a WR
4: nabs a QB (Rattler?)
We’ll never sign cousins. And any signal caller we draft sure as f#%k won’t be rattler who may go Undrafted lmao
Yeah Rattler was the first name that came to mind who’d be available middle rounds lol
He might go UFA. I can see him practice squad for chiefs or something lol
Cool my team sitting pretty at #9……c’mon team set your sights on #5
There should be a HC Draft
Head coach lottery
Most lottery winners are over 75
I post this every time there’s a list like this where order matters, hoping one of the authors will see this. It’s easier for readers to look at a numbered list when order matters rather than a bulleted list. If I want to know who has the 19th pick, it’s easier to look for the number 19 than to count 19 bullets. Small things make big differences. Love the site, regardless!
Sadly, I only need to see 3 bullets to find my favorite team. My Pats have fallen hard.
Sadly, my favorite team went from 8th to 19th with a win last weekend. With less than 1% chance to win through the playoffs that is a painful drop for a team needing talent.
Ouch!
So how is Chicago ahead of Washington with the same record, but beat Washington head to head?
Strength of schedule determines the selection order before head-to-head. The team that played the schedule with the lowest winning percentage will be awarded the higher pick. The head-to-head only comes into play if the strength of schedules would be the same.
This isn’t correct. The titans have a lower SOS than both the NYJ and LAC and should be slotted at number 8.
it’s correct.
Jets – .518
LAC – .531
Titans – .534
It’s correct.
Jets: .518
LAC: .531
Titans: .534
Here are the seedings for the teams with a 4-7 record. SOS is beside, based on records after Thursday nights game.
7 Tampa Bay .489
8 NY Jets .518
9 LA Chargers .531
10 Tennessee .534
I checked these on multiple sites, but there could still be errors. Just passing the info along.
ESPN has the titans with a .500 SOS right now. No clue where you are getting these numbers
As a Pats fan, I really need the Cards to win 1 more game.
Looks like Gutenfraud may have to trade up to get his Longsnapper of the future.