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Free Agent Market For 4-3 Outside Linebackers

By | at February 24, 2015 12:03 pm

Our list of 2015 free agents provides a comprehensive position-by-position breakdown of which players are eligible to hit the open market this year. However, that list of names doesn’t include much context or additional information about those players. So, with March’s free agent period fast approaching, we’ll be taking a closer look this month at the free agent market for each position. Today, we’ll turn our attention to linebackers. Having already covered 3-4 outside linebackers in our look at edge defenders, today’s focus is on 4-3 OLBs. Let’s dive in….

Top unrestricted FAs:

If a team surveys the free agent market this winter in search of an outside linebacker, that club would be much better off running a 3-4 scheme than a 4-3 system, given the talent available at each spot. While there are a handful of above-average 3-4 OLBs expected to be available two weeks from now, the top tier of 4-3 OLBs is led by Weatherspoon, who missed the 2014 season with a ruptured Achilles and sat out over half of the 2013 campaign as well, due to knee and foot injuries.

While he may not be the most reliable player here when it comes to health, Weatherspoon is still just 27 years old, and averaged 110 tackles per season in 2011 and 2012. And it’s not as if the other players in this group are slam dunks to play 16 games either — Durant and Briggs also missed significant chunks of the 2013 and 2014 seasons with injuries of their own.

If these players stay healthy, they should all but solid contributors for new or old teams in 2015, but taking into account concerns about health, age (Briggs), and inconsistency (Smith), I don’t expect any of them to find a big payday on the open market.

Other unrestricted options:

There are a few interesting names here, including Herzlich, who played just 304 defensive snaps for the Giants in 2014, but graded out as one of the best run defenders at the position, per Pro Football Focus (subscription required). Casillas was a part-time contributor down the stretch for the Super Bowl champion Patriots. Hayes has 70 career starts on his résumé. Thomas and Williams each racked up 85+ tackles, and Anderson is only a year removed from a season of 100+ tackles himself.

Still, if the players in our first tier weren’t exactly impact performers, that applies to doubly to most of the guys on this list. Some could hold their own as starters, but most will be reserves, part-timers, or special teams contributors.

As a housekeeping note, Bynes would have been eligible for restricted free agency, but the Lions have announced they won’t tender him an RFA offer. While he could still return to Detroit, Bynes appears poised to have the opportunity to test the open market.

Restricted FAs:

Lamur earned the most playing time of anyone in this group, by far, but in 900+ defensive snaps, he graded as a below-average in pass coverage, run defense, and as a pass rusher, per PFF, which ranked him 39th out of 40 players at the position overall. The Bengals may have viewed his performance more favorably, but it remains to be seen whether it was enough to earn an RFA tender.

Besides Lamur, most of the other players on this list made more of an impact on special teams than on defense, though Johnson was the one exception. In addition to recording 11 special teams tackles, Johnson was also forced into action on defense during the second half, logging 251 snaps. The Broncos won’t want him starting at linebacker, and he certainly isn’t their top priority in free agency, but he’s a solid depth piece, and I expect the team to bring him back — we’ll see if Denver values him enough to make him an RFA tender offer, or if the club tries to re-sign him for less.

Previous looks at the 2015 free agent market:

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Adrian Peterson Rumors: Monday

By | at February 23, 2015 8:37 pm

Adrian Peterson isn’t eligible for reinstatement for nearly two more months, but there has certainly been no shortage of rumors swirling around the embattled running back over the last week at the league’s scouting combine in Indianapolis. Last Thursday, we learned that Peterson was “uneasy” about the prospect of returning to the Vikings; on Saturday, a report indicated the Vikings aren’t interested in trading the former MVP; and on Sunday, we heard that Peterson hasn’t formally requested a trade and is open to the idea of returning to Minnesota.

What’s the latest on the ongoing situation? Let’s dive in and round up today’s updates….

  • Peterson’s father told Chris Tomasson of the Pioneer Press that he believes Vikings COO Kevin Warren was against Adrian Peterson coming back to the team last season. “Kevin Warren was a major player in the push last year to not have Adrian reinstated,” Nelson Peterson said. “We had our sources that we knew that Kevin wasn’t working for Adrian to get him back on the field and was working to keep Adrian off the field.” He also indicated that the fight between Dogra and Brzezinski centered around a conversation about Warren.
  • ESPN.com’s Ben Goessling (Twitter link) hears from a source that Dogra and Brzezinski were seen talking cordially in Indianapolis on Saturday after their altercation earlier in the week (detailed below). Darren Wolfson of ESPN 1500 Twin Cities (Twitter link) conveys a similar sentiment, reporting that there’s a “mutual respect” between the two, and they’ll be “fine.”
  • Ian Rapoport of NFL.com suggests that if the Vikings were to guarantee a portion of Peterson’s salary for the next season or two, it would go a long way toward settling the stand-off between the two sides (Twitter link). I have to think the running back would need to take a pay cut as part of that agreement for the team to consider it.
  • Peterson’s father, Nelson Peterson, tells Chris Tomasson of the St. Paul Pioneer Press that his son remains open to playing for the Vikings again, despite the reported comments from his agent. “He hasn’t closed the door on saying, ‘I won’t play for the Vikings.’” the elder Peterson said. “He hasn’t demanded a trade.”

Earlier updates:

  • Accoring to Jason La Canfora of CBSSports.com, Peterson’s agent Ben Dogra had to be separated from a member of the Vikings’ front office during a “heated verbal altercation” at the combine. Multiple sources tell La Canfora that Vikings VP Rob Brzezinski was the executive in question, and that Dogra made it clear during the exchange that his client would never play in Minnesota again.
  • Sources tell La Canfora that Peterson has lost faith and trust in the Vikings franchise after their handling of his situation, as he spent most of the 2014 season on the commissioner’s exempt list. “He will never play another game for the Vikings,” one person close to Peterson said to La Canfora. “It’s over.”
  • Addressing the recent reports on Peterson, including La Canfora’s, Michael Rand of the Star Tribune tries to figure out what to make of them, noting that both sides are trying to gain leverage in what figures to be a tricky situation.
  • Discussing potential suitors for Peterson if he’s traded or cut, Joel Corry of CBSSports.com (video link) identifies the Cowboys, Colts, and Jets as teams that may be interested.
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East Notes: Allen, Odrick, Bills, Giants

By | at February 23, 2015 7:09 pm

Eagles safety Nate Allen, who is set to reach the open market next month, has been cleared of any wrongdoing after being detained by police in Fort Myers, Florida last week, according to a report from ABC 6 in Philadelphia. Allen was adamant at the time that the accusation of indecent exposure was false, and encouraged police to continue investigating to clear his name.

Here’s more the East:

  • Charles Clay isn’t the only Dolphins free-agent-to-be whose next deal could be in the range of $6MM per year. Armando Salguero of the Miami Herald writes that Jared Odrick‘s camp believes the defensive lineman has a floor of $6MM annually in free agency. Salguero also tweeted that the club would like to keep Odrick if the cost isn’t too prohibitive.
  • The Bills are interested in bring back both defensive end Jarius Wynn and linebacker Larry Dean, but there’s been “no movement” in talks with guard Erik Pears, according to Mike Rodak of ESPN.com (Twitter link). Pears spent the entire season as Buffalo’s starting left guard, while Wynn and Dean were reserve defenders.
  • The Giants will probably look to move a few veterans off their roster before free agency begins, and Dan Graziano of ESPN.com guesses (via Twitter) that linebacker Mathias Kiwanuka, offensive lineman J.D. Walton, and perhaps linebacker Jon Beason could be among that group. PFR’s Zach Links identified Kiwanuka and Beason as possible cap casualties in his preview of New York’s offseason.

Dallas Robinson contributed to this post.

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West Notes: Wilson, Hudson, Culliver, Casey

By | at February 23, 2015 6:24 pm

As Jason Cole of Bleacher Report (video link) explains, the idea that Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson could land a fully guaranteed contract is causing concern for both team executives and agents. Team execs are worried about the precedent that a fully guaranteed deal might set, while agents are concerned that a full guarantee may prompt Wilson to settle for a salary several million dollars less than what he might otherwise land.

Let’s look at some more notes from the NFL’s West divisions…

  • The Chiefs met with the representative for center Rodney Hudson at the combine in Indianapolis, and talks will continue between the two sides, a source tells Terez A. Paylor of the Kansas City Star (Twitter links). Paylor writes that he expects Hudson – a prospective free agent – to command a per-year salary in the neighborhood of $6MM this winter.
  • The free agent market for cornerbacks is devoid of depth, but 49ers CB Chris Culliver might find more offers than expected when free agency starts next month, writes Mike Florio of Pro Football Talk. As Florio details, Culliver has had off-the-field trouble, but “chatter” around the league suggest he could find a healthy amount of suitors.
  • Adding to an earlier report, Mike Klis of the Denver Post reports that the meeting between free agent tight end James Casey and the Broncos will take place on Thursday.
  • In addition to Casey, the Broncos expect to target centers early in free agency, tweets Jeff Legwold of ESPN.com. Denver used both Manuel Ramirez and Will Montgomery at center in 2014.

Dallas Robinson contributed to this post.

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Free Agent Market For Edge Defenders

By | at February 23, 2015 4:53 pm

Our list of 2015 free agents provides a comprehensive position-by-position breakdown of which players are eligible to hit the open market this year. However, that list of names doesn’t include much context or additional information about those players. So, with March’s free agent period fast approaching, we’ll be taking a closer look this month at the free agent market for each position. Today, we’ll turn our attention to edge defenders — 3-4 outside linebackers and 4-3 defensive ends. Let’s dive in….

Top unrestricted FAs:

Teams in search of pass rushers this offseason will focus on this group, but that doesn’t mean every player on this list excels at getting to the quarterback. Sheard has seen his sack total decrease every season, and Reed has never gotten to the quarterback more than six times, but both guys played well against the run in 2014. Morgan, meanwhile, was Pro Football Focus’ top-rated cover man among 3-4 outside linebackers last season (subscription required), and players like Pierre-Paul and Hughes are solid in every aspect of the game.

Still, in today’s NFL, few skills are valued more highly than an ability to pressure the quarterback, which is why someone like Houston – 2014’s sack leader – figures to land one of the biggest contracts of the offseason, assuming he doesn’t just play on a one-year franchise deal. Hughes and Pierre-Paul lead off the next tier behind Houston, and Hardy certainly hasn’t the talent to lead this group in sacks next season, though it’s still not clear if he’ll face a suspension from the NFL for off-field issues.

Graham, Morgan, and McPhee are among the most interesting names on this list. Graham and Morgan are former first-rounders who never quite fit with their current teams, and who never quite lived up to expectations, but PFF’s data suggests both players have been very productive when given the opportunity. McPhee is another pass-rushing specialist who played a limited role in Baltimore, but excelled in that role, and could draw interest this winter from teams who foresee him taking on more responsibilities on defense.

Of course, teams eyeing these players will have to consider their defensive scheme. Some of these guys will be able to fit in as a 4-3 defensive end or a 3-4 outside linebacker, but most of them are more comfortable playing either one or the other. It’s also worth taking into account the fact that the top players in this group won’t necessarily reach the open market — Houston and Pierre-Paul will likely be franchised, and Hughes is a candidate for the tag as well.

Other unrestricted options:

They won’t land big contracts, but veterans like Freeney, Harrison, and Umenyiora may be the most productive players in this group for the 2015 season. A club looking for a part-time specialist could certainly do worse than landing one of those veterans.

Still, there’s upside to be found here. English likely won’t develop into a regular contributor at this point, but fellow first-round picks Clayborn and Alualu could still be above-average players in the right situation. Moats was very good in part-time duty for the Steelers last season, and Johnson racked up 39 total quarterback pressures for the Lions (though his status remains up in the air — he may be a restricted free agent). Acho, Ayers, Schofield, and Spencer are also intriguing names, for a variety of reasons.

Most of the players in this group will be situational players, or backups, but none of them should be particularly expensive, and pairing a run-first defender with a part-time pass rusher could be an effective, cost-conscious way to get solid production on the edge, without splurging on one of the market’s top free agents.

Restricted FAs:

Shelby played 420 defensive snaps for the Dolphins, and was an effective run stopper for the team, so he looks like the best bet to receive a qualifying offer, out of these three players. If the Chiefs and Seahawks decide to re-sign Moses and Scruggs, respectively, it will likely be for a salary less than the minimum RFA tender.

Previous looks at the 2015 free agent market:

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Cardinals Cut Ted Ginn Jr.

By | at February 23, 2015 4:03 pm

Shortly after ensuring that two key members of their organization are locked up for the next several years, the Cardinals announced another move, this time releasing a player from their roster. As Darren Urban of AZCardinals.com details, the team has parted ways with wide receiver and return man Ted Ginn Jr., just one year into a three-year contract.

Ginn, 29, agreed to a three-year, $9.75MM contract with the Cardinals a year ago, coming off a season in which he was an all-purpose threat for the Panthers, accumulating 36 catches, 26 punt returns, 25 kickoff returns, and even four carries. In his first and only season in Arizona, Ginn didn’t have the same impact, outside of one 71-yard punt return touchdown back in September. For the season, Ginn posted a career-low 19.0 yards per return on kickoffs, and caught just 14 balls on offense.

By releasing Ginn, whose base salary for 2015 was non-guaranteed, Arizona creates $2.5MM in cap room, slicing Ginn’s cap number from $4MM to $1.5MM in dead money. The former first-round pick is immediately free to sign with another team, prior to next month’s free agent period.

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Colts Cut Ricky Jean-Francois

By | at February 23, 2015 2:13 pm

The Colts have cleared some cap room for the coming year, announcing today in a press release that they’ve cut defensive tackle Ricky Jean-Francois. Jean-Francois, who had spent the last two seasons in Indianapolis, had two more years left on his contract with the club.

Jean-Francois, 28, parlayed a part-time role with the 2012 NFC champion 49ers into a four-year, $22MM pact with the Colts, who made him a starter and increased his playing time. Jean-Francois held his own in the increased role, ranking 26th out of 47 qualified 3-4 defensive ends in 2014, according to Pro Football Focus’ grades (subscription required). He also set new career highs last season with 34 tackles and three sacks.

Still, with a $6.125MM cap number for 2015, Jean-Francois wasn’t worth the investment for a Colts team that will create nearly $5MM in cap savings by cutting him. With annual prorated bonus figures of $625K on his deal, Jean-Francois will now count for $1.25MM on Indianapolis’ 2015 cap, as those bonus amounts accelerate to the ’15 league year.

The Colts already had a huge chunk of cap room available for 2015, and releasing Jean-Francois will give the team even more flexibility. According to OverTheCap.com’s data, Indianapolis is now armed with $40MM+ in projected cap space, which should give the club the flexibility to splash around a little in free agency, and to work out long-term extensions for core players like Andrew Luck and T.Y. Hilton.

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East Notes: Clay, Reynolds, Jets, Dolphins

By | at February 23, 2015 1:51 pm

We led off our morning round-up of free agent rumors with a note on Charles Clay, passing along a report that suggested the veteran tight end is still very much a part of the Dolphins‘ plans. However, if Miami does want to re-sign Clay, he won’t come cheap. A league source tells Adam Beasley of the Miami Herald that the market for Clay is expected to be about $6MM+ annually.

While that may seem like a steep price for a player coming off a fairly modest season (605 receiving yards, three touchdowns), a $6MM annual salary would put Clay right in between Greg Olsen and Dennis Pitta, who are solid players but certainly not start tight ends. As Over The Cap’s data shows, Marcedes Lewis, Jared Cook, Antonio Gates, and Kyle Rudolph are among the players whose annual salaries range from $6.8-7.3MM, a notch above where Clay is expected to land.

Here are a few more items out of the NFL’s two East divisions:

  • The contract signed by offensive lineman Dallas Reynolds with the Giants last week includes $25K in guaranteed money, per Adam Caplan of ESPN.com (via Twitter).
  • Rich Cimini of ESPNNewYork.com rounds up some notes from the scouting combine, with a focus on the Jets. Cimini leads off his report by suggesting that the Jets don’t seem to be in quarterback-or-bust mode for the draft, and that the team isn’t necessarily a lock to select Marcus Mariota if he falls to No. 6.
  • Mike Florio of Pro Football Talk clarifies some points from a weekend article on Dez Bryant, suggesting that all players who – not just the Cowboys receiver – should take certain steps to regain leverage if they receive a franchise or transition tag from their respective teams.
  • While Armando Salguero of the Miami Herald agrees that the Dolphins should consider off-field actions when deciding which players to add to their roster, he expresses some concern that the team’s criteria may be too strict — in Salguero’s words, Miami seems to be taking “extra steps” to ensure that the players on the squad “fall in line.”
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Cardinals Extend Arians, Keim Through 2019

By | at February 23, 2015 12:58 pm

12:58pm: Arians’ new contract pays him an average of $6MM per season, according to Ian Rapoport of NFL.com (via Twitter).

12:43pm: The new contracts for Arians and Keim include team options for a fifth year, so the Cardinals essentially have both of them locked up through 2019, reports Kent Somers of the Arizona Republic (via Twitter).

11:59am: The Cardinals have reached agreements with head coach Bruce Arians and general manager Steve Keim to extend their respective contracts through the 2018 season, according to Darren Urban of AZCardinals.com (via Twitter). While details of the new deals aren’t yet known, Urban notes that they’ll “presumably” involve big raises for both the coach and the GM.

Both Arians and Keim had been under contract for at least two more years, so locking them up to new extensions wasn’t something the Cardinals necessarily needed to prioritize. However, team president Michael Bidwill suggested last month that the club would try to get something done with its two primary decision-makers this offseason, to reward them for their impressive performances since they assumed their current roles within the organization.

Since taking over as Arizona’s head coach prior to the 2013 season, Arians has led the team to a 21-11 record, earning a playoff berth in 2014. While the Cardinals ultimately couldn’t withstand all their health problems – including injuries that sidelined quarterbacks Carson Palmer and Drew Stanton – Keim provided a roster deep enough that the team was able to win 11 games despite losing multiple QBs and defensive contributors.

Arians, who was named the PFWA’s Coach of the Year for 2014, was believed to earning between $3-4MM a year on his old contract — his new deal will likely bump him up into the salary range of coaches like Rex Ryan and Jason Garrett, who signed contracts last month reportedly worth $5.5-6MM annually.

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Pauline’s Latest: Falcons, Jets, Packers, Chiefs

By | at February 23, 2015 12:32 pm

With the 2015 scouting combine winding down in Indianapolis, draft guru Tony Pauline of DraftInsider.net has several tidbits to pass along, having spoken to a number of league insiders over the past week. While most of Pauline’s updates relate to the draft, he also has some info on the upcoming free agent period. Let’s dive in and round up the highlights from his latest report….

  • It’s no secret that the Falcons will be targeting a pass rusher in the first round of this year’s draft, and while there are a few players who could fit that bill in the top 10, Pauline writes that Shane Ray‘s name was “constantly associated” with the team as the leading choice.
  • The Jets spent a significant amount of time in Indianapolis with speedy Miami wide receiver Phillip Dorsett, who also drew interest from the Packers. According to Pauline, Green Bay is also “very high on” Clemson linebacker Stephone Anthony, who is a favorite of Packers defensive coordinator Dom Capers.
  • The Jets are expected to be very active in free agency, as GM Mike Maccagnan has suggested, and Pauline hears that the team will target outside linebackers and defensive line depth in addition to cornerbacks. New York would also like to add a mid-value guard, though the belief is that they won’t spend big on a player like Mike Iupati.
  • Per Pauline, the Chiefs are eyeing Benardrick McKinney as a potential replacement for Justin Houston, if they lose Houston in free agency. While Kansas City may like McKinney, I’m skeptical that the club would let Houston get away, as he seems like a logical franchise tag candidate.
  • Echoing what we’ve already heard this offseason, Pauline writes that it doesn’t sound as if the Browns‘ front office is working in harmony these days. Sources familiar with the situation compared Cleveland’s situation to the one that has played out in San Francisco in recent years, and Pauline hears there’s a good deal of dissension within the organization.
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