Top 3 Offseason Needs: Oakland Raiders

In advance of March 14, the start of free agency in the NFL, Pro Football Rumors will detail each team’s three most glaring roster issues. We’ll continue this year’s series with the Oakland Raiders, who underwhelmed with a 6-10 record after receiving significant offseason hype because of their 2016 playoff berth. The team opted to fire Jack Del Rio months after giving him an extension and bring back Jon Gruden, who has not coached since the 2008 season. After being viewed to be in better shape in 2017, the franchise is in a less cozy place as far as needs go as well entering Gruden 2.0’s first offseason.

Depth Chart (via Roster Resource)

Pending Free Agents:

Top 10 Cap Hits for 2018:

  1. Derek Carr, QB: $25,000,000
  2. Khalil Mack, LB: $13,846,000
  3. Gabe Jackson, G: $10,500,000
  4. Kelechi Osemele, G: $10,500,000
  5. Sean Smith, CB: $8,500,000
  6. Rodney Hudson, C: $8,350,000
  7. Bruce Irvin, LB: $8,250,000
  8. Donald Penn, T: $8,131,250
  9. Michael Crabtree, WR: $7,687,500
  10. Amari Cooper, WR: $7,210,993

Other:

  • Projected cap space (via Over the Cap): $15,775,913
  • Ninth/tenth pick in draft
  • Must exercise or decline 2019 fifth-year option for WR Amari Cooper

Three Needs:

1) Restock the cornerback spots: The player most associated with Raiders cornerbacks over the past three years is now gone. Gruden and Reggie McKenzie showed David Amerson the door, and he’s now with the rival Chiefs. Sean Smith has not been what the franchise envisioned upon signing him in 2016, and the legal entanglement he’s gotten into paves a path for the soon-to-be 31-year-old corner out of Oakland. Releasing Smith comes free of charge thanks to McKenzie’s usual method of frontloading deals; the Raiders will see $8.5MM in cap relief with a Smith cut. The question then evolves to how to repair this area.

With slot man T.J. Carrie a free agent, the Raiders will be incredibly thin here if/when they cut Smith. Only 2017 first-rounder Gareon Conley qualifies as a building block, and he missed all but two games of his rookie season with a troublesome shin injury. Nevertheless, Conley will be expected to commandeer one of Oakland’s starting jobs this coming season.

Despite being a UFA, Carrie — a Bay Area native — already met with Gruden and members of the new coaching staff. He’s expressed a desire to stay. Although Carrie had his best season in 2017 after winning the slot job full-time following D.J. Hayden‘s exit, the 27-year-old defender will be in a market with other (more proven) slot stoppers Patrick Robinson, Aaron Colvin and Nickell Robey-Coleman. A midlevel deal might be enough to keep Carrie in Oakland, thus locking down another of the team’s de facto starting spots.

With the Raiders no longer having a high-end cornerback salary on their books, in the event they cut Smith, they could target one of the upper-echelon free agents. And Tony Pauline of DraftAnalyst.com reports they don’t intend to go exclusively after bargain buys, with Trumaine Johnson being their top UFA target.

With needs across their defense, steering clear of the Johnson/Malcolm Butler/Kyle Fuller tier may be the wiser choice. The team visited with Vontae Davis, but he opted for a Bills agreement. Other members of this upper-middle class of veterans include Prince Amukamara, Bashaud Breeland, Rashaan Melvin and E.J. Gaines.

The Raiders’ budget will be tighter because they will not be making rumored cuts. Both Bruce Irvin ($8.25MM in potential savings, no dead money) and Michael Crabtree ($7.27MM would-be savings, no dead money) will not be released. Each’s upper-middle-class salary will remain on the Raiders’ books. While these cuts would have created key needs as well, the veteran duo remaining on the roster will limit the team to some degree. And a long-rumored Khalil Mack extension coming to fruition could shrink the the signing bonus-averse franchise’s spending allotment further.

That said, Johnson offers reliability the Raiders haven’t had in years. Amerson had a strong 2015 season en route to his extension but was inconsistent a year later and experienced extensive injury trouble last season. Smith did not play as well as he did in Kansas City and has off-field troubles to attend to.

Johnson turned 28 in January and has been a solid corner for years, enough so that the Rams felt the need to tag him twice. And Los Angeles’ trade for Marcus Peters ensures Johnson will hit the market. And he will not come cheap.

Former teammate Janoris Jenkins signed for $12.5MM per year in 2016 — a $155MM cap universe — so it would be hard to see Johnson signing for less when the cap will approach or exceed $180MM. And if McKenzie would continue his usual contract policy to ensure protection in deals’ later years, a Johnson pact would eat into Oakland’s funds considerably. And the 6-foot-2 corner with a history of press-man ability will have an extensive market.

The more prudent method would be spreading money around their defense, which indeed needs help at all levels after the Raiders inexplicably ignored their biggest needs in free agency last year. They opted to spend money to augment a top-10 offense, which interestingly became much worse, and the defensive problems remained.

Despite the resources poured into their cornerback position in recent years, the Raiders have not posed much trouble to opposing quarterbacks. The two Amerson/Smith years produced pass-defense rankings of 24th and 26th, and the Raiders also finished 26th in air deterrence in 2015.

The Raiders picked two cornerbacks in the first round this decade in Hayden and Conley but did not supplement them with other high picks. The team could turn back to the draft again, now that finances are tighter than they have been in many years.

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Raiders Have Made Offer To Khalil Mack

The Raiders have made an extension offer to star edge rusher Khalil Mack, according to Vic Tafur of the Atheltic (Twitter link). Mack and his representatives are currently mulling the terms of the deal, per Tafur.Khalil Mack (vertical)

Mack, who turned 27 years old last week, is one of the NFL’s premier pass rushers, and has solidified that status by posting 36.5 sacks over the past three seasons. In 2017, Mack put up 10.5 sacks, finished second in the league with 53 pressures, and graded as the NFL’s No. 5 edge defender, per Pro Football Focus. The fifth overall selection in the 2015 draft, Mack has never missed a game during his four-year pro career.

The Raiders have Mack under contract for one more year, and he’ll earn a fully guaranteed base salary of $13.846MM in 2018. While Oakland could conceivably use the franchise tag on Mack in 2019, the club surely prefers to hammer out a long-term deal. General manager Reggie McKenzie recently indicated that a 2018 extension was likely to be arranged.

Mack will likely seek to top fellow AFC West pass rusher Von Miller‘s $19.083MM annual value, and should be fully expected to shoot for a $20MM per year salary on his next contract. For what it’s worth, the Raiders generally prefer to avoid signing bonuses (and in turn, work out contracts that are relatively easy to escape), but Oakland did give quarterback Derek Carr a $12.5MM signing bonus on his recent extension. Whether the Raiders will stick to their typical contract structure, or be amenable to changes given Mack’s talent and importance, is unclear.

Raiders To Retain LB Bruce Irvin

The Raiders will not release linebacker Bruce Irvin, general manager Reggie McKenzie told reporters, including Michael Gehlken of the Las Vegas Review JournalBruce Irvin (vertical)

[RELATED: Raiders To Bring Back Michael Crabtree]

Irvin will enter the third season of a four-year, $37MM pact he signed with Oakland prior to the 2016 campaign. Next season, the 30-year-old defender will earn an $8MM base salary and a $250K workout bonus. The Raiders could have cleared that entire total by cutting ties with Irvin this offseason, but they’ll instead retain him for at least one more go-round.

Last year, Irvin totaled 58 tackles and matched his career high with eight sacks. For his efforts, he graded out as the No. 48 ranked edge defender in the league, per Pro Football Focus. His 77.0 overall score was roughly in line with his career average, but a slight downtick from his career-high 81.8 showing in 2016.

Raiders To Bring Back Michael Crabtree

The Raiders have decided to hold onto veteran receiver Michael Crabtree, a source told Vic Tafur of The Athletic. There were previous discussions about releasing the receiver, who is set to make $7.5 MM in salary and roster bonus in 2018. Michael Crabtree (vertical)

Tafur writes that Crabtree has met with new head coach Jon Gruden in the past month and have come to an agreement that his struggles in 2017 were related to the previous regime. The problems with Jack Del Rio‘s staff were obvious in the final two games of the season when Crabtree played just 46 of 121 snaps, according to the Las Vegas Review-Journal’s Michael Gehlken (Twitter link).

At the age of 30 in 2017, Crabtree logged just 58 receptions for 618 yards but did manage to register eight touchdown grabs. The campaign followed back-to-back 85-catch seasons in his first two seasons with the Raiders. The Texas Tech product has been a force in the red zone, logging 25 receiving scores in three seasons with the Silver and Black.

Though he did have a rough season, Crabtree is a strong bounce-back candidate in Gruden’s new-look attack that prioritizes quick-hitting passes to move the chains. Crabtree is signed through the 2019 season but will not count against the cap if released.

Salary Cap Rollover For All 32 NFL Teams

This week, the NFLPA updated its salary cap report to include the rollover amounts for all 32 teams in the NFL. The Browns, as expected, lead the league in $58.9MM in cap space rolled over from the previous season. Here is the full rundown of each team’s rollover amounts:

cap3

After the Browns, the 49ers ($56MM), Titans ($30.3MM), Jaguars ($27.8MM), and Jets ($17.3MM) boast the highest rollover amounts in the league. The Dolphins ($69K), Saints ($287K), Giants ($365K), Eagles ($514K), and the Seahawks ($547K) have the least amount of rollover. In total, teams carried over nearly $340MM from last season, good for an average of $10.6MM per club.

Lee Smith To Cash In?

  • This year, free agent blocking tight ends like Darren Fells (Lions), Lee Smith (Raiders), and Virgil Green (Broncos) figure to earn more than expected, Ian Rapoport of NFL.com tweets. The reason, Rapoport says, is because of poor draft talent in that area and a lack of other options. Last offseason, tight end Rhett Ellison landed a four-year, $18MM free agent deal from the Giants despite averaging just ten catches per season over the course of his five-year career, so there is precedent for TEs to cash in even without gaudy stat lines.

NFL Awards Compensatory Picks To 15 Teams

The NFL has awarded 15 compensatory draft picks to teams, as directed by the terms of the Collective Bargaining Agreement. The compensatory pick system provides additional picks to teams who lose more/better qualifying free agents in the previous year than gained.

This year, the 32 comp picks were dispersed to 15 different teams. Here is the complete rundown:

Round 3

  • No. 97 overall – Cardinals
  • No. 98 overall – Texans
  • No. 99 overall – Broncos
  • No. 100 overall – Bengals

Round 4

  • No. 133 overall – Packers
  • No. 134 overall – Cardinals
  • No. 135 overall – Giants
  • No. 136 overall – Patriots
  • No. 137 overall – Cowboys

Round 5

  • No. 170 overall – Bengals
  • No. 171 overall – Cowboys
  • No. 172 overall – Packers
  • No. 173 overall – Cowboys
  • No. 174 overall – Packers

Round 6

  • No. 207 overall – Packers
  • No. 208 overall – Cowboys
  • No. 209 overall – Chiefs
  • No. 210 overall – Raiders
  • No. 211 overall – Texans
  • No. 212 overall – Raiders
  • No. 213 overall – Vikings
  • No. 214 overall – Texans
  • No. 215 overall – Ravens
  • No. 216 overall – Raiders
  • No. 217 overall – Raiders
  • No. 218 overall – Vikings

Round 7

  • No. 251 overall – Chargers
  • No. 252 overall – Bengals
  • No. 253 overall – Bengals
  • No. 254 overall – Cardinals
  • No. 255 overall – Buccaneers
  • No. 256 overall – Falcons

The Bengals, Cowboys, Packers and Raiders lead the way in comp picks this year with four. The Cardinals and Texans each snagged three, the Vikings own two, and the Falcons, Ravens, Broncos, Chiefs, Chargers, Patriots, Giants, and Buccaneers each have one.

Raiders Meet With Vontae Davis

Vontae Davis is not taking his free agency lightly. On Wednesday, Davis touched down in Oakland to meet with the Raiders, a source tells NFL.com’s Ian Rapoport (Twitter link). Vontae Davis (vertical)

This marks Davis’ fourth known free agent visit of the last week. In recent days, the veteran cornerback has met with the 49ers, Browns, and Bills. There could still be more meetings down the pike for the former first round pick.

The Raiders have a clear need in the secondary after releasing cornerback David Amerson. Safety Sean Smith is expected to also get a pink slip in the coming weeks and Davis could also contribute there.

For now, the only real certainty at cornerback is rising sophomore Gareon ConleyT.J. Carrie, who started in all but one of Oakland’s games last year, is slated to be an unrestricted free agent in March. Carrie graded out as Pro Football Focus’ No. 22 ranked corner in 2017, but new defensive coordinator Paul Guenther may or may not see him as a fit for his scheme.

Gruden: I Need "Full-Time" Marshawn Lynch

  • In a conversation with a fan, Raiders coach Jon Gruden indicated that he wants Marshawn Lynch to be fully committed to his conditioning this year. “We’re not going to have that,” Gruden said (via S.L. Price of The MMQB). “No. I said to him: ‘I need Marshawn Lynch. I don’t need this part-time Lynch. I need full-time Lynch.” Lynch is signed through the 2018 season and with a cap number of $6MM, so there is some speculation as to whether he’ll be a part of Gruden’s second go ’round in Oakland. It sounds like Gruden will be gauging Lynch’s health as the team weighs the decision.

UFA T.J. Carrie Met With Raiders' New Staff

  • Despite his Raiders contract having expired, T.J. Carrie met with the new Silver and Black coaching staff this week, Matt Kawahara of the San Francisco Chronicle reports. Carrie functioned as a full-time starter with Oakland last season. The Raiders released David Amerson earlier this month and could well move on from Sean Smith free of charge soon. Pro Football Focus’ No. 22 corner in 2017, Carrie is coming off his best season and would be an interesting name to on the market. But the former seventh-round pick told Kawahara he would like to stay with the Raiders. “I’m a hometown kid. I’m a Bay Area kid. I couldn’t see myself being anywhere else than Oakland,” Carrie said. “… I’ve loved and I’ve dreamed of playing for the Raiders for such a long time. And now that I’ve had the opportunity to play there for four years, I want to finish there.”
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