PFR Originals News & Rumors

2015 NFL Trades

Among North America’s major sports, the NFL has traditionally had the reputation for having the fewest blockbuster trades consummated in a given year. That certainly hasn’t been the case so far in 2015 though. Starting quarterbacks, former first overall picks, and Pro Bowlers have changed teams, with players like Jimmy Graham, LeSean McCoy, Nick Foles, Sam Bradford, Haloti Ngata, and Brandon Marshall on the move.

With the draft just a few weeks away, several more trades figure to be completed this spring, and we’ll track all those moves in this space. You can find this page, our 2015 NFL trade tracker, on our right-hand sidebar under the “PFR Features” menu at any time.

Here’s a breakdown of 2015’s trades to date, in reverse chronological order:

November 2

  • Broncos acquire TE Vernon Davis and a 2016 seventh-round pick.
  • 49ers acquire a 2016 sixth-round pick and a 2017 sixth-round pick.

October 6

  • 49ers acquire LB Gerald Hodges.
  • Vikings acquire C Nick Easton and a 2016 sixth-round pick.

October 3

  • Ravens acquire WR Chris Givens.
  • Rams acquire a conditional 2018 seventh-round pick.

September 30

September 28

  • Patriots acquire LB Jon Bostic.
  • Bears acquire a 2016 sixth-round pick.

September 28

  • Panthers acquire DE Jared Allen.
  • Bears acquire a conditional 2016 sixth-round pick.

September 22

  • Cowboys acquire QB Matt Cassel and a 2017 seventh-round pick.
  • Bills acquire a 2017 fifth-round pick.

September 21

  • Ravens acquire CB Will Davis.
  • Dolphins acquire a 2016 seventh-round pick.

September 16

  • Patriots acquire WR/KR Keshawn Martin and a 2016 sixth-round pick.
  • Texans acquire a 2016 fifth-round pick.

September 15

  • Cowboys acquire WR Brice Butler and a conditional 2016 sixth-round pick.
  • Raiders acquire a conditional 2016 fifth-round pick.
  • Picks will change hands if Butler is on Cowboys’ 53-man roster for at least six games.

September 11

  • Colts acquire DL Billy Winn.
  • Browns acquire a conditional 2017 seventh-round pick.

September 6

  • Cowboys acquire RB Christine Michael.
  • Seahawks acquire a conditional 2016 seventh-round pick.

September 6

  • Titans acquire RB Terrance West.
  • Browns acquire a conditional 2016 seventh-round pick.

September 5

  • Seahawks acquire S Kelcie McCray.
  • Chiefs acquire a 2016 fifth-round pick.

September 5

  • Vikings acquire T Jeremiah Sirles.
  • Chargers acquire a 2016 sixth-round pick.

September 4

  • Colts acquire LB Sio Moore.
  • Raiders acquire a 2016 sixth-round pick.

September 4

  • Cardinals acquire QB Matt Barkley.
  • Eagles acquire a conditional 2016 seventh-round pick.
  • Eagles will acquire pick if Barkley spends six weeks on the Cardinals’ roster.

September 4

  • Falcons acquire G Andy Levitre.
  • Titans acquire a 2016 sixth-round pick and a future conditional pick.

September 4

  • Giants acquire P Brad Wing.
  • Steelers acquire a conditional 2016 seventh-round pick.

September 2

  • Bears acquire TE Khari Lee.
  • Texans acquire a 2017 sixth-round pick.

September 1

  • Patriots acquire WR Jalen Saunders.
  • Saints acquire a conditional 2018 seventh-round pick.

August 31

  • Panthers acquire WR Kevin Norwood.
  • Seahawks acquire a conditional 2017 seventh-round pick.

August 31

  • Steelers acquire K Josh Scobee.
  • Jaguars acquire a 2016 sixth-round pick.

August 31

August 31

  • Texans acquire T Chris Clark.
  • Broncos acquire a 2016 seventh-round pick.

August 26

  • Patriots acquire OT/TE Mike Williams.
  • Lions acquire a 2017 seventh-round pick.

August 21

  • Washington acquires TE Derek Carrier.
  • 49ers acquire a conditional 2017 fifth-round pick.

August 18

August 10

  • Patriots acquire G Ryan Groy.
  • Bears acquire LB Matthew Wells.

August 2

  • Seahawks acquire CB Mohammed Seisay.
  • Lions acquire a 2016 sixth-round pick.

August 1

  • Steelers acquire CB Brandon Boykin.
  • Eagles acquire a 2016 fifth-round pick.
  • Eagles will acquire a fourth-rounder if Boykin plays at least 60% of the Steelers’ snaps in 2015.

June 6

  • Browns acquire P Andy Lee.
  • 49ers acquire a 2017 seventh-round pick.

May 2

  • Cowboys acquire a 2015 seventh-round pick (No. 246; TE Geoff Swaim).
  • 49ers acquire a 2016 sixth-round pick.

May 2

May 2

  • Saints acquire a 2015 fifth-round pick (No. 167; CB Damian Swann).
  • Washington acquires a 2015 sixth-round pick (No. 187; WR Evan Spencer) and a 2016 sixth-round pick.

May 2

  • Colts acquire a 2015 fifth-round pick (No. 151; DT David Parry).
  • 49ers acquire a 2015 fifth-round pick (No. 165; P Bradley Pinion) and a 2015 seventh-round pick (No. 244; OL Trenton Brown).

May 2

  • Packers acquire a 2015 fifth-round pick (No. 147; QB Brett Hundley).
  • Patriots acquire a 2015 fifth-round pick (No. 166; LS Joe Cardona) and a 2015 seventh-round pick (No. 247; CB Darryl Roberts).

May 2

  • Falcons acquire a 2015 fifth-round pick (No. 137; DT Grady Jarrett).
  • Vikings acquire a 2015 fifth-round pick (No. 146; WR Stefon Diggs) and a 2015 sixth-round pick (No. 185; T Tyrus Thompson).

May 2

  • Buccaneers acquire a 2015 fourth-round pick (No. 124; LB Kwon Alexander).
  • Raiders acquire a 2015 fourth-round pick (No. 128; G Jon Feliciano) and a seventh-round pick (No. 218; T Anthony Morris).

May 2

  • Cardinals acquire a 2015 fourth-round pick (No. 116; DL Rodney Gunter).
  • Browns acquire a 2015 fourth-round pick (No. 123; WR Vince Mayle), a 2015 sixth-round pick (No. 198; TE Randall Telfer), and a 2015 seventh-round pick (No. 241; CB Ifo Ekpre-Olomu).

May 2

  • Lions acquire a 2015 fourth-round pick (No. 113; DT Gabe Wright).
  • Eagles acquire a 2016 third-round pick.

May 2

  • Jets acquire a 2015 fourth-round pick (No. 103; QB Bryce Petty).
  • Jaguars acquire a 2015 fourth-round pick (No. 104; S James Sample) and a 2015 seventh-round pick (No. 229; TE Ben Koyack).

May 2

  • Panthers acquire a 2015 fourth-round pick (No. 102; T Daryl Williams).
  • Raiders acquire a 2015 fourth-round pick (No. 124), a 2015 fifth-round pick (No. 161; OLB Neiron Ball), and a 2015 seventh-round pick (No. 242; CB Dexter McDonald).

May 1

  • Browns acquire a 2015 third-round pick (No. 96; DT Xavier Cooper) and a 2015 seventh-round pick (No. 219; ILB Hayes Pullard).
  • Patriots acquire a 2015 fourth-round pick (No. 111; G Tre Jackson), a fifth-round pick (No. 147), and a sixth-round pick (No. 202; TE A.J. Derby).

May 1

May 1

  • Chiefs acquire a 2015 third-round pick (No. 76; WR Chris Conley).
  • Vikings acquire a 2015 third-round pick (No. 80) and a 2015 sixth-round pick (No. 193; DL B.J. Dubose).

May 1

  • Texans acquire a 2015 third-round pick (No. 70; WR Jaelen Strong).
  • Jets acquire a 2015 third-round pick (No. 82; OLB Lorenzo Mauldin), a 2015 fifth-round pick (No. 152; G Jarvis Harrison), a 2015 seventh-round pick (No. 229), and WR DeVier Posey.

May 1

  • Seahawks acquire a 2015 third-round pick (No. 69; WR Tyler Lockett)
  • Washington acquires a 2015 third-round pick (No. 95; RB Matt Jones), a 2015 fourth-round pick (No. 112; G Arie Kouandjio), a 2015 fifth-round pick (No. 167), and a 2015 sixth-round pick (No. 181; S Kyshoen Jarrett).

May 1

  • Buccaneers acquire a 2015 second-round pick (No. 61; G Ali Marpet) and a 2015 fourth-round pick (No. 128).
  • Colts acquire a 2015 third-round pick (No. 65; CB D’Joun Smith) and a 2015 fourth-round pick (No. 109; S Clayton Geathers).

May 1

  • Ravens acquire a 2015 second-round pick (No. 55; TE Maxx Williams).
  • Cardinals acquire a 2015 second-round pick (No. 58; DE/OLB Markus Golden) and a 2015 fifth-round pick (No. 158; DE Shaq Riddick).

May 1

  • Eagles acquire a 2015 second-round pick (No. 47; DB Eric Rowe) and a 2015 sixth-round pick (No. 191; CB JaCorey Shepherd).
  • Dolphins acquire a 2015 second-round pick (No. 52; DT Jordan Phillips), a 2015 fifth-round pick (No. 145; CB Bobby McCain), and a 2015 fifth-round pick (No. 156; CB Tony Lippett).

May 1

  • Texans acquire a 2015 second-round pick (No. 43; ILB Benardrick McKinney) and a 2015 seventh-round pick (No. 229).
  • Browns acquire a 2015 second-round pick (No. 51; DE/OLB Nate Orchard), a 2015 fourth-round pick (No. 116), and a 2015 sixth-round pick (No. 195; FB/TE Malcolm Johnson).

May 1

  • Panthers acquire a 2015 second-round pick (No. 41; WR Devin Funchess).
  • Rams acquire a 2015 second-round pick (No. 57; T Rob Havenstein), a 2015 third-round pick (No. 89; QB Sean Mannion), and a 2015 sixth-round pick (No. 201; WR Bud Sasser).

May 1

  • Giants acquire a 2015 second-round pick (No. 33; S Landon Collins)
  • Titans acquire a 2015 second-round pick (No. 40; WR Dorial Green-Beckham), a fourth-round pick (No. 108; FB Jalston Fowler), and a seventh-round pick (No. 245; WR Tre McBride).

April 30

  • Broncos acquire a 2015 first-round pick (No. 23; DE/OLB Shane Ray)
  • Lions acquire a 2015 first-round pick (No. 28; G Laken Tomlinson), a 2015 fifth-round pick (No. 143), a 2016 fifth-round pick, and OL Manny Ramirez.

April 30

  • Chargers acquire a 2015 first-round pick (No. 15; RB Melvin Gordon).
  • 49ers acquire a 2015 first-round pick (No. 17; DL Arik Armstead), a 2015 fourth-round pick (No. 117; TE Blake Bell), and a 2016 fifth-round pick.

April 15

  • Buccaneers acquire DE George Johnson (RFA) and a 2015 seventh-round pick.
  • Lions acquire a 2015 fifth-round pick.

April 3

  • Washington acquires S Dashon Goldson and a 2016 seventh-round pick.
  • Buccaneers acquire a 2016 sixth-round pick.

April 1

  • Broncos acquire C Gino Gradkowski and a 2016 fifth-round pick.
  • Ravens acquire a 2016 fourth-round pick.

March 13

  • Vikings acquire WR Mike Wallace and a 2015 seventh-round pick.
  • Dolphins acquire a 2015 fifth-round pick.

March 13

March 12

  • Chiefs acquire G Ben Grubbs.
  • Saints acquire a 2015 fifth-round pick.

March 11

  • Jets acquire QB Ryan Fitzpatrick.
  • Texans acquire a 2016 seventh-round pick.
  • Texans’ pick could turn into a sixth-rounder based on Fitzpatrick’s playing time in 2015.

March 11

  • Rams acquire QB Case Keenum.
  • Texans acquire a 2016 seventh-round pick.

March 10

  • Eagles acquire QB Sam Bradford and a 2015 fifth-round pick.
  • Rams acquire QB Nick Foles, a 2015 fourth-round pick, and a 2016 second-round pick.
  • Eagles will acquire a 2016 fourth-round pick if Bradford plays less than 50% of Philadelphia’s snaps in 2015, or a 2016 third-round pick if Bradford doesn’t play at all in 2015 due to injury.

March 10

  • Lions acquire DT Haloti Ngata and a 2015 seventh-round pick.
  • Ravens acquire a 2015 fourth-round pick and a 2015 fifth-round pick.

March 10

  • Seahawks acquire TE Jimmy Graham and a 2015 fourth-round pick.
  • Saints acquire C Max Unger and a 2015 first-round pick.

March 10

  • Bills acquire QB Matt Cassel and a 2015 sixth-round pick.
  • Vikings acquire a 2015 fifth-round pick and a 2016 seventh-round pick.

March 10

March 10

  • Jets acquire WR Brandon Marshall and a 2015 seventh-round pick.
  • Bears acquire a 2015 fifth-round pick.

Free Agent Stock Watch: Michael Crabtree

Two weeks ago, we compiled our top 50 free agent list. Since that time, almost all of the players on that list have either signed with a new club, re-signed with their original team, or retired. The most intriguing name remaining is Michael Crabtree, who checked in at No. 29 and who is still looking for a new home.

Last July, our Luke Adams examined Crabtree as an extension candidate. In that piece, Adams described Crabtree’s breakout 2012 campaign, in which he established career highs in receptions (85), receiving yards (1,105), and touchdowns (9). Crabtree was just as dynamic in the postseason that year, compiling 285 yards and three touchdowns through the air and helping San Francisco reach the Super Bowl, where he nearly hauled in a game-winning touchdown on the team’s final drive.

Michael Crabtree

But it has all been downhill from there for Crabtree. In the spring of 2013, the former Texas Tech star–who famously held out until October of his rookie season, thereby becoming the longest rookie holdout in 49ers history–underwent surgery to repair a torn Achilles tendon, and he did not get back on the field until December. He ultimately played just five games in the 2013 season, catching 19 balls for 284 yards and a score.

2014 was a season that most 49ers fans and players would sooner forget, and Crabtree is no exception. He managed to stay on the field for all 16 games, but he caught just 68 passes for 698 yards and four touchdowns. Those are not especially poor numbers, especially in an offense that largely struggled, but they are not the sort of statistics befitting someone of Crabtree’s talents.

As a result, Crabtree, like a number of his fellow veteran wide receivers, has had difficulty generating much interest on the open market this offseason. He visited the Dolphins several days ago, and the Chargers and Washington have also been rumored as potential landing spots. The Dolphins, who recently traded Mike Wallace and who released Brian Hartline earlier this year, would appear to be a strong fit. At this point, though, it does not appear that anything is imminent.

Age, at least, is on Crabtree’s side. He just turned 27 in December, and he has proven that he can be a capable downfield threat when healthy. But it could be that teams simply do not believe Crabtree can ever be healthy enough to replicate his 2012 form. Tony Grossi of ESPNCleveland.com opined (via Twitter) this morning that Crabtree is a descending wideout since the Achilles injury. Although that may be something of a harsh assessment, it is not a stretch to say that Crabtree was just as much a cause of the 49ers’ anemic offense last year as he was a victim of it.

As a result, he may have to settle for a one-year deal to prove himself. A team with an established quarterback and another quality receiving option or two may provide the ideal platform for Crabtree to showcase his talents, but at this point, it is uncertain whether a suitor like that is out there. So Crabtree, like Hakeem Nicks, will continue to hope for an opportunity to show that he has put his injury history behind him and can be the dynamic player of a few seasons ago.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images

Top NFL Free Agents Still Available

We’re a week into the NFL’s 2015 free agent period, and most of the big-name players have come off the board in the first wave of signings. In fact, out of the 50 players we named as this year’s top free agents, only six remain unsigned.

Still, there are plenty of notable names left on the board, including some who have been released within the last week. While some of these players may not sign new deals until the summer – if they play in 2015 at all – many others figure to find new homes in the near future, perhaps even as early as today.

You can check out our full list of free agents still available right here, but here’s a round-up of several of the most noteworthy players on that list:

Offense:

Defense:

Top restricted free agents not attached to compensatory draft picks:

Update On Top 25 NFL Free Agents

A little over two days after I identified PFR’s top 50 free agents of the offseason, many of those players have re-signed with their own teams or tentatively reached agreements with new teams, which will be finalized on Tuesday.

Given how fast and furious the action has been so far, here’s a quick rundown of where the top half of the players in our our top 50 currently stand:

  1. Ndamukong Suh, DT: Reportedly agreed to sign with Dolphins for six years, $114MM.
  2. Devin McCourty, S: Agreed to re-sign with Patriots for five years, $47.5MM.
  3. Randall Cobb, WR: Re-signed with Packers for four years, $40MM, despite reportedly receiving bigger offers, including one from the Dolphins.
  4. Julius Thomas, TE: Reportedly nearing a deal with the Jaguars.
  5. Jerry Hughes, DE: Re-signed with the Bills for five years and about $45MM.
  6. Jeremy Maclin, WR: Reportedly agreed to sign with the Chiefs on a deal worth about $11MM per year.
  7. DeMarco Murray, RB: Taking his time and weighing his options; he’s said to be open to leaving the Cowboys, and his camp is confident in signing for about $8MM per year. The Jaguars have been cited as a possible suitor.
  8. Pernell McPhee, OLB: Reportedly agreed to sign with the Bears for five years, $40MM.
  9. Byron Maxwell, CB: Reportedly agreed to sign with the Eagles for six years, $63MM.
  10. Bryan Bulaga, T: The Bills, the Buccaneers, the Jaguars, and Washington have been mentioned as possible suitors for Bulaga, in addition to the Packers. A deal worth at least $7-8MM per year appears likely.
  11. Greg Hardy, DE: There have been no reports on Hardy since the legal tampering period began. Teams may be waiting for the NFL to announce potential discipline for off-field legal troubles.
  12. Mike Iupati, G: The Raiders, Jets, and Bills are all believed to have serious interest in Iupati.
  13. Brandon Graham, DE/OLB: Re-signed with the Eagles for four years, $26MM.
  14. Jason Worilds, OLB: The Eagles had been considered a top contender, but likely won’t get too involved with Graham back in the mix. The Titans are one possibility.
  15. Torrey Smith, WR: Announced he won’t be back with the Ravens; the 49ers are considered the frontrunners.
  16. Terrance Knighton, DT: Washington, the Colts, and the Bears all have – or had – real interest in Knighton, but the Raiders appear to be in the lead to sign him.
  17. Rodney Hudson, C: Reportedly agreed to sign with the Raiders for five years, $44.5MM.
  18. Nick Fairley, DT: Having lost out on Suh, the Lions are expected to make an effort to bring back Fairley.
  19. Brian Orakpo, OLB: The Falcons, Jaguars, Cardinals, and Washington are all in the running; Atlanta is viewed as the favorite.
  20. Derrick Morgan, DE/OLB: The Titans are trying to re-sign him, but at least a half-dozen other teams are also involved.
  21. Kareem Jackson, CB: Re-signed with the Texans for four years, $34MM.
  22. Brandon Flowers, CB: Re-signed with the Chargers for four years, $36MM.
  23. Jared Odrick, DT: Expected to sign with the Jaguars for a deal worth $7MM per year.
  24. Chris Culliver, CB: The Jets are the only potential suitor he has been linked to so far, though more teams should get involved.
  25. Orlando Franklin, G: Reportedly agreed to sign with the Chargers for five years, $36.5MM.

Note: Players who received the franchise tag weren’t included in our top 50. Neither was cornerback Darrelle Revis, who may hit the market tomorrow, and would have been the No. 2 player on our list.

2015 NFL Offseason Outlook Series

Since last month’s Super Bowl, the Pro Football Rumors writing staff has been taking a closer look at each of the NFL’s 32 teams, exploring their cap situations, key free agents, and possible positions of need. Our Offseason Outlook series wrapped up this weekend, just in time for the official start of free agency on Tuesday, and you can check out any and all of our team-by-team recaps below.

Since many teams have been busy making moves in recent weeks, not all of our pieces will reflect those latest moves, but for the most part, a team’s overall plan for the offseason remains the same — in a few cases, we’ll even have predicted roster cuts or signings before they happened.

Here’s the full breakdown of our 32 Offseason Outlook pieces for the 2015 offseason, sorted by division:

AFC East:

AFC North:

AFC South:

AFC West:

NFC East:

NFC North:

NFC South:

NFC West:

PFR Originals: 3/1/15 – 3/8/15

The original content produced by the PFR staff during the past week:

Offseason Outlook: Green Bay Packers

Pending free agents:

Top 10 2015 cap hits:

  1. Aaron Rodgers, QB: $18,250,000
  2. Clay Matthews, OLB: $12,700,000
  3. Julius Peppers, OLB: $12,000,000
  4. Sam Shields, CB: $9,062,500
  5. Josh Sitton, G: $7,000,000
  6. T.J. Lang, G: $5,800,000
  7. Morgan Burnett, S: $5,131,250
  8. Jordy Nelson, WR: $4,600,000
  9. Mike Neal, DL: $4,250,000
  10. Mason Crosby, K: $3,550,000

*Randall Cobb‘s new contract will likely place him in the Packers’ top 10, but specifics of the deal aren’t yet known.

Notable coaching changes:

Draft:

  • No. 30 overall pick
  • No traded picks

Other:

Overview

For most teams in most years, finishing with a 12-4 record and winning the NFC North for the fourth consecutive season would be considered a resounding success. But in Green Bay, the final snap of the 2014 season is all that posterity will remember, as the Packers coughed up a 12-point fourth quarter lead to the Seahawks in the NFC Championship Game before losing in overtime. One of the main culprits in that loss — tight end Brandon Bostick, who mishandled an onside kick recovery — has already been waived, but that surely wasn’t enough to appease disgruntled Packers fans.

The Packers have already been active this offeason — earlier tonight, the club agreed to a four-year, $40MM contract with pending free agent receiver Randall Cobb, keeping PFR’s No. 3 free agent from hitting the open market. The versatile 24-year-old was Green Bay’s top free agent, but the team has other need areas to upgrade. Free agency is anathema to general manager Ted Thompson (although he did sign big-ticket item Julius Peppers last offseason), so while the Packers likely won’t make many outside additions, they will look to retain their own FAs, and perhaps explore a few long-term extensions.

Key Free Agents

Now that Cobb has been taken care of, the Packers can focus on Bryan Bulaga, the club’s other key free agent. Bulaga may not have the name value of Cobb, but along with Denver’s Orlando Franklin, he represents the cream of the crop amBryan Bulaga (Vertical)ong free agent tackles, a FA position group that has already been thinned by King Dunlap and Derek Newton re-signing with their respective clubs. Bulaga, who will turn 26 later this month, graded as the league’s 16th-best tackle among 84 qualifiers per Pro Football Focus (subscription required), with most of his value coming from his exceptional pass-blocking.

Green Bay wants to keep its right tackle, and even with Cobb’s new deal in place, the Packers should still have the cap room available to get something done. But there will definitely be other suitors, and I can’t shake the feeling that another interested team will ink Bulaga with the intention of transitioning him back to left tackle, the position he played in college. With next to no free agent talent available on the left side, could a team like the Panthers sign Bulaga and throw him on Cam Newton‘s blindside? It’s possible, and given that Bulaga is likely to match or exceed the five-year, $35MM deal PFR’s Rory Parks projected for him last month, the Packers will have to compete to keep him.

While Bulaga will generate most of the headlines, the Packers have other key players headed for free agency, and two reside in the defensive backfield. Tramon Williams is the elder of two, and the soon-to-be 32-year-old has already drawn interest from the Seahawks as they plan for life after Byron Maxwell. Green Bay is said to have offered Williams, who’s spent his entire career with the Packers, a two-year deal worth $8MM — an unserious price which makes it appear as though the club has no intention of retaining him.

The Packers’ other free agent corner — the 25-year-old Davon House — doesn’t have the track record of Williams, but could ultimately command more dollars thanks to his youth. In House’s entry on PFR’s Top 50 list, our Luke Adams expressed some optimism that House, who saw only 411 snaps in 2014, could experience a breakout if given a larger role, and I share the feeling that House has some untapped potential. Green Bay will need to replace Williams in some fashion, and there’s no reason House shouldn’t be the one to fill his shoes.

Elsewhere on the defense, defensive lineman Letroy Guion and B.J. Raji are both scheduled to become free agents on Tuesday, and each faces a unique circumstance. Guion was arrested on drug charges in February, and though probation could reportedly be in the cards, his future is certainly cloudy. If his legal issues are resolved, however, the Packers should look to re-sign him (they expressed interest in doing so in January, before Guion’s arrest), as he was invaluable in ’14 while playing nose tackle.

Raji, meanwhile, faces similarly uncertain prospects, but for an entirely different reason — the former first-round pick missed the entire season after tearing his bicep during the preseason. Last month, we heard that Raji is expected to re-sign with Green Bay on a one-year deal, and he’ll presumably have to take a pay cut from his 2014 net of $4MM. The BC alum was shifting back to nose tackle during last year’s training camp, so we’ll have to see if his status affects that of Guion.

None of the remainder of the Packers’ impending free agents played more than 300 snaps last season, but the club will have to make a decision on a backup quarterback. It seems as though Matt Flynn is more comfortable in Green Bay than he was in either Seattle, Oakland, or Buffalo, and given his play at those other stops, he won’t garner any interest as a starter. Scott Tolzien, meanwhile, has now been in Green Bay for two seasons, and is two years younger, so the Packers could opt to promote him to the No. 2 role. It wouldn’t be a surprise if both are retained.

Possible Cap Casualties

The Packers have already been active in clearing out cap space, as they’ve released linebackers A.J. Hawk and Brad Jones, saving more than $7MM in the process. Green Bay does an excellent job of managing its cap, so unless it wants to cut Mason Crosby ($3.55MM cap hit) and find a new kicker, the club’s only realistic cap casualty could be linebacker Mike Neal.

According to PFF’s metrics, the 27-year-old Neal was the Packers’ worst defender in 2014, and was second-worst in 2013. His 2015 cap charge of $4.25MM is the ninth-highest on Green Bay’s roster, while the team would save $3MM by releasing him. There haven’t been any reports of Neal being on the chopping block, but this is a case where the production doesn’t match the compensation.

Positions Of Need

Through our Outlook series, we’ve now previewed all 32 teams’ offseasons — the following “positions of need” section might feature the least mentions of external pending free agents of any entry so far. Not that the Packers don’t have needs (every club does), but Green Bay simply doesn’t utilize free agency. As detailed by Bill Barnwell of Grantland in a July 2013 article, Thompson had signed just six veteran free agents since taking over as Packers GM in 2005 (adding Peppers and Guion last offseason brings the total to eight).

The one major area where Green Bay could look to upgrade is tight end, where the current depth chart consists of Andrew Quarless and Richard Rodgers — entering his second season, Rodgers could show some improvement, but the position lacks a true playmaker. That could change with the addition of Julius Thomas or Jordan Cameron, the top two TEs available, but neither seems like a Packers-type addition. More likely, Green Bay could take a look at players like Jermaine Gresham or Lance Kendricks, who figure to be more affordable options.

The front seven could also use a few new additions, especially at linebacker — though Hawk and Jones weren’t impact players, they certainly made contributions. The inside linebacker free agent class doesn’t have much to offer, so while GB could target Jasper Brinkley (Vikings) or Kelvin Sheppard (Dolphins), I’d expect them to wait until more notable players are cut during the summer, and snatch up a viable starter. The same goes for the defensive line, where Thompson won’t pay the price of bringing in an big-name addition.

Of course, the Packers could face two new needs — offensive line and corner — pending the outcomes of the Bulaga, Williams, and House negotiations. Each position could become an area of concern if other clubs poach Green Bay’s free agents, but I’d expect the Packers to target both positions through the draft (GB’s offensive line vacancies, in particular, are almost always filled by NCAA players). Along the O-line, Iowa’s Brandon Scherff figures to be off the board by the time Green Bay picks at No. 30, but Stanford’s Andrus Peat, Pitt’s T.J. Clemmings, or Texas A&M’s La’el Collins, each of whom would be an option at right tackle. At corner, the Packers could look at Marcus Peters (Washington) or Kevin Johnson (Wake Forest) in the first round, or perhaps target combine wonder Byron Jones in the second or third round.

Extension Candidates/Contract Issues

Green Bay has a fifth-year option on linebacker Nick Perry, the club’s first-round draft choice in 2012. The 24-year-old Perry hasn’t lived up to expectations, as he has yet to top 500 snaps in any one season and has posted just nine sacks in three seasons. The USC product isn’t an integral part of the Packers’ defense, and I doubt that they’ll want to exercise the option and pay Perry more than $7MM.

The Packers could look to sign a pair of other young players to extensions, however, starting with cornerback Casey Hayward. At first glance, Hayward’s future might appear to be tied to that of Williams and/or House — if GB re-signs either one, the need for Hayward might be lessened. However, Hayward is almost exclusively a slot corner, so his role shouldn’t be altered by Green Bay keeping one of its other corners. When healthy, Hayward is one of the most effective slot corners in the NFL — injury concerns have limited his production in recent years, however, so perhaps the Packers could use that missed time as leverage, and re-sign him to a below-market deal now.

Another defender, lineman Mike Daniels, could also be a candidate for a multi-year deal. The 25-year-old Daniels enjoyed his first season as a starter in 2014, finishing as the league’s eighth-best 3-4 defensive end per PFF. The role of a 3-4 DE often isn’t to generate pressure, but for what it’s worth, Daniels has accrued 12 sacks over the past two seasons. He plays a position that doesn’t get paid on the open market, but he could potentially target the five-year, $34MM deal Desmond Bryant signed with the Browns last March.

Overall Outlook

In re-signing Cobb, the Packers have already met this offseason’s most formidable challenge. They have the cap space to keep Bulaga, as well, and new contracts for either Williams or House (or both) would be the next items on the table. The free agent period usually isn’t exciting in Green Bay — but with Aaron Rodgers at quarterback, the Packers will be considered division (and perhaps conference) favorites no matter how little they spend in March.

Information from Over The Cap was used in the creation of this post. Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Offseason Outlook: Cleveland Browns

Pending free agents:

Top 10 2015 cap hits:

  1. Joe Haden, CB: $11,700,000
  2. Joe Thomas, T: $10,200,000
  3. Paul Kruger, OLB: $8,200,000
  4. Alex Mack, C: $8,000,000
  5. Desmond Bryant, DL: $7,000,000
  6. Donte Whitner, S: $6,750,000
  7. Karlos Dansby, LB: $5,500,000
  8. Phil Taylor, DT: $5,477,000
  9. Andrew Hawkins, WR: $5,000,000
  10. Barkevious Mingo, OLB: $4,458,273

Notable coaching changes:

Draft:

  • No. 12 overall pick
  • Acquired first-round pick (No. 19 overall) from Bills in deal for Sammy Watkins.
  • Acquired fourth-round pick from Bills in deal for Sammy Watkins.
  • Acquired sixth-round pick from Ravens in deal for Michael Campanaro.

Other:

Overview:

Things were looking good for Cleveland in late November, and it had nothing to do with LeBron James. The Browns were 7-4. Star wide receiver Josh Gordon was coming off of a 120-yard season debut. A talented (but very inconsistent) defensive line had allowed only a pair of 100-yard rushing games. Offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan was getting the most from journeyman quarterback Brian Hoyer, but the biggest hype of all surrounded a different quarterback, as the fan base was anticipating Johnny Manziel’s inevitable first start.

It’s hard to believe that was only three months ago. The Browns finished the season 0-5. Gordon failed yet another drug test, resulting in at least a one-year suspension. The defensive line finished the season as the worst run-stopping unit in the league. Both Shanahan and Hoyer are gone, and the rookie quarterback landed on the IR and in rehab.

Much has changed in that brief period of time, but the Browns will still retain much of the roster that marched out to a strong start in 2014. Despite a strong division, the team can expect to be competitive again in 2015, as long as they don’t do anything drastic this offseason.

Coaching Changes:

Perhaps the most embarrassing Browns story of the past 12 months didn’t come from any of their players. Instead, the humiliation came via one of their coaches.

Shanahan was rumored to be involved in nearly every coaching vacancy earlier this offseason, and he ultimately ended up with the Falcons in the same role. However, this only came after the 35-year-old was allowed out of his contract, and that only came after he presented a 32-point list on why he should be allowed to leave.

The organization eventually replaced Shanahan with another young mind, former Raiders quarterbacks coach John DeFilippo. Sure, the Raiders offense wasn’t very good last season, but the coach reportedly impressed the organization with his interview last year. That has to count for something, right?

Key Free Agents:

None of the Browns free agents are the class of their respective positions, but several of the players should attract plenty of suitors as alternatives to the big names.

Perhaps the biggest name in the group is tight end Jordan Cameron. Early reports indicated that the 26-year-old had little desire to re-sign with Cleveland, but coach Mike Pettine recently hinted that Cameron could return for the right price. Coming off a breakout 2013 season, when he Jordan Cameronestablished career highs in receptions (80), receiving yards (917) and touchdowns (seven), the former fourth-rounder disappointed in 2014. His lack of production could be partially attributed to multiple concussions, as well as subpar play from the Browns’ quarterbacks, but Cameron’s struggles went beyond the passing game. Pro Football Focus advanced metrics rated Cameron as one of the worst blockers at the position, and those same numbers indicate that blocking has been an issue throughout his brief career. As our own Luke Adams suggested, Cameron could be considered a cheaper alternative to Julius Thomas, which could (ironically) boost his price a bit. Even if Cameron does relent on his assertion that he’s done playing in Cleveland, the organization may be knocked out of the running as the bidding gets higher.

There was a time when Jabaal Sheard was counted on to be a contributing member of the Browns defense for years to come. That plan changed a bit in 2014, as the former second-rounder lost his starting gig, the first time he was sent to the second unit since entering the league in 2011. Despite the limited role, Sheard still produced via PFF’s standards, as the website ranked the 25-year-old in the top half of the league’s 3-4 outside linebackers. The versatile defender is still plenty young, and he averaged seven sacks a season over the first three years of his career. With a number of linebackers on the roster, Sheard may be on the outside looking in with Cleveland. However, it may be in the team’s best interest to at least explore the possibility of bringing him back.

Buster Skrine is in perhaps the most interesting situation of any of the Browns’ free agents. The presence of Pro Bowl cornerback Joe Haden, as well as last year’s first-rounder Justin Gilbert, would likely indicate that Skrine doesn’t have as much of an opportunity to contribute in Cleveland as he would elsewhere. The 25-year-old certainly disproved that notion last season, playing in the second-most snaps on the team, while also establishing a career-high in interceptions (four). PFF gave the former fifth-round pick a negative rating for his performance (interestingly enough, they rated him lower than the much-maligned Gilbert), so the cornerback’s playing time may have really been a matter of circumstances. It’d be surprising if the Browns gave up on Gilbert so quickly, and Skrine probably recognizes that fact. Unless he’s willing to accept a reduced role, Skrine could very well bolt this offseason.

Besides that trio, the majority of the Browns unrestricted free agents are among the second-tier (or lower) of available players. Veteran wideout Miles Austin had a relatively productive year, and the 30-year-old could continue to produce with the Browns if Gordon indeed misses the entire season (more on that later). Brian Hoyer won’t return following the signing of Josh McCown (more on that later, as well), but Tyler Thigpen could theoretically return, assuming both sides are interested in a reunion.

Safety Jim Leonhard and nose tackle Ahtyba Rubin both spent time in the starting lineup last season, but neither veteran topped 600 snaps. Leonhard played particularly well in his reduced role, but he indicated that 2014 would be his last year in the NFL. Meanwhile, Rubin may be hard pressed to regain his starting role following a dreadful 2014, when he missed three games and was ranked among the worst defensive tackles in the league by PFF. Sione Fua, a former third-round pick, has bounced around a lot in his brief career, and his lack of production for the Browns may indicate that he’ll be seeking his fourth employer since 2014.

The team’s group of restricted free agents certainly have potential, especially safety Tashaun Gipson. The Browns have indicated that they want to keep him, and they’re expected to slap him with a high tender. Linebacker Craig Robertson could also garner some interest, but there doesn’t seem to be much worry in losing the 27-year-old.

Possible Cap Casualties:

Phil Taylor would be the clear candidate to be cut, as his nearly $5.5MM cap hit ranks eighth on the team. The former first-rounder has looked dominant at times, particularly during his rookie season in 2011. However, the defensive tackle has struggled since, culminating in him being placed on the injured reserve after making only five appearances in 2014. PFF’s metrics have never been particularly fond of Taylor, and his overall rating this past season placed him among the five-worst Browns defenders. Still, the team’s defensive line struggled last season, and unless the organization decides to pursue an elite defensive lineman, Taylor could be needed for 2015.

Andrew Hawkins and his $5MM cap hit could also be cut loose, but that isn’t a ridiculous amount of money for that production (63 receptions, 824 yards, two touchdowns). Futhermore, Hawkins may be relied on even more based on Gordon’s status going forward.

Otherwise, many of the Browns highest-paid players have a solid grasp on their starting role, but the team could still clear up some small chunks of change by cutting some of their lesser-paid players. This could include tight ends Jim Dray and Gary Barnidge, and the duo would save the organization more than $1MM each by being let go. However, the tight ends may be in line for bigger roles next season based on where Cameron ends up.

Positions Of Need:

Despite the team’s lack of production on defense, many of the team’s biggest holes are on offense.

The organization addressed their need at quarterback early on in the offseason, agreeing to a deal with former Buccaneers signal-caller Josh McCown. No one will confuse the 35-year-old with a Pro Bowler, but given the options in free agency, the veteran should provide some competition for Manziel. Even if the 13-year veteran doesn’t see one snap, he is still expected to contribute as a mentor for the young, embattled quarterback.

The team will certainly be seeking a wideout, as Gordon is set to be suspended for the entirety of the 2015 season. Hawkins and Travis Benjamin are essentially the only wideouts currently on the roster that have any real experience, and if the Browns are hoping to see something from Manziel this season, they’d have to provide him with at least a couple more weapons. Earlier today, Luke Adams suggested that Cleveland could be a landing spot for Ravens receiver Torrey Smith.

Based on where Cameron ends up, the team could be seeking a new tight end. Luke mentioned that Julius Thomas could potentially make sense with the Browns, and the Broncos threat could essentially be the Browns’ only option. The team could presumably pursue Dolphins tight end Charles Clay, but the transition tag could ultimately scare the organization away.

The Browns don’t need much help in their secondary, so the team should focus on shoring up their defensive line. The only member of the Browns defensive line to receive a positive rating from PFF in 2014 was John Hughes, and that was in limited snaps. The majority of the team’s linemen struggled, particularly Desmond Bryant and Billy Winn, so if the team was looking to make one splash this offseason, that’d probably be a place to look. As Luke pointed out, Pettine’s tenure in Buffalo could make Cleveland a landing spot for Bills defensive end Jerry Hughes, and the 26-year-old would certainly be a welcome addition.

For any below-.500 team, many big-name free agents would certainly help the product on the field. The front office has to distinguish whether the length of a contract would justify the player’s production. It’s difficult to imagine the Browns adding one of the elite free agents (Ndamukong Suh, Devin McCourty, Randall Cobb), so the team needs to be financially conscious as they look to acquire some reinforcement.

Extension Candidates/Contract Issues:

Mitchell Schwartz burst onto the scene as a second-round pick in 2012. The offensive tackle has started in every game since entering the league, and he’s topped 1,000 snaps in each of his three seasons. According to PFF, his best season came during his rookie year, when he was ranked 23rd among 80 offensive tackle candidates. Those same numbers suggest that Schwartz has only been average the last two seasons, but his consistency and health certainly make a commodity.

The team could also look to extend Gipson, assuming the safety isn’t stolen in restricted free agency. The team hasn’t formally announced which tender they’ll assign to the safety, but assuming it’s a first or second rounder, the Browns should be able to retain the former Wyoming standout. After that, the team can focus on extending the talented defensive back and keeping him in Cleveland longterm.

Overall Outlook:

The team had seemed to be making some real progress under Pettine, and there’s still reason for optimism in Cleveland. The coach has had an entire year to evaluate his roster, and he certainly has some franchise cornerstones on his squad. With a boatload of cap room and multiple first round picks, it should be expected that the organization takes another step forward this offseason. Granted, that implies the front office doesn’t repeat their mistakes from last year, including whiffing on both of their draft choices.

The Browns should have some money to spend, so the team could certainly add some talent wherever they think best. As long as the Browns can get some production from their free agents and rookies, the team should be able to build on their 7-9 record from 2014.

Information from Over The Cap was used in the creation of this post. Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

2015 Top 50 NFL Free Agents

2015’s NFL free agents can’t officially sign with any team except their own until Tuesday at 3:00pm central time, but plenty of deals could be agreed upon in principle this weekend, now that the league’s so-called legal tampering window is open. Before all of this year’s best available players start flying off the board, we’ll take a look at the top players of the 2015 free agent class.

Our list of 2015’s top 50 free agents doesn’t include restricted free agents, or players who were designated as franchise or transition players, since they’re essentially restricted free agents now as well.

Justin Houston, Jason Pierre-Paul, Demaryius Thomas, and Dez Bryant – having received the non-exclusive franchise tag from their respective teams – could still technically land with a new team, but it would require that team to sign an offer sheet and part with two first-round picks, which likely won’t happen. Charles Clay, who received the transition tag from the Dolphins, is in a similar boat — the Fins won’t get any compensation if they decline to match an offer sheet for Clay, but the tight end still isn’t free to sign with whichever team he wants. Miami would have the right to match any offer.

So with those caveats out of the way, let’s dive right in! Here are Pro Football Rumors’ top 50 NFL free agents for 2014, along with a few predictions on how much they might earn and what teams could be in the mix to sign them:

1. Ndamukong Suh, DT (Lions): You could make a case that Justin Houston or Dez Bryant would have been the No. 1 unrestricted free agent had they not been franchised, but we had both players behind Suh in our last edition of our 2015 free agent power rankings. It’s very rare that a player of this caliber reaches the open market without restrictions, and his new contract should reflect that. At this point, it seems very likely that the star defender will exceed $100MM on a six-year contract, making him the league’s highest-paid defender. The Dolphins and Lions look like the favorites for now, but don’t rule out a dark horse candidate — most teams could clear the space necessary to accommodate Suh, and there isn’t a team he wouldn’t make better.
Signed with Miami Dolphins for six years, $114MM. $59.955MM fully guaranteed.

2. Devin McCourty, S (Patriots): Typically, the top free agents are wide receivers, tackles, cornerbacks, or pass rushers; not interior defensive lineman and safeties. But both Suh and McCourty have one thing in common: There aren’t many players at their respective positions who are more consistent and more productive year in and year out. If Jairus Byrd could land $9MM a year when he hit the open market last March, it seems reasonable that McCourty should make something similar. Keep an eye on the Giants, Eagles, and perhaps the Colts.
Re-signed with New England Patriots for five years, $47.5MM. $22MM fully guaranteed.

3. Randall Cobb, WR (Packers): A February report suggesting Cobb was seeking $9MM per year was a little surprising since it seemed so… reasonable. With Demaryius Thomas and Dez Bryant no longer fully unrestricted free agents, Cobb’s stock gets a boost, making it no surprise that his price tag has apparently increased. The Packers wideout is an extremely talented player, and one of the youngest players near the top of this list (he’ll turn 25 in August). However, bidders like the Raiders or Jaguars should beware of making him their No. 1 wideout and relying on a much lesser quarterback than Aaron Rodgers to get him the ball, because he’ll be hard-pressed to match his 2014 numbers.
Re-signed with Green Bay Packers for four years, $40MM. $13MM fully guaranteed.

4. Julius Thomas, TE (Broncos): It surprised me a little to find I’d ranked Thomas so high, considering how underwhelming his final half-season in Denver was. But I expect any suitors eyeing Thomas will blame that stretch on his balky ankle, and count on getting a fully healthy dynamic red-zone target if they decide to invest in Thomas. The Seahawks have been mentioned as a sleeper for Thomas, and the idea of the big tight end catching balls from Russell Wilson is certainly intriguing, but it’s hard to imagine Seattle being the highest bidder. The Browns, Jets, and Falcons all make some sense.
Signed with Jacksonville Jaguars for five years, $46MM. $21MM fully guaranteed.

5. Jerry Hughes, DE (Bills): By all accounts, the Bills would like to retain Hughes, who has posted double-digit sacks in each of the last two seasons. But a defensive line that also features Mario Williams, Marcell Dareus, and Kyle Williams is starting to get expensive, and Rex Ryan and the club may decide that the money is better spent on bolstering another area of the roster. Hughes should command a salary in the range of $8-10MM annually, and the teams that currently employ former Buffalo coaches or assistants like Doug Marrone (Jaguars), Mike Pettine (Browns), and George Edwards (Vikings) are somewhat intriguing fits.
Re-signed with Buffalo Bills for five years, $45MM. $11.775MM fully guaranteed.

6. Jeremy Maclin, WR (Eagles): Having turned down a five-year contract from the Eagles to sign a one-year, prove-it deal last winter, Maclin certainly did prove it. His 85 receptions, 1,318 receiving yards, and 10 touchdowns were all career highs, and he should be able to parlay that success into a more lucrative long-term deal than Philadelphia was offering a year ago. Of course, the fact that 2014 was his only 1,000-yard season is a red flag, and his injury history is another. Throw in question marks about whether his success was a byproduct of Chip Kelly‘s offense, and I wouldn’t be surprised if rival suitors were wary about making a significant investment in Maclin, ultimately pushing him back to the Eagles for 2015 and beyond.
Signed with Kansas City Chiefs for for five years, $55MM. $22.5MM fully guaranteed.

7. DeMarco Murray, RB (Cowboys): Over and over, we’ve been told that the running back position has been devalued in recent years, which will limit Murray’s market. However, LeSean McCoy and Marshawn Lynch are both getting more short-term money from their respective teams in Buffalo and Seattle, and the Vikings seem to be willing to bring back Adrian Peterson at a $15MM+ cap hit. In other words, Murray’s value might not have fallen as far as we think. I expect a team in need of an impact running back to make an offer the Cowboys are unable – or unwilling – to match, perhaps in the neighborhood of $8-9MM per season.
Signed with Philadelphia Eagles for five years, $40MM. $18MM fully guaranteed.

8. Pernell McPhee, DE/OLB (Ravens): An underrated pass rusher, McPhee won’t be a well-kept secret for much longer. He’s a good candidate to be this year’s Everson Griffen, who inked an unexpectedly huge five-year contract with the Vikings last year based more on his potential than his past performance. Of course, in McPhee’s case, it almost certainly won’t be his old team that’s signing him to that lucrative new deal. The Colts, who need a pash rusher and are coached by former Ravens defensive coordinator Chuck Pagano, are my pick.
Signed with Chicago Bears for five years, $38.75MM. $8.675MM fully guaranteed

9. Byron Maxwell, CB (Seahawks): Maxwell is one of this year’s more intriguing free agents, in my opinion. A somewhat uninspiring cornerback market should ensure that he lands a big contract, perhaps in the $9-10MM per year range. Armed with that big new contract, Maxwell will have to prove that his success in Seattle wasn’t just a byproduct of playing in the same secondary as Richard Sherman, Earl Thomas, and Kam Chancellor. The Eagles, Jets, and perhaps the Jaguars look like the best bets to take the plunge for Maxwell.
Signed with Philadelphia Eagles for six years, $63MM. $22MM fully guaranteed.

10. Bryan Bulaga, T (Packers): A year ago, the market had a handful of high-end offensive linemen capable of playing on the left side, including Jared Veldheer and Eugene Monroe. This time around, Bulaga looks like the best tackle by far, meaning he’ll likely be overpaid. The final numbers on Bulaga’s new contract will depend on whether his new team views him as a potential left tackle — if that’s the case, the former first-round pick could end up approaching an eight-digit annual salary.
Re-signed with Green Bay Packers for five years, $33.75MM. $8MM fully guaranteed.

11. Greg Hardy, DE (Panthers): No player’s value is more difficult to pin down than Hardy’s. Faced with this same group of players a year ago, I might have placed the standout pass rusher second on the list behind Suh. But a year off the field, along with the lingering possibility of discipline from the NFL for the domestic violence charges that were eventually dropped, means that clubs will be wary of guaranteeing Hardy too much money. I wonder if, like Maclin a year ago, Hardy will be inclined to take a one-year, make-good contract in the hopes of a big payday a year from now. Either way, the Falcons, Raiders, and Titans are among the teams I think could make some sense.
Signed with Dallas Cowboys for one year, $11.312MM. Non-guaranteed.

12. Mike Iupati, G (49ers): The top interior lineman on the board this month, Iupati should ultimately land a contract that makes him one of the league’s highest-paid guards, and I don’t think that contract will come from the Niners. The Bills look like they could be a strong contender for Iupati’s services, considering they’re employing Greg Roman, the guard’s old offensive coordinator. I think the Rams would be a nice fit too.
Signed with Arizona Cardinals for five years, $40MM. $11.5MM fully guaranteed.

13. Brandon Graham, DE/OLB (Eagles): It seemed as if the Eagles never figured out the ideal way to utilize Graham, who appears to be a better fit as a 4-3 end than a 3-4 outside linebacker. Still, Graham graded as Pro Football Focus’ third-best player at the position in 2014, despite playing just 524 defensive snaps (subscription required). In the right system and with the right coaches, Graham – whose career high in sacks is just 5.5 – could get that number up to double digits. His asking price is said to be in the four-year, $30MM range, which doesn’t seem outrageous. I sort of like the idea of Graham in San Diego as a Dwight Freeney replacement.
Re-signed with Philadelphia Eagles for four years, $26MM. $13MM fully guaranteed.

14. Jason Worilds, OLB (Steelers): After receiving the transition tag from the Steelers a year ago, Worilds put up nearly the same season in 2014 that he did in 2013, and while his numbers weren’t eye-popping, he’s an above-average player at an important position. A deal with a per-year salary in the $7-8MM range appears within reach, and given all the cap-clearing they’ve done recently, the Eagles look like a strong candidate to pursue Worilds to replace Trent Cole and Graham.
Announced his retirement.

15. Torrey Smith, WR (Ravens): Unlike Cobb and Maclin, Smith didn’t put up massive numbers in his walk year. In fact, it was quite the opposite — the wideout’s 49 catches matched a career low, and his 767 receiving yards were also a career-worst mark. Smith’s 11 touchdowns were nice, as is his ability to draw long pass interference penalties down the field, but I don’t anticipate him seeing quite as big an offer as Cobb or Maclin. Something in the $7MM-per-year range would make him a solid, well-paid No. 2 for any team interested in investing. The Raiders, Dolphins, Chiefs, Texans, Browns, Niners, and Panthers are among the clubs expected to be in the market for receiving help, and I could imagine a few of those teams as fits.
Signed with San Francisco 49ers for five years, $40MM. $8.75MM fully guaranteed.

16. Terrance Knighton, DT (Broncos): A cheaper alternative to Suh, Knighton also won’t have the same game-changing impact that Suh will. Still, teams not looking to break the bank on an interior lineman should give a long look to “Pot Roast,” who is an imposing – and consistently effective – presence in the middle, particularly against the run. Knighton is a candidate to follow former Broncos defensive coordinator Jack Del Rio to the Raiders.
Signed with Washington for one year, $4.45MM. $2.95MM fully guaranteed.

17. Rodney Hudson, C (Chiefs): Centers don’t make the same kind of money that left tackles do, but they’re being regarded in recent years as one of the most important players on an offensive line, and I imagine Hudson’s new deal will reflect that — anything less than $6MM per year would be a surprise. The Raiders and Rams are a couple teams with a hole at center and the flexibility to add a solid veteran like Hudson.
Signed with Oakland Raiders for five years, $44.5MM. $12.6MM fully guaranteed.

18. Nick Fairley, DT (Lions): The overlooked man in Detroit, Fairley has taken a back seat to Suh, which isn’t unfair. In retrospect, Detroit’s decision to turn down the defensive lineman’s fifth-year option for 2015 – a decision which was curious at the time – looks even more questionable now, since the team could have had him under control for about $5.5MM. If the Lions lose Suh, I imagine Fairley will become a priority, but the same could be said of other teams who miss out on this year’s free agent prize — the Dolphins, Raiders, Jaguars, Titans, Colts, and others could be in play for Fairley.
Signed with St. Louis Rams for one year, $5MM. $1.5MM fully guaranteed.

19. Brian Orakpo, OLB (Washington): A lost 2014 season, cut short by a pectoral injury, will diminish Orakpo’s value a little, but I expect he’ll still do fine for himself on the open market. A return to Washington remains possible, but the Falcons are said to be interested, and the Jaguars – likely eyeing Orakpo as a potential “Leo” – have also been cited as a suitor. For his part, Orakpo has said he wouldn’t mind playing for a team in his home state of Texas, so there are plenty of potential landing spots.
Signed with Tennessee Titans for four years, $32MM. $8MM fully guaranteed.

20. Derrick Morgan, DE/OLB (Titans): Like Graham, Morgan has excelled as a part-time pass rusher in Tennessee, despite a fairly modest sack total and a perception that he hasn’t lived up to his first-round billing. He’s the sort of player who could see a real uptick in production if he lands in the right situation; it will just be a matter of identifying that right situation. The Falcons and Bengals are a couple teams I think could make some sense for Morgan.
Re-signed with Tennessee Titans for four years, $27MM. $8.5MM fully guaranteed.

21. Kareem Jackson, CB (Texans): As of Friday night, Jackson and the Texans were still engaged in contract discussions in the hopes of getting something done, but if the cornerback makes it to the open market, I wouldn’t be surprised if new Jets GM – and former Texans executive – Mike Maccagnan gets in touch with Jackson’s reps. New York is in need of cornerback help, and Jackson would come cheaper than someone like Maxwell or Darrelle Revis (if he becomes available).
Re-signed with Houston Texans for four years, $34MM. $20MM fully guaranteed.

22. Brandon Flowers, CB (Chargers): After his bounce-back season in San Diego in 2014, re-signing with the Chargers seems like the most logical move for Flowers, but we’ll have to wait and see if he opts for a higher bidder. The veteran corner was another player who inked a one-year, prove-it contract last offseason, and at age 29, this may be his last chance to land a big, long-term deal, so it would be hard to blame him for accepting his biggest offer. With so many clubs expected to be in the market for a cornerback this month, it’s not clear yet where that biggest offer would come from.
Re-signed with San Diego Chargers for four years, $36.4MM. $18MM fully guaranteed.

23. Jared Odrick, DT (Dolphins): Odrick appears to be stuck in the middle of the Dolphins’ pursuit of Suh, with talks between him and the club in a holding pattern until Miami figures out whether or not they can actually land this year’s top free agent. If the Fins miss out on Suh, I’d expect them to turn back to Odrick, an underrated lineman who can occasionally get after the quarterback, despite what his single sack in 2014 may suggest. Odrick’s asking price figures to be in the $6MM per year range.
Signed with Jacksonville Jaguars for five years, $42.5MM. $17MM fully guaranteed.

24. Chris Culliver, CB (49ers): One of two Niners starting cornerbacks eligible for free agency, Culliver is more appealing than Perrish Cox. Culliver is just 26 years old and is coming off a season in which he limited opposing quarterbacks to a completion percentage of 50.7% and a 66.5 passer rating when they threw into his coverage. Like Flowers, Culliver should draw a good deal of interest from teams in need of cornerbacks, a list that includes the Seahawks, Eagles, Jets, Vikings, Saints, Bengals, and Lions. The Bears shouldn’t be overlooked either, considering former 49ers defensive coordinator Vic Fangio is now running the D in Chicago.
Signed with Washington for four years, $32MM. $16MM fully guaranteed.

25. Orlando Franklin, G (Broncos): Franklin may not inspire the type of bidding war that Iupati could, but teams in need of interior line help could certainly do a lot worse. In 2014, Pro Football Focus ranked Franklin as the league’s fourth-best left guard, grading him positively as both a pass and run blocker. Throw in the fact that he’s only 27 years old, and Franklin looks poised to at least match the five-year, $30MM deal signed by his former teammate Zane Beadles last winter.
Signed with San Diego Chargers for five years, $36.5MM. $15.5MM fully guaranteed.

26. C.J. Spiller, RB (Bills): Spiller reportedly turned down an offer from the Bills worth $4.5MM annually, and it’s fair to think he could find something in that neighborhood on the open market. Of course, it won’t be in Buffalo, where LeSean McCoy is set to join the Bills, but could it be in Philadelphia? Spiller certainly seems interested in replacing McCoy and signing with the Eagles. The Jets, Patriots, Lions, Dolphins, Cardinals, and 49ers are a few more potential fits.
Signed with New Orleans Saints for four years, $16MM. $5.75MM fully guaranteed.

27. Jordan Cameron, TE (Browns): With Charles Clay having received the transition tags, teams who miss out on Julius Thomas may be more inclined to negotiate with Cameron, rather than waiting for the Dolphins to potentially match an offer sheet for Clay. That’s good news for the Browns tight end, who is only a year removed from an 80-catch season. Cameron enjoyed that success under offensive coordinator Norv Turner, and while joining the Vikings probably isn’t a realistic option, given the presence of Kyle Rudolph, perhaps Cameron would be interested in following 2014’s offensive coordinator, Kyle Shanahan, to Atlanta, where the Falcons are in need of a tight end.
Signed with Miami Dolphins for two years, $15MM. $5MM fully guaranteed.

28. Rahim Moore, S (Broncos): As perhaps the second-best option behind McCourty in what is shaping up to be a somewhat weak safety market, Moore should do well for himself on the open market next week. Having just turned 25, Moore is coming off the first season in which he started all 16 games, and he handled the role well, with 51 tackles and four interceptions. Washington, the Giants, and the Colts are among the teams that need to add a safety, and I have to imagine that Moore’s old defensive coordinator Jack Del Rio will give him a long look on behalf of the Raiders.
Signed with Houston Texans for three years, $12MM. $4MM fully guaranteed.

29. Michael Crabtree, WR (49ers): Crabtree is now two years removed from the best year of his career, when he posted 85 catches, 1,105 yards, and nine touchdowns in the regular season before adding another 20 receptions, 285 yards, and 3 TDs in the playoffs. Teams in need of a wideout will weigh Crabtree’s 2012 success against his up-and-down performance in 2014 when deciding what sort of player they’d be getting. A team like the Chiefs or Raiders certainly shouldn’t sign Crabtree counting on him to be their No. 1 receiver, but he’d be a great fit in a place like New England or even Indianapolis, where he’d be the second option for a Pro Bowl quarterback.
Signed with Oakland Raiders for one year, $3.2MM. $1.3MM fully guaranteed.

30. Mark Ingram, RB (Saints): Inconsistency and health problems plagued Ingram’s first three years with the Saints, and 2014 wasn’t a totally healthy season either, but it was certainly an impressive one. In 13 games, the 25-year-old racked up 964 rushing yards and nine touchdowns, taking advantage of finally getting the opportunity to be New Orleans’ feature back. On the strength of that performance, his age, and his light career workload (582 carries in four NFL seasons), Ingram may challenge Spiller as the second-most coveted back in this year’s class. I could imagine the Lions being a nice fit for Ingram, where he could get 60% of the team’s carries with Joique Bell acting as the change-of-pace back.
Re-signed with New Orleans Saints for four years, $16MM. $6.1MM fully guaranteed.

31. Antonio Cromartie, CB (Cardinals): Cromartie has made no secret of the fact that he’d like to sign with the Jets this winter — his Cardinals teammate Patrick Peterson even complained that all Cromartie talked about was “freaking New York.” While Cromartie returning to the Big Apple isn’t a fait accompli quite yet, I expect there to be plenty of mutual interest if the Jets don’t get a chance to land Darrelle Revis.
Signed with New York Jets for four years, $32MM. $7MM fully guaranteed.

32. Jabaal Sheard, DE/OLB (Browns): Sheard has seen his sack count decrease in each of his NFL seasons, from 8.5 in 2011 to just 2.0 in 2014. The Browns also took him out of the starting lineup this past season, reducing his snap count to 690. However, Sheard played very well in the new role — out of all the league’s 3-4 outside linebackers, only Terrell Suggs had a better grade against the run, per PFF. Sheard would be a nice fit for a team that employs a part-time player that could spell him in passing situations — pairing him with a veteran free agent like Dwight Freeney could make some sense.
Signed with New England Patriots for two years, $11MM. $5MM fully guaranteed.

33. Dan Williams, DT (Cardinals): Another potential target for teams that miss out on Suh, Williams could likely fit into a 4-3 scheme or act as the nose tackle for a 3-4 team, as he did in Arizona. A former first-rounder, Williams is still just 27 years old and ranked among PFF’s top 10 defensive tackles against the run in 2014. A deal in the neighborhood of $5-6MM per year for him seems about right to me.
Signed with Oakland Raiders for four years, $25MM. $15.2MM guaranteed.

34. Davon House, CB (Packers): House was behind Sam Shields, Tramon Williams, and even Casey Hayward on the Packers’ cornerback depth chart in 2014, so his placement on this list is more a reflection of his potential rather than his upside than anything else. Quarterbacks only completed 46.8% of their passes into House’s coverage last season, per PFF, which placed him fourth among qualified cornerbacks, and he’s still only 25 years old. A team that misses out on one of the top-tier cornerbacks in this market may find a bargain with House, who should have the opportunity to move into a starting role if he joins a new team.
Signed with Jacksonville Jaguars for four years, $24.5MM. $10MM fully guaranteed.

35. Rolando McClain, ILB (Cowboys): With David Harris off the market, no free agent inside linebacker is coming off a stronger 2014 campaign than McClain, who revitalized his career in Dallas. McClain held his own against the run and in pass coverage, and even pressured the quarterback 15 times, while racking up 87 tackles and a pair of interceptions in his 13 regular season contests. Re-signing with the Cowboys may make the most sense for McClain, given how great a fit it was, and considering that other suitors may be wary of his off-field question marks. But I expect Dallas won’t be the only team in the running for his services. Miami, Chicago, Minnesota, and New Orleans are a few possible landing spots that might make sense.
Re-signed with Dallas Cowboys for one year, $3MM. $500K fully guaranteed.

36. Joe Barksdale, T (Rams): Barksdale isn’t a star, but in a market that lacks many steady, reliable tackles, he should sign a deal similar to the $6MM-per-year pacts signed by Austin Howard and Anthony Collins a year ago. Possible suitors for the right tackle include the Jaguars, Giants, Vikings, Titans, and Buccaneers.
Agreed to terms with San Diego Chargers for one year, $1.095MM. $350K fully guaranteed.

37. Frank Gore, RB (49ers): A running back entering his age-32 season probably shouldn’t be this high up on the list, but Gore has shown no signs of slowing down after entering his thirties. The longtime Niner has surpassed 1,100 rushing yards for four consecutive seasons, and still averaged a solid 4.3 yards per carry in 2014. He’d be a nice stop-gap option for a team that hasn’t had consistent running back play in recent years, such as the Colts.
Signed with Indianapolis Colts for three years, $12MM. $6.5MM fully guaranteed.

38. Tramon Williams, CB (Packers): Last seen giving up the overtime touchdown to Jermaine Kearse that sent the Seahawks to the Super Bowl, Williams shouldn’t be remember for that play, but teams also shouldn’t go overboard bidding for a cornerback who – like Gore – will turn 32 before Week 1. A recent report indicated that the Packers were willing to bring Williams back for a two-year deal worth $8MM, while the veteran will be seeking a three- or four-year contract worth $5MM+ annually. I could definitely see Williams signing for at least three years and $15MM, and the Seahawks, mentioned in that report as a suitor, would be a logical fit, though hardly the only, fit.
Signed with Cleveland Browns for three years, $21MM. $10MM fully guaranteed.

39. Stefen Wisniewski, C (Raiders): A solid but unspectacular interior lineman, Wisniewski should do well in this market for his ability to provide stability in the middle for a team that has lacked it in the last year or two. A multiyear deal averaging $5MM+ per year appears likely, and it wouldn’t surprise me if Wisniewski received that sort of offer from the Cardinals. Arizona has been mentioned as a potential player for the Raiders center, and they poached a lineman from Oakland a year ago, in Jared Veldheer.
Signed with Jacksonville Jaguars for one year, $2.5MM. $500K fully guaranteed.

40. Trent Cole, DE/OLB: Cole’s best years are probably behind him. After he posted six consecutive seasons with eight or more sacks from 2006 to 2011, Cole’s production has fallen off in recent years — he has just 17.5 sacks since 2012. Still, the 32-year-old was a top-20 3-4 outside linebacker in 2014, per PFF’s data, and despite a modest sack total, he accumulated 47 total quarterback pressures. He won’t land the kind of big-money, long-term contract that a younger player like Hughes or McPhee will, but a team in need of a veteran pass rusher could do much worse. While Cole is considered a better fit as a 4-3 defensive end, making him a target for a club like the Buccaneers or Seahawks, 3-4 teams like the 49ers, Colts, and Browns have also been linked to him, so his market is wide open.
Signed with Indianapolis Colts for two years, $14MM. $7.75MM fully guaranteed.

41. Buster Skrine, CB (Browns): When the Browns drafted Justin Gilbert with the eighth overall pick, the rookie was expected to join Joe Haden in the starting lineup, relegating Skrine to the bench. The veteran held onto his starting job though, and only one other cornerback in the NFL played more snaps than Skrine’s 1,152 (Cary Williams, with 1,198). With teams avoiding Haden, Skrine also saw the second-most targets in the NFL (123), and held QBs to a 56.9% completion percentage. Cleveland is still hopeful that Gilbert is the long-term answer opposite from Haden, so I expect we’ll see Skrine sign elsewhere, and he could be a nice under-the-radar pickup for a team in need of a cover man.
Signed with New York Jets for four years, $25MM. $13MM fully guaranteed.

42. Ryan Mathews, RB (Chargers): Considered an injury-prone player for the first three seasons of his career, Mathews finally stayed healthy and put it all together in 2013, rushing for a career-high 1,255 yards. He was unable to keep that run of good health going in 2014 though, playing just eight games and heading into free agency with plenty of question marks. When he’s healthy, the former 12th overall pick can be one of the better backs in the league, but uncertainty about whether he’s capable of playing 16 games again will likely limit his market. It wouldn’t be a big surprise to see Mathews return to San Diego.
Signed with Philadelphia Eagles for three years, $11MM. $5MM fully guaranteed.

43. Sean Weatherspoon, LB (Falcons): Speaking of injuries, no free agent on this top 50 has played fewer games over the last two seasons than Weatherspoon, who appeared in seven contests in 2013 while battling foot and knee issues, and none in 2014, due to a ruptured Achilles. While he may not be the most reliable player here when it comes to health, Weatherspoon is still just 27 years old, and averaged 110 tackles per season in 2011 and 2012. Atlanta will likely make an effort to bring him back, and the Cardinals may pounce if he reaches the open market.
Signed with Arizona Cardinals for one year, $3.85MM. $1.25MM fully guaranteed.

44. Stephen Paea, DT (Bears): An underrated presence in the middle of the Bears’ defensive line, Paea is a nice target for teams hoping to generate some pressure on the quarterback from the defensive tackle spot. Only Suh and Kyle Williams had more quarterback pressures from the DT position in 2014 than Paea’s 47, according to PFF. The 26-year-old may have to be paired with a solid run defender, but a multiyear contract averaging at least $5-6MM annually looks like a good bet for Paea.
Signed with Washington for four years, $21MM. $7.85MM fully guaranteed.

45. Clint Boling, G (Bengals): Another solid interior lineman who won’t inspire much excitement among the fans of the team who lands him, Boling should nonetheless be a solid addition for his new club — or his old club, if the Bengals manage to keep him in the fold. Ranked as the NFL’s eighth-best left guard in 2014 by PFF, Boling might look good wearing purple and gold in Minnesota for old Bengals DC Mike Zimmer.
Re-signed with Cincinnati Bengals for five years, $26MM. $5MM fully guaranteed.

46. Antrel Rolle, S (Giants): With the Giants potentially aiming big at safety, as they look to land an impact player like McCourty, Rolle may find himself looking for work elsewhere, and there should be no shortage of suitors for the former first-round pick, even at age 32. Rolle saw his Pro Football Focus grade fall off a cliff in 2014 due to a poor performance against the run, but is only a year removed from being a top-10 player at the position. The Colts had success bringing in a veteran safety last year, when they signed Mike Adams, and could be a good fit for Rolle.
Signed with Chicago Bears for three years, $11.25MM. $4.9MM guaranteed.

47. Mason Foster, ILB (Buccaneers): Foster’s stock received a bit of a bump when David Harris and Rey Maualuga both re-signed with their current teams within the last few days, reducing the amount of viable inside linebacker starters on the market. The Dolphins have been cited multiple times recently as a potential suitor for Foster, and I’d expect the team to target him as a middle linebacker with Harris no longer on the table.
Signed with Chicago Bears for one year, minimum salary. $80K guaranteed.

48. Da’Norris Searcy, S (Bills): Typically, I’d expect the Bills to make an effort to sign a young safety like Searcy, who has developed into a solid starter and wouldn’t necessarily break the bank like Jairus Byrd did a year ago. But Buffalo, having locked up Aaron Williams last year, seems unwilling to spend on multiple safeties, and Rex Ryan usually targets inexpensive, under-the-radar players at the position. That opens the door for Searcy to land with a new club, and I think he could end up being one of the better signings of the offseason, assuming his annual price tag doesn’t exceed $5MM or so. The former fourth-round pick has displayed some big-play ability on defense, grabbing three interceptions in 2014 and scoring two return touchdowns in 2013.
Signed with Tennessee Titans for four years, $23.75MM. $7MM fully guaranteed.

49. Henry Melton, DT (Cowboys): The Cowboys weren’t willing to commit to Melton for three years and $24MM, and turned down their option on the defensive tackle, which is reasonable. As good as Melton is when he’s on the field, he has had health issues, and was only a part-time player in 2014. Still, another year removed from the ACL injury that wiped out his 2013 campaign, Melton could return to being an impact player in 2015, and shouldn’t be overlooked by teams that miss out on Suh or Knighton.
Signed with Tampa Bay Buccaneers for one year, $3.75MM. $3.25MM fully guaranteed.

50. Shane Vereen, RB (Patriots): After suggesting that Vereen would be aiming for a $5MM annual salary, Jeff Howe of the Boston Herald said this week that the running back’s asking price was down to about $3.5MM per year, which seems about right to me. He’s not a workhorse-type back, but Vereen is a weapon that can be used in a lot of different ways. Pairing him with a back who is capable of toting most of those first- and second-down carries could result in a nice combination for whichever team signs him.
Signed with New York Giants for three years, $12.35MM. $4.75MM fully guaranteed.

Honorable mention:

Offseason Outlook: Seattle Seahawks

Pending free agents:

Top 10 2015 cap hits:

  1. Richard Sherman, CB: $12,200,000
  2. Marshawn Lynch, RB: $8,500,000
  3. Michael Bennett, DE: $8,000,000
  4. Cliff Avril, DE: $8,000,000
  5. Earl Thomas, S: $7,400,000
  6. Russell Okung, T: $7,280,000
  7. Brandon Mebane, DT: $5,700,000
  8. Kam Chancellor, S: $5,650,000
  9. Max Unger, C: $5,600,000
  10. K.J. Wright, LB: $4,750,000

Notable coaching changes:

Draft:

  • No. 31 overall pick
  • Conditionally acquired fourth-round pick from Jets in deal for Percy Harvin; pick becomes a sixth-rounder if Harvin is cut by March 19.
  • Owe sixth-round pick to Colts in deal for Marcus Burley.

Other:

Overview:

Despite a heartbreaking conclusion, the 2014 season was another enormous success for the Seahawks. After a so-so start, USATSI_8381310_168380616_lowresthe reigning Super Bowl champions closed the regular season with six victories in a row, finished 12-4 and earned a second consecutive NFC West crown. The team went on to pull off a miraculous rally against the Packers in the NFC championship game, overcoming a 12-point fourth-quarter deficit before winning dramatically in overtime and clinching a second straight conference title.

Unfortunately for Seattle, as exhilarating as its triumph over Green Bay was, its Super Bowl XLIX loss to the Patriots was at least as deflating. The Seahawks, just 26 seconds and a single yard from another Lombardi Trophy, looked like shoo-ins to repeat as champs. However, a questionable second-down play call and shoddy execution combined for their undoing when the Pats’ Malcolm Butler intercepted quarterback Russell Wilson at the goal line to seal a 28-24 victory for New England.

How well the Seahawks will bounce back from such a shattering defeat won’t be found out until next season, of course. In the meantime, general manager John Schneider will use the offseason to lock up key talent for the foreseeable future and supplement an already formidable roster. Although Schneider’s squad won’t require much help, it does have some areas that could use his attention.

Key Free Agents:

When the free agent market opens March 10, the likelihood is that the Seahawks will lose starting cornerback Byron Maxwell. In fact, a source told Bob McGinn of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel that Seattle has “little or no chance” to retain the 27-year-old. Maxwell, a four-year veteran, began garnering extensive playing time in 2013 and has intercepted six passes since. Pro Football Focus (subscription required) ranked him 45th among 108 qualifying corners last season and an impressive 16th out of 110 the year prior. Now it appears he’ll parlay his success with the Seahawks into a sizable payday from another franchise.

None of Seattle’s other pending defensive free agents make the impact Maxwell does, but the group has some useful role players in linebacker Malcolm Smith, end O’Brien Schofield and tackle Kevin Williams. The Seattle Times’ Bob Condotta wrote earlier this week that Smith, the Super Bowl XLVIII MVP, will “probably get better offers elsewhere.” Thanks to injuries and the players in front of him on the depth chart, Smith didn’t leave much of a mark last season. The two linemen, Schofield and Williams, were both valuable depth for Seattle in 2014. Schofield has previously spoken of a desire for more money and could be “tough” to keep, per Condotta, while the Seahawks would be interested in getting the soon-to-be 35-year-old Williams back on a second straight cheap, one-year contract.

The most significant offensive UFA the Seahawks have is left guard James Carpenter, who has started 39 games since they used a first-round pick on him in 2011. The injury-prone Carpenter set a career high with 13 starts last season, but Pro Football Focus (subscription required) wasn’t enamored with his play: The site rated him 47th out of 78 qualifying guards, which came on the heels of an even worse ranking the year prior (65th out of 81). Nevertheless, ESPN’s John Clayton told 710 ESPN Seattle radio last month that the team would take Carpenter back on a deal worth $3MM or less annually. Carpenter is seeking yearly value in the $4MM range, however, according to Clayton.

Like Carpenter, wide receiver Jermaine Kearse is also unsigned. However, the 25-year-old is a restricted free agent and received a tender offer from the team today. Given his team-controlled status, Kearse is a safe bet to return to receiver-needy Seattle, for which the three-year veteran finished second in both catches (38) and yards (537) last season.

Positions Of Need:

With Maxwell’s time in a Seahawks uniform expiring, they’re about to find themselves in need of a starting cornerback to pair with Richard Sherman and help maintain their top-ranked pass defense for a third year in a row. The Seahawks are prepared for Maxwell’s departure and have already begun turning their attention toward keeping the position strong. On Thursday, they visited with Cary Williams – whom the Eagles released earlier this week in a cost-cutting move. The 30-year-old hasn’t missed a game since 2010 and has tallied nine interceptions over the last three years. Moreover, Pro Football Focus (subscription required) liked Williams nearly as much as Maxwell last season, ranking the two four spots apart (Williams 49th, Maxwell 45th). Williams has visits with other teams scheduled and there’s no timetable on when he’ll sign.

Seattle also has its eyes on another corner named Williams – the Packers’ Tramon Williams – McGinn wrote Wednesday. As a pending free agent, Williams won’t be allowed to start negotiating with teams until Saturday. The eight-year veteran has spent his entire career in Green Bay, where Schneider worked as a front office assistant when Williams entered the NFL. According to McGinn, Schneider “views him as an ideal fit for coach Pete Carroll’s aggressive Cover 3 coverage scheme.” Multiple NFC personnel executives informed McGinn that Williams should net anywhere from $4MM to $6MM per annum on the open market. The 31-year-old has proven himself a durable playmaker, missing a mere one game out of a possible 128 and totaling a prolific 28 interceptions.

Offensively, the Seahawks’ receiver situation is mediocre at best. With the Percy Harvin experiment having failed, the Seahawks continue to be in need of game-breaking talent at the position. At the very least, they have to find another starting-caliber player to complement Doug Baldwin, who hauled in 66 passes for 825 yards last year.

While the odds of the Seahawks splurging on the Packers’ Randall Cobb, the Eagles’ Jeremy Maclin or the Ravens’ Torrey Smith are low, there are some satisfactory receivers available who are expected to sign more modest contracts. Among several candidates are the 49ers’ Michael Crabtree (if the front office is willing to overlook the differences between him and Sherman) and the Chargers’ Eddie Royal. Though neither is a world-beater – and the same is applicable to fellow free agents like Kenny Britt and Hakeem Nicks – adding one would give Wilson a third decent receiver to team with Baldwin and Kearse.

Seattle could otherwise turn to the draft, where it has the 31st overall pick. In his latest mock draft, Daniel Jeremiah of NFL.com has the Seahawks taking Dorial Green-Beckham, formerly of Missouri, with their first-round selection. Green-Beckham offers an enticing blend of size (6-foot-5, 237 pounds) and 4.49 speed, but has dealt with numerous off-field issues.

Bettering their offensive line should also be on the Seahawks’ to-do list this offseason, especially with Carpenter’s possible exit. Football Outsiders graded Seattle’s O-line as the fourth best in the league last year at run blocking, though it struggled in pass protection – evidenced by a 24th-ranked adjusted sack rate. Although the Seahawks have two outstanding linemen in left tackle Russell Okung and center Max Unger, they’ve combined to miss 23 regular-season games during the previous two years. Further, Okung hasn’t played a 16-game season since the Seahawks drafted him in 2010. Right guard J.R. Sweezy and right tackle Justin Britt aren’t nearly as good as Okung or Unger, but they’re cheap and they’ve been able to stay on the field. Therefore, they’re likely to retain their starting jobs.

The one open spot is seemingly at left guard, where the Seahawks are going to have trouble making considerable strides if they aren’t willing to throw money at the 49ers’ Mike Iupati, the Broncos’ Orlando Franklin or the Bengals’ Clint Boling. Like some of the aforementioned receivers, the three top left guards on the market are going to cost a lot – perhaps too much for a team that will soon have crucial contract decisions to make on in-house talent.

Ultimately, should Carpenter walk and the big-time free agents price themselves out of the Seahawks’ range, they could simply plug in backup Alvin Bailey as a starter. That would enable them to focus on bolstering their O-line depth with lesser signings and adding potential future starters by way of the draft.

Possible Cap Casualties:

Entering the offseason, many viewed tight end Zach Miller as someone whose roster spot with the Seahawks was in jeopardy. The eight-year veteran missed 13 games last season with an ankle injury and sophomore Luke Wilson showed promise in his place. Unsurprisingly, the Seahawks elected Friday to release Miller, ESPN’s Field Yates tweeted, and save $2.39MM on their 2015 cap.

Moving to the defensive line, Seattle has an expensive tackle, Brandon Mebane, who missed most of last season with a torn hamstring. Releasing him would save the Seahawks $5.5MM. It’s improbable to think the team will part with Mebane because he’s a quality player and, as Condotta wrote earlier this week, a respected figure in the locker room. With that said, Schneider could always decide there’s a more alluring way to spend $5.5MM.

Extension Candidates/Contract Issues:

The status of five-time Pro Bowl running back Marshawn Lynch was up in the air as recently as Friday, when he agreed to a new deal with the Seahawks that shouldn’t affect his 2015 cap number. With Lynch’s situation taken care of, at least briefly, the Seahawks can begin to focus on some of their other players with uncertain futures.

During their three-year run as a premier team, one of the major luxuries the Seahawks have had is top-notch quarterback play for a relative pittance. Wilson has played the first three years of his career on his rookie deal – and he was only a third-rounder, remember – while throwing 72 touchdowns against 26 interceptions and helping lead Seattle to a 36-12 regular-season record, two NFC championships and a Super Bowl title. Wilson’s stellar play at a minimal price has allowed Schneider to stack the team around his QB with high-cost players. Those days are nearing an end, however, to at least an extent.

Wilson’s contract runs through next season. Between now and this time next year, the Seahawks are going to have to pay him a substantial amount of money. Ian Rapoport of NFL.com reported in January that Wilson’s next deal would make him the highest-paid QB in the league, surpassing the five-year, $110MM pact Aaron Rodgers inked with Green Bay in 2013. Schneider said last month that the Seahawks would use an “outside-the-box” approach with Wilson’s contract, according to NFL.com’s Chris Wesseling, implying they’ll find a way to generously compensate the 26-year-old without damaging the rest of the roster.

Okung is also a year from free agency. Despite his injury issues (he has missed 21 of 80 regular-season games), Okung will be in for a hefty payday. It’ll be his second one – the ex-Oklahoma State standout signed a $48MM deal with $29MM in guarantees when he entered the league – and CBS Sports’ Joel Corry, a former agent, opined that Okung “probably won’t be interested in a new contract” worth less than his rookie deal. A raise might be out of range for the Seahawks, considering their other upcoming contractual priorities.

The centerpiece players scheduled for free agency in 2016 don’t stop on offense, unfortunately for Seattle. Bobby Wagner, who has been one of the league’s foremost defenders during his first three seasons, is a year from hitting the open market. Pro Football Focus (subscription required) has ranked Wagner as the second-, 12th-and fifth-best 3-4 inside linebacker during his first three years. In 2014, he made 100-plus tackles in only 11 games and was rewarded with his first Pro Bowl invitation and First-Team All-Pro status. Wagner will be just 25 if he becomes a free agent next March and, between now and then, could approach or pass the Texans’ Brian Cushing as the league’s richest 3-4 ILB in terms of total value. Cushing signed for $52.5MM in 2013.

The Seahawks will also have to make a decision soon on pass-rushing linebacker Bruce Irvin, who has amassed 16.5 sacks in his three-year career. The team has until May to choose whether to pick up Irvin’s fifth-year option for 2016. That option is the value of the highest-paid 25 players at his position, excluding the top three players. The exact sum isn’t yet known, but it will be appreciably more than the $2.90MM Irvin is set to rake in next season.

Overall Outlook:

Regardless of its Super Bowl gaffe, Seattle is a battle-tested, uber-talented club led by an excellent coaching staff. Most of that talent and the majority of the coaches will return next season. Thus, with a productive offseason, the redemption-driven Seahawks should find themselves back in the championship hunt in 2015. Things will get trickier thereafter, though – as salaries for integral players markedly increase, Schneider’s mission to field an elite team will become more taxing.

Information from Over The Cap was used in the creation of this post. Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.