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PFR Originals: 8/31/14 – 9/7/14

By | at September 7, 2014 2:13 pm

The original content produced by the PFR staff during the past week:

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2014 Pro Football Rumors Writer Predictions

By | at September 4, 2014 6:25 pm

The 2014 NFL season gets underway in about one hour, and the writers at Pro Football Rumors have weighed in with projections for the upcoming year. We’ve predicted which teams will earn playoff berths, the participants in the each conference’s Championship game and the Super Bowl, and the winners of the league’s major awards. The Saints and Drew Brees are favorite picks of PFR this year — seven of us have New Orleans reaching at least the NFC title game, while four writers see Brees earning MVP honors.

Click on the link below to see forecasts from Luke Adams, Rob DiRe, Matt Feminis, David Kipke, Ben Levine, Zach Links, Rory Parks, and Dallas Robinson. And feel free to add your 2014 NFL prognostications in the comments section!

2014 Pro Football Rumors Writer Predictions

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IR Players With Designation To Return

By | at September 3, 2014 1:12 pm

As of 3:00pm central time on Tuesday, NFL teams could begin adding players to injured reserve lists with the designation to return. Unlike the usual IR list, which keeps a player inactive all season or until he reaches an injury settlement with his team, this shorter-term IR list allows a player to begin practicing after six weeks and to begin playing in games after eight weeks.

Of course, whereas the standard injured reserve list can accommodate several players at once, NFL teams can only use the designation to return on one player, so teams must be cautious about how to fire that single bullet. So far, a handful of clubs have taken advantage of the opportunity to use the IR-DTR spot, so we’ll list all those players right here. If other clubs decide to use their openings at any point, we’ll note that below as well.

Here’s the full list so far:

AFC East:

  • Buffalo Bills: Used on C.J. Spiller, RB (collarbone) after Week 7
  • Miami Dolphins: Unused
  • New England Patriots: Used on Sealver Siliga, DL (foot) after Week 3
  • New York Jets: Unused

AFC North:

AFC South:

  • Houston Texans: Unused
  • Indianapolis Colts: Used on Xavier Nixon, T (knee)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars: Used on Marcedes Lewis, TE (ankle) after Week 2
  • Tennessee Titans: Unused

AFC West:

NFC East:

NFC North:

NFC South:

NFC West:

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Largest 2014 Cap Hits By Position Group: Defense

By | at September 1, 2014 9:41 pm

Earlier this offseason, our Luke Adams examined the largest 2014 cap hits by position on both offense and defense, scrutinizing the most expensive individual cap charges for next year. The list that follows, while along the same lines, tabulates the largest cap hits by position group. Some overlap in the lists is unavoidable — if a single player has an exorbitant cap charge, it will inevitably raise the team’s cap hit for his position as a whole. After taking a look at positional group spending on offense a few weeks ago, we’ll examine defensive cap figures here.

Looking at both the offensive and defensive lists, 14 of 32 NFL teams appear on neither ranking — each of those franchises can somewhat be placed into one of three buckets. The Bears, Bengals, Broncos, Cardinals, Falcons, Patriots, and Ravens are contending teams whose cap management techniques have been lauded. The Bills, Buccaneers, Jets, Raiders, and Texans are rebuilding squads who aren’t looking to break the bank on one player.

The two clubs that remain, the Colts and Saints, are harder to classify. Each is successful team, to be sure. However, many of Indianapolis’ free agent additions have been criticized, while New Orleans’ cap management approach has been widely denounced. What these lists show, though, is that neither club has overly-invested at any one position. Yes, the Colts have benefited from Andrew Luck‘s rookie contract, and the Saints’ methods might prove unworkable. But perhaps each team is more interested in spreading the wealth and maintaining depth than it seems.

Defensive line:

  1. Panthers, $37.716MM
  2. Lions, $37.403MM
  3. Rams, $35.462MM

Even with starting tackle Star Lotulelei playing on a rookie contract, Carolina still tops this list thanks to Charles Johnson and Greg Hardy‘s combined 2014 cap hit of nearly $30MM. The Panthers have spent their money wisely, though, as the team ranked second in adjusted sack rate and ninth against the run, per Football Outsiders. Ndamukong Suh‘s league-leading cap figure of $22.413MM pushes Detroit to second place. The Rams could top this list sooner than later, as Richard Quinn, Michael Brockers, and Aaron Donald are all under rookie deals for the time being.

Linebacker:

  1. Packers, $29.346MM
  2. Steelers, $28.59MM
  3. Chiefs, $24.785MM

Scheme differentiation plays a part in the linebacker rankings — simply due to the value placed on pass-rushing LBs, teams that employ 3-4 fronts will shoot to the top of this list. In fact, of the 10 teams that spend the most on linebackers, eight use a 3-4 look as their primary defense. Packers Clay Matthews, A.J. Hawk, Brad Jones, and Julius Peppers all have 2014 cap hit north of $3.5MM. The Steelers are something of an outlier, as their top defensive cap charge is that of Lawrence Timmons, an inside linebacker — his $11.816M cap number is No. 1 among all LBs. Outside rusher Jason Worilds is second among Pittsburgh defenders, as he is playing under the $9.754MM franchise-tag figure. The Chiefs, another 3-4 team, are paying big money to Tamba Hali (second-highest cap number among LBs), and could rise on this list if they extend Justin Houston, who currently counts just under $1.6MM against the cap.

Cornerback:

  1. Cowboys, $22.048MM
  2. Packers, $19.704MM
  3. Browns, $18.473MM

At corner, we come to the first real oddity among positional spending: Despite counting $2MM+ more against the cap than any corner unit in 2014, the Cowboys CBs are anything but impressive — they finished 27th in DVOA against the pass last season, per FO. Brandon Carr and his $12.217 cap figure (first among corners) was highly ineffective in 2013, grading as just the 58th-best CB in the league, per Pro Football Focus (subscription required). Green Bay has a reputation for penny-pinching, but that really only applies to free agency — as their rank here and on the LB list shows, they’re willing to invest in their own players. Joe Haden‘s cap charge of $12.129MM is second only to Joe Thomas among Browns; first-rounder Justin Gilbert will count just $2.333MM against Cleveland’s 2014 cap.

Safety:

  1. Seahawks, $16.089MM
  2. Chiefs, $14.385MM
  3. Titans, $14.008MM

The Seahawks are led by perhaps the best safety in the league, Earl Thomas, who will count $7.373MM against the cap next year. His backfield mate, Kam Chancellor, has a $5.835MM cap number. Tampa Bay (Dashon Goldson, Mark Barron) is the only other team that has two safeties within its top-10 2014 cap hits. Eric Berry, a benefactor of the old CBA, has the Chiefs’ highest cap charge, barely edging out Hali. The Titans have something of a three-headed monster at S, with Michael Griffin, Bernard Pollard, and George Wilson each seeing snaps in the backfield. Tennessee seems to have invested well, as each member of the triumvirate ranked within the top 25% of safeties last season, per PFF. Griffin has the highest 2014 cap figure at $8MM.

Contract information from Over the Cap was used in the creation of this post.

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2014 NFL Practice Squads

By | at September 1, 2014 4:55 pm

In addition to the 46 players active for regular season games and the seven additional roster players made inactive on game days, NFL teams are permitted to construct 10-man practice squads. The players on the squad work out and practice with the players on the active roster, but aren’t eligible to participate in games.

For the 2014 and 2015 seasons, changes were made to practice squad rules that allow teams to carry eight players instead of 10, and the eligibility requirements for those extra two spots were also loosened. You can check out our glossary entry on practice squads to brush up on those changes, as well as all the other guidelines that govern the 10-man units.

Listed below are the current practice squad rosters for each NFL team. We’ll keep this list up to date throughout the year as players are shuttled on and off of these squads, so be sure to use the link in the sidebar on the right, under “PFR Features,” to keep tabs on the latest.

If you have any corrections, please contact us. Here are 2014′s NFL practice squads:

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PFR Originals: 8/17/14 – 8/24/14

By | at August 24, 2014 10:20 pm

The original content produced by the PFR staff during the past week:

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Largest 2014 Cap Hits By Position Group: Offense

By | at August 22, 2014 7:30 pm

Earlier this offseason, our Luke Adams examined the largest 2014 cap hits by position on offense, scrutinizing the most expensive individual cap charges for next year. The list that follows, while along the same lines, tabulates the largest cap hits by position group. Some overlap in the lists is unavoidable — if a single player has an exorbitant cap charge, it will inevitably raise the team’s cap hit for his position as a whole.

Still, it’s important to look at how teams invest at certain positions, and how much value they place on supplementing highly-paid star players with competent depth. For example, Andre Johnson has the second-highest 2014 cap hit among wide receivers, but the Texans are nowhere to be found in the top three highest-spenders for the receiver position as a whole. In fact, Houston ranks just 15th in terms of receiver spending, which gives some indication that the team has failed to find suitable talent with which to surround Johnson.

One final interesting note: of the four 2014 Championship game qualifiers (Broncos, Patriots, Seahawks, 49ers), only one shows up on any of the following lists (49ers, tight end). This is notable because it speaks to the importance of spreading the wealth — not placing too high a value on any one position and equally distributing cap space to each part of the team. Without behemoth contracts that push cap limits, clubs are able to build depth in all areas, an approach that has shown to be largely successful.

Quarterback:

  1. Steelers, $21.753MM
  2. Giants, $21.643MM
  3. Rams, $20.37MM

Ben Roethlisberger‘s cap hit of $18.895 obviously helps propel Pittsburgh to the top of this list, but backup Bruce Gradkowski is no slouch — his $1.65MM cap charge is second among No. 2 signal-callers. The Giants’ Eli Manning ($20.4MM) has the second-largest cap hit in the NFL, trailing just Ndamukong Suh. The Rams are the outlier here, as Sam Bradford‘s exorbitant contract is a result of him being the final No. 1 overall draft selection under the previous contractual bargaining agreement.

Running back:

  1. Vikings, $19.074MM
  2. Eagles, $17.668MM
  3. Panthers, $16.026MM

Adrian Peterson is in a class of his own among running backs — his contract counts over $14MM against the cap. Arguably the second-best RB in the league, LeSean McCoy ($9.7MM), buoys Philadelphia to the second-place ranking, although the rest of the Eagles’ running backs are also well compensated — Darren Sproles and James Casey combine for a $5.985MM cap hit. Just as at quarterback, the No. 3 slot on the RB list is an aberration, as the deals Carolina handed out to DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart now appear regrettable.

Wide receiver:

  1. Dolphins, $32.082MM
  2. Redskins, $23.194MM
  3. Lions, $23.002MM

Mike Wallace‘s five-year, $60MM deal with Miami includes a massive 2014 cap hit of $17.25MM, while No. 2 wideout Brian Hartline carries a cap charge of over $6MM. Washington also has two highly-paid WRs, as DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon count nearly $14MM combined against the cap. Despite Calvin Johnson‘s mammoth contract, his 2014 cap hit is only fourth-highest among wideouts, behind Wallace, Johnson, and Percy Harvin.

Tight end:

  1. Chargers, $12.062MM
  2. Jaguars, $11.959MM
  3. 49ers, $11.502MM

San Diego and San Francisco each have established tight ends backed up by promising young pass-catchers. Antonio Gates will count $7.663MM against the Chargers’ cap, while No. 2 TE Ladarius Green accounts for just $683K — third tight end John Phillips, however, carries a cap charge of $1.842MM. Vernon Davis has the second-highset cap hit on the 49ers at $7.343MM, while second-year player Vance McDonald will count only $818K against San Francisco’s cap. Marcedes Lewis, while an adept pass-blocker, is probably overpaid, and leads to Jacksonville’s second-place listing among the tight end group.

Offensive line:

  1. Browns, $34.586MM
  2. Eagles, $30.835MM
  3. Redskins, $30.088MM

Cleveland left tackle Joe Thomas and center Alex Mack have the highest 2014 cap hits at their respective positions, meaning the Browns top the offensive line list despite modest cap charges for the rest of their front five. LT Jason Peters will count more than $8MM against Philadelphia’s 2014 cap, and the rest of the Eagles’ line is also well-paid — the other four starters will each count between $2.6MM and $6.2MM against the cap this year. Trent Williams, still playing under his rookie contact, leads Washington’s O-line with a $10.98MM cap charge, the second-highest on the Redskins.

Contract information from Over the Cap was used in the creation of this post.

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Practice Squads

By | at August 22, 2014 11:24 am

In addition to the 53-man rosters each NFL team will carry into the regular season following this month’s cutdown dates, each club will have a practice squad made up of 10 more players. In past seasons, practice squads have been limited to eight players, but the league announced earlier this week that the squads would be expanded to 10 for 2014 and 2015.

Those practice squads will be created in a little over a week. On Sunday, August 31, the claiming period for players waived during final roster cutdowns will end at 11:00am central time, and at that point, teams are free to start signing players to their practice squads.

While practice squad players aren’t eligible to play in regular season games, they practice with their team’s active players during the week, and receive a weekly salary. For the 2014 season, the minimum weekly salary for practice squad players is $6,300, though teams are permitted to offer more than that in an attempt to entice players to sign to their squad rather than join another club.

Practice squad players are under contract, but the fact that they’re not on an active roster means they’re free to sign with another NFL team if the opportunity arises. That new team must add the player to its 53-man active roster, however, and the player will then receive at least three weeks of active-roster salary, even if he’s waived before spending three weeks with the team. If a team signs a player off another club’s practice squad to its active roster and cuts him within three weeks, the team is not allowed to replace that player on its active roster until the three-week period is up. However, if the player clears waivers, he can be added to the team’s practice squad as an extra man until the three-week period expires.

A team cannot sign a player to its practice squad from another team’s practice squad — to go from one practice squad to another, the player must first be cut and clear waivers. Additionally, a team can’t sign a player off another club’s practice squad if the two teams are playing each other next, unless the move occurs at least six days before the game (or 10 days before, if the old club is currently on a bye).

Teams are permitted to elevate practice squad players to their active rosters, but the club must be willing to pay the player at least three weeks’ worth of the minimum salary, and the player would have to clear waivers before being placed back on the practice squad.

There are a number of rules related to eligibility for practice squad players. The squads are generally designed as developmental tools for a club to keep young players around to learn its system, so a team wouldn’t be able to sign a veteran free agent like Asante Samuel to its practice squad. Here are the guidelines for determining whether a player is eligible to be signed to a practice squad:

  • A player without an accrued season of NFL experience is eligible for practice squads. An accrued season is defined as having spent at least six games on a team’s active roster, PUP list, or injured reserve list.
  • A player with one accrued season can still be eligible for practice squads if he was on his team’s active 46-man roster for fewer than nine games.
  • A player can serve up to two years on a practice squad, and is eligible for a third only if his team is carrying a full 53-man roster at all times. A player is considered to have spent a full year on a practice squad if he was on the squad for at least three games.

While the above bullets represent the usual criteria for practice squad eligibility, the changes the NFL announced this week also included some alterations to eligibility that will apply to the 2014 and 2015 seasons. Those changes are as follows:

  • A player is now considered to have spent a full year on a practice squad if he was on the squad for at least six games, rather than three.
  • Each team is allowed to sign a maximum of two players who have up to two accrued seasons of NFL experience. The usual rules for accrued seasons will apply to the other eight players on the practice squad.

Assuming each of the NFL’s 32 teams carry full practice squads into the regular season, a total of 320 players will be signed to these squads following roster cutdowns next weekend. In most cases, a team’s practice squad will simply be made up of players who have spent training camp and preseason with that club and didn’t make the 53-man roster. However, there may be some instances of teams poaching other clubs’ players. The expanded rosters and altered eligibility guidelines for this season should make things a little interesting as we follow how NFL clubs decide to fill up their practice squads for 2014.

Note: This is a PFR Glossary entry. Our glossary posts will explain specific rules relating to free agency, trades, or other aspects of the NFL’s Collective Bargaining Agreement. Information from Russell Street Report and SBNation.com was used in the creation of this post.

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Poll: Which Rookie WR Will Have Best Season?

By | at August 21, 2014 6:22 pm

They say there are some things you can’t teach in sports. One of them is size. Another is the ability to make a jaw-dropping one-handed catch after tripping just one second prior. Bills rookie wide receiver Sammy Watkins is lacking in the first department but he’s got the latter down pat.

With top-level speed, excellent agility, and soft hands, Watkins was almost universally regarded as the top WR talent in the 2014 class. So, he’s a lock to win this poll, right? Maybe not. Second-year quarterback EJ Manuel boasts a strong arm but he’s far from elite and one has to wonder how many quality balls he can deliver to Manuel. The Clemson product is also working through a rib injury which could possibly hamper him to start the season.

Moving further down the draft board, there are plenty of other wide receivers with an opportunity to make a name for themselves in year one. The Panthers overhauled their entire receiving corps this offseason and many are expecting big things out of FSU’s Kelvin Benjamin. In New Orleans, many are skeptical of what the once solid Marques Colston can do and the hype around Brandin Cooks is reaching a fever pitch. And, without DeSean Jackson, Jordan Matthews could see a lot of balls thrown his way in Philadelphia. Beyond those guys, there are even more promising WR’s from this year’s receiver-heavy draft. Who among them will have the best 2014 season?

Which Rookie WR Will Have The Best 2014?

  • Brandin Cooks (Saints) 18% (142)
  • Jordan Matthews (Eagles) 17% (138)
  • Kelvin Benjamin (Panthers) 16% (125)
  • Sammy Watkins (Bills) 12% (92)
  • Mike Evans (Bucs) 11% (88)
  • Other 9% (71)
  • Odell Beckham Jr. (Giants) 7% (59)
  • Cody Latimer (Broncos) 6% (49)
  • Marqise Lee (Jaguars) 4% (30)

Total votes: 794

1 comment Buffalo Bills Carolina Panthers Denver Broncos Jacksonville Jaguars Jordan Matthews New Orleans Saints New York Giants New York Jets PFR Originals PFR Polls Philadelphia Eagles Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Notable Remaining Veteran FAs: Defense

By | at August 21, 2014 10:33 am

Brett Keisel and Isaac Sopoaga both reached agreements with NFL clubs this week, with Keisel returning to Pittsburgh and Sopoaga reportedly heading to Arizona. The two signings further diminished the amount of veteran defensive talent remaining on the free agent market, but even so, there are a handful of intriguing names among the defenders still available.

After taking a look earlier this week at some of the notable veteran free agents on offense, we’ll turn our attention to the other side of the ball today. As I noted when writing about those offensive players, not all of these players will find work this season, and they’ll likely be joined by many more noteworthy free agents in the coming weeks, as NFL teams cut their rosters down from 90 players to 53. Still, these guys are worth keeping an eye on, since they’re still capable of having an impact on the field.

You can view our full list of current free agents right here, but for now, let’s focus on a few interesting veteran defenders….

Defensive ends: Jason Hunter, Daniel Te’o-Nesheim

The pickings are awfully slim at defensive end, where Hunter and Te’o-Nesheim are the only two free agents who were regular starters last season for their respective teams (the Raiders and Buccaneers). According to Pro Football Focus’ metrics (subscription required), both players graded among the bottom five 4-3 defensive ends in the NFL last season, with Te’o-Nesheim ranking dead last, so perhaps it’s not a surprise that we haven’t heard any reports of interest in the two players since they hit free agency.

Defensive tackles: Aubrayo Franklin, Johnny Jolly, Vaughn Martin, Ryan Pickett, Shaun Rogers

Even after Keisel and Sopoaga found work, there are still some decent options on the defensive tackle market. Players like Franklin, Jolly, and Pickett are somewhat one-dimesional, providing size in the middle and not much else, but in a part-time role, such a player can have value. As for Rogers, he was playing well in a part-time role in 2013 before a knee injury ended his season, but having missed most of the last two years with various ailments, the former Pro Bowler’s playing career seems to be nearing its end.

Outside linebackers: Michael Boley, James Harrison, Rocky McIntosh, Marvin Mitchell, Stephen Nicholas, Will Witherspoon

Harrison’s is the name that stands out on this list, and it wouldn’t be a surprise if he’s in a Steelers-or-bust mindset at this point. He was effective last season in Cincinnati, but it was the first and only time in his 11-year NFL career that he’d played for a team besides the Steelers, and reports this offseason have suggested he’d like to return to Pittsburgh. We’ll have to see if, like they did with Keisel, the Steelers can get something done with a defender who has spent more than a decade with the club.

The rest of this group is mostly made up of former starters who have transitioned into reserve roles — Boley, McIntosh, Nicholas, and Witherspoon have 384 combined career starts on their résumés, but just seven of those came in 2013. Mitchell, meanwhile, started 10 games for the Vikings last season and played reasonably well in part-time action, so I’m a little surprised he hasn’t drawn more interest this offseason. The Titans kicked the tires back in June, but elected not sign him.

Inside linebackers: Nick Barnett, Kevin Burnett, Erin Henderson, Paris Lenon, Ernie Sims, Jonathan Vilma

A handful of teams have seen key linebackers go down with serious injuries in recent weeks, but this group of free agents still hasn’t received a whole lot of interest. The Cardinals signed and later released Sims, and the Cowboys and Falcons have both been linked to Vilma, but the fact that those guys aren’t on rosters now suggest teams may not have confidence in them as regular contributors anymore, opting for younger, cheaper players instead. The same may be true for Barnett and Lenon, though any of those veterans could still get a look in the coming weeks.

Henderson may be the player here capable of contributing the most on the field, but his off-field issues may keep him out of the league this season — multiple arrests since and a rehab stint since last fall mean he could be facing a suspension if and when he resurfaces. As for Burnett, he probably shouldn’t be logging the 1,000+ snaps he did last season, and it doesn’t seem as if he’s fully healthy – the Raiders cut him last month with a failed physical designation – but as Pro Football Focus’ data shows (subscription required), he can be a valuable asset against the run.

Cornerbacks: Drayton Florence, Jabari Greer, Chris Houston, Quentin Jammer, Dunta Robinson, Asante Samuel

While there are plenty of questions about injuries and declining performance among this group, experience certainly isn’t a problem — these six players have started an average of 117 games each in their NFL careers. With several teams around the league already on the lookout for cornerbacks, it wouldn’t be surprising if many of these guys were snatched up in the near future to provide some secondary stability. Still, it’s not clear whether all of them have interest in returning to the field in 2014. Greer and Houston are still on the mend following major injuries, and Samuel reportedly turned down overtures from the Jets recently.

Safeties: Reed Doughty, Matt Giordano, Michael Huff, Quintin Mikell, Ed Reed

Doughty has spent his entire eight-year career with the Redskins, starting 45 games over the last five seasons, but last we heard, the team hasn’t reached out to him, and he doesn’t seem to be receiving interest from other clubs either. And although Giordano and Huff aren’t far removed from seasons as significant contributors, they’re probably both better suited for reserve roles now.

Mikell, a former Pro Bowler and a regular starter for the last seven seasons, is the most notable name of this bunch, having ranked 31st among 86 qualified safeties last season, per Pro Football Focus’ grades (subscription required). However, he’s coming off foot surgery and is mulling retirement, suggesting last week that it would have to be the “right situation” for him to return. The same can probably be said for Reed, who hasn’t announced his retirement but already seems to be transitioning into his post-playing career, having secured a job on Showtime’s Inside the NFL.

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