Minnesota Vikings News & Rumors

2025 NFL Top 50 Free Agents

After 2024 brought a record-setting salary cap spike, the 2025 league year introduced a jump that rivals it. We continue to see year-to-year leaps that dwarf what the 2011 CBA brought. Last year’s climb presented good news for many top-tier free agents; the batch that headlines this year’s market will be in line to follow suit. Now that the franchise tag deadline has passed, a clearer picture of the 2025 free agent market emerges.

The aim for PFR’s top 50 remains contract-based. Although players like Bobby Wagner and Tyron Smith are All-Decade-teamers bound for the Hall of Fame, they will not appear here. Big names are still part of this list. The wide receiver and cornerback markets are flooded with veterans seeking a second (or third) significant payday. As usual, this list centers around who will fare the best in terms of guaranteed money. Though, shorter-term contracts — in an effort to keep up with the cap surges — increasing in popularity has made gauging that component more complicated. With some help from trusted colleague Adam La Rose, here is our best effort at sorting through that.

Players who could be released at the start of the 2025 league year or soon after are not included, only those out of contract for the ’25 season appear below. Teams have until 11am CT March 10 to keep free agents-to-be off the market. In Year 33 of full-fledged NFL free agency, here are the top options for teams to target once the legal tampering period starts:

1. Sam Darnold, QB. Age in Week 1: 28

The quarterback tag has ballooned to $40.24MM, which proved to be too much for the Vikings to stomach. As Minnesota has a handful of starters nearing the market, circling back to Darnold at a (slightly) lower rate remains in play. But the Vikings will now run the risk of losing their 2024 J.J. McCarthy bridge, one that proved much sturdier than most expected.

For the second straight year, a Vikings quarterback headlines PFR’s Top 50 Free Agents list. Kirk Cousins came through with a four-year, $180MM deal in 2024, doing so despite entering an age-36 season and coming off an Achilles tear. The Falcons had a decade’s worth of starter work to evaluate with Cousins, who did not live up to the investment – which included $90MM guaranteed at signing. Darnold has only delivered one quality season. Like Cousins, Darnold excelled under Kevin O’Connell and targeting Justin Jefferson in an offense also featuring Jordan Addison and T.J. Hockenson. Teams’ hesitancy about Darnold’s chances of replicating his Pro Bowl season without similar weaponry is warranted.

This complicates Darnold’s bounce-back case — as does Darnold’s brutal January two-fer — but several teams need QBs during a year where the draft does not look like it will produce surefire answers. Although rumblings about Darnold having a modest market have circulated, he is the top option available and should have a few teams showing clear interest. The Raiders and Giants have been tied to Darnold, ditto the Browns. The Steelers should be interested, but they appear to have their sights set on re-signing Justin Fields. The 2021 draftee also has not put together the kind of season Darnold just did. If the Jets did not have the history they do with Darnold, they would make sense as a destination as well.

Drawing a $4.5MM offer in 2023 (from the 49ers) and choosing the Vikings’ $10MM proposal last March, Darnold has made a remarkable rise to this place. While his surge can be compared to Baker Mayfield’s, Darnold’s 2018 draft classmate had shown extended flashes in Cleveland. Darnold washed out of New York and was not a priority in Carolina, with the Panthers instead making a monster trade to acquire a No. 1 overall pick that went to Bryce Young. Darnold bided his time and has received extensive tutelage in the Kyle Shanahan and Sean McVay (via O’Connell) offenses.

Darnold’s 35 touchdown passes last season eclipsed his career high by 16; his 66.2% completion rate was more than four points better than his previous top number. Darnold’s previous best before his 4,319-yard season: 3,024 with the 2019 Jets. It is easy to see why skepticism exists, as a multiyear guarantee at a Mayfield-level rate (at least) will be required. Overpaying free agents is a tried-and-true NFL tradition, but someone will take a chance on Darnold being the answer. Mayfield received $50MM in total guarantees – on a three-year deal. Darnold could push to top that on a four-year pact, as the salary cap has spiked by another $24MM since the Mayfield-Buccaneers agreement. A Daniel Jones-like guarantee at signing ($81MM) is probably too high, but Derek Carr‘s $60MM number (ahead of an age-32 season) may not be.

The Vikings have Jones as a backup plan, a solution that would effectively make the ex-Giant the 2025 Darnold behind McCarthy. It would not make too much sense for Darnold, with his value where it now is, to accept a multiyear Vikings pact due to McCarthy’s presence. Similarly, re-signing Darnold would cut into Minnesota’s ability to capitalize on McCarthy’s rookie contract. A tag represented the most logical option to keep Darnold in the Twin Cities; that deadline passing opens the door to one of the more interesting QB free agencies in recent history.

The seven-year veteran, who has 56 pre-Minnesota starts teams can judge, will slide in as a player whom clubs can talk themselves into as having a Mayfield- and Geno Smith-like resurgence. Both QBs have sustained their belated breakouts, and that will help Darnold. Though, Smith and Mayfield did not relocate after breaking through. Darnold would be best positioned to sustain his by remaining a Viking, but McCarthy – whom the Vikings built their 2024 offseason around – has tremendous internal support. Bigger money should await elsewhere.

2. Josh Sweat, EDGE. Age in Week 1: 28

Fairly well regarded going into 2024, Sweat still needed to accept a pay cut to stay with the Eagles. As the team rearranged its defensive line after Fletcher Cox’s retirement, it opted to retain Sweat and swap out Haason Reddick for Bryce Huff. The latter’s $17MM-AAV contract is teetering on bust status, as he was a healthy scratch for Super Bowl LIX. Fortunately for the Eagles, they could rely on Sweat, who cemented his value with a dominant performance to expose All-Pro guard Joe Thuney as miscast at left tackle and remind suitors about a promising combination of production and prime years remaining.

Sweat showed the value agreeing to a three-year second contract can bring. That midrange 2021 extension (three years, $40MM) has Sweat set to play out the 2025 season at 28. He should be well positioned to cash in, with the 2.5-sack Super Bowl reminding of Shaq Barrett’s effort against Patrick Mahomes and Co. ahead of his free agency. Barrett, who was exiting his age-28 campaign when the Buccaneers barreled over the Chiefs in Super Bowl LV, signed a four-year deal worth $72MM. The cap has climbed by $97MM since.

Unlike Barrett, Sweat has no sack title on his resume. One double-digit sack season appears there; his 11-sack 2022 helped the Eagles threaten the 1984 Bears’ single-season record. Sweat leaving Philadelphia would stand to move all four of the double-digit sack performers from that ultra-productive season off the Eagles’ roster, with Brandon Graham expected to retire.

Sweat may become too expensive for an Eagles team, as creative as they are with contract structure, to afford. They are expected to lose their top EDGE. The Eagles have Nolan Smith in place as a starter and, theoretically, Huff at the other spot. Third-rounder Jalyx Hunt, who joined the Super Bowl sack brigade, is likely to see his role expand if Sweat departs (that is, if the Eagles cannot swing a Myles Garrett blockbuster).

After back-to-back seasons of 23 QB hits, Sweat only compiled 15 during his eight-sack 2024. That sack total still led the Eagles, whose defensive blueprint smothered the Commanders and Chiefs as the team peaked at the ideal point. Sweat’s 16 pressures still ranked only 92nd this past season, after his 37 in 2023 checked in 10th. The Super Bowl, however, probably put to rest any doubts about Sweat’s difference-making abilities, as the Chiefs had kept Mahomes cleaner for much of Thuney’s tackle stretch.

Jonathan Greenard fetched a four-year, $76MM deal from the Vikings last year. Greenard was two years younger than Sweat when he signed that contract. The cap having gone up coupled with the value Sweat showed post-Reddick gives him a good chance to eclipse that deal and move into the $20MM-plus-per-year bracket. Before this offseason’s EDGE payday frenzy takes place – as the likes of T.J. Watt, Micah Parsons and Trey Hendrickson are in contract years and Garrett is set to command a monster offer from the Browns (or another team) – Sweat will benefit from the cap spike with what should be a solid second-tier pact at the position.

3. Milton Williams, DT. Age in Week 1: 26

Like Sweat and Zack Baun, Williams picked a good time to break through. The 2021 third-round pick, who famously drew an on-air disagreement between Howie Roseman and veteran exec Tom Donahoe, helped the Eagles cover for Fletcher Cox’s retirement. Williams came in with career-high numbers in sacks (five) and QB hits (10) as a part-time starter last season. The Louisiana Tech product totaled 18 pressures as well, ranking sixth in DT pass rush win rate.

This emergence will set up the interior disruptor for a big payday. Williams adding three sacks between the NFC championship game and Super Bowl LIX, complete with the sack-strip-recovery sequence as the Eagles finished off their rout of the Chiefs, will help his cause. The Eagles have the futures of Jordan Davis and Jalen Carter to address. Although Williams expressed an openness to staying in Philly, the team’s roster math points him out of town.

Interior defensive line-wise, this is not a deep group of free agents. Especially after the Cowboys took Osa Odighizuwa off the market via a four-year, $80MM deal. That will help Williams, even though he does not have a take-notice resume, stats-wise. PFF, however, rated him as the No. 1 overall pass rusher among interior D-linemen. Williams will be a player to watch for a sneaky-big contract agreement.

Ex-Williams teammate Javon Hargrave scored $21MM-per-year terms in 2023 and the market then exploded. The spring-summer wave of extensions that year (Daron Payne, Dexter Lawrence, Jeffery Simmons, Quinnen Williams) elevated the non-Aaron Donald market. Nnamdi Madubuike, Chris Jones and Christian Wilkins established a new top tier in 2024, one that starts at $48.5MM fully guaranteed. Williams now has a chance to test the new market as a free agent, doing so after the cap climbed by nearly $25MM from when the last round of deals came to pass.

4. Ronnie Stanley, LT. Age in Week 1: 31

Not ultimately rewarding the Ravens for their then-top-market extension in 2020, Stanley both hurt his third-contract value while attached to that accord and belatedly saved face with a 2024 rebound. The Ravens gave Stanley a significant pay cut, reducing his base salary by $7.5MM, last year. The former No. 6 overall pick responded by playing in a career-high 17 games and earning his second Pro Bowl nod. Last season will not be enough to completely erase the previous four – which injuries largely defined – but Stanley is a talented player at the O-line’s premier position.

Pass block win rate placed Stanley 12th among tackles last season, while PFF was a bit more skeptical, ranking the Notre Dame alum 37th at tackle for the third straight slate. Not quite delivering on the promise he showed before the career-reshaping ankle injury – one that led to three surgeries before the 2021 season began – Stanley suiting up for every game last season will prompt suitors to strongly consider a franchise LT-level deal. A market beginning at $21MM AAV has been floated. Though, his having missed 36 games from 2020-23 will probably reduce the guarantee ceiling.

Had Stanley not sustained that injury in Week 6 of the 2020 season, he almost definitely would not be hitting free agency now. As the Bills (Dion Dawkins), Broncos (Garett Bolles) and Lions (Taylor Decker) showed last year, teams have a habit of keeping quality LTs off the market on third contracts. Those deals came between $20MM and $20.5MM per year. As our Nikhil Mehta pointed out, that could establish a clear price range for Stanley.

Terron Armstead also carried a lengthy injury history into free agency in 2022; the Dolphins still rewarded him with $30.12MM guaranteed on a $15MM-per-year pact. The cap having spiked by more than $70MM since then should raise Stanley’s floor beyond this point.

The Ravens, who lost three O-line starters last year, want to keep him. Will they be able to? Compensatory picks have regularly dictated Baltimore’s free agency strategy, but letting Stanley walk would create a big need – in an offseason in which versatile blocker/former Stanley sub Patrick Mekari is also unattached.

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Vikings To Hire Jordan Traylor As Offensive Assistant

The Vikings are hiring Jordan Traylor as assistant offensive coordinator and assistant quarterbacks coach, per NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport.

Traylor spent the last six seasons with the Saints. He started as a scouting assistant before moving into coaching as a defensive assistant in 2021. He switched to the offensive side of the ball in 2023 and has focused on tight ends over the last two years. Juwan Johnson and Foster Moreau made noticeable improvements during his tenure and finished 2024 as the team’s first- and third-leading receivers, respectively.

The Saints wanted to retain Traylor, according to Mike Triplett of New Orleans.Football, but he decided to take a promotion on Kevin O’Connell‘s staff. He will replace Grant Udinski, who left the Vikings last month to take the Jaguars’ offensive coordinator job.

Traylor played quarterback at Texas A&M before starting his coaching career with Texas (2016-2017) and Arkansas (2018). In Minnesota, he will be tasked with developing 2024 first-rounder J.J. McCarthy, a job that could be even more important if Sam Darnold isn’t retained.

In that case, the Vikings may look to re-sign Daniel Jones, who ended last season in Minnesota. Traylor would then have to continue Jones’ integration into the offense as a potential starter if McCarthy faces any setbacks in his recovery from last year’s knee injury.

Vikings Will Not Franchise Tag Sam Darnold

MARCH 4: Minnesota’s decision is now official. No tag will come to pass before today’s 3pm CT deadline, NFL.com’s Ian Rapoport tweets. The sides will continue to discuss a deal, but Darnold is now less than a week from exploring the open market with far more momentum than he carried into 2024.

Other teams have been linked to the resurgent passer, which stands to make it difficult for the Vikings to retain him before he reaches free agency. The team has until 11am CT March 10 to negotiate exclusively with its 2024 starting quarterback. With the Vikings and Dolphins respectively passing on Darnold and Jevon Holland tags and the Cowboys re-signing Osa Odighizuwa, the 2025 tag deadline — still 20-plus minutes away — looks like it will only include two players hit with the tag (the Bengals’ Tee Higgins and Chiefs’ Trey Smith).

MARCH 3: The Vikings are not expected to place the franchise tag on quarterback Sam Darnold, per ESPN’s Adam Schefter. Darnold was one of this offseason’s strongest tag candidates after turning his career around in Minnesota last year.

On a one-year, $10MM deal, Darnold posted career-bests in several statistical categories and ranked fifth among all quarterbacks in passing yards and touchdowns. However, he ended the season on a low note, making an already-tough decision even more difficult for the Vikings. They could tag Darnold in the hopes that he can lead them deeper in the playoffs in 2025 or let him hit free agency and risk losing a bidding war.

Minnesota seems to have chosen the latter, though the team still has interest in retaining Darnold. They will have to do so without a franchise tag, thereby eliminating the possibility of a tag-and-trade.

A Darnold franchise tag has been considered unlikely for a few weeks. At $40.2MM, the quarterback franchise tag is too high of a one-year cap burden for the Vikings. Minnesota has the seventh-most cap space in the NFL, according to OverTheCap, but they have several starters hitting free agency that they will have to re-sign or replace.

Free agency makes the most sense for Darnold, too. After playing for four different teams over the last five years, he may be looking for a long-term home in the NFL. The Vikings still see 2024 first-rounder J.J. McCarthy as their quarterback of the future, so any deal with Darnold would be a short-term pact. By hitting the open market, Darnold will have more flexibility to negotiate a long-term contract with the potential to incite a bidding war between QB-needy teams.

Vikings Want To Re-Sign Byron Murphy; CB Seeking $20MM+ Per Year

After the best season of his career, Byron Murphy is looking to cash in. The 27-year-old cornerback is seeking upwards of $20MM per year on his next contract, per Sportskeeda’s Tony Pauline.

Such a deal would make Murphy one of the six highest-paid cornerbacks in the NFL, though Derek Stingley and Sauce Gardner are expected to reset the market on their extensions.

The 2019 second-rounder only earned a two-year, $17.5MM contract from the Vikings in 2023 after a season-ending back injury in his final year with the Cardinals. He put together a solid debut in Minnesota before an excellent 2024 that ended with his first Pro Bowl selection. He recorded team- and career-highs with six interceptions and 14 passes defended, positioning himself as the best young cornerback to hit free agency.

However, that still may not get him the contract he desires. Murphy is expected to receive offers with an APY between $15MM and $18MM, according to Pauline, well below his preferred number. Two factors will hurt Murphy’s valuation: he has just one year of elite play on his resume, and several other starting cornerbacks will be available in free agency. If Murphy holds firm at a $20MM APY, teams may explore other options instead of breaking the bank for him.

The Vikings are still “hoping” to re-sign Murphy, per ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler. They pushed back the void date of his contract a few weeks ago, giving the two sides more time to negotiate before free agency begins next week. Murphy turned down an extension offer last year, and his value has skyrocketed since then.

Minnesota’s decision not to tag Sam Darnold could potentially add a twist to their negotiations with Murphy. The $20.2MM cornerback franchise tag would set a high threshold for a long-term deal, but the $17.6MM transition tag could be in play. Murphy would have the opportunity to explore the market and push for his desired $20MM APY. If he doesn’t attract the offers he’s looking for, he could resume long-term negotiations with the Vikings with the transition tag as a starting point.

NFC North Notes: Garrett, Lions, Pack, Vikes

Before the Lions zeroed in on Za’Darius Smith at the 2024 deadline, they asked the Browns about their other starting defensive end. As calls came in for Myles Garrett months before his trade request, ESPN’s Kimberley Martin notes the Lions showed the most interest. At the time (as is the case now), the Browns were not interested in moving Garrett. It is interesting that the Lions pursued Garrett and then completed a deal with the same team for Smith, acquiring the two-year Garrett sidekick in a pick-swap deal. Smith is on the radar to stay in Detroit, at a lower rate compared to his two-year, $23MM deal agreed to in 2023. The Lions needed a D-end, having lost Aidan Hutchinson and Marcus Davenport for the season, but the Browns did not budge. It would be tough for the Lions to swing a Garrett deal now, as Hutchinson moves toward a market-setting extension.

Here is the latest from the NFC North:

  • While Hutchinson will be on the Lions’ extension radar, the team will have two years of rookie-deal control after it exercises the standout pass rusher’s fifth-year option. That did not delay the Lions on Penei Sewell, which will make Hutchinson a player to monitor in an explosive edge defender offseason. The Lions, however, have only this year left on Kerby Joseph‘s rookie deal. The All-Pro safety is targeting an extension, indicating (during an appearance on The Jim Rome Show) he wants to be a “life-long Lion.” Joseph could be a 2026 franchise tag candidate, if nothing transpires on that front before the 2026 free agency period, as the team also has Brian Branch likely in its future extension queue. Branch has two years remaining on his rookie deal.
  • Staying on the subject of extensions, Quay Walker is a candidate for a 2025 Packers payday. Because rush and non-rush linebackers are grouped together on the fifth-year option formula, Walker’s option will check in at $14.75MM. No team has picked up an ILB fifth-year option since 2022 (Devin White), and Brian Gutekunst (via The Athletic’s Matt Schneidman) did not make it sound like Walker would be an exception. “The linebacker for the fifth-year option is a little wonky because there’s so many edge guys that are part of that, which drives up that number, which probably isn’t great,” Gutekunst said. “But yeah, we’d like to find a way to keep Quay around here long-term, whether that be an extension or something.” The three-year starter will be in a contract year if/when the Pack decline his option.
  • Josh Myers should have a nice free agency market, per ESPN.com’s Jeremy Fowler, who adds the four-year starter did not suffer an injury during the Packers’ wild-card loss to the Eagles. Healthy heading into free agency, Myers may check in as the second-best center option (behind the Falcons’ Drew Dalman) on this year’s market. Gutekunst praised Myers after the season, and the former second-rounder wants to stay. The Packers, who let center Corey Linsley walk before drafting Myers, also have a potential Zach Tom extension to prepare for this year.
  • If the Vikings are to re-sign Aaron Jones, something Kevin O’Connell would be in favor of, they would plan to reduce his workload, via ESPN.com’s Kevin Seifert. Compiling a career-high 306 touches, the 30-year-old RB totaled 1,546 scrimmage yards — also the second-most in his career. The ex-Packer said he wants to stay in Minnesota, and his void date has been pushed back to March 11, giving the Vikes more time on a re-signing. Jones’ workload came in part because the Vikings lost faith in Ty Chandler, Seifert adds, leading to their second Cam Akers trade.
  • Neither Ed Ingram nor Blake Brandel are locks to be blocking for whichever running back the Vikings start in 2025. Brandel will see $1.65MM of his $2.6MM base salary become guaranteed on March 14, while the Minneapolis Star Tribune’s Ben Goessling notes Ingram — who lost his RG job last season — is “highly unlikely” to be brought back at a $5.2MM base salary (thanks to the NFL’s proven performance escalator program) in the final year of his second-round deal.

Limited Market For QB Sam Darnold?

After a career year on a one-year, prove-it contract, there was a bit of an expectation that Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold had done an impressive bit of work to improve his contract outlook for 2025. The way the 2025 offseason has been developing, though, it’s looking like it might be a bit of a challenge for Darnold to make the most of his upward momentum, per Ben Volin of the Boston Globe.

It almost seemed like the NFL had given up on Darnold as a starter in the league. After showing promise winning seven of 13 starts in a sophomore campaign for the Jets, any hopes were dashed when he went 2-10as a starter the next year. The Panthers gave New York some decent value in a trade just to see Darnold go 4-7 in his first year with the team and be relegated to the bench the following season.

As a free agent in 2023, Darnold signed with the 49ers having to win the backup quarterback job behind Brock Purdy over Trey Lance. After winning the backup job, he made one start in 10 appearances, getting the lowest playtime of his career.

Despite having just spent a year as a backup, Darnold signed a one-year, $10MM deal with the Vikings, who were moving on from long-time passer Kirk Cousins and drafting the College Football National Championship-winning quarterback J.J. McCarthy from Michigan. Signing Darnold gave them a backup option in case McCarthy was not quite ready to take the reins as a rookie. His extensive experience as a starter made him a valuable option to compete for the starting job with the 21-year-old, an option who could also serve as a strong backup should the rookie win the job.

That competition was cut short, though, when McCarthy suffered a meniscus injury that required a full repair surgery, forcing him to miss his entire rookie season. Darnold stepped into the starting role and led the Vikings to competition for the No. 1 overall seed in the NFC with a 14-3 record, recording career highs in passing yards (4,319) and touchdowns (35) while only throwing 12 picks. Darnold and the Vikings became the surprise of the season, and the expectation was that his value as a free agent would skyrocket as a result.

Understandably, it was potential trade target Matthew Stafford in Los Angeles that drew the most attention from teams desiring to acquire a veteran quarterback in the offseason. Now that he’s remaining with the Rams, Darnold has become the new top option. The Raiders are a team that were trying hard for Stafford, but multiple sources at The Athletic claim that they were only willing to shell out serious cash for Stafford.

After the Raiders, it’s hard to imagine anyone wanting to spend serious money on the position. The Vikings have explored tagging options, but they’re extremely prepared to hand the team over to McCarthy and won’t likely be willing to dedicate much salary to Darnold to return. The Browns are already stuck paying $92MM over the next two years to continue watching Deshaun Watson not play. The Saints are sticking with Derek Carr. The Jets and Giants are theoretically options, but per Volin, it doesn’t seem like Darnold is interested in reuniting with New York and MetLife.

Tennessee seems like one of the best options to explore his value. The Titans seem to have interest in riding the Will Levis train for a bit longer, and Darnold might be a pricey bridge option. Tennessee could also use their No. 1 overall draft pick on a quarterback and, once again, use Darnold as a competitor for their rookie. Or, if pairing Darnold with Levis satisfies their needs, they could trade out of the top spot, acquiring additional draft capital while likely still being able to draft a talented first-rounder.

The best option may just be to return to Minnesota, though. The Vikings have already made it known they’re not willing to commit to a big-money, long-term deal, but he knows he fits well in the building and remains as a starting option if McCarthy struggles early. It’s disappointing that Darnold’s big year may not get rewarded in the way many expected, but he still has some interesting options to make the most of his situation.

Assessing Where QB Market Stands

This year’s veteran quarterback market consists of at least one Hall of Famer, possibly two. Although Aaron Rodgers and Russell Wilson are no longer in their primes, each is expected to play in 2025. Kirk Cousins is also lingering as a potential option.

Sam Darnold, however, headlines this free agent class — one that features four of the five QBs chosen in the 2021 first round. Only Justin Fields qualifies as a starter-level option from that quintet, as Mac Jones, Zach Wilson and Trey Lance will not garner attention on that level this year. Daniel Jones also hovers as an interesting option, despite his rough 2023 and ’24 showings.

The trade market, which technically includes Cousins, also has introduced a big name. The Rams continue to dangle Matthew Stafford. Even if this is merely to pinpoint his value as the sides haggle over a new contract, a handful of teams — chiefly the Raiders and Giants — have entered the fray for the former Super Bowl winner. Here is where these markets stand at the Combine:

Making sense of Stafford saga

It has now been five days since it became known the Rams were letting Matthew Stafford speak with other teams. Rather than seeking another reworking, Stafford is gunning for a new contract — and to become the oldest member of the $50MM-AAV club since Rodgers, who was there for a season. No one tied to a long-term deal averaging north of $50MM is older than 31; Stafford will play an age-37 season in 2025.

He is partially at fault for this value discrepancy. After all, Stafford had left money on the table during his initial Rams negotiations in an effort to help the team around him. That led to Stafford signing for four years and $160MM; that matched the Dak Prescott terms — though with less player-friendly language — at the time. It now sits 15th at the position..

The Browns and Steelers were loosely tied to Stafford, but the Giants and Raiders have stepped to the forefront. It would make more sense, were Stafford angling to jump to a roster that could form a contender, for him to consider the AFC North teams. But it is not known if they made serious pushes. As it stands, Giants and Raiders teams respectively coming off 3-14 and 4-13 seasons are in pursuit. The Giants have met with Stafford’s camp and asked about the QB before last year’s deadline, as their Jones plan was imploding. But the Silver and Black have done far more to indicate they are serious.

No matter how it happened, Stafford and new Raiders power broker Tom Brady met in Montana to discuss a potential fit. The Raiders have since come close on contract parameters, though it is not believed trade terms are worked out. Neither the Giants nor Raiders are open to meeting the Rams’ first-rounder asking price, as the teams hold Nos. 3 and 6. A high second-rounder headlining the package, or a potential future first, would make more sense.

Like the 49ers did with Brandon Aiyuk, the Rams still have the final say. They can opt to pay Stafford his modest roster bonus ($4MM) and work out a deal to ensure continuity for a team that has mounted stiff playoff challenges over the past two years. (As of now, however, L.A. is balking at a $50MM-per-year number.) Otherwise, the Rams risk falling backward without a quarterback plan.

Rodgers-Rams link emerges; who else makes sense for 20-year vet?

If the Rams truly go to the edge with Stafford, a report has emerged depicting Rodgers as an interested observer. Rodgers has been tied to wanting to join the Rams and to take Davante Adams with him once again. Adams was mentioned as a potential Rams target before Rodgers was thrown into the mix. It would be interesting to see the Rams try a formula that did not work for the Jets, but Rodgers — albeit at 41 — would be a capable option for far less than Stafford.

Our late-December poll about Rodgers fits did not place the Steelers as a realistic destination. Ditto the Browns. Both teams would benefit from a high-profile placeholder, though the four-time MVP’s current form may not be worth the baggage that also now comes with him.

While the Jets may not have issued an ultimatum regarding Rodgers’ Pat McAfee Show appearances, they are believed to have discussed the matter — as Gang Green’s new regime quickly decided to move on. A Jets team that lacks a surefire route to acquiring a more talented QB in 2025 announcing it would move on from Rodgers so soon is rather telling.

The Giants have not been tied to Rodgers, despite their Stafford pursuit and the team having no QBs contracted presently. If the Titans were to trade down from No. 1 overall, a veteran bridge would be logical as well. Thus far, however, Rodgers connections beyond the Rams have not surfaced.

Steelers to make internal call?

Thus far, the Steelers have been tied to a Wilson-or-Fields decision. The team has entered talks with both players, as the longstanding organizational policy prevents in-season negotiations. Early rumors pointed to Fields having a better chance to come back than Wilson, and the fifth-year veteran is interested in staying — should he receive a legitimate chance to start. Considering the raise the Steelers would need to authorize to either keep Fields off the open market or outbid other curious teams, it would stand to reason any arrangement in which Fields stays in Pittsburgh would come with a good chance to start.

Fields has long believed to have support in the Steelers’ building, dating back to when he closed the gap on Wilson — long positioned as the favorite for the job during the 2024 offseason — leading to a late Mike Tomlin decision. Although Fields did not show much improvement from his Bears form as a passer while filling in for Wilson, the Tomlin call to give the veteran the job back was not unanimous.

After Wilson struggled down the stretch (albeit with a limited receiving corps), suddenly he has not been as closely linked to the Steelers (though, he has repeatedly stated he wants to stay). Wilson, 36, would be competing with Rodgers (and perhaps Cousins) as a high-profile stopgap were the Steelers to work out something with Fields.

The Giants have been loosely tied to Wilson, whom they hosted on a short visit last year. That could be a team to monitor if this Steelers situation breaks Fields’ way, but a Pete Carroll reunion in Vegas — if Stafford and/or the Rams balk about a divorce — has been floated as a possibility.

Will Falcons really keep Cousins as backup?

Terry Fontenot has twice indicated the Falcons are fine keeping Cousins as a backup. He would be the most expensive backup in NFL history, being on a four-year deal worth $180MM. That contract came with $90MM at signing, covering Cousins’ 2025 salary. The Falcons would also owe him $10MM more, in the form of a 2026 roster bonus that vests a year out, if he is still on the roster on Day 5 of the 2025 league year.

The team paying Cousins that bonus would be interesting, but this situation does differ a bit from the Broncos’ decision to cut Wilson, as they the AFC West club was protecting itself against his 2025 base salary becoming guaranteed. The Falcons already have to eat a $27.5MM base, regardless of how they proceed with the 14th-year vet, but they would have a faint hope of trading the Cousins contract. That makes Atlanta’s route interesting, as Fontenot is now 0-for-4 in playoff berths or .500 seasons as a GM. Michael Penix Jr. emerging as a solid starter would minimize the damage from the Cousins miss, but time would seem to be running out on a struggling decision-maker.

The Browns have been linked to Cousins, who played under Kevin Stefanski for two seasons in Minnesota. Considering the Browns’ Deshaun Watson mess extends through 2026, Cousins on a vet-minimum deal — what he would almost certainly be tied to due were the Falcons to cut him, due to offset language in his current contract — would seem rather enticing for Cleveland. Cleveland also has a direct path to either Cam Ward or Shedeur Sanders, however. Cousins may be leery of finding himself in the same situation as 2024, but after a down season, the soon-to-be 37-year-old’s options will be limited.

The Vikings’ decision

In a more commanding position with Darnold than they were with Cousins in 2024, the Vikings could send the best free agent option to the market or hang onto him as either high-priced J.J. McCarthy insurance (via the franchise tag) or a trade asset (in a tag-and-trade move). Either way, this is a much better spot for Minnesota compared to last year, when its starter left and stuck the team with a $28.5MM dead money bill.

Kwesi Adofo-Mensah has been cagey about his choice, but less than a week remains until the Vikings must decide on a tag. No tag by 3pm CT on March 4 would effectively send Darnold to free agency. This would be a better financial path for the rejuvenated passer, who played for $4.5MM in 2023 and $10MM in 2024. A host of QB-needy teams would pursue Darnold, ensuring plenty of guaranteed money will be available beyond Year 1. The Raiders were connected early, and other teams would be ready to enter the mix. Back in December, the Browns were mentioned as a party monitoring this situation

We have heard the Vikings being a bit leery of applying the tag, at more than $40MM, which could open the door to the team letting Darnold walk and huddling back up with Jones as a much cheaper McCarthy insurance option. Kevin O’Connell has spoken highly of Jones, who could be a Darnold-, Baker Mayfield– or Geno Smith-like rejuvenation candidate under the reigning Coach of the Year. Jones would be far less costly than Darnold. The six-year Giant would be a bridge candidate elsewhere, on a one-year deal, but he would naturally be interested in seeing how the Vikings handle the Darnold matter.

A rumor about McCarthy needing plenty of work included a GM predicting the Vikings tag Darnold to protect themselves; more Darnold tag rumors also surfaced before his struggles in Week 18 and in Round 1. Despite his late-season faceplant, the former No. 3 overall pick belatedly delivered on his USC hype under O’Connell. After Mayfield and Smith proved their resurgences were far from fluky, Darnold will be the unquestioned prize on this year’s market. The Vikings will, then, have the most important say in this year’s free agency.

Coaching Notes: Chargers, Saints, Sirmon, Wilber, Eagles, Vikings, Chiefs, Steelers

Jim Harbaugh now has former Michigan offensive and defensive coordinators on his staff. A year after bringing Jesse Minter with him, the Chargers HC is hiring Kirk Campbell from Ann Arbor, NFL.com’s Tom Pelissero tweets. Campbell moved up to Wolverines OC following Harbaugh’s exit but was in place as QBs coach during the team’s unbeaten national championship-winning season. Campbell, 38, moved up the ranks quickly, rising from offensive assistant in 2022 to OC two years later. Serving as Old Dominion’s OC before heading to Michigan, Campbell will be in place as a Chargers offensive assistant in 2025.

The Bolts have also promoted Dylan Roney to edge rushers coach, CBS Sports’ Matt Zenitz adds. Roney, 29, had joined Minter in following Harbaugh to Los Angeles last year, working as a defensive assistant. He was previously in place as a Michigan graduate assistant.

Here is the latest from the coaching ranks:

  • The last team to make an HC hire this year, the Saints continue to fill out Kellen Moore‘s staff. New Orleans is hiring two former NFL linebackers. They are adding Cal defensive coordinator Peter Sirmon as its linebackers coach, ESPN.com’s Pete Thamel tweets. Sirmon played seven seasons with the Titans, starting for the final four (2003-06). He had been the Golden Bears’ DC for the past six years. This will be the former NFLer’s first coaching job in the league. Another retired linebacker, Kyle Wilber, will join Moore as Saints assistant special teams coach, NewOrleans.football’s Nick Underhill tweets. Wilber was a Moore teammate in Dallas, playing with the Cowboys from 2012-17; he comes over after two years on the Packers’ staff.
  • Elsewhere on New Orleans’ staff, the team is hiring Bo Davis to be its D-line coach, NOLA.com’s Luke Johnson tweets. This is a local hire, as Davis was previously in place as LSU’s D-line coach. Davis previously spent time on the Dolphins and Lions’ staffs. They are adding Texas assistant Terry Joseph to be their defensive pass-game coordinator, per Pelissero. Terry Joseph is the younger brother of Broncos DC Vance Joseph; he had been the Longhorns’ pass-game coordinator for four seasons.
  • Needing a QBs coach because the Saints poached theirs (Doug Nussmeier) for OC, the Eagles interviewed Syracuse QBs coach Nunzio Campanile, per 247Sports.com. Campanile had previously served as interim HC and OC at Rutgers; he spent the past two years at Syracuse, being retained despite the Orange changing HCs in 2024. The Eagles are also are bringing back a familiar face, hiring Greg Austin, according to 94WIP’s Eliot Shorr-Parks. Austin was the team’s assistant O-line coach under Chip Kelly from 2013-15. After some time in the college ranks, Austin worked in a quality-control role on Doug Pederson‘s Jaguars staff. He will likely work under Jeff Stoutland, Shorr-Parks adds.
  • Keith Carter has resurfaced in Minnesota. The Vikings hired the former Jets and Titans offensive line coach as their assistant O-line coach. An NFL assistant for the past nine years, Carter was fired from his post as Titans O-line coach after the 2022 season. He resurfaced under Nathaniel Hackett in New York in 2023.
  • The Chiefs are also greenlighting a reunion, rehiring Matt House. Formerly the Chiefs’ linebackers coach form 2019-21, House is now in place as a senior defensive assistant with Kansas City. The veteran staffer had been working as the Jaguars’ ILBs coach, having served as LSU’s DC during the two years prior. He also served as DC at Kentucky, Pitt and Florida International over the past decade. The Chiefs also hired Chris Orr as a defensive quality control coach.
  • After Aaron Curry joined the Jets’ staff, the Steelers have replaced him as ILBs coach. They brought in Scott McCurley to fill the job. A Western Pennsylvania native, McCourley was the Cowboys’ linebackers coach throughout Mike McCarthy‘s tenure. He previously spent 13 years under McCarthy in Green Bay, working his way up to Packers LBs coach.

Sam Darnold Deal Possible In Minnesota; Franchise Tag Unlikely

ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler appeared on SportsCenter today and dropped an interesting update on the situation regarding free agent quarterback Sam Darnold. While Darnold has been viewed as a potential franchise tag candidate, Fowler’s report seems to indicate that that would not be the most likely option for the Vikings.

With the way the franchise tag costs are determined, the projected cost for tagging a quarterback is around $42.39MM. Minnesota’s stance is reportedly that they don’t intend to “mortgage their future” in order to retain the 27-year-old quarterback who led them to a 14-3 record last season. That doesn’t mean that the team isn’t open to retaining Darnold on a new contract. Fowler indicates that if Darnold fetches big bucks on the free agent market, they would likely let him walk, but a reasonable deal could see Darnold return for another season.

The main takeaway from the report is that the Vikings still view first-round quarterback J.J. McCarthy as their future at the position. The No. 10 overall pick in last year’s draft missed his entire rookie season after fully tearing the meniscus in his right knee. The expectation is that, whether it takes six, 12, or 18 months, McCarthy will eventually take over as QB1, and if someone else is starting in 2025, it’s merely as a placeholder.

That mentality makes the approach to Darnold’s contract make a lot of sense. As much as the team would love to have Darnold back after his breakout season, a cost anywhere close to $40MM would be far too much for a bridge starter. Fowler offers that another veteran, Daniel Jones, would make far more sense as a re-signing. Jones spent the last six weeks of last season in Minnesota after getting waived by the Giants, giving him some familiarity. If the intention is to bring in a one-year starter until McCarthy is ready, Jones would certainly make more fiscal sense than Darnold.

It will all likely depend on just what Darnold fetches in the free agent market. The team is no longer expected to tag last year’s starter, and if his market isn’t very competitive, he may return on a reasonable deal. Otherwise expect McCarthy or a placeholder for McCarthy like Jones to be the plan for 2025.

2025 NFL Franchise Tag Candidates

Last year’s salary cap spike created another opportunity for teams to retain talent, and once the upcoming cap surge (roughly $25MM) produces a number, the 2020 CBA will have produced four straight single-year jumps by at least $16MM. These climbs, which dwarf the per-year jumps the 2011 CBA brought, have both helped teams retain talent and pay for free agents while also ballooning the costs of franchise tags.

That said, last year featured eight players given the franchise tag and one (Kyle Dugger) receiving the transition tender. Illustrating the cap climb’s impact, eight of those nine players landed extensions. None of them occurred near the July 15 extension deadline for tagged players, leaving only the Bengals and Tee Higgins‘ non-negotiations still outstanding by the time the usually action-packed stretch arrived. Higgins is back among this year’s lot of potential tag recipients, but not as many players join him.

We are now in Year 33 of the franchise tag, a retention tool that came about during the same offseason in which full-fledged free agency spawned. With clubs having until 3pm CT on March 4 to apply tags, here is who may be cuffed:

Likely tag recipients

Tee Higgins, WR (Bengals)
Tag cost: $26.18MM

It never made too much sense for the Bengals to pass on tagging Higgins, who would at least — in the event the team would squash Joe Burrow‘s crusade to retain the veteran Ja’Marr Chase sidekick — fetch draft capital in a trade. A second Higgins tag comes in at 120% of his 2024 tag price ($21.82MM). It would be interesting if the Bengals went from not negotiating with Higgins during his four months on the tag last year — and generally being prepared to move on in 2025 — to circling back and paying him a market-value deal, but that does seem to be in play.

Burrow’s push would see the team having roughly $70MM per year allocated to the receiver position; that would squash where even the Eagles and Dolphins have gone for their high-end wideout duos. Higgins, 26, was unable to market his age-25 season thanks to the tag. If the latest rumors surrounding the former second-round pick are accurate, he would be kept off the open market once again. That is a fairly significant window to miss; then again, he would have banked $48MM during that period.

The Bengals are projected to carry more than $53MM in cap space, making this a solution they can afford. But after extensive negotiations with Chase last year and Burrow stumping for Higgins, the team has an important decision to make soon.

Cincinnati has less than two weeks to give Higgins a long-term deal. It would mark quite the about-face to do so. The organization has not seriously negotiated with the WR since the first half of 2023, and even when talks did commence, no proposal came too close to $20MM per year. Those talks predictably broke down, and Higgins’ new price is believed to be around $30MM. With plenty of suitors awaiting — the cap-rich Patriots among them — that would be doable for the 6-foot-4 target, who is coming off a better season compared to his 2023 showing.

Higgins zoomed back to his usual form by hauling in 73 passes for 911 yards and a career-high 10 touchdowns; his 75.9 yards per game trailed only his 2021 number (77.9). Higgins, however, missed five games for a second straight season. Hamstring and quad injuries kept Higgins off the field last year, but his market does not appear to have cooled as a result. At worst, the Bengals could fetch Day 2 draft capital in a trade. A first-round pick may be tougher here due to an acquiring team needing to authorize a pricey extension, but teams have been calling ahead of the past two deadlines. Cincinnati still has options, but its Higgins plans will certainly need to be run by Burrow given how much he has stumped for the team to retain the five-year vet.

On tag radar

Sam Darnold, QB (Vikings)
Projected tag cost: $42.39MM

Rumors have not pointed to a clear-cut plan here. At least, the Vikings’ vision for their would-be bridge QB has not become public. But the sides are still talking. Minnesota saw the formerly underwhelming starter break through at 27, taking advantage of the Vikings’ weaponry and Kevin O’Connell‘s ability to coach up quarterbacks. Darnold earned original-ballot Pro Bowl acclaim, throwing 35 touchdown passes (to 12 INTs) and smashing more career-high marks in yardage (4,319) and completion percentage (66.2). Previously in place to hold down the fort while J.J. McCarthy developed, Darnold saw the rookie’s meniscus tear change his Twin Cities outlook.

McCarthy has undergone two surgeries and may have a long way to go in his rehab. As McCarthy went down before playing a regular-season snap, it would make sense for the Vikings to give strong consideration to cuffing Darnold as a pricey insurance measure. On the other hand, the Vikings have a few key performers set to hit the market soon. Byron Murphy, Camryn Bynum and Aaron Jones are moving toward the market. A Darnold cap hold of more than $40MM would clog Minnesota’s payroll ahead of free agency, though the team is projected to carry $63.3MM in space.

Darnold’s late-season letdown undoubtedly factors into the Vikes’ equation, as $42.39MM can be viewed as a bit steep for a player who did not consistently impress in New York or Carolina. But Darnold has proven he can excel in O’Connell’s system. As we detailed on a recent Trade Rumors Front Office post, a multiyear deal for Darnold would not make as much sense; the team still has high hopes for McCarthy. Unless the Vikings plan to entertain the expected trade calls for last year’s No. 10 overall pick, the only way Darnold would stay would be via the tag.

A tag would not be in Darnold’s best interests, as the soon-to-be 28-year-old passer has rare momentum ahead of an offseason featuring several teams with QB needs. A much-criticized draft class at the position would also benefit Darnold, who has been linked to potentially scoring a Baker Mayfield-like deal (three years, $100MM). With the cap now climbing to around $280MM, the seven-year vet could conceivably aim higher. The Vikings hold the cards here in the meantime, as this represents one of the more interesting tag decisions in several years.

Big markets await otherwise

Jevon Holland, S (Dolphins)
Projected tag cost: $20.13MM

Already cutting Raheem Mostert, Kendall Fuller and Durham Smythe to save space, the Dolphins are not expected to roll out a tag for Holland. This would mark a second straight year the Dolphins will send one of the top free agency-eligible players to the market. Miami let Christian Wilkins and Robert Hunt walk in 2024; each lineman signed a top-market deal. Holland would be expected to follow suit, as the former second-round pick has started 57 games and is going into his age-25 season. The Dolphins are projected to hold barely $1MM in cap space, mandating more moves ahead of the 2025 league year.

The British Columbia, Canada, native has five career sacks, five picks and five forced fumbles. This comes along with 25 pass breakups. The past two free agencies have seen one safety check in much higher than his peers contractually, with Jessie Bates (four years, $64MM) and Xavier McKinney (4/67) scoring top-five contracts. The latest cap spike will help Holland, who can aim for the $16MM-AAV Bates tier as a floor.

Although PFF viewed Holland as better under Vic Fangio (third overall) than Anthony Weaver (56th), the months-long Miami extension candidate will still do very well if he hits the market. Extension talks with the Oregon alum did not pick up before last season, and the Dolphins appear close to losing another quality starter early in free agency.

Trey Smith, G (Chiefs)
Projected tag cost: $25.8MM

Over the past 15 years, only two guards have been tagged: Brandon Scherff and Joe Thuney. Washington cuffed Scherff twice, letting him walk in 2022. New England kept Thuney as a placeholder during a busy 2020 on the tag front. Both players scored then-guard-record deals on the open market. Smith is expected to follow suit, as the Chiefs are viewed as unlikely to apply this pricey placeholder on their four-year right guard starter. Despite having attempted to extend Smith for a bit last summer, the former sixth-round find remains unsigned.

Kansas City looks likely to go left tackle shopping, as Thuney proved overmatched in his final fill-in assignment there, and its four-year LG starter is under contract for one more season. The Chiefs’ four-year, $80MM Jawaan Taylor misstep carries an already-guaranteed 2025 base salary ($19.5MM), thanks to the ex-Jaguar RT being on the Chiefs’ roster last March, and the team handed All-Pro Creed Humphrey a deal that easily made him the NFL’s highest-paid center. Losing Smith may be the cost of doing business, unless the three-time defending AFC champions can craft an 11th-hour solution to keep the 25-year-old Pro Bowler via the tag.

Ronnie Stanley, T (Ravens)
Projected tag cost: $25.8MM

It is highly unlikely the Ravens use the tag here, as they already gave Stanley a pay cut in 2024. That said, Baltimore wants to work something out with its longtime left tackle. Stanley’s injury history also would make a $25.8MM guarantee lofty, but this also could be a placeholder to ensure he does not leave in free agency. The Ravens lost three O-line starters in 2024, and this is the costliest position up front.

Then again, the Ravens faced a similar situation in 2019, and they let C.J. Mosley walk rather than overpay on the tag. The Ravens have used the tag in each of the past two offseasons, but it was to retain younger players (Lamar Jackson, Nnamdi Madubuike). They currently are projected to carry barely $12MM in cap space. As PFF notes, only six players 28 and older have been tagged over the past five years. No player over 30 has been tagged since the Bengals retained A.J. Green in 2020. Green was 32 that season; Stanley will turn 31 in March.

The Garett BollesDion DawkinsTaylor Decker tier, as our Nikhil Mehta pointed out, may be the place to watch for Stanley, who reestablished momentum last season after playing 17 games for the first time in his career and making the Pro Bowl. He is in position to command a nice third contract. Will it come from the Ravens? After the tag window closes, Baltimore has until March 10 to negotiate exclusively with the nine-year blocker.