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Longest-Tenured Head Coaches In The NFL

The NFL is a league of relative parity, one where a perennial contender can bottom out practically overnight and a team expected to finish at the bottom of its division can win it — just ask the 2013 Texans and Panthers, respectively. As such, it’s probably not a surprise that NFL head coaches’ jobs are rarely safe, with most coaches around the league just one or two underachieving seasons away from being replaced.

Of course, there are exceptions to that rule, as is the case in New England, where Bill Belichick is preparing to begin his 15th season as head coach of the Patriots. However, while there are several long-tenured coaches across the NFL, most men in the position are relative newcomers. More than half of the league’s 32 coaches have only been under contract since 2012, and seven have yet to coach a single game for their new clubs.

A coach like Belichick has such a proven track record that a poor 2014 season wouldn’t jeopardize his job. But there are several names on the list below whose longevity may be surprising, and who may be entering make-or-break years. Consider Joe Philbin of the Dolphins and Dennis Allen of the Raiders, who were hired just four days apart and are in the middle of the pack for longevity — disappointing ’14 results in Miami or Oakland may have Philbin and Allen printing new résumés in December.

Here’s the list of the current head coaches in the NFL, ordered by tenure, along with the month and year in which they assumed the role:

  1. Bill Belichick (New England Patriots): January 27, 2000
  2. Marvin Lewis (Cincinnati Bengals): January 14, 2003
  3. Tom Coughlin (New York Giants): January 6, 2004
  4. Mike McCarthy (Green Bay Packers): January 12, 2006
  5. Sean Payton (New Orleans Saints): January 18, 2006
  6. Mike Tomlin (Pittsburgh Steelers): January 22, 2007
  7. John Harbaugh (Baltimore Ravens): January 19, 2008
  8. Mike Smith (Atlanta Falcons): January 24, 2008
  9. Rex Ryan (New York Jets): January 19, 2009
  10. Pete Carroll (Seattle Seahawks): January 9, 2010
  11. Jason Garrett (Dallas Cowboys): November 8, 2010 (interim; permanent since January 2011)
  12. Jim Harbaugh (San Francisco 49ers): January 7, 2011
  13. Ron Rivera (Carolina Panthers): January 11, 2011
  14. John Fox (Denver Broncos): January 13, 2011
  15. Jeff Fisher (St. Louis Rams): January 13, 2012
  16. Joe Philbin (Miami Dolphins): January 20, 2012
  17. Dennis Allen (Oakland Raiders): January 24, 2012
  18. Chuck Pagano (Indianapolis Colts): January 25, 2012
  19. Andy Reid (Kansas City Chiefs): January 4, 2013
  20. Doug Marrone (Buffalo Bills): January 6, 2013
  21. Mike McCoy (San Diego Chargers): January 15, 2013
  22. Chip Kelly (Philadelphia Eagles): January 16, 2013
  23. Marc Trestman (Chicago Bears): January 16, 2013
  24. Bruce Arians (Arizona Cardinals): January 17, 2013
  25. Gus Bradley (Jacksonville Jaguars): January 17, 2013
  26. Bill O’Brien (Houston Texans): January 2, 2014
  27. Lovie Smith (Tampa Bay Buccaneers): January 2, 2014
  28. Jay Gruden (Washington Redskins): January 9, 2014
  29. Ken Whisenhunt (Tennessee Titans): January 13, 2014
  30. Jim Caldwell (Detroit Lions): January 14, 2014
  31. Mike Zimmer (Minnesota Vikings): January 15, 2014
  32. Mike Pettine (Cleveland Browns): January 23, 2014

Extension Candidate: Julius Thomas

The decision made yesterday by arbitrator Stephen Burbank to rule in favor of the Saints on Jimmy Graham‘s positional dispute wasn’t good news for Graham. However, it may not have been bad news for tight ends in general. Had Burbank decided to consider Graham a wide receiver, teams would have made a greater effort going forward not to split out their own tight ends, which would potentially limit the pass-catching numbers for those players, who would have a harder time exploiting certain matchups.Julius Thomas

Additionally, now that Graham is officially viewed as a tight end, he’s poised to set a new high watermark for salary at the position. The Saints are reportedly willing to make Graham the league’s highest-paid player at the position, surpassing Rob Gronkowski‘s $9MM annual value. The creation of a new top tier for salary at the position should bode well when other tight ends begin to negotiate new contracts, and will only help increase the figures for future franchise and transition tags.

All of this is to say that a player like Julius Thomas, whose contract is set to expire at the end of the 2014 season, shouldn’t be discouraged by the Graham verdict. A franchise tag at wide receiver likely won’t be in Thomas’ future, but the franchise tag for tight ends should be on the rise next year, and if Graham cracks $10MM per year on a long-term deal with the Saints, Thomas will have a stronger case to exceed $7MM on a pact of his own.

An extension for Thomas is indeed on Denver’s to-do list, with GM John Elway confirming to Mike Klis of the Denver Post last month that the Broncos have opened extension talks with their tight end. In Klis’ view, a $7MM per year average may be the target for former fourth-round pick, who turned 26 last week.

When considering Thomas’ value, there are a handful of factors to take into consideration. Coming into the 2013 season, Thomas had just one reception on his résumé for his first two years in the NFL, and had battled ankle troubles in 2012. However, he broke out in a big way in ’13, catching 65 balls for 788 yards and 12 touchdowns, despite ceding plenty of targets with Demaryius Thomas, Eric Decker, and Wes Welker.

Thomas is young, athletic, and a gifted pass-catcher — the fact that he played only one year of college ball at Portland State could actually be a positive for the Broncos, since it suggests he still has plenty of room to continue to develop and improve following his breakout season. The tight end recently told Ross Jones of Fox Sports that he anticipates the team finding new, creative ways to use him in 2014, as he becomes more comfortable and confident in the offense.

“I do think I’m still scratching the surface,” Thomas said. “I’ve had guys who have told me that playing football around year four and year five, it starts to click and then it all starts to make sense of what you’re doing. That’s typical of a normal guy who has been playing forever. I still think I have so far to go. I need to keep getting repetitions and keep getting comfortable with things.”

Assuming Denver also believes Thomas is “scratching the surface” of his full potential, it makes sense that the team would attempt to lock him up before the upcoming season, before his value increases even further. Still, when it comes to Thomas’ next contract, the club could have some of the same concerns that exist in negotiations with wideout Demaryius Thomas. Peyton Manning‘s presence in Denver has helped pad stats for all the team’s pass-catchers, and the presence of Welker, free agent signee Emmanuel Sanders, and rookie Cody Latimer will ensure that no one receiver is necessarily indispensable to the team’s passing attack. Additionally, with Manning unlikely to continue his career for more than another two or three years, it’s worth considering who will be throwing the balls caught by the pair of Thomases if Denver signs both players to lucrative long-term deals.

If the Broncos think Thomas is the real deal though, there’s no reason not to attempt to secure him on a multiyear contract this summer. A deal like the one agreed upon between Dennis Pitta and the Ravens this offseason could make some sense — Pitta only received an average annual value of $6.4MM over five years, but $16MM of that $32MM deal is fully guaranteed. I’d guess the Broncos are more likely to push for a different sort of structure, one with a higher annual salary and a more modest guarantee. In that scenario, a five-year deal for Thomas could fall in the $35-40MM range, but with a guarantee in the neighborhood of $10-13MM.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Offseason In Review: Oakland Raiders

Notable signings:

Notable losses:

Extensions and restructures:

Trades:

  • Acquired Matt Schaub from the Raiders in exchange for a sixth-round pick (No. 181). Restructured Schaub’s contract, reducing cap hits for 2014 and 2015. Two years, $13.5MM (2016 year removed). $8MM guaranteed. Can make up remainder of lost ’14 salary in incentives.
  • Acquired a seventh-round pick (No. 247) from the Seahawks in exchange for Terrelle Pryor.
  • Acquired a third-round pick (No. 81) and a fourth-round pick (No. 116) from the Dolphins in exchange for a third-round pick (No. 67).

Draft picks:

  • Khalil Mack, LB, Buffalo (1.5): Signed
  • Derek Carr, QB, Fresno State (2.36): Signed
  • Gabe Jackson, G, Mississippi State (3.81): Signed
  • Justin Ellis, DT, Louisiana Tech (4.107): Signed
  • Keith McGill, CB, Utah (4.116): Signed
  • Travis Carrie, CB, Ohio (7.219): Signed
  • Shelby Harris, DE, Illinois State (7.235): Signed
  • Jonathan Dowling, S, Western Kentucky (7.247): Signed

Other:

The Raiders have been a part of one of the largest rebuilds in recent memory, a full reconstruction from top to bottom. The team has failed to put a competitive product on the field week in and week out since losing to the Buccaneers in Super Bowl XXXVII.

This change is not merely in terms of the roster, but organization wide. Under the control of Al Davis, the Raiders appeared in five Super Bowls. Much of that success needs to be attributed to Davis’ strengths as an owner, a coach, and a general manager. However, under his last decade at the helm, a swarm of bad draft picks, poor trades, and worse contracts crippled the team, leaving them riddled with dead money.

The rebuild started anew in 2012, with former Packers’ executive Reggie McKenzie hired as general manager and former Broncos’ defensive coordinator Dennis Allen hired to be the head coach. The roster began to be stripped down, and the team looked forward to a day when it could become players in free agency once again. That time arrived this offseason.

The Raiders’ offseason has been highlighted to an outsider by the notable losses. Lamarr Houston, Jared Veldheer, Rashad Jennings, and Tracy Porter all left for greener pastures in free agency. The team expressed some interest in keeping them, and was left without viable replacements on the roster. One of the most newsworthy moments of the team’s free agency period was signing Rodger Saffold, which of course fell through due to a failed physical, allowing Saffold to return to the Rams.

With an inability to attract high profile free agents, or even re-sign their own players, many teams would get into bidding wars and be forced to overpay players to add or keep them on the roster. The old Raiders may have participated in this, as they have in years past. This year, however, Oakland allowed free agency to play out. The club signed a large number of reasonable deals, with veterans who had some track record of success.

One-year deals for Tarell Brown, Charles Woodson, Khalif Barnes, Carlos Rogers, Pat Sims, and Darren McFadden gave the Raiders a group of inexpensive but experienced players with something to prove. Other short-term additions included another group of veterans with considerable upside, such as Justin Tuck, Maurice Jones-Drew, Kevin Boothe, LaMarr Woodley, Antonio Smith, Usama Young, and James Jones. Not a single one of these contracts came with more than $4.35MM in guaranteed money, or an average annual salary of over $5MM.

The team’s one major investment was in offensive tackle Austin Howard, who scored a five-year, $30MM contract with just under $10MM in guaranteed money, to shore up their offensive line.

The team will line up newly acquired Matt Schaub under center come September, another veteran with a good track record who only recently fell out of favor with his former club. He cost the team only a sixth-round pick. Compared to some of the quarterbacks the Raiders played over the past half of a decade, Schaub would only need to achieve mild success to be considered a steal. JaMarcus Russell is considered one of the biggest busts in recent draft history. Carson Palmer cost the team a first- and second-round pick. Terrelle Pryor was won in the 2011 supplemental draft for the Raiders’ 2012 third-round pick, and Matt Flynn cost them a fifth-round pick.

The Raiders’ also selected a quarterback in the second round in this year’s draft, taking Derek Carr out of Fresno State. Their first-round pick was used on linebacker Khalil Mack, a selection met with universal praise, as the Buffalo product was viewed as the best player available. Praise is not something the team was used to under Davis. The Raiders were also were able to pick up a fourth-round pick in a draft day trade with the Dolphins, moving down 14 spots in the third round. The move came a year after the Raiders picked up a second-round pick for agreeing to move from the third overall pick down to 12th overall.

These moves may not turn the Raiders into a playoff contender in 2014, as the AFC West was represented in the playoffs by the Broncos, Chargers, and Chiefs. In fact, the Chiefs were one completion from Alex Smith to Dwayne Bowe away from putting all three teams into the second round of the playoffs.

While the division could possibly take a step back, odds are that the Raiders will still end the season in last place. In that case, their coach’s job may be in jeopardy. Although Allen has had limited to work with in terms of roster, reports from earlier this offseason suggested that the team is expecting Allen to start to win with his new players.

Even if the team fails to improve on the field, new philosophies and strategies at an executive level have the Raiders trending in a positive direction. Whether or not the fruits of McKenzie’s labor result in a winning record for the Raiders this season remains to be seen. But for the first time in years, fans in Oakland can clearly see a long-term plan for success being put into practice as the team looks to return to its former glory. They may not have Al Davis sitting in their front office anymore, but it seems the Raiders once again have a commitment to excellence.

Spotrac and Over The Cap were used in the creation of this post.

Latest On Four Remaining Unsigned Draftees

As we’ve discussed before when covering draft pick signings – as well as those draftees who remain unsigned – the NFL’s current Collective Bargaining Agreement has taken most of the drama out of the contracts for rookies. With set amounts on signing bonuses and total values for most rookie deals, players will haggle over things like offset language, types of payment, and guaranteed money, but for the most part, there isn’t much wiggle room.

That means that we shouldn’t expect to see many – if any – holdouts when training camps get underway later this month. Still, four of 2014’s 256 draft picks have still yet to ink their contracts, so it’s worth checking in on them to see if we can discern any particular reason why that’s the case. Here are the four draftees who remain unsigned, along with the latest updates on each of them:

  • Justin Gilbert, CB, Cleveland Browns (1.8): As of last Tuesday, Gilbert didn’t sound like he was too involved in his own negotiations, deferring to his agent when asked about contract talks by Mary Kay Cabot of Cleveland.com. He echoed that stance later in the week, suggesting that he wasn’t sure whether he’d be in attendance when the Browns’ training camp begins. Still, even with potential disputes over offsets and roster bonuses in play at the No. 8 spot, I’d be pretty surprised if the rookie cornerback wasn’t present for the first day of camp.
  • Taylor Lewan, OT, Tennessee Titans (1.11): Mike Florio of Pro Football Talk wrote this week that he thinks the delay on Lewan may be a result of the offensive tackle looking to replace his fully-guaranteed base salaries with roster bonuses paid out during training camp. Last year’s 11th overall pick (D.J. Fluker) didn’t receive these bonuses in his deal, but Lewan’s teammate, No. 10 pick Chance Warmack, did get them. Considering Lewan is viewed as the Titans’ left tackle of the future, making him a more essential piece on the offensive line than Warmack, he has a reasonable case for those roster bonuses. In Florio’s view, a brief training camp holdout is a possibility for Lewan.
  • Marqise Lee, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars (2.39): Lee was long viewed as a likely first-round pick, so the delay on his signing may be related to his trying to recoup some guaranteed money after slipping to No. 39. In his latest mailbag, John Oesher of Jaguars.com couldn’t offer any specific details on the holdup for Lee, but stated confidently that something should get done before training camp.
  • Billy Turner, OT, Miami Dolphins (3.67): There haven’t been many rumblings about the contract talks, who is the last third-rounder to sign. Most recently, Barry Jackson of the Miami Herald wrote last Monday that the unresolved issues for Turner “are not insurmountable.”

2014 NFL Trades

The NFL isn’t a league known for its blockbuster trades, but as NBA and NHL free agency got underway on July 1, a couple NFL clubs pulled off a deal of their own, with the Ravens sending linebacker Rolando McClain to Dallas. By our count, it was the 36th trade in the league this year, and the 11th involving at least one veteran player. While the other 25 deals were simple draft pick swaps, many of those trades could also end up significantly shaping franchises — Sammy Watkins, Johnny Manziel, and Teddy Bridgewater were among the rookies selected with traded draft picks.

We’re only about halfway through 2014, and as the fall trade deadline approaches, we’ll likely see several more deals consummated around the league. We’ll keep tabs on all those moves right here, with our 2014 NFL trade tracker. You can find this page, which will be updated every time a new trade is finalized, on our right-hand sidebar under the “PFR Features” menu at any time.

Here, in reverse chronological order, are 2014’s NFL trades:

October 28

  • Rams acquire S Mark Barron.
  • Buccaneers acquire 2015 fourth-round pick and 2015 sixth-round pick.

October 28

  • Patriots acquire LB Jonathan Casillas and 2015 sixth-round pick.
  • Buccaneers acquire 2015 fifth-round pick.

October 22

  • Patriots acquire LB Akeem Ayers and 2015 seventh-round pick.
  • Titans acquire 2015 sixth-round pick.

October 18

  • Jets acquire WR Percy Harvin.
  • Seahawks acquire conditional 2015 fourth-round pick (if Harvin is on Jets’ roster in 2015; otherwise, pick is a 2015 sixth-rounder)

August 31

  • Texans acquire QB Ryan Mallett.
  • Patriots acquire conditional 2016 sixth-round pick (if Mallett plays 40% of Texans’ snaps in 2014; otherwise, pick is a 2016 seventh-rounder).

August 30

  • Cowboys acquire DE Lavar Edwards.
  • Titans acquire conditional 2015 seventh-round pick.

August 30

  • Seahawks acquire DB Marcus Burley.
  • Colts acquire 2015 sixth-round pick.

August 26

  • Broncos acquire K Brandon McManus.
  • Giants acquire conditional 2015 seventh-round pick.

August 26

August 21

August 20

  • Colts acquire RB David Fluellen.
  • Eagles acquire K Cody Parkey.

August 19

  • Eagles acquire RB Kenjon Barner.
  • Panthers acquire conditional 2015 seventh-round pick (if Barner spends at least four games on the Eagles’ 46-man active roster in 2014).

August 12

  • Patriots acquire DT Jerel Worthy.
  • Packers acquire conditional 2015 seventh-round pick (if Worthy makes Patriots’ 53-man roster in 2014).

August 12

July 1

  • Cowboys acquire LB Rolando McClain and conditional 2015 seventh-round pick.
  • Ravens acquire conditional 2015 sixth-round pick.

June 18

May 10

  • Ravens acquire 2014 seventh-round pick (No. 218; WR Michael Campanaro).
  • Browns acquire 2015 sixth-round pick.

May 10

  • Titans acquire 2014 sixth-round pick (No. 178; QB Zach Mettenberger).
  • Redskins acquire 2014 sixth-round pick (No. 186; RB Lache Seastrunk) and seventh-round pick (No. 228; K Zach Hocker).

May 10

May 10

  • Buccaneers acquire 2014 fifth-round pick (No. 149; OT Kevin Pamphile).
  • Bills acquire 2014 seventh-round pick (No. 221; OLB Randell Johnson) and 2015 fifth-round pick.

May 10

  • Panthers acquire 2014 fifth-round pick (No. 148; CB Bene’ Benwikere).
  • Vikings acquire 2014 fifth-round pick (No. 168; later traded to Falcons) and 2014 seventh-round pick (No. 225; CB Jabari Price).

May 10

  • Cowboys acquire 2014 fifth-round pick (No. 146; WR Devin Street).
  • Lions acquire 2014 fifth-round pick (No. 158; DT Caraun Reid) and 2014 seventh-round pick (No. 229; K Nate Freese).

May 10

  • Bears acquire 2014 fourth-round pick (No. 131; S Brock Vereen) and 2014 seventh-round pick (No. 246; OT Charles Leno Jr.).
  • Broncos acquire 2014 fifth-round pick (No. 156; LB Lamin Barrow) and 2015 fifth-round pick.

May 10

  • Bengals acquire 2014 fourth-round pick (No. 111; C Russell Bodine).
  • Seahawks acquire 2014 fourth-round pick (No. 123; WR Kevin Norwood) and sixth-round pick (No. 199; OT Garrett Scott).

May 10

  • Bills acquire RB Bryce Brown and 2014 seventh-round pick (No. 237; OT Seantrel Henderson).
  • Eagles acquire 2014 seventh-round pick (No. 224; DT Beau Allen) and additional draft pick that will be either a 2015 fourth-rounder, a 2016 third-rounder, or a 2016 fourth-rounder, depending on conditions met by Brown and WR Stevie Johnson.

May 9

May 9

  • Jaguars acquire 2014 third-round pick (No. 93; G Brandon Linder).
  • Patriots acquire 2014 fourth-round pick (No. 105; C Bryan Stork) and sixth-round pick (No. 179; G Jon Halapio).

May 9

  • Texans acquire 2014 third-round pick (No. 83; DT Louis Nix).
  • Eagles acquire 2014 fourth-round pick (No. 101; CB Jaylen Watkins) and fifth-round pick (No. 141; DE Taylor Hart).

May 9

  • Dolphins acquire 2014 third-round pick (No. 67; OT Billy Turner).
  • Raiders acquire 2014 third-round pick (No. 81; G Gabe Jackson) and fourth-round pick (No. 116; CB Keith McGill).

May 9

May 9

  • 49ers acquire 2014 second-round pick (No. 57; RB Carlos Hyde).
  • Dolphins acquire 2014 second-round pick (No. 63; WR Jarvis Landry) and fifth-round pick (No. 171; OLB Jordan Tripp).

May 9

  • Broncos acquire 2014 second-round pick (No. 56; WR Cody Latimer) and seventh-round pick (No. 242; LB Corey Nelson).
  • 49ers acquire 2014 second-round pick (No. 63; later traded to Dolphins), fifth-round pick (No. 171; later traded to Dolphins), and 2015 fourth-round pick.

May 9

  • Chargers acquire 2014 second-round pick (No. 50; OLB Jeremiah Attaochu).
  • Dolphins acquire 2014 second-round pick (No. 57; later traded to 49ers) and fourth-round pick (No. 125; CB Walt Aikens).

May 9

May 9

May 9

  • Lions acquire 2014 second-round pick (No. 40; LB Kyle Van Noy) and fifth-round pick (No. 146; later traded to Cowboys).
  • Seahawks acquire 2014 second-round pick (No. 45; WR Paul Richardson), fourth-round pick (No. 111; later traded to Bengals), and seventh-round pick (No. 227; FB Kiero Small).

May 9

  • Cowboys acquire 2014 second-round pick (No. 34; DE/OLB Demarcus Lawrence).
  • Redskins acquire 2014 second-round pick (No. 47; LB Trent Murphy) and third-round pick (No. 78; G Spencer Long).

May 9

  • 49ers acquire WR Stevie Johnson.
  • Bills acquire a 2015 fourth-round pick which could become a third-rounder depending on Johnson’s performance.

May 8

  • Vikings acquire 2014 first-round pick (No. 32; QB Teddy Bridgewater).
  • Seahawks acquire 2014 second-round pick (No. 40; later traded to Lions) and 2014 fourth-round pick (No. 108; DE Cassius Marsh).

May 8

  • Browns acquire 2014 first-round pick (No. 22; QB Johnny Manziel).
  • Eagles acquire 2014 first-round pick (No. 26; DE/OLB Marcus Smith) and third-round pick (No. 83; later traded to Texans).

May 8

May 8

May 8

  • Bills acquire 2014 first-round pick (No. 4; WR Sammy Watkins).
  • Browns acquire 2014 first-round pick (No. 9; later traded to Vikings), 2015 first-round pick, and 2015 fourth-round pick.

April 21

April 4

March 23

  • Ravens acquire C/G Jeremy Zuttah.
  • Buccaneers acquire 2015 fifth-round pick.

March 21

March 14

  • 49ers acquire QB Blaine Gabbert.
  • Jaguars acquire 2014 sixth-round pick (No. 205; C Luke Bowanko) and conditional 2015 pick (if Gabbert starts eight or more games in 2014).

March 13

March 13

  • 49ers acquire OL Jonathan Martin.
  • Dolphins acquire conditional 2015 seventh-round pick (if Martin makes 49ers’ opening day roster in 2014).

Poll: Will Eagles Regret Releasing DeSean Jackson?

Yesterday, Redskins wideout Andre Roberts told SiriusXM NFL Radio that his decision to sign with Washington may have been different had he known DeSean Jackson was going to be on the team. Roberts, who has been eclipsed by Larry Fitzgerald and, at times, Michael Floyd, in Arizona, signed on with the Redskins in free agency in hopes that he could show his stuff as a more primary receiver. When Jackson came aboard to join forces with Pierre Garcon and Santana Moss, it bumped Roberts down a peg on the depth chart.

Obviously, the Redskins are happy that Jackson fell to them, even if it left Roberts a little bit perturbed. As the season approaches, however, one can’t help but wonder if the Eagles will regret having let their stud wide receiver go. Philly released Jackson over the offseason and also watched Jason Avant hook on with the Panthers. What’s left for Chip Kelly & Co. is Jeremy Maclin, who is back from a torn ACL, last year’s breakout star Riley Cooper. and a supporting cast of Arrelious Benn, second-round pick Jordan Matthews, and third-round pick Josh Huff. Cooper’s play in 2013 provided an unexpected boost for the club and Huff is a former Kelly pupil from Oregon, but the receiver corps as a whole is undeniably not as strong without Jackson in the mix.

Will Philly come to regret releasing Jackson?

Offseason In Review: Denver Broncos

Notable signings:

Notable losses:

Trades:

  • Acquired a second-round pick (No. 56) and a seventh-round pick (No. 242) from the 49ers in exchange for a second-round pick (No. 63), a fifth-round pick (No. 171), and a 2015 fourth-round pick.

Draft picks:

  • Bradley Roby, CB, Ohio State (1.31): Signed
  • Cody Latimer, WR, Indiana (2.56): Signed
  • Michael Schofield, OT, Michigan (3.95): Signed
  • Lamin Barrow, LB, LSU (5.156): Signed
  • Matt Paradis, C, Boise State (6.207): Signed
  • Corey Nelson, LB, Oklahoma (7.242): Signed

Other:

After acquiring living legend Peyton Manning two years ago, the Broncos probably thought they would have another Lombardi Trophy in their collection by now. But after being upset by Baltimore in a double-overtime thriller in the 2012 playoffs, Denver was blindsided by Seattle’s suffocating defense one year later in Super Bowl XLVIII. In an attempt to get his team over the hump, GM John Elway was very aggressive in free agency, landing a number of marquee pieces to ensure that the Broncos get another crack at the title.

DeMarcus Ware

On offense, Elway made the difficult decision to let wide receiver Eric Decker walk in free agency. Decker had put up over 1,000 yards and double-digit touchdowns in each of the past two seasons, but the Broncos knew they would be unable to meet Decker’s open-market price (especially since they are also mulling extensions to dynamic receiving threats Demaryius Thomas and Julius Thomas). The team did sign former Steeler’s wideout Emmanuel Sanders, who offers a different skillset than Decker and whose speed and elusiveness, combined with Manning’s accuracy, could create nightmarish problems over the middle of the field.

Along the offensive line, Denver added veteran center Will Montgomery and will reshuffle the unit with the return of Ryan Clady from injury and the departure of left guard Zane Beadles. Clady will resume his post at left tackle, so Chris Clark–who replaced Clady at that spot last season–will move over to right tackle. Orlando Franklin, last year’s right tackle, gets bumped inside to left guard to replace Beadles. The mix-up might have created a bit of confusion and disappointment for Franklin, but it should not negatively impact what was a tremendous offensive line in 2013. The group excelled in pass protection, giving up just 20 sacks–though Manning’s quick trigger surely played a significant part in that–and they were effective in run blocking as well.

Speaking of the running game, the Broncos let running back Knowshon Moreno leave in free agency–he ultimately signed a modest deal with the Dolphins–and have not attempted to replace him with a veteran. Instead, they seem comfortable riding their stable of young backs, none of whom have started a game in the NFL. But all the Broncos really need from their run game is the ability to pick up first downs off of short yardage and touchdowns off of goal-to-go situations. Talented but unproven runners like Montee Ball, Ronnie Hillman, and C.J. Anderson should be able to carry the load.

The defensive side of the ball is where the Broncos made the biggest splashes in free agency. According to Football Outsiders’ metrics, Denver had a middle of the pack defense in 2013, ranking 9th against the run–as measured by Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA)–but 21st against the pass and 15th overall. Those evaluations were supported by Pro Football Focus’ advanced metrics (subscription required), which ranked the Broncos’ defense second-best in the league against the run but just 17th in coverage and 14th in pass rushing.

Enter DeMarcus Ware. Released by the Cowboys, the perennial All-Pro found a home in the Mile High City, where he and Von Miller will create a formidable pass rush duo that should boost the team’s sack total (the Broncos racked up 41 sacks in 2013, tied for 13th-most in the league). In the secondary, although Denver lost Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie to the Giants, they replaced him with Aqib Talib, who resurrected his career with back-to-back solid seasons in New England. Although Pro Football Focus (subscription required) suggests this is something of a downgrade–Talib was ranked 57th out of 110 qualified corners, whereas Rodgers-Cromartie was ranked 6th-best–it would be surprising if Talib did not perform at least as well as the man affectionately known as DRC. This is not to mention, of course, the addition of first-round selection Bradley Roby, a talented cornerback in his own right.

The Broncos also added safety T.J. Ward to boost the back end of the defense. Ward thrives against both the run and the pass, and he adds some much-needed athleticism to a defense that said goodbye to aging veterans Mike Adams, Champ Bailey, and Quentin Jammer.

Manning, who is an aging veteran himself, shows no signs of slowing down and said that he plans to play out his current contract, which runs through the 2016 season (when Manning will be 40). Because of Manning’s age and the age of other key players–Ware and Wes Welker, for instance–there is a belief that Denver’s window to win it all is fairly small. However, as shown above, the Broncos are also getting younger and more athletic in some areas, and should they reach extensions with Demaryius and Julius Thomas, they will have secured a key part of their offensive future.

In any event, barring an injury to Manning, this team is not going anywhere in the next several years. They should take home the AFC West title again this season, and, although it is rare for such things to happen in the NFL, we may see a Super Bowl XLVIII rematch in Super Bowl XLIX. The Broncos are certainly favorites to represent the AFC in the big game again, and if they do, their offseason additions may just be enough to bring a third title to Denver.

Spotrac and Over The Cap were used in the creation of this post.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images

Offseason In Review: Kansas City Chiefs

Notable signings:

Notable losses:

Draft picks:

  • Dee Ford, DE, Auburn (1.23): Signed
  • Phillip Gaines, CB, Rice (3.87): Signed
  • De’Anthony Thomas, RB, Oregon (4.124): Signed
  • Aaron Murray, QB, Georgia (5.163): Signed
  • Zach Fulton, G, Tennessee (6.193): Signed
  • Laurent Duvernay-Tardif, OT, McGill (6.200): Signed

Other:

On December 30th, 2012, 3 days after six Chiefs had been named to the AFC Pro Bowl team, the Romeo Crennel-led squad crawled to a 38-3 defeat against the Broncos to end their season at 2-14. The team’s shortcomings were obvious: Matt Cassel and Brady Quinn took turns leading a completely stagnant offense while the defense vastly underperformed against the expectation set by the play of its four Pro Bowlers. The detrimental organizational culture had long-been questioned– with horror stories of General Manager Scott Pioli‘s intense nature and accusations of inter-departmental spying. Kansas City fans had even formed a group that received national media attention called ‘Save Our Chiefs’ that organized blackouts at home games and plane-dragged banners demanding Pioli’s firing. A regime change was imminent.

Fast forward four months:  General manager John Dorsey and head coach Andy Reid have been hired, bringing with them high profile assistant coaches Doug Pederson, Bob Sutton, and Brad Childress, and Alex Smith has taken the reins at quarterback. A nine-game win-streak to start the 2013 Season affirmed that the massive overhaul from owner Clark Hunt had been a decidedly successful move. Although the season ended in a catastrophic Wild Card round loss to the Colts, the Chiefs entered the 2013-2014 offseason in a surprisingly stable position given the dire straits in which the franchise had found itself in 12 months prior. That said– the Chiefs still moved some pieces around this past offseason.

On the offensive side of the ball, the Chiefs’ O-line will have the most new faces of any positional unit heading into next season after the departures of three starters- Branden Albert to the Dolphins, Jon Asamoah to the Falcons, and Geoff Schwartz to the Giants. 2013 first overall pick Eric Fisher will slide over to left tackle to replace Albert, while ex-Colt Jeff Linkenbach and third-year Donald Stephenson, a former swingman, will comprise the new right side of the line.

One of the biggest headlines of the Chiefs’ offseason was the decision to let Pro Bowl return man Dexter McCluster become a free agent and sign with the Tennessee Titans. One would reasonably suspect the Chiefs to try out rookie speedster De’Anthony Thomas to fill McCluster’s void. Free agent signing Weston Dressler, who has dominated the CFL for the past few years, has also been projected to take over some of McCluster’s leftover snaps. The return of 2013 third-round pick Travis Kelce, who missed his entire rookie season with a knee injury, at the tight end position could also prove to be a boon to the offense, given Reid’s historical propensity toward using tight ends.

Defensively, the Chiefs shook up their secondary significantly, parting ways with Pro Bowl cornerback Brandon Flowers, free safety Kendrick Lewis, and nickelback Dunta Robinson. Many expect 2014 third-round pick Phillip Gaines out of Rice and hard-nosed veteran Husain Abdullah to factor significantly into the Chiefs’ 2014 defensive backfield.

Up front, the Chiefs’ defense made a few moves along the line, which had proved vulnerable at times last season after injuries to Pro Bowl outside linebackers Tamba Hali and Justin Houston. The defensive end position left vacated by former third overall pick Tyson Jackson will be fought over by Allen Bailey and Vance Walker, whom Chiefs fan will recall played with the Raiders last season. The Chiefs also hoped to provide depth to their outside linebacking corps by drafting pass rush specialist Dee Ford in the first round of the 2014 Draft. Additionally, former Alabama standout linebacker Nico Johnson will look to start alongside All Pro Derrick Johnson at the interior of Sutton‘s 3-4 defense.

The Chiefs stayed relatively quiet this offseason: although at one point they mistakenly thought that they had made waves by signing Emmanuel Sanders, the reigning AFC Wild Card team made no major acquisitions despite losing three starters on the offensive line and a Pro Bowl cornerback. In order to succeed, big strides will need to be made by Andy Reid’s young pair of bookend offensive linemen- Stephenson and Fisher. Off the field, Alex Smith’s contract renewal situation will increasingly loom over the franchise until the former 49er receives a new deal.

As long as Jamaal Charles stays healthy, the Kansas City offense possesses one of the most dangerous weapons in the NFL, and the defense should continue to improve after last season’s renaissance. Although the Broncos are still clearly a superior team and will likely dominate the AFC West once again, the Chiefs will be a popular pick to win a return trip to the AFC Wild Card round.

Spotrac and Over The Cap were used in the creation of this post.

Offseason In Review: Baltimore Ravens

Notable signings:

Notable losses:

Extensions and restructures:

Trades:

  • Acquired Jeremy Zuttah from the Buccaneers in exchange for a 2015 fifth-round pick. Extended Zuttah through 2018. Three years, $9.25MM. $6.5MM guaranteed. Reduced cap hit for 2014.
  • Acquired a seventh-round pick (No. 218) from the Browns in exchange for a 2015 sixth-round pick.

Draft picks:

  • C.J. Mosley, LB, Alabama (1.17): Signed
  • Timmy Jernigan, DT, Florida State (2.48): Signed
  • Terrence Brooks, S, Florida State (3.79): Signed
  • Crockett Gillmore, TE, Colorado State (3.99): Signed
  • Brent Urban, DT, Virginia (4.134): Signed
  • Lorenzo Taliaferro, RB, Costal Carolina (4.138): Signed
  • John Urschel, G, Penn State (5.175): Signed
  • Keith Wenning, QB, Ball State (6.194): Signed
  • Michael Campanaro, WR, Wake Forest (7.218): Signed

Other:

Following the 2012 season, the Ravens were on top of the world. After winning the AFC North with a 10-6 record, they went on incredible ride through the playoffs that was culminated by beating the 49ers in Super Bowl XLVII. Joe Flacco, the Super Bowl MVP-winning quarterback who had bet on himself in the offseason, came up aces, securing a six-year, $120.6MM contract. All was well in Baltimore, and the team was expected to remain competitive for years to come.

The 2013 season didn’t play out as planned, however — Flacco and the entire offense regressed, finishing 25th in scoring, 28th in total yardage, and 30th in offensive DVOA. Even the team’s vaunted defense suffered, and the Ravens finished third in the division with an 8-8 record, missing the playoffs for the first time during John Harbaugh’s tenure as head coach.Steve Smith

To help repair its offense, Baltimore hired former Texans head coach Gary Kubiak to replace play-caller Jim Caldwell, who took the head job with the Lions. Kubiak is a known fan of multiple tight end formations, and he will have plenty of options to work with in 2014. After inking four-year veteran Dennis Pitta to a five-year, $32MM extension, the Ravens brought in Kubiak’s former protégé Owen Daniels, signing him to bargain one-year deal worth $1MM. Add in third-round pick Crockett Gillmore, and this looks like a tight end group that could serve as the basis for a play-action-heavy offensive scheme.

Joining the TEs on offense will be new addition Steve Smith, who signed for three years and $10.5MM. The 35-year-old Smith, who will line up opposite Torrey Smith, certainly isn’t the player he once was, but is entering an offense where he will be surrounded by more playmakers than in Carolina. He should act as a nice complementary piece, and bring some of the toughness and attitude for which the Ravens were once known. Jacoby Jones, who will add speed both on offense and special teams, was retained on a four-year, $12MM pact. Baltimore signed Justin Forsett (another former Kubiak student), but the running back corps will remain largely the same. Ray Rice was the worst RB in football season according to Pro Football Focus (subscription required), and will likely be facing a suspension due to a domestic incident. As such, Forsett, fourth-rounder Lorenzo Taliaferro, and Bernard Pierce may have to play a larger role to begin the season.

Another change on offense will be the implementation of a zone-blocking scheme along the offensive line. Center Jeremy Zuttah was acquired (then extended) from the Buccaneers with that transition in mind, as the versatile 28-year-old is a smart player who can fit along most any front five. The Ravens also brought back left tackle Eugene Monroe, whom they acquired from the Jaguars in midseason, on a five-year deal worth $37.5MM, and he should add stability to Flacco’s blindside. No replacement was signed to take over right tackle following the departure of Michael Oher, so the winner of a Ricky WagnerRyan Jensen battle will likely man the right side come September.

On the defensive side of the ball, Baltimore’s moves exhibited why Ozzie Newsome is regarded as one of the best general managers in the game. The Ravens, sticking to their best-player-available strategy in the draft, selected Alabama linebacker C.J. Mosley, regarded by some as the best defensive prospect in the draft, with pick No. 17. Mosley should become an immediate starter in the middle alongside veteran Daryl Smith, who was re-signed on a four-year, $13.6MM contract. Smith, who racked 123 tackles, five sacks, and three interceptions in 2013, and Mosley should form one of the better inside linebacker duos in the league. The outside linebacker spots will be held down once again by Terrell Suggs, who was extended through 2018, and Elvis Dumervil, with Pernell McPhee and 2013 second-rounder Courtney Upshaw backing them up.

In front of the linebackers, second-rounder Timmy Jernigan (another Newsome draft-day steal) will be joining an already-stout defensive line. Jernigan, at 6’2″, 300 pounds, will be part of a rotation at end in the Ravens’ 3-4 defense, along with Brandon Williams and Chris Canty, as the team seeks to replace the production of Arthur Jones, who left for Indianapolis. At nose tackle, the über-effective Haloti Ngata will enter his ninth season in the league, and will be backed up by the massive Terrence Cody.

Cornerback remains one of the most stable positions on the Ravens roster; Lardarius Webb and Jimmy Smith, whose fifth-year option was exercised, will attempt to shut down opposing receivers. Baltimore’s safety group, however, will have a bit different look — gone is James Ihedigbo, and in are free agent signee Darian Stewart (one year, $1.3MM) and third-round pick Terrance Brooks, who will likely play in some sort of rotation opposite Matt Elam, the team’s 2013 first-round-pick.

There are still pressing issues to be resolved in Baltimore — an extension for Jimmy Smith needs to be worked out, the defense needs to get even younger, and the offensive line could use a veteran addition. Additionally, Flacco’s massive contract figures to hinder the Ravens’ cap situation for some time. However, the team has one of the best GM-coach tandems in the NFL in Newsome and Harbaugh, and the methodical, detail-oriented approach on display year-after-year in Baltimore will likely continue to serve the team well. The Ravens probably aren’t the favorites in a tight AFC North, but a wild card spot isn’t out of the question, and might even be likely.

Spotrac and Over The Cap were used in the creation of this post.

PFR Originals: 6/22/14 – 6/29/14

The original content produced by the PFR staff during the past week: