FA Rumors: Pats, Jefferson, Jags, Falcons

Free agency officially opens on March 9, so let’s round up a few FA-related notes and rumors from around the league:

  • Although it is difficult, as usual, to pin down the Patriots‘ free agency plans, Ben Volin of the Boston Globe does his best, writing that the club is “taking a long look” at the tight end position but that Martellus Bennett could certainly be back, that the team is in the defensive end market now that Chris Long is gone and Jabaal Sheard appears unlikely to return, and that Logan Ryan is likely to price himself out of the Patriots’ price range. Volin names the Jaguars and Raiders as two teams with serious interest in Bennett.
  • Speaking of the Jaguars, the club is expected to let Tyson Alualu hit the open market, as Ryan O’Halloran of the Florida Times-Union writes.
  • In a separate piece, O’Halloran lists the Jaguars‘ most pressing needs in free agency and examines how they could address those needs with an aggressive approach or with a more disciplined approach. He predicts that the Jags will land this year’s top FA cornerback, A.J. Bouye, if Bouye does not re-sign with Houston.
  • Jason Cole of Bleacher Report, citing an agent who represents a FA safety, says that the CardinalsTony Jefferson can expect to land a contract that will pay him $7MM per year (Twitter link). Jason La Canfora of CBS Sports, though, tweets that Jefferson is likely to get paid closer to $10MM per year.
  • D. Orlando Ledbetter of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution writes that the Falcons, who are moving towards an extension for Desmond Trufant, want to re-sign tight end Levine Toilolo, safety/linebacker Kemal Ishmael, and fullback Patrick DiMarco before free agency opens. The team is expected to let Jacob Tamme hit free agency and to wait until after the draft to make a decision on Dwight Freeney. Atlanta is also waiting to hear back from guard Chris Chester, who is contemplating retirement.
  • The Falcons plan to upgrade their defensive front in free agency and the draft, as Vaughn McClure of ESPN.com writes. The club is expected to re-sign Courtney Upshaw, and McClure names Cowboys’ DT Terrell McClain as one potential target for Atlanta.
  • Mike Klis of 9News.com writes that the Broncos are seeking help on both the offensive and defensive line in free agency, but he observes that the club may be operating with two budgets: one that includes Tony Romo, and one that doesn’t. Even if Denver does not land the long-time Cowboys signal-caller, Klis says the Broncos will have to manage the cap creatively, as they have a number of housekeeping moves to make that will eat into their $35MM of cap room, and offensive and defensive linemen do not come cheap on the open market.

Falcons, Desmond Trufant Moving Towards Deal

Negotiations between the Falcons and top cornerback Desmond Trufant are “heating up,” according to D. Orlando Ledbetter of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Atlanta GM Thomas Dimitroff said last week that locking up Trufant was going to be the club’s next major move, and it appears as if he is making good on his word.

Desmond Trufant

Trufant, the 22nd-overall pick of the 2013 draft, quickly established himself as the Falcons’ best cover corner and was named to his first Pro Bowl in 2015. He picked up right where he left off in 2016, but he suffered a torn pectoral in Week 9 and missed the rest of the season, which was a major blow to a pass defense that struggled even with Trufant in the lineup. At the time of the injury, Trufant ranked as the 32nd-best corner in the NFL out of 119 qualified players, according to Pro Football Focus’ advanced metrics, and he had picked up an interception and two sacks. For his career, he has seven interceptions and three sacks.

He had also been highly durable before the injury, having started every game from Week 1 of his rookie season to Week 9 of 2016 (a total of 57 contests). He is already under contract for 2017, as the Falcons picked up his fifth-year option, but the team obviously wants to keep him in Atlanta for the foreseeable future.

Of course, Trufant will not come cheap. The market for top cornerbacks seems to increase dramatically with each passing year, and Trufant can use recent deals for Darius Slay (five years, $51.33MM) and Janoris Jenkins (five years, $62.5MM) as benchmarks.

Per Ledbetter, Dimitroff and head coach Dan Quinn met with Trufant’s agents until midnight last night. The club is also trying to resign safety Kemal Ishmael, tight end Levine Toilolo, and fullback Patrick DiMarco.

“Not Much Progress” Between Packers, Jared Cook

We heard at the end of January that the Packers would make re-signing tight end Jared Cook a priority, and just yesterday we learned that Green Bay contract negotiator Russ Ball met with Cook’s agent (along with the agents for some of the club’s other top UFAs). But as Jason Cole of Bleacher Report tweets, although the two sides are talking, there has not been much progress towards a new deal.

Jared Cook

Indeed, Cole makes it sound as if the Packers are low-balling Cook, as he writes that Green Bay is being “frugal” at the moment. Cook signed a modest one-year, $2.75MM contract with the Packers last offseason, which was quite a step back from the five-year, $35.1MM deal he signed with the Rams back in 2013. But while his first year in Green Bay was partially derailed by an ankle injury, he really turned it on during the Packers’ playoff run, piling up 13 receptions for 181 yards and two scores in two games. He finished the regular season with 30 catches (on 51 targets), 377 yards, and a touchdown.

His postseason explosion, though, figures to get him a multi-year pact, as he demonstrated the ability that led to his early-career success with the Titans and that convinced the Rams to hand him a lucrative free agent contract. PFR ranks Cook as the second-best tight end eligible for free agency, right behind the Patriots’ Martellus Bennett.

Spotrac.com believes Cook is worth a four-year deal, $13.77MM deal. But he may have more value than that for the Packers, who know just how deadly Aaron Rodgers can be with a talented tight end at his disposal.

Redskins Extend HC Jay Gruden

The Redskins and head coach Jay Gruden have agreed to an extension that will keep Gruden under contract through the 2020 season, which John Keim of ESPN.com was the first to report. Gruden had two years left on his original five-year pact, all of which was guaranteed, and this new extension tacks an additional two years onto the end of that deal.

Jay Gruden (Vertical)

As ESPN’s Adam Schefter observes, this marks the first time club owner Dan Snyder has extended a head coach since he bought the team in 1999. No head coach has lasted more than four years under Snyder, who has had seven head coaches and one interim coach during his tenure.

Interestingly, this move comes just as fans and analysts are beginning to wonder if Snyder is up to his usual tricks with respect to GM Scot McCloughan. As PFR’s Sam Robinson wrote last night, McCloughan is absent from this weekend’s Combine, which has caused agents of free agents to question the stability of the organization. Indeed, agents and other league insiders wondered if there was more to the story than the team is letting on — McCloughan’s absence has been officially attributed to the death of his grandmother — and some agents are taking this as a sign to steer their clients away from Washington.

Gruden, 50, has guided the Redskins to a 21-26-1 record during his first three years at the helm, but he has gone 17-14-1 the past two years, and he captured an NFC East title in 2015. It is the first time Washington has posted consecutive winning seasons since 1996-97.

The Redskins, though, remain at an organizational crossroads given the uncertainty that surrounds their GM and their quarterback situation, and given the fact that Gruden will be working with two new coordinators in 2017, Greg Manusky (DC) and Matt Cavanaugh (OC).

Extra Points: Thomas, Saints, Dolphins, Draft

Here are some notes from around the league on the final Sunday before the Scouting Combine.

  • Ryan O’Halloran of the Florida Times-Union examines a few reasons why the recently traded Julius Thomas did not meet expectations with the Jaguars. Citing a league source, O’Halloran says that Thomas’ Jacksonville tenure was marred by the fact that he did not make enough downfield catches, that he did not create enough yards after the catch, and that he performed poorly as a blocker. Still, O’Halloran believes the Jags should not have dealt Thomas, as he says they are not in position to part with talented players, regardless of their flaws.
  • The Saints have expressed their desire to bolster their pass rush this offseason, and Larry Holder of the Times-Picayune notes that New Orleans, for the first time in a while, has money to spend in free agency. Holder adds that New Orleans would probably be willing to make a splash for a big-name pass rusher like Melvin Ingram, though if Ingram gets the franchise tag from the Chargers, or if his price becomes too rich for the Saints’ liking, Holder points to Nick Perry as a quality alternative.
  • Without a similar deep-threat playmaker on the team, James Walker of ESPN.com wonders why the Dolphins would potentially allow Kenny Stills to depart as a free agent. One of the top wideouts who stand to be available this year, Stills has drawn interest from the receiver-needy Eagles and wouldn’t mind moving to the west coast. The former Oklahoma Sooner is an Oceanside, Calif., native. While the Dolphins have reportedly attempted to prioritize Stills, it’s clear they will have competition if he reaches the market.
  • The NFL rule that keeps incoming draft picks with certain types of past off-field misconduct away from all league-sponsored events — like the Scouting Combine — is coming under increased scrutiny, as Mike Florio of Pro Football Talk writes. Florio observes that teams will evaluate all players regardless of whether they are invited to the Combine, but they nonetheless prefer that the players be available in one place at the same time. As such, the competition committee could address the issue later this year, either by modifying the current rule or by scrapping it entirely, and any changes could be effective as soon as 2018.
  • Tony Pauline of DraftAnalyst.com believes that as many as three guards could go in the first round of this year’s draft, with Pittsburgh’s Dorian Johnson, Indiana’s Dan Feeney, and Western Kentucky’s Forrest Lamp all looking like players that could be among the top 32 selected. Pauline notes that the offensive line as a unit is probably the weakest area of the draft, which means that some of the higher-rated prospects — like Lamp, whom Pauline does not believe is worthy of a first-round selection — and even those with middle-round grades will be overdrafted.

Sam Robinson contributed to this report

AFC East Notes: Garoppolo, McCoy, Jets

Patriots quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo will continue to be one of the most-discussed players this offseason until he’s either traded or New England officially decides to keep him, and Ryan Hannable of WEEI.com expects Garoppolo rumors to heat up even more this week. For the first time this offseason, the entire NFL will be in the same place at the NFL combine, which begins Wednesday, and as Hannble writes, the foundation for a future trade is often laid at the combine. While it is highly unlikely a trade will be consummated this week, we could start to get more of an idea of which teams are truly interested in trading for Garoppolo and what the Pats might realistically seek in return.

Now for more out of the AFC East:

  • Mike Reiss of ESPN.com believes receiver Michael Floyd could return to the Patriots, who claimed him off waivers in mid-December, but despite Floyd’s tantalizing physical ability, Reiss does not think New England will get into a competitive situation to retain him. Floyd will likely be suspended for at least two games as a result of his recent DUI, and he struggled to get on the same page with Tom Brady during his brief tenure in New England. He was a healthy scratch in Super Bowl LI.
  • LeSean McCoy set off alarm bells in Buffalo this morning — probably unintentionally — with an Instagram post that said “Buffalo was so special … thanks for everything.” Multiple sources later clarified that the Bills running back simply meant that he appreciated his time at an autograph signing in Buffalo on Saturday, and that he was heading back home. However, Mike Florio of Pro Football Talk speculates that McCoy could still be cut, as his running style may not mesh with new OC Rick Dennison‘s one-cut zone scheme. Buffalo would save only $1MM against the cap by releasing him this year, but they could create more savings and spread out the dead money hit of $7.875MM if they designate him a post-June 1 release.
  • Rich Cimini of ESPN.com writes that the Jets now have the leverage in contract talks with Darrelle Revis, as Revis’ poor 2016 season and his pending criminal charges have forced the longtime star to admit that he is willing to take a pay cut to remain in New York. But Cimini writes that the team may simply look to release Revis, regardless of how much of a discount he is willing to accept.
  • In the same piece, Cimini writes that Geno Smith‘s leaving the Jets in free agency is not the sure thing that many assume, as Smith fits the description of a low-cost veteran signal-caller with starting experience that New York may be looking for, and a recent cryptic tweet from Smith has fueled speculation that he could be back. However, Cimini still believes the two sides will part ways in 2017.
  • Wesley Johnson is expected to take over as the Jets‘ starting center following the release of Nick Mangold, but Darryl Slater of NJ.com suggests a few alternatives. Slater names Joe Hawley and Stefen Wisniewski as potential free agent targets and Ethan Pocic, who is regarded as one of the best centers in the draft, as a potential rookie replacement.
  • Now that the Dolphins addressed their tight end position with the acquisition of Julius Thomas — though the team is still interested in bringing back Dion Sims, who is a much better blocker than Thomas — James Walker of ESPN.com looks at Miami’s remaining needs. In Walker’s view, the Dolphins now need to turn their attention to reinforcements at linebacker, guard, and defensive end.miami

Matt Elam Arrested On Drug Charges

Ravens safety Matt Elam was arrested in Miami earlier this morning and charged with possession of more than 20 grams of cannabis, possession of cannabis with the intent to sell or deliver, and possession of a controlled substance, as Michael David Smith of Pro Football Talk reports. Police say they initially stopped Elam for reckless driving, but they arrested him when they found 126 grams of marijuana and three grams of oxycodone in his vehicle.

Matt Elam

The Ravens selected Elam in the first round (No. 32 overall) of the 2013 draft. Although his struggles in his rookie campaign were largely chalked up to growing pains and the fact that he was playing free safety when his skill-set is better-suited to strong safety, he continued to play poorly when he was moved closer to the line in 2014. Though he played in all 16 of Baltimore’s regular season games — including 11 starts — and both of the team’s postseason contests in 2014, he led the team in missed tackles and struggled mightily in coverage. He was ultimately bumped from the starting lineup in favor of Will Hill.

However, he seemed to demonstrate some improvement in offseason workouts and in training camp prior to the 2015 campaign, but a torn biceps forced him to miss the entire season (it should be noted that he did receive a one-game suspension for violating the NFL’s policy on substances of abuse in 2015, but he did not miss any action because he was already on season-ending IR).

The Ravens still had high hopes for him going into the 2016 season, but he was forced to undergo arthroscopic surgery to repair a chip in his knee last August and missed roughly half of the season as a result. He appeared in only nine games and recorded a total of one tackle.

The Ravens declined Elam’s fifth-year option for 2017, so he will be eligible for unrestricted free agency in March. Given his draft pedigree and relative youth, Elam surely would have found work somewhere but today’s arrest, combined with his prior drug-related suspension, could change that.

The Ravens issued a brief official statement on the matter. Via Jeff Zrebiec of the Baltimore Sun (Twitter link):

“We are aware of the arrest of Matt Elam. Matt is not in our plans for the 2017 Ravens.”

ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler tweets that the league is “looking into” the incident.

Raiders To Let Latavius Murray Become FA

The Raiders are not expected to re-sign running back Latavius Murray before free agency opens on March 9, Josina Anderson of ESPN.com tweets. Anderson notes that the club is willing to bring him back after he tests the open market.

Latavius Murray

Oakland selected Murray in the sixth round of the 2013 draft, but he did not see consistent playing time until 2015, when he became the first Raider since Darren McFadden in 2010 to surpass 1,000 rushing yards. In 2016, he amassed just 788 yards rushing as rookies Jalen Richard and DeAndre Washington ate into his workload. Both Richard and Washington surpassed 400 rushing yards and averaged over five yards per carry, as opposed to Murray’s more pedestrian four yards per carry (though Murray did rush for 12 touchdowns last season).

Murray’s 4.0 YPC average matched his 2015 figure, so he is not viewed as a particularly explosive back. Nonetheless, he will certainly have a market, as teams like the Giants, Buccaneers, and Vikings could be in need of a medium- or long-term backfield solution. Plus, Murray has less wear and tear than other backs who have entered free agency in recent years, with only 543 career carries. The Eagles have also been named as a potential destination for the UCF product.

The Raiders did engage in contract talks with Murray last month, but obviously those talks did not lead to a new deal. And while Oakland would be open to re-signing him later in the offseason, Anderson tweets that the club is focused on long-term deals for Derek Carr and Khalil Mack, and the team is also aware that this year’s draft is deep at running back. As such, it sounds like the Raiders would be happy to let Murray walk and allow Richard, Washington, and a rookie back carry the load moving forward.

PFR recently ranked Murray as the fourth-best running back eligible for free agency this year.

North Notes: LaFell, Levy, Garoppolo

Brandon LaFell turned in a strong 2016 for the Bengals after signing a modest one-year, $2.5MM deal with the club last offseason. As a result, Jim Owczarski of the Cincinnati Enquirer says that LaFell is one of Cincinnati’s top free agent priorities, as the Bengals believe his strong route-running skills and his red zone presence would be even more effective if they can get fully healthy seasons from A.J. Green and Tyler Eifert. LaFell indicated that he would like to return, though he should attract plenty of attention on the open market if he does not re-up with Cincinnati before free agency opens.

Now for more from the league’s North divisions:

  • The Lions may approach linebacker DeAndre Levy about a restructure that allows him to make the same amount of money that he would earn under his current deal if he stays healthy, but Dave Birkett of the Detroit Free Press says that, from Levy’s perspective, it may be best to rebuff any such efforts. After all, if Levy were to be released, plenty of teams would be happy to pay him and gamble on his health (Twitter links).
  • The Lions need to address their pass defense in a big way, having yielded the highest completion percentage in modern NFL history (72.7%) in 2016. Nate Atkins of MLive.com says that Detroit is more likely to focus on pass rushers and cornerbacks, but he adds that the team should not ignore the safety position either, especially since Glover Quin is in his 30s and Tavon Wilson is entering the final year of his contract. To that end, Atkins names a few safeties the team could select in this year’s draft.
  • Mary Kay Cabot of the Cleveland Plain Dealer believes that if the bidding for Patriots quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo gets high enough, the Browns should be willing to send their No. 1 overall pick to New England to acquire him. After all, if they’re willing to spend that pick on UNC signal-caller Mitch Trubisky, whose collegiate experience is limited, they should be willing to use that selection on a QB who has a little professional experience and who has a lot of upside in his own right.
  • Gerry Dulac of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette writes that the biggest objective for the Steelers this offseason is to find an outside linebacker that can generate consistent pressure on opposing quarterbacks. Bud Dupree showed some promise down the stretch in 2016, but Jarvis Jones is unlikely to return, and if the club re-signs the ageless James Harrison, Dulac believes it would not make much sense to acquire another veteran free agent OLB. As such, he writes that Pittsburgh could once again address the position in the first round of the draft.
  • We learned earlier today that former Ravens first-rounder Matt Elam was arrested on serious drug charges in Miami.

Top 3 Offseason Needs: Baltimore Ravens

In advance of March 9, the start of free agency in the NFL, Pro Football Rumors will detail each team’s three most glaring roster issues. We’ll continue this year’s series with the Baltimore Ravens, who have now missed the playoffs in back-to-back seasons for the first time in the John Harbaugh era. Despite calls for their dismissal, Harbaugh and his top assistants will be back in 2017 in what will likely be a do-or-die year for them. There is enough of a foundation for the club to make a playoff push in 2017, but they will need to have a strong offseason in order to return to the postseason.

Depth Chart (via Roster Resource)

Pending Free Agents:

Top 10 Cap Hits For 2017:

  1. Joe Flacco, QB: $24,550,000
  2. Jimmy Smith, CB: $12,600,00
  3. Marshal Yanda, G: $9,125,220
  4. Elvis Dumervil, LB: $8,375,000
  5. Mike Wallace: $8,000,000
  6. Dennis Pitta: $7,700,000
  7. Lardarius Webb, S: $7,500,000
  8. Terrell Suggs, LB: $6,950,0000
  9. Eric Weddle, S: $5,750,000
  10. Shareece Wright, CB: $5,333,333

Current Projected Cap Room (via Over the Cap): $15,387,844

Other:

  • Must exercise or decline 2018 fifth-year option for LB C.J. Mosley

Three Needs:

1) Wide Receiver Help: GM Ozzie Newsome’s greatest weakness has been his ability to draft difference-making wide receivers. Breshad Perriman, whom the team selected in the first round of the 2015 draft, missed his entire rookie campaign due to injury, and though he was able to stay healthy throughout the entire 2016 season and showed some flashes of his potential, the jury is decidedly out on the UCF product. As it stands now, ex-Raven Torrey Smith is the best receiver the club has ever drafted, and though he had a productive career in Baltimore, he does not belong in the same conversation as AFC North elites like Antonio Brown and A.J. Green.

Dec 4, 2016; Glendale, AZ, USA; Washington Redskins wide receiver Pierre Garcon (88) against the Arizona Cardinals at University of Phoenix Stadium. The Cardinals defeated the Redskins 31-23. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

As such, the team has been forced to rely on acquiring veteran possession receivers on the downside of their careers. Steve Smith, Anquan Boldin, and Derrick Mason all enjoyed some success with the Ravens, and now that Smith has retired and Kamar Aiken appears to be on his way out, Baltimore will likely need to turn to free agency yet again. The market for veteran wideouts is fairly underwhelming, as the Ravens will likely not be in play for the biggest fish in the free agent pool, Alshon Jeffery. Jeffery will probably get a Green-esque contract, and the Ravens simply cannot afford to spend that much (nor is it their practice to make such a splash in free agency).

Pierre Garcon seems like a perfect fit, as he is a quality possession receiver who would nicely complement Perriman and Mike Wallace (the latter of whom has been discussed as a potential cap casualty, though given his production in 2016 and Baltimore’s dearth of receiver talent, it would be shocking if the Ravens were to part ways with Wallace). However, the Redskins would reportedly like to have Garcon back, and even if he does not return to Washington, the Ravens will face stiff competition for his services.

That leaves less appealing options like Kenny Britt and Brandon LaFell, as Terrelle Pryor will likely stay in Cleveland or will be too pricey for the Ravens’ liking, and Kenny Stills’ skill-set is too similar to that of Wallace and Perriman. Of course, the Ravens could always pounce on an intriguing cap casualty like Brandon Marshall — if he is released — or Victor Cruz, though such players come with plenty of question marks.

Unfortunately for the Ravens, who hold the No. 16 overall selection in the 2017 draft, this year’s rookie class of wide receivers is lacking in top-end talent. Clemson’s Mike Williams, the consensus No. 1 wide receiver in the class, has a nice combination of size and speed but could be off the board by the time the Ravens are on the clock. Western Michigan’s Corey Davis or USC’s JuJu Smith-Schuster should still be available, with Davis looking like the better all-around prospect (Smith-Schuster projects as a possession receiver at the next level).

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