PFR Originals News & Rumors

Top 3 Offseason Needs: Los Angeles Rams

In advance of March 9, the start of free agency in the NFL, Pro Football Rumors will detail each team’s three most glaring roster issues. This year’s series continues with the Rams, whose second act in Los Angeles began horrifically this season. The Rams sputtered to a 4-12 showing, which led to the in-season firing of the embattled Jeff Fisher and the postseason hiring of the youngest head coach in the modern era, 31-year-old Sean McVay.

"<strong

Previously a successful offensive coordinator with the Redskins, McVay is inheriting a 22-year-old quarterback, Jared Goff, who underwhelmed as a rookie after the Rams traded up to select him first overall in the draft. The Rams don’t have either a first- or third-round pick this year because of that trade, which is a painful reality for a franchise that would have otherwise chosen fifth overall. Goff could begin to realize his vast potential under McVay, of course, and that would make the deal much easier to accept.

As the Rams wait to see how the two wunderkinds will fare in Year 1 of their partnership, their Les Snead-led front office will work to improve a roster that scored the fewest points and allowed the third-highest total in the NFL in 2016.

Depth Chart (via Roster Resource)

Pending Free Agents:

Top 10 Cap Hits For 2017:

  1. Tavon Austin, WR: $14,977,116
  2. Mark Barron, LB: $11,000,000
  3. Michael Brockers, DT: $11,000,000
  4. Robert Quinn, DE: $10,750,334
  5. Alec Ogletree, LB: $8,369,000
  6. Greg Robinson, OT: $6,772,213
  7. Jared Goff, QB: $6,349,471
  8. Rodger Saffold, G: $6,222,233
  9. William Hayes, DE: $5,500,000
  10. Lance Kendricks, TE: $4,250,000

Current Projected Cap Room (via Over the Cap): $40,203,030

Other:

Three Needs:

1.) Repair the offensive line: If you’re building around youth at quarterback and running back, two places the Rams have invested heavily over the past couple years, common sense says you should possess a strong group of blockers. That wasn’t the case in 2016 for the Rams, whose offensive line graded as Football Outsiders’ fourth-worst group and Pro Football Focus’ sixth-worst unit. Only lowly Cleveland allowed more sacks than Los Angeles (49), whose rushers posted the league’s 10th-lowest yards-per-carry mark (3.9). Dual-threat wide receiver Tavon Austin drove up the latter figure, averaging 5.7 yards on 28 rushes. The Rams’ actual backs, including 2015 rookie sensation Todd Gurley, were far less impressive. Gurley shockingly stumbled to a 3.2 YPC – down 50 percent from his 4.8 the prior season – on 278 attempts and failed to eclipse the 85-yard mark in any of his 16 games. He certainly isn’t blameless for his dreadful second season, but it’s clear he and Goff need more support up front.

While the Rams are fine at left guard (Rodger Saffold) and right tackle (Rob Havenstein), they’d be wise to seek upgrades along the remainder of the line. That includes left tackle, where Greg Robinson has busted since going second overall in the 2014 draft. It’s doubtful the Rams will move on this offseason from Robinson, as he’s still young (24) and will be on their books at his full cap hit ($6.77MM-plus) even if they release him. They’ll surely decline his fifth-year option for 2018, however, and ought to look for a starting-caliber replacement for at least next season. Unfortunately, neither free agency nor the draft will brim with blindside options this offseason.

The open market’s top solution could be the Bengals’ Andrew Whitworth, who’s stellar but also aging (35). Otherwise, tackles scheduled to reach free agency include less capable protectors like Riley Reiff (Lions), Matt Kalil (Vikings) and Luke Joeckel (Jaguars). As is the case with Robinson, both Kalil and Joeckel have been letdowns since their respective teams used top five picks on them in recent years, though it might be worth pointing out that Kalil is a California native who formerly thrived in the Rams’ temporary stadium, the LA Coliseum, as a member of the USC Trojans. Past success aside, he’s certainly not a premier blocker these days.

In the event the Rams wait until the draft, where they’re scheduled to pick 37th, they could end up in contention for any of Wisconsin’s Ryan Ramczyk, Utah’s Garrett Bolles or Alabama’s Cam Robinson. All three tackles currently reside in the top 50 prospect rankings of draft gurus Daniel Jeremiah (NFL.com) and Matt Miller (Bleacher Report).

"<strong

Moving to the interior, where the Rams should add a second high-end guard to complement Saffold and make life easier for Gurley, T.J. Lang (Packers), Kevin Zeitler (Bengals) and Ronald Leary (Cowboys) stand out as the foremost soon-to-be free agents. While all figure to rake in sizable contracts in the coming months, any would significantly improve the Rams’ line.

It would behoove the Rams to land one of those three, as the early second round doesn’t seem as if it’ll overflow with possibilities. Jeremiah and Miller only have one guard apiece in their top 50 – Western Kentucky’s Forrest Lamp is the former’s 16th-ranked player, while the latter’s list includes Indiana’s Dan Feeney at No. 37 (which matches LA’s pick).

Lastly, it’s possible the Rams will search for a superior center to Tim Barnes, who, to his credit, is coming off back-to-back 16-start seasons. For Gurley’s sake, it would make sense to target a better run blocker like A.Q. Shipley (Cardinals) or J.C. Tretter (Packers) on the open market. Jason Kelce could also become available if the Eagles release him, which looks like a legitimate possibility.

Read more

Top 3 Offseason Needs: Green Bay Packers

In advance of March 9, the start of free agency in the NFL, Pro Football Rumors will detail each team’s three most glaring roster issues. We’ll continue this year’s series with the Green Bay Packers, who rallied from a poor start to take the NFC North crown before being defeated in the NFC championship game.

Depth Chart (via Roster Resource)

Pending Free Agents:

Top 10 Cap Hits for 2017:

  1. Aaron Rodgers, QB: $20,300,000
  2. Clay Matthews, LB: $15,200,000
  3. Randall Cobb, WR: $12,750,000
  4. Sam Shields, CB: $12,125,000
  5. Jordy Nelson, WR: $11,550,000
  6. Mike Daniels, DL: $10,400,000
  7. Bryan Bulaga, T: $7,850,000
  8. Morgan Burnett, S: $7,000,000
  9. David Bakhtiari, T: $6,171,000
  10. James Starks, RB: $3,750,000

Other:

  • Projected cap space (via Over the Cap): $35,719,981
  • 29th pick in draft
  • Must exercise or decline 2018 fifth-year option for S Ha Ha Clinton-Dix

Three Needs:

1) Clean up the secondary: Let’s begin with one obvious fact: Anyone who watched Sunday’s NFC championship game witnessed the Falcons and quarterback Matt Ryan continuously torch Green Bay’s defensive backfield — which gave up the NFL’s most yards per attempt during the regular season — on their way to nearly 400 yards and four touchdowns. Here’s another obvious fact: Packers general manager Ted Thompson, for the most part, doesn’t venture into the free agency waters, preferring to build his club internally.Damarious Randall (vertical)

Those two opposing statements leave Green Bay with two possible offseason approaches to addressing its secondary. One option sees the club sticking to its usual formula, pinning its hopes on improvement from third-year cornerbacks Damarious Randall and Quinten Rollins, and filling in the gaps with developmental draft picks. Alternatively, the Packers could — as quarterback Aaron Rodgers termed it earlier this week — “reload” by attacking the free agent market with vigor for the first time since the Julius Peppers signing in 2014.

An offseason search for a free agent corner isn’t without precedent in Green Bay, as Thompson & Co. were suitors for Darrelle Revis in 2015. Cap room shouldn’t be an issue for the Packers, as the club already boasts more than $35MM in space and could clear more by releasing (or demanding a paycut from) Clay Matthews, Randall Cobb, Sam Shields, and James Starks. The open market should be flush with cornerback options, although a number of elite defenders — such as the Texans’ A.J. Bouye and the Rams’ Trumaine Johnson — could be facing the franchise tag.Logan Ryan (Vertical)

Still, while Green Bay might not be open to hunting for a true No. 1 corner, the team should at least target a second-tier option that could lock down one side of the field, alleviating pressure on the rest of the Packers’ young defensive backfield. Logan Ryan (Patriots) jumps off the page as a near-perfect fit for Green Bay, as the 25-year-old ranked as the No. 14 CB in the league last season, per Pro Football Focus, and would serve as an immediate upgrade to the team’s current depth chart. Ryan should require a multiyear deal, so if the Packers are only interested in short-term commitments, Brandon Carr, Morris Claiborne, or Prince Amukamara could be preferable.

If Green Bay wants to get a bit more creative, it could also explore a trade for Browns defensive back Joe Haden, whom multiple teams scouted in advance of last year’s trade deadline. Haden is still only 27 years old and is signed through the 2019 campaign, and although injuries have affected his play over the past few seasons, he’d be a worthwhile project for the Packers. Fellow Cleveland corner Tramon Williams (a former Packer) was also the subject of trade rumors last fall, and could be a target for Green Bay following his likely release this spring.

The draft offers the final avenue for the Packers to acquire a new cornerback, and the club should have several options when pick No. 29 comes around. While Ohio State’s Marshon Lattimore will be long gone, his teammate Gareon Conley could still be available, as could Florida’s Teez Tabor, Washington’s Sidney Jones, or Alabama’s Marlon Humphrey. If Green Bay goes in another direction in Round 1, the team could still look at corner on Day 2, and Chad Reuter of NFL.com projects the Packers to select Fabian Moreau (UCLA) at pick No. 61 in his first mock draft of the year.

Read more

Top 3 Offsesason Needs: Oakland Raiders

In advance of March 9, the start of free agency in the NFL, Pro Football Rumors will detail each team’s three most glaring roster issues. We’ll continue this year’s series with the Oakland Raiders, who ended a 13-season playoff drought by going 12-4 and advancing to the AFC bracket. A historically ill-timed injury to Derek Carr spoiled the Raiders’ realistic chances at making a postseason run, but the team is well-positioned to be a factor for years to come. Whether they’re going to be identified with Oakland or Las Vegas, the Raiders have the pieces to be considered one of the AFC favorites in 2017.

Depth Chart (via Roster Resource)

Pending Free Agents:

Top 10 Cap Hits for 2017:

  1. Kelechi Osemele, G: $13,200,000
  2. Sean Smith, CB: $9,500,000
  3. David Amerson, CB: $8,500,000
  4. Michael Crabtree, WR: $7,000,000
  5. Bruce Irvin, LB: $7,000,000
  6. Rodney Hudson, C: $6,850,000
  7. Austin Howard, T: $6,400,000
  8. Amari Cooper, WR: $6,180,151
  9. Donald Penn, T: $6,100,000
  10. Khalil Mack, LB/DE: $5,942,683

Other:

  • Projected cap space (via OverTheCap): $46,560,487
  • 24th pick in draft
  • Must exercise or decline fifth-year option for LB Khalil Mack

Three Needs:

1.) Address the defensive interior: Extensions for Derek Carr and, eventually, Khalil Mack will begin to affect the Raiders’ offseason spending after years of the team’s payroll being devoid of homegrown re-ups. But if they were going to make a big outside investment at a position this year, interior defensive line would be a key spot to target. Oakland actually entered training camp in fairly good shape here, but enduring the ignominy of finishing a season with a league-worst 25 sacks despite having a possible defensive player of the year leading that charge will force Reggie McKenzie into addressing this area. Mack and Bruce Irvin delivered 18 of those 25 sacks and give the Raiders their best set of bookend pass-rushers since Howie Long and Greg Townsend during their early Los Angeles days. But they don’t have a lot of help right now.

Mario Edwards remains an intriguing prospect, but this latest injury — a hip malady that sidelined him for 14 regular-season games after he was initially expected to be shelved for merely a few — showed durability will likely be an issue. He’s now missed 16 games in two years. The Raiders can’t count on him to be the top interior presence he was in 2015, when he graded out as a top-10 run-stopper among edge defenders (per Pro Football Focus). Edwards is the Raiders’ best holdover interior rusher and when available solves multiple problems for a defense that ranked 23rd against ground attacks, but Oakland needs help here.

Its investment in Jihad Ward did not reveal a piece ready to make an impact, with the raw second-rounder recording no sacks in 13 starts. PFF tabbed the Illinois product as its worst interior defender. Denico Autry profiles as a backup at best. Stacy McGee finished with 2.5 sacks to lead the uninspiring supporting cast, and he’s a UFA. Oakland uses both 4-3 and 3-4 looks, with new defensive assistant John Pagano likely to implement additional usage of the latter alignment, and has run-stopping DTs Dan Williams and Justin Ellis under contract for 2017. Neither is a high-end option, and Williams’ $4.5MM cap number can be shed entirely to gain more space if the Raiders so choose. But the team will need some incumbents to supplement whatever talent is acquired. However, as the only non-rookie-deal player in this mix, Williams looms as a release candidate.

An issue in upgrading on the D-line could be a lack of realistic options to make any kind of real impact on the UFA market. Kawann Short is unlikely to leave Carolina, and if Calais Campbell manages to make it to the market, he will be seeking a major payday. The 30-year-old dynamo would obviously be a fit, but given the current level at which he’s playing, Campbell could command $10MM per year or close to it on a medium-length deal. That would be a pursuit McKenzie would be wise to be involved in, but again, the Cardinals — who have spent to retain their homegrown defenders — would have to pass on him before the new league year commences. Nick Fairley capitalized on his prove-it deal with the Saints and could have a robust market for his services. Fairley’s career-high 6.5 sacks gave the former first-rounder three seasons of at least 5.5 takdeowns. While he’s not known as being a particularly formidable run-defending presence, the 29-year-old would provide a major upgrade as an inside pass-rusher. He would prefer to stay in New Orleans but may like what he encounters on the market if he makes it back to free agency.

Beyond Campbell and Fairley, players like former Raider Vance Walker — who is coming off a torn ACL but was productive in 2015 for the Broncos as an off-the-bench pass-rusher — and Alan Branch would represent some mid-tier stopgap avenues. The Titans’ Karl Klug also profiles as an under-the-radar buy and would fit as a three-technique rusher the Raiders covet.

ESPN.com’s Mel Kiper Jr. has the Raiders taking Michigan State defensive tackle Malik McDowell in the first round of his initial mock draft (ESPN Insider link). Florida’s Caleb Brantley also could be available when the Raiders pick at 24, but with this position generally flooding first rounds in the recent past, it’s difficult to see a gap between Jonathan Allen — expected to go in the top five — and these talents existing in time for the Raiders to potentially choose between them. One of them might still be around by the time the Raiders are on the clock, however. McDowell is a proven disruptive presence who, while not being the most productive sacker (7.5 in three seasons in East Lansing), would add much-needed young talent to the Raiders’ rotation. If they wanted to wait until Day 2 to address this need, players like Chris Wormley (Michigan) and Jaleel Johnson (Iowa) showed ability to beat Big Ten offensive linemen, registering 5.5 and 7.5 sacks, respectively, in 2016.

Read more

Top 3 Offseason Needs: Chicago Bears

In advance of March 9, the start of free agency in the NFL, Pro Football Rumors will detail each team’s three most glaring roster issues. We’ll continue this year’s series with the Chicago Bears, who regressed to a 3-13 record in their second season under head coach John Fox‘s leadership.

Depth Chart (via Roster Resource)

Pending Free Agents:

Top 10 Cap Hits for 2017:

  1. Jay Cutler, QB: $16,000,000
  2. Kyle Long, G: $8,000,000
  3. Pernell McPhee, LB: $7,825,000
  4. Lamarr Houston, LB: $6,990,000
  5. Danny Trevathan, LB: $6,850,000
  6. Josh Sitton, G: $6,822,916
  7. Bobby Massie, T: $6,034,275
  8. Akiem Hicks, DE: $5,500,000
  9. Eddie Royal, WR: $5,000,000
  10. Kevin White, WR: $4,517,195

Other:

Three Needs:

1) Secure a long-term option at quarterback: Jay Cutler is fresh off the worst Total Quarterback Rating of his career, and whether that was a product of multiple injuries or the fact that former offensive coordinator Adam Gase is no longer around, Cutler is almost assuredly set to be released this offseason. Not only is Bears head coach John Fox reportedly “done” with Cutler, but Chicago can clear $14MM off its books by cutting the 33-year-old QB this spring. Of course, by parting ways with Cutler, the Bears would be creating another gaping vacancy at the most important position in the game, meaning the club would need to conduct an extensive search for a franchise quarterback this offseason.Matt Barkley (Vertical)

The Bears do have at least one other signal-caller currently on the roster who could provide some sort of value in Matt Barkley, though he clearly doesn’t solve Chicago’s long-term problems under center. The former fourth-round pick likely made himself some money during the 2016 campaign by proving he can sustain backup level production, but he completed less than 60% of his passes, tossed 14 interceptions in six starts, and ranked 25th in DYAR among 34 qualifiers, per Football Outsiders. Barkley, who can be retained through the restricted free agent system, could potentially serve as a bridge quarterback in 2017, but the Bears shouldn’t pin their hopes on him.

Veteran Brian Hoyer also fits into the bridge QB discussion, as the 31-year-old managed six touchdowns against no picks in five starts last season before going down with a broken non-throwing arm. Hoyer had to settle for a one-year, $2MM deal last offseason despite a quietly productive 2016 campaign with the Texans, and he could be forced to agree to a similar contract this spring. With Barkley likely coming back next season, the Bears needn’t be forced to retain Hoyer, but if the club can get him back on a cheap pact, he’s not a poor option to have around.

Even if Barkley and Hoyer are kept around, Chicago still clearly needs to find a signal-caller who can lead the club for the long haul. The organization isn’t going to find such a player in free agency, where Mike Glennon represents the best target outside of Kirk Cousins, who seems likely to remain in Washington. The draft, then, represents the best avenue for the Bears to land their next quarterback, and the team’s front office has reportedly been researching the 2017 class of QBs for some time.Brad Kaaya (Vertical)

Miami’s Brad Kaaya has been the one collegiate prospect to be directly linked to the Bears, as Matt Miller of Bleacher Report said in November that Chicago was putting in “extensive research” on the Hurricanes quarterback. Generally considered one of the top four or five QBs available this year, Kaaya is expected to be selected on Day 2. Dane Brugler of CBSSports.com credits Kaaya for his toughness, and says the 21-year-old has an “unforced throwing motion with the arm strength to make all the necessary NFL throws,” but notes that Kaaya could improve his poise under pressure.

Given that Chicago holds the third overall pick, however, the club doesn’t have to settle for Kaaya or another mid-round option, and could target one of the top three quarterbacks available this year: Clemson’s Deshaun Watson, North Carolina’s Mitch Trubisky, or Notre Dame’s DeShone Kizer. Of course, the two teams drafting ahead of the Bears — the Browns and 49ers — are also in the market for a quarterback, so Chicago’s choice could be limited once it officially gets on the clock. Still, the Bears should get a shot at one of those three QBs, and though the club hasn’t been specifically linked to any of the trio tJimmy Garoppolo (Vertical)hus far, it’s entirely fair to assume Chicago will go after a quarterback at No. 3.

The trade market could be yet another route for the Bears, especially since one NFL executive recently told Bucky Brooks of NFL.com that he’s “scared to death” of the 2017 quarterback draft class. Tony Romo could make sense for Chicago, but general manager Ryan Pace & Co. are probably looking for a signal-caller who can stick around for awhile. Instead of Romo, then, the Bears might target another Eastern Illinois graduate, Patriots backup Jimmy Garoppolo, whom New England is reportedly willing to deal this offseason. The Pats, though, are thought to be seeking a first- and fourth-round pick in exchange for Garoppolo, an extremely high ask especially considering that Garoppolo would still need to be extended. The Bengals’ A.J. McCarron, who is open to being traded, could represent a more affordable target.

Read more

Top 3 Offseason Needs: Houston Texans

In advance of March 9, the start of free agency in the NFL, Pro Football Rumors will detail each team’s three most glaring roster issues. We’ll continue with the Houston Texans, who are fresh off their third straight nine-win season and second consecutive AFC South title. After a 27-14 victory over the injury-plagued Raiders in the wild-card round, the Texans’ season ended at the hands of the Patriots in a 34-16 divisional romp.

Depth Chart

Pending Free Agents:

Top 10 Cap Hits For 2017:

  1. Brock Osweiler, QB: $19,000,000
  2. J.J. Watt, DE: $14,500,000
  3. Duane Brown, LT: $9,650,000
  4. Brian Cushing, LB: $9,547,500
  5. Kareem Jackson, CB: $9,000,000
  6. DeAndre Hopkins, WR: $7,915,000
  7. Jeff Allen, RG: $6,500,000
  8. Lamar Miller, RB: $6,500,000
  9. Whitney Mercilus, LB: $6,050,000
  10. Derek Newton, RT: $5,500,000

Current Projected Cap Room (via Over the Cap): $25,757,451

Other:

  • Twenty-fifth overall pick in draft
  • Must exercise or decline DE Jadeveon Clowney‘s fifth-year option for 2018

Three Needs:

1.) Once again, find a quarterback: The Texans thought they solved their long-standing quarterback woes last offseason when they released 2015 playoff goat Brian Hoyer and signed ex-Broncos backup Brock Osweiler to a big-money deal in free agency. Instead, all they did was make their situation under center much worse. Osweiler was an utter disaster in his first year as a Texan, leading head coach Bill O’Brien to bench him in favor of unexciting reserve Tom Savage toward the end of the season. While Savage was far from special in three showings, he was more effective than Osweiler and would have remained the team’s starter if not for a Week 17 concussion.

Brock Osweiler

Savage’s injury forced O’Brien to pivot back to Osweiler for the playoffs, and he was decent enough in the Texans’ win over Oakland. Unsurprisingly, though, Osweiler couldn’t handle Super Bowl-bound New England, which held him to a microscopic 4.93 yards per attempt and intercepted two of his 40 passes in a game the Texans could have made interesting with a better signal-caller.

Osweiler’s showing against the Pats was all too typical of his 15-game regular season, in which he completed 59 percent of passes, recorded a paltry 5.8 YPA and tossed 15 scores against 16 picks. Those numbers wouldn’t have been satisfactory for a starter with a guaranteed $3.7MM on his contract, let alone the $37MM Houston handed Osweiler.

Moving forward, the good news for the Texans is that they won’t be tethered to Osweiler for the life of his four-year, $72MM accord; on the negative side, his contract will once again be an albatross next season. Even if the Texans were to designate the 26-year-old as a post-June 1 cut, he’d cost them $19MM in dead money in 2017. Regardless, they’re going to have to search for a superior QB this offseason and hope Osweiler’s successor does a better job complementing Houston’s abundance of talented performers on both sides of the ball. That includes superstar receiver DeAndre Hopkins, whom Osweiler managed to render somewhat ordinary (by Hopkins’ spectacular standards) in 2016.

Tony Romo (featured)

Having spent his entire career in Texas to this point, soon-to-be ex-Cowboy Tony Romo seems like a natural fit for a win-now team like the Texans as he approaches his 37th birthday. However, along with his age, there are other obvious concerns regarding Romo, including what he has left in the tank after missing the majority of the past two seasons because of injuries and a demotion. There’s also a question of whether Cowboys owner Jerry Jones would deal Romo to Texas’ younger franchise. And whether he comes as a trade acquisition or gets his release and signs as a free agent, Romo figures to be pricey next season. That, of course, wouldn’t be ideal for a Houston club which will have Osweiler occupying a massive amount of spending room.

Salary notwithstanding, there may not be a better match than the Texans for Romo. He’d reportedly like to go to the Broncos, but they’re inclined to roll with a younger, homegrown option. Teams like the Bills, Jets and Bears could chase Romo, though none are as close to contention as Houston.

If we’re to assume the Redskins will either re-sign Kirk Cousins or place the franchise tag on him, the free agent market won’t offer much in the way of proven options. And if the Texans are going to bring in a veteran via the open market, it’s hard to imagine them pinning their hopes on another backup — Mike Glennon, Landry Jones or Matt Barkley, for instance — given how poorly the Osweiler experiment has gone.

More established signal-callers like Tyrod Taylor, Jay Cutler and Colin Kaepernick might end up on the open market, too, if their teams release them (or if Kaepernick opts out of his deal). While Taylor is the most intriguing of the three, his potential availability looks increasingly unlikely. Cutler isn’t far removed from a respectable 2015 in Chicago, though he’s coming off a poor, injury-riddled season and was on the verge of losing his job to Hoyer. Kaepernick bounced back to a degree in 2016, meanwhile, but teams that explore signing him will have to make multiple determinations: 1. Is he a legitimate starter anymore? 2. Are they on board with having such a politically polarizing player in a prominent role? As shown in a late-August poll of various club executives, Kaepernick’s outspokenness hasn’t exactly endeared him to decision-makers within the league.

Jimmy Garoppolo (vertical)

The trade route could represent a possibility for QB-needy Houston, too. Considering both his potential and his minimal salary for next season, Patriots backup Jimmy Garoppolo would seem to make sense as a target. New England is open to moving Garoppolo — and, for what it’s worth, O’Brien is friendly with Patriots head coach Bill Belichick — but his presence on the trade market would perhaps spark a bidding war. Thus, the Texans would once again have to ask themselves whether it would be worthwhile to spend valuable assets on a largely untested signal-caller who has played second fiddle to an all-time great. It hasn’t worked with Osweiler, Peyton Manning‘s former understudy.

There’s also the draft, in which the Texans hold the 25th overall selection, but many scouts regard this year’s class of passers as among the worst in recent memory. Plus, the highest-ranked QBs in the 2017 crop — in some order, Clemson’s Deshaun Watson, North Carolina’s Mitch Trubisky and Notre Dame’s DeShone Kizer — should all be off the board when the Texans’ pick arrives. No one else even ranks among NFL.com draft guru Daniel Jeremiah’s top 50 prospects, while Texas native and ex-Texas Tech star Patrick Mahomes (No. 50) is the only QB outside the Watson-Trubisky-Kizer group on Bleacher Report prospect expert Matt Miller’s latest big board.

Read more

Top 3 Offseason Needs: Seattle Seahawks

In advance of March 9, the start of free agency in the NFL, Pro Football Rumors will detail each team’s three most glaring roster issues. We’ll continue this year’s series with the Seattle Seahawks, who earned their fifth straight postseason appearance in 2016 before being bounced in the divisional round.

Depth Chart (via Roster Resource)

Pending Free Agents:

Top 10 Cap Hits for 2017:

  1. Russell Wilson, QB: $18,800,000
  2. Richard Sherman, CB: $13,361,000
  3. Michael Bennett, DL: $10,768,750
  4. Earl Thomas, S: $10,400,000
  5. Jimmy Graham, TE: $10,000,000
  6. Doug Baldwin, WR: $9,650,000
  7. Kam Chancellor, S: $8,125,008
  8. Bobby Wagner, LB: $7,600,000
  9. K.J. Wright, LB: $6,800,000
  10. Cliff Avril, DE: $5,500,000

Other:

  • Projected cap space (via Over the Cap): $32,879,707
  • Twenty-sixth pick in draft

Three Needs:

1) Ameliorate the offensive line: Seattle’s problems up front have been incredibly well-documented, and realistically, the offensive line could probably be listed first, second, and third in this piece. But although the Seahawks ranked 25th in adjusted sack rate and 26th in adjusted line yards, head coach Pete Carroll said earlier this month that his club probably won’t be active in free agency as it attempts to address the front five.

“I don’t think that way. That’s now how we — ‘OK, let’s take money and put it here and all of a sudden you’re going to get better.’ You’ve got to get guys that can play worthy of it, and when they demonstrate that then they get paid,” Carroll said.I don’t think you can just buy your way to it. We’re not going to do that. We’re not going to go out and spend a ton of money in free agency on one guy to try to save the day. That’s now how we function at all.”Justin Britt (Vertical)

The Seahawks did find one solution during the 2016 season, as Justin Britt — who has been shifted from offensive tackle to guard to center during his three years in the NFL — finally found a home at the pivot, and should solidify the middle of Seattle’s line for years to come. The rest of the group, however, represents what Sam Monson of Pro Football Focus termed an “unavoidable problem.” George Fant, Garry Gilliam, and Bradley Sowell all ranked as bottom-10 tackles last season, per PFF, while guards Mark Glowinski and Germain Ifedi also graded out poorly.

Guard is probably the lesser of the two priorities, as Glowinski (fourth round, 2015) and Ifedi (first round, 2016) are both recent draft picks who just completed their first seasons as starters. But if the Seahawks want to scour the free agent market for a cheap alternative, there are options available. Chance Warmack is set to become a free agent after flaming out with the Titans, and though he clearly never lived up to his draft billing (10th overall in 2013), Warmack might offer the sort of tool package that Seattle offensive coach Tom Cable could seek to rework. Saints veteran Jahri Evans, who spent training camp with the Seahawks last season, is also expected to be available once again.

Tackle — both right and left — needs to be the primary focus for Seattle this offseason, and though Carroll clearly doesn’t think free agency is the correct avenue to find talent, the Seahawks would do well to bring in at least one external option in the next few months. Old friend Russell Okung could hit the market if the Broncos decline his option, which seems likely given that said option will lock in an additional four years, $48MM, and $19.5MM in guarantees. Fellow left tackle Kelvin Beachum is in a similar situation, as the Jaguars hold an option that is also likely to be declined.Andre Smith (vertical)

Aside from Okung or Beachum, it’s difficult to see how the Seahawks could improve via the free agent market, assuming that they’re not going to spend at the top of the market to bring in Riley Reiff, Andrew Whitworth, Ricky Wagner, or the like. The Vikings’ Matt Kalil figures to be available, but he’s been among the worst tackles in the league since his promising rookie season. Menelik Watson and Sebastian Vollmer could come cheap, but neither has played a significant number of snaps lately. Veteran Andre Smith, who managed only four games with the Vikings before being placed on injured reserve, stands out as a potential option on one-year deal.

If Seattle wants to add a new tackle through the draft, the club should have several options on Days 1 and 2. Alabama’s Cam Robinson is viewed as the best tackle in the 2017 class, in the estimation of Mel Kiper Jr. of ESPN.com, while Wisconsin’s Ryan Ramczyk — whom Josh Norris of Rotoworld recently mocked to the Hawks — isn’t far behind. Garett Bolles (Utah) is also “shooting up” draft boards, as Matt Miller of Bleacher Report recently noted, and could end up becoming the first tackle selected. Florida States’ Roderick Johnson, Temple’s Dion Dawkins, and Notre Dame’s Mike McGlinchey could also be considered in the first few rounds of the draft.

Read more

PFR Originals: 1/15/17 – 1/22/17

The original content and analysis produced by the PFR staff last week:

Top 3 Offseason Needs: Miami Dolphins

In advance of March 9, the start of free agency in the NFL, Pro Football Rumors will detail each team’s three most glaring roster issues. We’ll continue this year’s series with the Miami Dolphins, who earned a postseason berth for the first time since 2008 after finishing 10-6 under new head coach Adam Gase.

Depth Chart (via Roster Resource)

Pending free agents:

Top 10 Cap Hits for 2017:

  1. Ryan Tannehill, QB: $20,300,000
  2. Ndamukong Suh, DT: $19,100,000
  3. Branden Albert, T: $10,600,000
  4. Mario Williams, DE: $10,500,000
  5. Mike Pouncey, C: $8,975,000
  6. Byron Maxwell, CB: $8,500,000
  7. Reshad Jones, S: $8,037,938
  8. Cameron Wake, DE: $7,000,000
  9. Isa Abdul-Quddus, S: $5,083,333
  10. Koa Misi, LB: $4,778,000

Other:

  • Projected cap space (via Over the Cap): $30,734,458
  • 22nd pick in draft
  • Must exercise or decline 2018 fifth-year option for T Ja’Wuan James

Three Needs:

1) Find a tight end: The Dolphins offense as a whole managed to grow under Adam Gase, as the unit improved from 22nd in DVOA in 2015 to 14th last season. Ryan Tannehill posted the highest quarterback rating of his career, second-year running back Jay Ajayi emerged as a legitimate threat by registering three 200+ yard rushing performances, and receivers Jarvis Landry, DeVante Parker, and Kenny Stills each put up more than 700 yards through the air. The one component missing from Miami’s newly-potent offense? A legitimate threat at tight end.Jordan Cameron

Veteran Jordan Cameron has been a free agent bust since signing a two-year, $15MM deal prior to the 2015 season, but it’s been no fault of his own that he’s struggled to produce after leaving the Browns for the Dolphins. In 2016, Cameron suffered the fourth reported concussion of his career, and was sidelined for the majority of the year by his most recent brain injury. Cameron, 28, is now considering retirement due to the repeated head trauma, and Miami isn’t expected to be interested in a reunion even if Cameron does decide to continue playing.

Given that Cameron only played in three games last year, the Dolphins’ tight end cadre was headlined by Dion Sims, who posted 26 receptions for 256 yards and four touchdowns in 11 starts. Though Sims has never topped 30 catches or 300 yards during his four-year NFL career, Miami reportedly views him as its starter going forward, and as such, intends to re-sign him this offseason. Indeed, despite the club’s interest in retaining Sims, nearly every tight end currently on the roster is a free agent of some kind, so the unit figures to see a good deal of turnover during the next few months.Martellus Bennett (vertical)

One place to look for a new weapon at tight end could be the free agent market, where the No. 1 option available figures to be the Patriots’ Martellus Bennett. The 29-year-old recently turned down a $7MM per year extension offer from New England, and while details were scant as to the structure or guarantees in the deal, the rejection does give some indication as to what Bennett’s asking price could be. Bennett figures to be an offseason priority for the Pats, and the Dolphins likely won’t be the only team competing for his services. However, Bennett does have a connection to Gase, as the veteran tight end played under the current Fins head coach while the latter served as Bears OC in 2015 (alas, Bennett posted his worst statistics in recent memory under the tutelage of Gase).

If Bennett proves to be too costly, there are certainly other options available in free agency, though only a few offer the relative youth and perceived upside that does Sims. Houston’s Ryan Griffin (27), Indianapolis’ Jack Doyle (26), Green Bay’s Jared Cook (29), and Dallas’ Gavin Escobar (26) all jump off the page as potential second-tier tight ends who might have a lower price tag than Bennett. If Miami wants a veteran presence to replace Cameron, the club could take a look at Vernon Davis, who just finished a solid first campaign with the Redskins, or Jacob Tamme, who should come cheaply given the nature of his recent shoulder injury.David Njoku (Vertical)

The Dolphins, who hold the 22nd overall pick in the draft, are situated right in the wheelhouse where a tight end selection might make sense. Alabama’s O.J. Howard is generally regarded as the nation’s best collegiate TE, but Daniel Jeremiah of NFL.com recently ranked Miami’s David Njoku slightly ahead of Howard, listing the Hurricanes pass-catcher as the draft’s 13th overall player. Both Howard and Njoku could be in consideration during the first round, while Evan Engram (Mississippi), Jake Butt (Michigan), and Gerald Everett (South Alabama) could make sense farther down the line.

Read more

Top 3 Offseason Needs: Washington Redskins

In advance of March 9, the start of free agency in the NFL, Pro Football Rumors will detail each team’s three most glaring roster issues. We’ll continue this year’s series with the Washington Redskins, who narrowly missed a Wild Card berth after finishing with a 8-7-1 record.

Depth Chart (via Roster Resource)

Pending Free Agents:

Top 10 Cap Hits for 2017:

  1. Josh Norman, CB: $20,000,000
  2. Trent Williams, T: $15,200,000
  3. Ryan Kerrigan, LB: $11,700,000
  4. Jordan Reed, TE: $5,800,000
  5. Brandon Scherff, G: $5,786,083
  6. DeAngelo Hall, S: $5,062,500
  7. Shawn Lauvao, G: $5,000,000
  8. Kory Lichtensteiger, C: $4,050,000
  9. Ricky Jean-Francois, DL: $4,000,000
  10. Colt McCoy, QB: $3,600,000

Other:

Three Needs:

1) Commit to Kirk Cousins: The Redskins are reportedly willing to use the franchise tag on quarterback Kirk Cousins for a second consecutive year, a move that would guarantee the sixth-year signal-caller nearly $24MM for the 2017 campaign. Cousins would likely sign the tender immediately (as he did last offseason), as the two one-year pacts would net him ~$44MM over a two-year period. From Washington’s perspective, however, continuing to employ the franchise tag doesn’t make much sense.Kirk Cousins (Vertical)

Had the Redskins worked out a long-term extension with Cousins last offseason, the club would have likely been forced to guarantee something in the neighborhood of $45MM — roughly the same total he’ll earn from 2016-17 if franchised again — over the life of the contract. Cam Newton received $41MM in guarantees under the terms of his extension signed in June 2015, while Andrew Luck got $47MM fully guaranteed one year later (Aaron Rodgers still ranks first among quarterbacks with $54MM guaranteed). Because Washington is clearly willing to hand Cousins a significant amount of guaranteed cash, an extension is the best outcome for both parties.

Clearly, however, hindsight is 20/20, and there were legitimate reasons not to extend Cousins at this time last year. Cousins was coming off an excellent season, to be sure, but it was his first year as a full-time NFL starter, and there was some concern that he was simply a product of an effectively-schemed Redskins offense. Had Washington locked up Cousins for the long haul, only to see him turn back into a pumpkin this season, management would have been the subject much scorn. But the 28-year-old Cousins largely backed up his results this year, completing 67% of his passes for nearly 5,000 yards, 25 touchdowns, and 12 interceptions, while ranking third in DYAR and fifth in DVOA.Jay Gruden (Vertical)

Head coach Jay Gruden has found his franchise quarterback, and while Cousins may not a be a top-five signal-caller, he’s certainly among the league’s top-12 QBs, making him an extremely valuable asset. The Redskins aren’t going to start over the position — as usual, there is no quarterback talent available on the free agent market, and a win-now club like Washington isn’t going to turn over its fortunes over to a rookie passer. Getting Cousins, who places first on PFR’s 2017 Free Agent Power Rankings, under contract for the foreseeable future is the logical next step.

Cousins is reportedly targeting $23.94MM — the same total he’d garner under the franchise tag — annually, a figure that would make him the third-highest paid quarterback in the league on a per-year basis. Over the course of a five-year contract, Washington would be paying Cousins nearly $120MM, and given that recent quarterback contracts have included 35-40% fully guaranteed, Cousins would be looking at $45MM in guarantees. It’s a huge total, but contract negotiations are based as much on timing as they are on talent. Cousins has played the free agency game correctly by betting on himself, and he’s now poised to cash in.

Read more

Top 3 Offseason Needs: Philadelphia Eagles

In advance of March 9, the start of free agency in the NFL, Pro Football Rumors will detail each team’s three most glaring roster issues. We’ll continue this year’s series with the Philadelphia Eagles, who posted a solid 7-9 record in what was thought to be a rebuilding season.

Depth Chart (via Roster Resource)

Pending Free Agents:

Top 10 Cap Hits for 2017:

  1. Jason Peters, T: $11,700,000
  2. Lane Johnson, T: $10,000,000
  3. Fletcher Cox, DT: $9,400,000
  4. Vinny Curry, DE: $9,000,000
  5. Connor Barwin, DE: $8,350,000
  6. Chase Daniel, QB: $8,000,000
  7. Brandon Graham, DE: $7,500,000
  8. Malcolm Jenkins, S: $7,500,000
  9. Brandon Brooks, G: $7,200,000
  10. Mychal Kendricks, LB: $6,600,000

Other:

Three Needs:

1) Find an explosive wide receiver: No. 2 overall pick Carson Wentz tailed off at the end of his rookie season, unable to sustain the incredible production that he posted earlier in the year. But Wentz’s first NFL campaign should still be viewed in an extremely positive light, as the weapons he had at his disposal were among the worst in the league. The Eagles’ three primary receivers — Jordan Matthews, Nelson Agholor, and Dorial Green-Beckham — all finished outside the top-75 in DYAR, Football Outsiders‘ total value metric for pass-catchers, and no member of that trio amassed more than 850 yards (Agholor and DGB failed to crack even 400 yards).

All three should return in 2017, and there’s certainly room for growth, as none of Matthews, Agholor, or Green-Beckham are even yet 25 years old. But Matthews probably is what he is at this point (a big body who can excel in the slot but isn’t a fit on the outside), while Agholor has completely face-planted during his first two years in the NFL after being selected in the first round of the 2015 draft. Green-Beckham is the best athlete of the three, and Philadelphia, pleased with his grasp of the club’s offense, increased his snaps as the year progressed.Torrey Smith (Vertical)

The Eagles know they have a problem at wide receiver, as evidenced by their reported pursuit of the 49ers’ Torrey Smith at last year’s trade deadline. The two clubs never came to an agreement, but it’s possible that talks could be revived during the offseason. In the midst of a deep rebuild, San Francisco could do without paying a wide receiver $8MM per year, and Smith would give the Eagles the deep threat they so desperately covet. As is the case when considering any addition Philadelphia might make, the club will likely need to clear out cap space before making such a move. Cutting Jason Kelce (who is rumored to be on the outs), Ryan Mathews, Leodis McKelvin, and Ron Brooks, for example, would save the Eagles north of $10MM, more than enough to account for a potential Smith trade.

Free agency could also be of interest as Philadelphia explores new pass-catchers, and one option that has been repeatedly linked to the team is former Eagle DeSean Jackson, who is set to become an unrestricted free agent after spending the past three seasons in Washington. The interest between the two parties appears to be mutual, as Jackson is reportedly “intrigued” by the idea of rejoining the Eagles. The 30-year-old Jackson led the league in yards per reception for the third time in his career in 2016, and would add a deep-ball threat to an Eagles offense that was limited to the short passing game last year.Alshon Jeffery (Vertical)

The Eagles could also aim even higher and target the best wide receiver on the open market, the Bears’ Alshon Jeffery. Chicago could of course re-sign or franchise Jeffery before he ever hits free agency, but if Philadelphia does get a shot at him, it would be able to finally acquire a true No. 1 receiver to pair with its complementary pass-catchers. Other free agent choices (of varying price) include Terrelle Pryor (who is familiar with current Eagles QBs coach/former Browns OC John DeFilippoMichael Floyd, Kenny Stills, and Kenny Britt, while veteran Ted Ginn. Jr. could also make sense if the Eagles simply want a receiver who can get deep with regularity.

If Philadelphia strikes out during free agency, the team could certainly look to the draft to fill its WR void, but I wonder if the Eagles would shy away from another first-round receiver after being burned by Agholor. Still, a number of intriguing prospects should be available during the middle of Day 1, and Western Michigan’s Corey Davis — whom Daniel Jeremiah of NFL.com somewhat surprisingly ranks ahead of Clemson’s Mike Williams — could be among them. Calling Davis a “high floor, high ceiling” athlete with excellent separation skills, Jeremiah lists Davis as the eighth overall player in this year’s class. Fellow receivers Williams, John Ross (Washington), Cooper Kupp (Eastern Michigan), Chad Hansen (California) also place among this year’s top-50 prospects, per Jeremiah.

Read more