East Notes: Dolphins, Maclin, Eli, Blount
The Seahawks selected Russell Wilson 75th overall in the 2012 NFL draft, meaning every team had a shot at him, and can play the “what if?” game. However, as Elizabeth Merrill of ESPN.com details, the Dolphins in particular can look back at what might have been. According to Merrill, current Arkansas coach Bret Bielema, who was interviewing for the Dolphins’ head coaching job at that point, pushed the idea of drafting Wilson – Bielema’s QB at Wisconsin at the time – in the second round. That didn’t go over well with team management, including then-GM Jeff Ireland, and Miami ultimately ended up hiring Joe Philbin and drafting Ryan Tannehill eighth overall.
As we contemplate how the last three NFL seasons might have changed if the Dolphins had opted for Bielema and Wilson, let’s check in on a few more items from out of the AFC East….
- Addressing his contract situation today, wideout Jeremy Maclin confirmed that negotiations between his representation and the Eagles are ongoing, per Jeff McLane of the Philadelphia Inquirer. Maclin still expects to return to Philadelphia, though he acknowledged that nothing’s imminent yet. According to McLane, the veteran receiver will likely be seeking a five-year contract worth $10MM+ per year, which could make the franchise tag a viable option for the Eagles.
- Speaking of that tag, in an Insider-only piece for ESPN.com, Adam Caplan identifies Maclin as one of the league’s top five candidates to be franchised.
- While his older brother made the move from the Colts to the Broncos late in his playing career, Eli Manning is less likely to leave the Giants and play elsewhere, in the view of father Archie Manning. As Jordan Raanan of NJ.com writes, the elder Manning thinks Eli would rather simply retire than play for a team besides the Giants.
- Patriots running back LeGarrette Blount had faced marijuana possession charges earlier in the season, but those charges have been dropped after Blount completed 50 hours of community service, tweets Adam Schefter of ESPN.com.
Jaguars Owner Talks Coaches, FA, Blackmon
With the team in the process of finalizing its coaching staff for the coming season, Jaguars owner Shad Khan spoke to Ryan O’Halloran of the Florida Times-Union today about some of the team’s recent hires, as well as the coming offseason. O’Halloran has highlighted a number of the more noteworthy quotes from Khan, so let’s dive in and round them up….
On new offensive coordinator Greg Olson:
“I know about his history with Drew Brees and quarterback development. I love Blake [Bortles]. I think he’s a key building block moving forward. We have to unlock his potential and we’ve got to have somebody who’s done it before with a great track record and Greg, I think, is about as good as it gets.”
On adding Doug Marrone as an offensive line coach and assistant head coach:
“I’ve seen this in my business and in life, you want to have people for support who are experienced. In this case, Gus [Bradley] and Doug can talk about stuff and the final decision maker is Gus. But a lot of times, discussion drives a decision to a logical conclusion. With Doug, he’s a very good line coach and that was definitely one of our weaknesses – the line. We have talent there, but when it was all said and done, we led the league in sacks [allowed]. That is not a good thing. You’re not going to go anywhere unless you fix that.”
On the team’s plan for free agency:
“We certainly have salary cap room and we plan on being active in free agency. … We have some critical weaknesses and we have to fill them.”
On whether he and the club would welcome back Justin Blackmon if he’s reinstated:
“Absolutely. As a matter of fact, I’m very optimistic. I think he’s paid his dues. I think he’s got his life together. I think he can be a role model for people who have gone through hard times. We’re waiting for him.”
Latest On Raiders’ DC Search
As PFR’s offensive/defensive coordinator search tracker shows, there aren’t many coordinator positions around the league that still need to be filled. Outside of the Falcons and Seahawks, who will have some upheaval when Dan Quinn officially becomes Atlanta’s head coach next week, only the Rams, Cardinals, and Raiders are still expected to announce new coordinators. St. Louis is expected to promote an internal candidate for their offensive coordinator position, while the Cardinals have already decided on an in-house coach for their DC job, and will announce the hire next week.
That leaves Oakland, where new head coach Jack Del Rio is still looking to name a new defensive coordinator. According to Vic Tafur of the San Francisco Chronicle (Twitter links), no resolution is imminent on that front — Tafur expects the team to wait until after the Super Bowl to make a decision and an announcement, as Del Rio still has a couple more targets he wants to interview.
So far, the Raiders’ defensive coordinator search doesn’t seem to have gone as planned. Multiple reports suggested that former Falcons head coach Mike Smith was the club’s top choice, but Smith hasn’t seemed to reciprocate that interest. Wade Phillips and Mel Tucker were among the potential options mentioned, but both coaches have since landed other jobs. Most recently, Oakland reportedly offered the DC job to Louisville’s Todd Grantham, but Grantham elected to remain in his current position.
Still, striking out on a candidate or two may not be of great concern to Del Rio, who prioritized constructing his offensive staff, given his defensive background, tweets Tafur. The former Jaguars head coach figures to do some or all of the defensive play-calling himself, which is one reason why the DC job may not be generating a ton of interest.
By waiting until after the Super Bowl to make a decision, the Raiders should be able to talk to Seahawks linebackers coach Ken Norton Jr., whom Tafur identified earlier this week as a coach who may be next on Del Rio’s list.
Decker Recruiting Demaryius Thomas For Jets
A year ago, Eric Decker departed the Broncos in free agency, signing a lucrative five-year deal with the Jets. Now, his old running mate in Denver is eligible for unrestricted free agency, and Decker is trying to sell Demaryius Thomas on the idea of joining him in New York, writes Brian Costello of the New York Post.
“I’ve been pushing for the entire year now,” Decker said of his recruitment efforts. “It’s going to be interesting to see what happens. I think it would be tough for Denver to let him go. So whether they franchise-tag him here in the next month or give him a long-term deal, he’s just one of those premier players in this league. If he happens to make it to free agency, I would love to sign him because playing alongside him for four years and especially the last two years made it a lot of fun and made it a lot easier. He’s just one of the great players in this league.”
As Decker himself observes, there’s a good chance that Thomas doesn’t even reach the open market, since he’s a strong candidate to receive the franchise tag in Denver. While several other key Broncos players are slated to become free agents, none are more talented and more productive than Thomas, particularly with Chris Harris having been locked up to a long-term extension earlier in the season.
There’s some uncertainty in Denver these days, with Peyton Manning still undecided on whether he wants to continue his career, and a new coaching staff in place, but it would be a huge surprise if the club allowed Thomas to reach free agency. If he does, the Jets – armed with plenty of cap space and intending to be “very active” this offseason – could be a suitor, though that would likely mean parting ways with Percy Harvin.
Poll: Which Team Will Win The Super Bowl?
For the second consecutive season, the No. 1 seeds from the AFC and the NFC will meet in the Super Bowl, and it seems unlikely that this year’s game will be as one-sided as the Seahawks’ win over Denver a year ago. The Patriots and the Seahawks were strong on both sides of the ball in 2014, and have been on fire for the last three months — since October 19, the two teams have combined for just three losses, and one of those came when the Pats rested their regulars against Buffalo in Week 17.
While they opened as early underdogs in Super Bowl XLIX, the Patriots have settled in as two-point favorites, according to sports betting site Bovada.lv. Given how rarely games are decided by two points or less, the contest is essentially a toss-up, according to Vegas, and is perhaps one of the most evenly matched Super Bowls in recent memory.
So today’s PFR poll question is simple: Who wins the game? Tom Brady, Rob Gronkowski, and the Patriots? Or Russell Wilson, Richard Sherman, and the Seahawks?
AFC Notes: Tucker, Gordon, D. Thomas
Ravens kicker Justin Tucker is eligible for restricted free agency for the first time this winter, but will be restricted rather than unrestricted, meaning a one-year deal is possible. Still, if it were up to him, Tucker wouldn’t mind signing a long-term deal to stay in Baltimore, writes Aaron Wilson of the Baltimore Sun.
“I think when you take a step back and look at it from the big picture and think long-term, that would just be great to know what’s going to go on for the next several years as opposed to the next few months or next year,” Tucker said. “When you think about it from a general perspective, it feels and sounds great for me personally. I’ve really enjoyed my time in Baltimore and would to continue it. I think it’s just a matter of everybody getting something together and discussing it.”
Here are a few more Thursday updates from all over the AFC:
- In an open letter published on The Cauldron, Browns wideout Josh Gordon addresses Charles Barkley, Stephen A. Smith, Cris Carter, and other media members and fans who have criticized him for his problems with substance abuse, explaining his side of the story. Gordon’s account provides an interesting perspective, and is a reminder that, at age 23, he shouldn’t be written off as an NFL player. Still, he has vowed in the past to make better decisions, so he’ll have to actually make good on those promises this time around.
- Appearing on SiriusXM NFL Radio (audio link), Broncos wide receiver Demaryius Thomas said he hadn’t talked to the team about a new contract since before the season started, and is letting his agent handle any discussions at this point. Thomas added that he plans to “go about his business” whether he returns to Denver or ultimately lands with another club.
- Bengals head coach Marvin Lewis explained today on ESPN’s NFL Insiders that team owner Mike Brown sees defensive backs coach Vance Joseph as a rising star, which is why the club was unwilling to let Joseph take the Broncos‘ defensive coordinator job. Coley Harvey of ESPN.com has the details and quotes from Lewis, who said Joseph “could be sitting in my chair very quickly.”
- Ndamukong Suh’s name should be atop the Colts‘ winter wish list as the team prepares to enter the offseason armed with a ton of cap room, writes Zak Keefer of the Indianapolis Star. Meanwhile, Raiders defensive end Justin Tuck says Suh seems like a player that would fit in well in Oakland, as Dave Birkett of the Detroit Free Press details.
McCoy Open To Restructure, Not Pay Cut
If the Vikings release Adrian Peterson this offseason, a move that many expect to happen, it would leave LeSean McCoy as the only running back in the NFL with an eight-digit cap hit on the books for 2015. McCoy, whose current ’15 cap number is $11.95MM, said today that he’s open to restructuring his contract to lower that number, but he doesn’t want to take a pay cut, writes Jeff McLane of the Philadelphia Inquirer.
“I know how hard it is to keep a team together and I want to be part of this team. But I don’t want to take less money,” McCoy said. “I want to figure a way to make it happen [where] we’re all together.”
McCoy’s comment about keeping everyone together likely refers, at least in part, to wide receiver Jeremy Maclin, who is eligible for free agency this offseason, and is in line for a substantial raise after a hugely productive 2014 campaign. “I got to pay my boy Mac,” McCoy said, when asked specifically about the effect his situation could have on Maclin.
It would be possible for McCoy to reduce his cap number by a pretty significant sum without taking a pay cut, assuming the Eagles are open to the idea. If the two sides agreed to convert, for example, $6MM of the running back’s $9.75MM base salary for 2015 into a signing bonus, it would take his cap hit from $11.95MM to $7.95MM. The downside for Philadelphia? That would increase McCoy’s cap numbers for 2016 and 2017 by $2MM each, and would add more guaranteed money to the 26-year-old’s deal.
McCoy, a 2009 second-rounder, has racked up over 2,900 rushing yards in Chip Kelly‘s first two seasons in Philadelphia, and wouldn’t be easily replaceable. Still, Kelly and the Eagles showed a year ago when they cut DeSean Jackson that they’re willing to cut ties with productive playmakers if necessary. Off-field factors likely played a role in Jackson’s release, but the move still created a precedent that may make McCoy wary of negotiating too aggressively this winter.
Coach/Exec Notes: Nolan, Gamble, 49ers, Jets
Executives around the NFL are looking forward to seeing Josh McDaniels‘ game plan for the Patriots this Sunday against the Seahawks, according to Jason Cole of Bleacher Report, who says that a Pats win would boost McDaniels’ stock and make him one of the top head coaching candidates in the league a year from now. The New England offensive coordinator drew interest from teams seeking a head coach over the past month, though those clubs ultimately went in other directions.
Let’s check out a few more items from around the NFL relating to coaching staffs and front offices….
- Former 49ers head coach Mike Nolan has joined the Chargers as the team’s linebackers coach, replacing Joe Barry, the team announced today in a press release. With Barry heading to Washington to take a defensive coordinator job, San Diego adds a coach in Nolan who has plenty of experience as a DC himself, including the last three seasons in Atlanta. If there was any lingering doubt that Dan Quinn would bring in his own coordinator when he takes over the Falcons‘ job, that doubt was dispelled with the Chargers’ announcement.
- Mere weeks after he was let go by the Eagles, personnel executive Tom Gamble is returning to San Francisco. The 49ers announced today that their former director of player personnel is rejoining the organization as a senior personnel executive. The announcement of Gamble’s hiring comes on the same day the Eagles confirmed that they were promoting Ed Marynowitz to Gamble’s old position in Philadelphia.
- The Jets made a pair of announcements today, naming ex-Bears scout Rex Hogan as their director of college scouting and formally hiring three more position coaches – Jimmie Johnson (TEs coach), Daylon McCutcheon (DBs assistant), and Ryan Slowik (DL assistant) – to Todd Bowles‘ staff.
2015 Franchise Tag Candidates: AFC South
The deadline for assigning a franchise or transition tag on a 2015 free-agent-to-be is less than five weeks away, and we’re in the process of taking a look at players who are candidates to be tagged this year. On Tuesday, we examined the AFC East, and yesterday, we turned our attention to the AFC North, where the Ravens and the Steelers look like the teams most likely to make use of a tag. Today, we’ll shift our focus south, breaking down the franchise and transition tag candidates for the Texans, Colts, Jaguars, and Titans….
Houston Texans:
- Candidates: Kareem Jackson
- Odds of being used: Unlikely
- Jackson, who has been a starter at cornerback in Houston since being selected in the first round of the 2010 draft, is an underrated asset for the team. Still, a year ago, corners like Vontae Davis, Sam Shields, and Aqib Talib went untagged, so it’s hard to imagine the Texans franchising Jackson. Linebacker Brooks Reed and right tackle Derek Newton are among the other solid contributors Houston should look into re-signing, but like Jackson, neither player is worth an eight-digit salary for 2015.
Indianapolis Colts:
- Candidates: None
- Odds of being used: Zero
- The Colts, like the Texans, have useful players eligible for unrestricted free agency — safety Mike Adams, defensive lineman Cory Redding, and longtime Indianapolis wideout Reggie Wayne will need to sign new contracts if they intend to continue their careers. But none of the team’s top impact players are free-agents-to-be, which is great news for a club with $30MM+ in projected cap room.
Jacksonville Jaguars:
- Candidates: None
- Odds of being used: Very unlikely
- No team projects to have more cap space this offseason than the Jaguars, who could have upwards of $63MM in spending room. That’s one reason we shouldn’t rule out the possibility of a franchise tag — the team could easily afford it. However, for the tag to make sense, there needs to be a viable candidate, and it’s hard to find one on Jacksonville’s list of pending free agents. Linebacker Geno Hayes and defensive back Alan Ball are probably the Jags’ best UFA-eligible performers, but both players only appeared in about half the club’s defensive snaps, so it’s hard to make a case for them as franchise tag candidates. And it’s even harder to make a case for players like wideout Cecil Shorts and defensive end Tyson Alualu.
Tennessee Titans:
- Candidates: Derrick Morgan, Brett Kern
- Odds of being used: Possible, but unlikely
- The Titans have a number of starters eligible for free agency, including Morgan, Kern, Michael Roos, and Ryan Succop. And like the Jaguars, they project to be among the top five teams this offseason in terms of cap space, giving them the flexibility to use the franchise tag if needed. Roos may be headed for retirement, and tagging either of the two special-teamers – punter Kern and kicker Succop – would likely be a last resort. That’s especially true of Succop, who had a down year in 2014. Morgan is the club’s strongest candidate. He has thrived in recent years as an edge rusher in 3-4 and 4-3 schemes, and despite modest sack totals, he recorded 49 total quarterback pressures last year and ranked among the league’s top 10 3-4 outside linebackers, per Pro Football Focus (subscription required). Those perennially average sack numbers, along with a perception that he hasn’t lived up to his first-round billing, should keep Morgan’s price down enough that the Titans won’t have to tag him, but he and Kern (a top-10 punter, per PFF) are the most viable options in Tennessee.
NFC West Notes: Dwyer, Seahawks, 49ers
After pleading guilty to a misdemeanor charge of disorderly conduct, Cardinals running back Jonathan Dwyer has been sentenced to 18 months of probation and community service, tweets Aaron Wilson of the Baltimore Sun. Dwyer had been charged back in September after an alleged domestic violence incident, prompting the Cards to place him on their reserve/non-football illness list, citing concerns about his mental health. Although his legal case has concluded, Dwyer’s NFL future remains murky, as he could face a suspension, and isn’t under contract for the 2015 season.
Here’s more from around the NFC West:
- Former NFL player agent Joel Corry of CBSSports.com takes an in-depth look at what a new contract for Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson would look like, concluding from his data that an extension averaging around $24MM per year with about $65MM in guarantees would make sense. Corry’s whole piece is definitely worth reading for a thorough explanation of how he arrived at those figures.
- Seahawks GM John Schneider indicated earlier this week that he hopes to retain cornerback Byron Maxwell for 2015 and beyond, but Maxwell said today that he intends to “look at every option for me and my family,” per Les Bowen of the Philadelphia Daily News (via Twitter). One potential suitor for Maxwell could be the Saints — Mike Triplett of ESPN.com identifies the cornerback as a player worth watching for New Orleans.
- According to Jason Cole of Bleacher Report (video link), the 49ers players he has spoken to aren’t impressed with the team’s hiring of Geep Chryst as offensive coordinator, viewing the move as a byproduct of management’s desire to pinch pennies.
- Speaking of 49ers management, Matt Maiocco of CSNBayArea.com spoke to general manager Trent Baalke about the team’s “three-year plan” when it comes to managing the roster and the salary cap.
- David Hunn of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch has an update on the next step in the city of St. Louis’ efforts to build a new downtown NFL stadium for the Rams.
