Kirk Cousins No Longer Planning Visits?

With the legal tampering period less than 24 hours away, Kirk Cousins’ destination is the centerpiece storyline of free agency. And it’s possible this process could wrap up quickly.

Once expected to take at least one visit, Cousins may now use the traditional route for high-value free agents and agree to a deal without trekking to facilities. Diana Russini of ESPN.com reports (on Twitter) the 29-year-old quarterback is not planning to make any visits.

Russini adds that it may be down to a three-team race. The Vikings, Jets and Cardinals are “lobbying hard” and putting together recruiting pitches and video presentations for Cousins. Russini does not mention the Broncos here. Denver currently holds more cap space than Arizona but lags behind Minnesota and New York, and it’s possible John Elway could opt for a cheaper option despite the franchise being heavily linked to Cousins throughout the offseason.

These four teams were mentioned as the finalists for Cousins last weekend, and earlier this week, it was reported Cousins had not ruled out anyone just yet. The thinning-out process may be commencing in this high-stakes race.

Vikings Tender Anthony Harris, Mack Brown

The Vikings have elected to tender exclusive rights free agent safety Anthony Harris and ERFA running back Mack Brown, according to Chris Tomasson of the Pioneer Press. Harris is now slated to earn $705K while Brown will make $630K in 2018.

The move to tender Harris was widely expected and largely procedural. A former undrafted free agent, Harris has positioned himself as a valuable reserve and special teamer. Over the last three seasons, he has appeared in 36 games for Minnesota, including eight starts. Last year, he started three times in place of Andrew Sendejo while was either injured or suspended.

Brown only saw time in one game for the Vikings last year after he was brought over on waivers from the Redskins. The decision to tender him was also expected, though not as much of a no-brainer.

Meanwhile, the Vikings will not tender ERFA long snapper Jeff Overbaugh, meaning that he will become an unrestricted free agent on Wednesday. Long snapper Kevin McDermott, who suffered a shoulder injury late in the season, will resume his role in 2018.

Top 3 Offseason Needs: Minnesota Vikings

In advance of March 14, the start of free agency in the NFL, Pro Football Rumors will detail each team’s three most glaring roster issues. We’ll continue this year’s series with the Minnesota Vikings, who stormed back to contention and ventured to their first NFC championship game since the 2009 season.

Depth Chart (via Roster Resource)

Pending Free Agents:

Top 10 Cap Hits for 2018:

  1. Xavier Rhodes, CB: $13,400,000
  2. Anthony Barr, LB: $12,306,000
  3. Everson Griffen, DE: $11,600,000
  4. Riley Reiff, T: $11,400,000
  5. Harrison Smith, S: $10,000,000
  6. Linval Joseph, DT: $8,050,000
  7. Kyle Rudolph, TE: $7,675,000
  8. Sharrif Floyd, DT: $6,757,000
  9. Latavius Murray, RB: $6,350,000
  10. Jarius Wright, WR: $4,760,000

Other:

  • Projected cap space (via Over the Cap): $56,497,939
  • 30th pick in draft
  • Must exercise or decline 2019 fifth-year option for CB Trae Waynes

Three Needs:

1) Pick a quarterback option: Over the past decade, the Vikings have been one of the more unique NFL teams. While playoff brackets are annually populated by teams with long-term solutions at quarterback, the Vikings have managed to be a frequent presence in NFC postseasons without one. Since 2008, Minnesota’s booked playoff berths with five different quarterbacks, with each — Tarvaris Jackson (2008), Brett Favre (’09), Christian Ponder (2012), Teddy Bridgewater (’15) and Case Keenum (’17) — of Keenum’s predecessors never repeating that feat with the team.

Due to his status entering the season, Keenum may have been the unlikeliest of this contingent to be a playoff quarterback. But he elevated the Vikings to a borderline-dominant regular season and was involved in one of the most improbable moments in NFL history. He’s one of the Vikes’ three UFA QBs, assuming Bridgewater’s contract does not toll, but not a certainty to come back. Keenum departing would add to that unique list of one-and-done Vikings playoff QBs, but he’s a key component in a complex decision-making process.

The Vikings have decided not to place the franchise tag on Keenum and are now heavily connected to Kirk Cousins, who would stand to be the kind of long-term solution Minnesota has sought since Daunte Culpepper. Winning this unique race would leave other franchises scrambling. But how committed are the Vikings to make Cousins the highest-paid player in NFL history when they’ve been arguably the best team at making do without such an expense on their payroll?

As a starter, Cousins has as many playoff berths as the rest of the players on the Vikings’ modern-era QB list. But an argument could be made paying him approximately $30MM per year is safer than authorizing a long-term deal for Keenum at a starter-level price. Cousins has submitted multiple above-average seasons, holds single-season Redskins passing records and played well despite working for one of the least stable organizations in American sports.

However, Minnesota should understandably be leery of Cousins becoming the next Joe Flacco: a talented but unspectacular passer who used extraordinary circumstances to land a monster contract — the kind that can make finding supporting-cast help difficult and harm salary caps. However, it’s not like the Vikings didn’t have franchise-QB money on their 2017 books. Their three passers took up more than $22MM of the ’17 payroll. Only six teams paid more to quarterbacks last season than the Vikings did. And a Cousins $30MM-per-year (or close to it) deal wouldn’t comprise a significantly greater percentage of the Vikings’ cap in a $177.2MM-cap universe than recent QB contracts.

Peyton Manning‘s $19.2MM-AAV contract represented approximately 15.5 percent of Denver’s 2012 cap (in a $123MM-cap universe), and Aaron Rodgers‘ $22MM-per-year extension (16.5 percent of the ’13 Packers’ cap) turned out to be a team-friendly accord considering Rodgers’ talents and where the cap went in the coming years. Matthew Stafford‘s $27MM-AAV re-up actually comprised less of the 2017 Lions’ payroll than Rodgers’ 2013 deal did of Green Bay’s. While Cousins’ guarantees will likely be surpass Stafford’s record $60MM, a deal for the soon-to-be 30-year-old QB wouldn’t be that far out of step with recent-past agreements.

Cousins is not on the Rodgers/Drew Brees/Tom Brady/Ben Roethlisberger tier and it’s arguable he may never reliably be a top-10 passer, either. But it will cost more to pay him than it will any other NFL player to date. And the advanced-metrics community did not enjoy Cousins’ 2017 season.

Although, he was deprived of the kind of weapons he had in 2016 (or the kind he’d have in Minnesota). Cousins led the NFL with 1,359 yards on deep throws in 2016, but that figure — per Pro Football Focus — dropped to 825 last season. His adjusted completion percentage dropped from 51 to 40 on deep throws, and his third-down grade ranked 31st (Twitter link; h/t Matthew Coller of ESPN1500). PFF tabbed Cousins as the No. 19 QB last season. Football Outsiders slotted the then-Redskins passer 16th in DYAR — 12 spots behind Keenum, and no team has more intel on Keenum’s ceiling than the Vikings.

A Keenum re-up would be banking on the 30-year-old signal-caller being able to continue his out-of-nowhere progression and do so without Pat Shurmur. It wouldn’t cost as much as a Cousins contract, but considering Keenum’s resume as either a backup or stopgap in his five-year pre-Twin Cities career, his future is harder to project than Cousins’. That makes Keenum’s market difficult to determine.

The Vikings not tagging him could make Keenum — whose 2017 season (22 TD passes, seven INTs, 7.6 yards per attempt, and a 67.6 percent completion rate) made him look like a different quarterback — more open to deals outside of Minnesota. Fellow Cousins chaser Denver has been linked to Keenum at multiple junctures. Football Outsiders was sold on Keenum’s 2017 work, for what it’s worth, placing his 1,298 DYAR behind only Brady, Philip Rivers and Brees — and nearly 900 yards north of Cousins’ figure.

Mike Zimmer is a known Bridgewater defender. Despite the former first-round pick not exactly lighting it up during Minnesota’s 2015 playoff season (14 TD passes, nine INTs in 16 starts), the Louisville product saw career-defining injuries deny him the chance to show further growth. Having two full seasons taken away from him, the 25-year-old QB now profiles as a stopgap option in free agency or a high-end backup. But the Vikings could well be the team that takes him on as a reserve.

The Vikings’ decision could well shape the quarterback market. Minnesota has proven it can manage without the services of franchise quarterback, but securing one could elevate the franchise to a higher level.

2) Identify extension candidates: Part of the reason the Vikes could be hesitant to throw a king’s ransom at Cousins is its 2019 free agent class. It’s one of the best in the league and contains several core performers. Set for UFA status a year from now: Anthony Barr, Stefon Diggs, Danielle Hunter, Trae Waynes and Eric Kendricks.

With a Cousins-Bridgewater setup, the Vikings will be hard-pressed to keep everyone here. But that wouldn’t be likely even if the team went with Keenum and Bridgewater. However, with the 2019 cap likely to settle in at around $190MM, making these kind of plans has become easier than it was in previous stretches.Read more

Several Teams Interested In Teddy Bridgewater; Could Vikings Trade For Nick Foles?

The Vikings might be the current leaders in the Kirk Cousins sweepstakes, and if the Vikes can land the coveted signal-caller, all three of their 2017 QBs — Case KeenumSam Bradford, and Teddy Bridgewater — will likely be suiting up elsewhere in 2018. Adam Schefter of ESPN.com tweets that at least a handful of teams have expressed interest in Bridgewater as a potential starting quarterback, so he does have a market, despite some reports that the Vikings themselves view Bridgewater as a pedestrian QB.

  • If the Vikings cannot land Cousins, Andrew Krammer of the Star Tribune suggests that Eagles QB (and Super Bowl LII MVP) Nick Foles could be on the team’s radar. The Eagles have suggested they are open to trading Foles, and Minnesota just hired former Philadelphia QBs coach John DeFilippo as its new offensive coordinator. Of course, the two sides previously completed a QB trade when the Eagles shipped Bradford to the Vikings prior to the 2016 campaign.

Jets Fear Vikings In Kirk Cousins Chase

The “legal tampering” period before free agency doesn’t begin until March 12, but the Jets are already worried about losing out on their top target. The Jets are aware of league-wide speculation that the Vikings will sign Kirk Cousins and they are taking that talk seriously after engaging in “informal, preliminary talks with his camp this week,” Ralph Vacchiano of SNY hears. Kirk Cousins (vertical)

The Jets badly need a quarterback solution for 2018 and the Vikings, in theory, have three starter-quality signal callers to choose from. However, the Vikings are not comfortable with relying on Sam Bradford or Teddy Bridgewater and they apparently would prefer to give Cousins a record-breaking deal over a more modest contract for Case KeenumThe Vikings are not expected to use the franchise tag on Keenum and it’s not hard to connect the dots to Cousins.

Cousins is reportedly planning to not agree to terms with any club before the official start of free agency on March 14, but that may change with the right offer from Minnesota. It’s anyone’s guess as to whether Cousins would change course and agree to a back-channelled deal beforehand, but the Jets are aware – and nervous – about the possibility.

The Broncos and Cardinals are also reportedly among the “final suitors” for Cousins’ services.

Latest On Kirk Cousins, “Final” Suitors

The Kirk Cousins sweepstakes is quickly heating up. Earlier today, ESPN’s Adam Schefter reported (via Twitter) that there were four “final” teams vying for the quarterback’s services: the Broncos, Cardinals, Jets and Vikings.

Kirk Cousins (vertical)Denver, Minnesota, and New York have definitively been connected to Cousins for much of the offseason, but it’s mostly been speculation surrounding Arizona’s interest in the signal-caller. Following the retirement of Carson Palmer, the Cardinals currently aren’t rostering a single quarterback.

With the return of David Johnson and the presence of Larry Fitzgerald, Cousins would seemingly have an opportunity to flourish in Arizona. In a bit of an ironic twist, Cousins posted a picture of himself and Fitzgerald on Instagram yesterday, writing “Ran into Fitz in the airport yesterday. He’s a GREAT recruiter!” Unfortunately for the Cardinals, they’re currently operating with less cap space than the other three candidates.

Assuming these are indeed the final four teams vying for Cousins, the report seemingly takes several other potential suitors out of the mix. Primarily, the Browns, who are armed with $110MM-plus in cap space, seem to be out of the race for the quarterback.

Cousins had another productive season in 2017, completing 64.3-percent of his passes for 4,093 yards, 27 touchdowns, and 13 interceptions. We heard yesterday that the Broncos would be going hard after Cousins, while “rampant speculation” around the Combine projects that Cousins is ultimately going to Minnesota

Latest On Broncos, Kirk Cousins

Now that the Vikings are expected to be in the mix for Kirk Cousins, the Broncos’ chances of acquiring him likely lessened compared to what they were before Minnesota became a serious contender. But Denver has no plans to bow out.

John Elway said the team would explore all options this offseason to upgrade at quarterback, and Charles Robinson of Yahoo.com reports Cousins is far and away the option the Broncos prefer. Ben Goessling of the Minneapolis Star-Tribune adds (via Twitter) the Cousins-to-Broncos rumors are flowing in Indianapolis.

Robinson notes the Vikings and Jets are expected to be the other top Cousins pursuers. Ralph Vacchiano of SNY.tv noted “rampant speculation” around the Combine is sending Cousins to Minnesota.

The Broncos do not possess the cap space the Jets do, with New York now holding more than $90MM. The Vikings also stand to sit with nearly $50MM as of Friday. But Robinson reports the team is looking at ways it increase its cap room. Denver is currently sitting on just less than $25MM, according to OverTheCap, but Robinson notes the Broncos are conjuring scenarios they can increase that to north of $40MM and perhaps as high as $50MM. Denver is likely parting with Aqib Talib ($11MM in cap savings), and Elway did not give assurances C.J. Anderson ($4.5MM) would be back for a fifth season as the Broncos’ starting running back.

However, Elway said Demaryius Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders and Derek Wolfe would return. He also indicated (via Nicki Jhabvala of the Denver Post, Twitter link) embattled right tackle Menelik Watson ($4.5MM in possible savings with $2.7MM in dead money) would be back. That’s somewhat surprising given that Watson allowed the third-most sacks in the league despite playing in only seven games. Beyond restructures, and high-profile restructures haven’t been too common in Elway’s GM tenure, there aren’t other obvious avenues to create notable space.

Robinson notes a Cousins deal might be closer to a three- or four-year agreement and adds a shorter-term deal — one that would allow him to be in line to sign a new deal before his age-33 season — would be attractive for the passer. The Broncos are likely going after Cousins to help their Super Bowl core, and with those players being in their late 20s or early 30s, a three- or four-year Cousins agreement would line up with that. Although, a shorter-term doesn’t provide the kind of security a franchise would presumably seek in being involved in this kind of pursuit.

Cousins is expected to take visits to meet with teams, and Robinson writes the Broncos’ experience signing Peyton Manning after he made Denver his first visit in 2012 could provide an edge for the Colorado franchise. The Yahoo reporter compares the Broncos’ level of interest in Cousins to Manning.

Vikings Will Not Tender Jeremiah Sirles

The Vikings will not tender offensive lineman Jeremiah Sirles, agent Chris Gittings tells Ben Goessling of the Star Tribune (Twitter link). He’ll be allowed to explore the open market, but his agent says that the Vikings still have interest in retaining him. "<strong

Sirles came into the league as an unrestricted free agent, making him a candidate for the original round tender. The original round tender would place a one-year, $2MM hold on Sirles and give the Vikings the right of first refusal, though it would not net the Vikings any draft compensation in return. Apparently the Vikings have some interest in retaining Sirles as a reserve, but at a lesser rate.

Sirles has played predominantly at guard, but he made ten starts at right tackle for the Vikings in 2016. Categorized as a tackle by Pro Football Focus, Sirles was ranked No. 48 at the position with a poor 45.2 overall score.

In related news, Vikings interior lineman Joe Berger plans to test free agency.

Vikings’ Joe Berger To Test Free Agency

Last year, interior lineman Joe Berger considered retirement. This year, he mulled leaving the game once again, but he has decided to continue playing, according to Tom Pelissero of NFL.com (on Twitter). Joe Berger (Vertical)

Berger will test free agency, though a return to the Vikings remains possible. Pelissero also speculates that he may be a fit for the Giants, where former Vikings offensive coordinator Pat Shurmur is now the head coach.

Last year, Berger appeared in all but two of the Vikings’ 1,115 snaps. Even though he’ll turn 36 in May, it’s clear that he still has plenty of quality football left in him. Playing mostly at right guard, Berger graded out as the No. 23 ranked guard in the NFL, per Pro Football Focus.

With 145 NFL games (84 starts) to his credit, Berger figures to garner serious attention for his experience level and versatility.

Vikings Expected To Be In On Kirk Cousins

  • Sticking with Cousins, the Vikings are expected to be strong contenders for the quarterback’s services NFL Network’s Mike Garafolo reports (Twitter link). In the video clip, Garafolo says he has been told by sources “the whole way” that the Vikes are going to make a strong push for the prized free agent.
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