RFA/ERFA Tender Decisions: 3/9/26

Here are today’s tender decisions:

RFAs

Tendered:

Non-tendered:

ERFAs

Tendered:

NFL Announces 2026 Compensatory Picks

The NFL has awarded compensatory draft picks for teams in the 2026 draft. Based on an add/subtract formula that covers the 2025 free agency period, comp picks span from Round 3 to Round 7. The higher picks go to the teams that endured the most significant free agent losses.

This year, the NFL awarded 33 comp picks. The comp pick formula assigns picks to franchises who suffered the largest net losses, so teams that signed multiple free agents have a lesser chance of receiving picks.

Sorted by round and by team, here are the league’s 2026 compensatory selections:

By round:

Round 3: Vikings (No. 97), Eagles (98), Steelers (99), Jaguars (100, from Lions*)

Round 4: 49ers (No. 133), Raiders (134), Steelers (135), Saints (136), Eagles (137), 49ers (138), 49ers (139), Jets (140)

Round 5: Ravens (No. 173), Ravens (174), Raiders (175), Chiefs (176), Cowboys (177), Eagles (178), Jets (179), Cowboys (180), Lions (181)

Round 6: Steelers (No. 214), Eagles (215), Steelers (216)

Round 7: Colts (No. 249), Ravens (250), Rams (251), Rams (252), Ravens (253), Colts (254), Packers (255), Bronc0s (256), Broncos (257)

By team:

  • Baltimore Ravens: 4
  • Philadelphia Eagles: 4
  • Pittsburgh Steelers: 4
  • San Francisco 49ers: 3
  • Dallas Cowboys: 2
  • Denver Broncos: 2
  • Indianapolis Colts: 2
  • Las Vegas Raiders: 2
  • Los Angeles Rams: 2
  • New York Jets: 2
  • Detroit Lions: 1
  • Green Bay Packers: 1
  • Jacksonville Jaguars: 1
  • Kansas City Chiefs: 1
  • Minnesota Vikings: 1
  • New Orleans Saints: 1

* = awarded for Lions DC Aaron Glenn becoming Jets’ HC

The Bears lost a minority executive to a GM role, with Ian Cunningham taking over in Atlanta. But the NFL will not award Chicago two third-round picks for that hire because the Falcons have Matt Ryan positioned as their president of football. Although Cunningham — Chicago’s assistant GM for four years — holds plenty of organizational say, Ryan is atop its front office hierarchy. The Bears disagree with the NFL’s ruling, per NFL.com’s Mike Garafolo.

Bears GM Ryan Poles confirmed (via ESPN.com’s Courtney Cronin) the team spoke with the NFL about the matter, but the league did not rule in the team’s favor. Had this decision gone the Bears’ way, they would have received third-round picks in the 2026 and ’27 drafts.

Vikings, CB James Pierre Agree To Deal

James Pierre was recently mentioned as one of the cornerbacks drawing notable attention ahead of free agency. He has indeed landed a new agreement in short order.

Josina Anderson of The Exhibit reports Pierre has reached a deal with the Vikings. This will be a two-year pact with a maximum value of $8.5MM, she adds. Pierre will secure $3.7MM guaranteed, including a $2.5MM signing bonus.

Anderson mentioned Sunday that Pierre was on nearly 10 teams’ radars after a solid sixth season in Pittsburgh. The career-long Steeler, though, will turn 30 this year. That effectively provided a market cap. Still, Pierre secured a raise after playing for low-level (NFL-wise, at least) money throughout his career.

Pro Football Focus viewed Pierre — a 2025 Steelers injury sub — as the NFL’s second-best corner (among qualified options) last season. Granted, he played 408 snaps, but the season represented a massive breakthrough. While NFL teams likely did not view him that highly, this contract reflects the six-year vet’s improvement.

The Steelers spoke with Pierre’s camp about a likely low-cost deal, but the team moved on by signing Jamel Dean. The longtime Buccaneers defender joins Joey Porter Jr. and Jalen Ramsey, depending on where the aging All-Pro is stationed, as the Steelers’ top corners for 2026. As for the Vikings, they will pair Pierre with Byron Murphy and Isaiah Rodgers. Pierre overlapped with Vikings DC Brian Flores during a 2022 season spent as Pittsburgh’s linebackers coach.

Sam Robinson contributed to this post.

Vikings To Re-Sign LB Eric Wilson

Eric Wilson made his way back to Minnesota after nearly five years away, becoming a starter once again. The veteran linebacker will see that second stint continue.

The Vikings are re-signing Wilson just before free agency, according to NFL.com’s Mike Garafolo. Wilson agreed to a three-year, $22.5MM deal that includes $12.5MM fully guaranteed. The 10th-year NFL veteran had previously returned to the Twin Cities on a one-year, $2.6MM deal. After years on similar contracts, Wilson will see the best contract of his career at 31.

This represents a borderline remarkable resurgence for Wilson, who has never previously played for anything more than $3.26MM in a season. That was via a second-round Vikings RFA tender in 2020. Wilson signed a host of one-year contracts in the time since, being cut by the Eagles and claimed by the Texans before enjoying a Packers stint. The Vikings brought him back in 2025 and turned to the Mike Zimmer-era acquisition as a near-full-time starter.

Wilson’s 965 defensive snaps last season were by far his most since that 2020 RFA slate. Minnesota used the former UDFA alongside Minneapolis-area native Blake Cashman as its primary linebacking duo last season. Wilson replaced an injured Cashman after Week 1 but kept the job when the regular starter returned, reducing Ivan Pace‘s role. Pro Football Focus slotted Wilson 44th among 88 qualified off-ball ‘backers.mike

Asked to start 12 games for the 2024 Packers, Wilson was used as a role player (51% snap rate). As a 90% defender in 2025, Wilson made 115 tackles and offered the Vikings a strong blitzing option in registering a career-best 6.5 sacks. More impressively, Wilson came through with 17 tackles for loss. That not only led all off-ball LBs in 2025, it ranked sixth among all players last season. That performance secured the Cincinnati alum a sizable raise, as he joins Cashman on veteran deals at linebacker for the Vikes.

The Zimmer-Rick Spielman duo added Wilson as a 2017 UDFA, and he logged 10 starts during the Anthony BarrEric Kendricks years from 2017-19. In 2020, however, Minnesota gave Wilson the aforementioned RFA tender and used him as a full-timer. In 15 starts that year, Wilson racked up 122 tackles. But it led to modest free agency interest. The Eagles cut Wilson months after giving him a one-year deal worth less ($2.75MM) than his 2020 tender price. Wilson’s three Packers contracts did not eclipse $1.5MM for a season, making this early-30s comeback all the more impressive. With Brian Flores returning — on a top-market coordinator salary — he appears set to count on Wilson once again.

Kyler Murray Eyeing Vikings; Jets Showing Interest

The Cardinals are moving on from Kyler Murray. A last-ditch trade effort is still taking place, but absent that, Arizona is prepared to release its longtime starter. Two usual suspects are on the radar here.

Vikings interest in Murray has come out at multiple points this offseason, but Sportsboom.com’s Jason La Canfora indicates the soon-to-be unattached quarterback would prefer a Minnesota deal. Though, the Jets will present a clearer path to a starting job.

New York has been connected to some lower-profile names, from Tanner McKee to Jarrett Stidham to Tyson Bagent; a recent report has now tied the team to a Frank ReichCarson Wentz reunion. That would certainly be an uninspired path for the Jets, who would seemingly be prepared to chase a 2027 first-round QB if Wentz truly became the stopgap option. But La Canfora indicates the Jets appear to be the team “most desperate” for Murray.

Murray, 28, will be looking for a place to bounce back, and ESPN.com’s Rich Cimini views the quarterback as unlikely to share the Jets’ level of interest here. The Vikings have elevated a few veteran quarterbacks’ stocks — from Kirk Cousins to Sam Darnold to Daniel Jones — under Kevin O’Connell, but they are still developing J.J. McCarthy.

Adam La Rose’s most recent PFR mailbag addressed the line the Vikings are attempting to walk in trying to upgrade at QB while still having hopes for McCarthy, and Murray throwing himself into that mix would be interesting. Jones passed on this last year, choosing a Colts starter path despite the Vikings offering more money. Murray, however, is a different type of free agent. The Cardinals are on the hook for his 2026 salary, making fit the priority as opposed to an offer. This is similar to Russell Wilson‘s 2024 market, when he signed with the Steelers for the veteran minimum (as the Broncos paid the bulk of his tab).

New Jets OC Frank Reich is also believed to be high on Jacoby Brissett from their time together in Indianapolis, Cimini adds, and La Canfora notes the Cardinals have received trade offers on Brissett — whom last year’s staff appeared to prefer guiding the offense compared to Murray.

The Jets have been previously connected to Brissett, who is tied to a two-year, $12.5MM Cardinals deal. Reich coached Brissett from 2018-20 in Indy. Brissett looms as a Cardinals stopgap option, and GM Monti Ossenfort signed him last year. But with Malik Willis and Jimmy Garoppolo connections forming, will Arizona be too attached to its primary 2025 starter? La Canfora also ties Garoppolo to the Cards, which will make a Brissett trade — as several teams are looking for starters ahead of a thin QB draft — something to monitor.

With Murray needing to show he remains capable of above-average play, his upcoming choice will be critical. At 5-foot-10, the former No. 1 overall pick will not be a fit for every offense. He certainly ran into obstacles during the back half of his Cardinals career. If he is not traded, enough Minnesota smoke has emerged to indicate there will be some mutual interest here.

As for the Jets, they have also been doing some homework on Tua Tagovailoa. The longtime Dolphins starter also has his 2026 salary guaranteed; both he and Murray are likely to be vet-minimum options in bounce-back scenarios. As of now, though, Murray is believed to be driving more interest than Tagovailoa.

Offseason Outlook: Minnesota Vikings

One year ago, the Vikings found themselves at a crossroads. J.J. McCarthy was coming off a rookie season spent entirely in recovery, while Sam Darnold and Daniel Jones approached free agency.

Both Darnold and Jones wound up landing starting positions elsewhere on the open market. Kwesi Adofo-Mensah was not entirely averse to keeping one of the two veterans in place, but he and the Vikings were ultimately prepared to hand the reins over to McCarthy. On every front – the play by Jones on an impressive Colts team prior to his Achilles tear, Darnold’s contribution to the Super Bowl champion Seahawks and McCarthy’s struggles – that decision backfired.

Adofo-Mensah is now out of the picture, while Minnesota faces the unenviable task of finding a starting-caliber passer amidst a challenging cap situation. The team’s offense will have a high floor if the right one can be acquired, and another year of strong defensive play should be expected in 2026. But the central question in the Vikings’ case remains unanswered on the eve of the new league year.

Coaching/front office:

Hired during the 2022 offseason, Adofo-Mensah joined the Vikings at the same time as head coach Kevin O’Connell. The latter’s reputation has steadily gained steam over time, but that was not the case regarding Minnesota’s front office leader.

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Vikings Work Out Several Restructures

Until recently, the Vikings were on track to be well over the 2026 salary cap. That has produced a number of cost-shedding moves over the course of this week, including several restructures.

[RELATED: Mutual Interest Between Vikings, Kyler Murray]

T.J. Hockenson has agreed to a contract adjustment, Tom Pelissero and Ian Rapoport of NFL Network report. This move will free up roughly $5MM in cap space. Prior to the restructure, Hockenson was due to carry a cap charge of $21.3MM in 2026, the highest in the league among tight ends.

The two-time Pro Bowler has struggled to regain his previous form since suffering a major knee injury in 2023. As a result, Hockenson’s cap figure would have been a sore spot had it remained intact. Instead, he will look to rebound in 2026. Hockenson was originally under contract through 2027, but Pelissero notes the final year of his deal has been removed through this arrangement. He is now on course for free agency next spring.

Minnesota has also worked out simple restructures in the case of wideout Justin Jefferson and left tackle Christian Darrisaw, per Pelissero. That process consists of converting base salaries into signing bonus to create immediate cap space. Over $27MM in breathing space for 2026 has been generated by those moves. Given their ages and importance to Minnesota’s offense, Jefferson and Darrisaw loomed as obvious candidates for restructures. Their respective deals run through 2028 and ’29, leaving plenty of time for future adjustments if needed.

Cornerback Byron Murphy‘s deal has been restructured as well, as detailed by Ben Goessling of the Minnesota Star Tribune. Roughly $11MM in savings have been generated in his case as a result. Murphy remained in place with the Vikings on a three-year, $54MM pact last offseason. His cap charge is now on track to spike in 2027, but there is no danger of a release taking place before then.

A number of veterans will not be in place for the Vikings once the 2026 season begins. Defensive linemen Javon Hargrave and Jonathan Allen as well as running back Aaron Jones will soon become free agents upon being released, while center Ryan Kelly has retired. The restructures finalized in recent days are enough for Minnesota to attain cap compliance in time for the start of the new league year, per Over the Cap.

RFA/ERFA Tender Decisions: 3/6/26

Friday’s RFA and ERFA tender decisions:

RFAs

Non-tendered:

ERFAs

Tendered:

After a strong campaign backing up an injury-depleted running backs room, Vidal gets the most obvious ERFA tender of all time. Starting 10 of 13 game appearances, Vidal rushed for 643 yards and three touchdowns after injuries to Najee Harris, Omarion Hampton, and others.

Vikings C Ryan Kelly To Retire

Two centers who relocated to the NFC North via free agency in 2025 have now retired. Following Drew Dalman‘s Bears exit, Ryan Kelly is calling it quits.

The Vikings center announced Friday he will wrap his playing career after 10 seasons. Nine of those came in Indianapolis. Kelly signed a two-year, $18MM Minnesota deal last March.

While Dalman’s retirement proved shocking due to his age (27), Kelly is leaving the game at 32. The former first-round pick made four Pro Bowls during his time with the Colts, landing an extension in 2020. Kelly played out that deal before trekking to Minnesota. He loomed as a possible Vikings cap casualty. The Vikes imported both Kelly and guard Will Fries from the Colts; they will need a new center in 2026.

Drafted 18th overall out of Alabama in 2016, Kelly began his career blocking for Andrew Luck. While Luck abruptly retired three seasons into Kelly’s career, the talented center became an Indianapolis cornerstone as the franchise cycled through quarterbacks over the next several years.

Although Ryan Grigson drafted Kelly, GM Chris Ballard made him a priority during his tenure. The Colts gave Kelly a four-year, $49.65MM extension before the 2020 season. The Colts locked up Braden Smith and Quenton Nelson over the next two summers, forming a strong O-line core. Kelly was at the heart of it, helping Jonathan Taylor win the 2021 rushing title by more than 500 yards. As Taylor zoomed to first-team All-Pro acclaim, Kelly earned his third Pro Bowl nod.

Kelly’s lone All-Pro honor — a second-team selection — came in 2020, when the Colts made the playoffs during Philip Rivers‘ first stint with the team. Snapping primarily to Carson Wentz in 2021 and Matt Ryan in 2022, Kelly picked up his final Pro Bowl accolade as Gardner Minshew‘s snapper in 2023.

Injuries intervened for the decorated blocker in 2024. A knee malady led Kelly to IR midway through the 2024 season, after he had missed two games earlier in the year. Kelly missed seven contests in 2024. He had expressed interest in a second Colts extension, but the team did not reciprocate. After testing free agency, he joined Fries in being part of Minnesota’s 2025 interior O-line makeover.

The Vikes added Kelly, Fries and first-round guard Donovan Jackson to revamp their O-line around holdover tackles Christian Darrisaw and Brian O’Neill. Kelly, though, missed nine games in 2025. He suffered two concussions in three weeks, the second leading the $9MM-per-year Viking to IR. Shut down after Week 4, Kelly returned in 12 but ended up missing Minnesota’s final two games. Last season included three Kelly concussions in total, with ESPN.com’s Kevin Seifert indicating he suffered at least three more over the course of his career.

Minnesota, which used both Blake Brandel and Michael Jurgens in place of Kelly last season, had released longtime center Garrett Bradbury in hopes Kelly would play multiple seasons. But the team will instead pick up $8.4MM in cap space. This moves the team near cap compliance, with OverTheCap indicating the Vikings are more than $1MM over as of Friday afternoon.

2026 NFL Top 50 Free Agents

While this year did not bring a record-setting salary cap spike, a $20MM-plus bump occurred for the third straight offseason and fourth over the past five years. We continue to see year-to-year leaps that dwarf what the 2011 CBA brought.

Now that the franchise tag application deadline has passed, a clearer picture of the 2026 free agent market emerges. The aim for PFR’s top 50 remains contract-based, but as our Offseason Outlook series has illustrated, numerous deals carrying creative vesting structures have seen players secure favorable guarantees without the full amounts being locked in up front. So, this year’s list leans a bit more toward total guarantees as opposed to upfront security.

Although players like Travis Kelce and Aaron Rodgers are bound for the Hall of Fame, they will not appear here. Big names are still present within this value-based collection, however. Players who could be released at the start of the 2026 league year – as likely post-June 1 cuts – or soon after are not included, only those out of contract for the ’26 season appear below. Teams have until 11am CT March 9, when the legal tampering period begins, to keep free agents-to-be off the market.

In Year 34 of full-fledged NFL free agency, here are the top options for teams to target once the legal tampering period starts:

1. Tyler Linderbaum, C. Age in Week 1: 26

The fifth-year option not being truly position-based affects a few of this year’s free agents, none more so than Linderbaum. Because all offensive linemen are grouped together under the tag formula, centers are almost never tagged. Few guards are. Linderbaum has presented the best case for a center tag in many years, and he is days away from bridging the gap that exists between the two interior offensive line positions.

There are seven guards earning $20MM per year, yet Creed Humphrey’s $18MM-AAV contract tops the center market. Only two centers (Humphrey and Cam Jurgens) earn more than $12MM – now that Drew Dalman surprisingly elected to retire and the Titans have cut Lloyd Cushenberry. Linderbaum will almost definitely become the NFL’s first $20MM-per-year center, and this free agency could remind of when Antoine Winfield Jr.’s 2024 Bucs extension briefly dragged the safety market past cornerback.

Baltimore has offered Linderbaum a market-topping deal, and after the Combine, the 2022 first-round pick likely knows his price range. The Ravens only have a few days left before ceding exclusive negotiating rights and losing the best center in team history.

The Ravens have seen four center Pro Bowl seasons in their 30-year history; Linderbaum has three of them (Jeremy Zuttah received the other). The Iowa alum has anchored the Ravens’ interior O-line, as the team continues to see guards come and go. Losing him would be significant for the AFC North franchise.

ESPN’s pass block win rate metric ranked Linderbaum fourth among all interior O-lineman last season; he ranked 13th in 2024. Pro Football Focus, conversely, has graded Linderbaum as a far superior run blocker. The agile lineman has certainly made a considerable difference for a run-reliant offense. The Ravens were able to keep Ronnie Stanley from testing free agency at the last minute in 2025, though the longtime LT was seeking a third contract. Will they do the same with Linderbaum?

Humphrey’s Chiefs deal includes just more than $50MM guaranteed in total. Tyler Smith’s $81.26MM number tops the guard market. I would expect Linderbaum’s guarantee to land closer to the Cowboys guard than the Chiefs center.

Corey Linsley set a center AAV record as a 2021 free agent; Linderbaum should blow the current mark out of the water. Citing cap inflation, Adam La Rose’s most recent PFR mailbag pegged a price around $21MM per year as realistic. In the event of a widespread bidding war, something close to Smith’s $24MM AAV could even be required to close this deal. With Humphrey, Jurgens and Frank Ragnow before them not testing the market when they signed big-ticket deals, future center extension aspirants may owe a debt of gratitude to Linderbaum moving forward

2. Alec Pierce, WR. Age in Week 1: 26

Like the changing of the guard the Colts observed when Michael Pittman Jr. usurped T.Y. Hilton in the wideout pecking order, Pierce made his case as Indianapolis’ WR1 in 2025. The former second-round pick ripped off his first 1,000-yard season despite the Colts splitting their final five games between Riley Leonard and a 44-year-old Philip Rivers at quarterback. Pierce paced the NFL in yards per reception for a second straight season, posting a 21.3-yard average a year after managing (somehow) a 22.3-yard number and 824 total with Anthony Richardson targeting him.

Richardson completed fewer than 48% of his passes that season, one of the least accurate starter slates this century, but Pierce (824 yards in 2024) continued his ascent from the Matt Ryan/Gardner Minshew years. He hit another gear in 2025 (1,003 yards in 15 games) and will benefit soon – from either a Colts re-signing or a big-ticket free agency deal. With George Pickens franchise-tagged, Pierce tops this year’s receiver market.

That is an interesting distinction for a player who has never caught more than 47 passes in a season. Pierce is maybe more high-end No. 2 than true No. 1, but this is typically the type of player who cashes in on the market. As Daniel Jones is the best quarterback Pierce has played with (with Ryan at the end by his Indianapolis stint), teams undoubtedly see growth potential in the deep threat.

Fifteen receivers are tied to $50MM guarantees; not counting Travis Hunter’s rookie deal, another six secured at least $40MM in total guarantees. Every player among that contingent caught at least 58 passes in a season before signing his second contract (11 recorded at least one 90-reception season). Of that group, all but two (Jameson Williams and Jerry Jeudy) had posted 70-catch seasons. Williams $66.13MM guaranteed without the benefit of free agency, while Eagles WR2 DeVonta Smith is at $69.99MM. Both may be better than Pierce, but the open market awaits.

Pierce’s Devery Henderson-like profile differs, making him an unusual player with regards to this WR salary bracket. But he will be able to infiltrate it soon. It will be interesting to see if the team that signs Pierce will call on him to be its lead wideout – the expected salary would make that likely – or cast him as a high-end complementary cog. The former second-round pick will soon be an outlier when it comes to reception volume among upper-crust WR earners.

3. Jaelan Phillips, EDGE. Age in Week 1: 27

This year brings a deep crop of free agent edge rushers. With this being a premium position, questions surround the lot of prime-years players available. Phillips is coming off a bounce-back season, once under-the-hood numbers are considered, and will garner considerable free agency attention. The Eagles were able to keep breakthrough linebacker Zack Baun from testing the market last year, but they are running out of time with Phillips.

Philly sent Miami a third-round pick for the rental rusher, and while he only finished his comeback season with five sacks, the 2021 first-rounder’s 35 QB pressures ranked 12th leaguewide. His pressure rate (18.8% — far north of Trey Hendrickson or Odafe Oweh’s 2025 numbers) ranked fourth among players with at least 250 defensive snaps.

Finishing a season healthy did maybe as much for Phillips’ stock, after he went down with Achilles (2023) and ACL (2024) tears. Phillips’ injury past stretches back to college, when he briefly retired from the sport after a concussion and other maladies (including some from a moped accident). A transfer to Miami, however, reenergized him.

The former five-star recruit landed on the first-round radar with the Hurricanes and showed plus form with the Dolphins, combining for 15.5 sacks over his first two seasons. Year 2 included a career-high 25 QB hits. The 6-foot-5 EDGE was on his way to a career-best season in 2023, tallying 6.5 sacks and seven tackles for loss in eight games. A Black Friday Achilles tear stalled his momentum, and a September 2024 ACL tear continued the midcareer misery.

Josh Sweat did not carry injury concerns and received “only” $41MM guaranteed in total from the Cardinals. That topped last year’s EDGE market, where Chase Young – who did carry major injury concerns – received $33MM guaranteed. Phillips hovers between these two in age, but his extensive injury past may place a cap on this market.

But with the NFL’s salary ceiling rising yet again, it would be hard to see this market settling south of $20MM per year. Last year, the Chiefs and Bills agreed to extensions (with George Karlaftis and Greg Rousseau, respectively) that included $64.8MM and $54MM in total guarantees. Phillips’ camp, representing a player who matches that duo with zero Pro Bowls, can aim for that range next week.

4. Trey Hendrickson, EDGE. Age in Week 1: 31

Among this market’s prime pass rushers, Hendrickson’s resume laps his peers. The Bengals sack ace finished back-to-back seasons with 17.5 sacks and has two more campaigns (2020, 2021) with at least 13. Hendrickson recorded at least 24 QB hits from 2020-24, topping out at 36 in managing to finish as Defensive Player of the Year runner-up on a bad 2024 Cincinnati defense. The Bengals appear set to lose their five-year defensive end cornerstone; this was preventable, but the team’s antiquated stand against post-Year 1 salary guarantees prevented an extension from being completed in 2025.

The Bengals offered Hendrickson a backloaded extension – three years, $95MM – last year but saw the disgruntled D-end reject it due to insufficient guarantee protection beyond Year 1. The Steelers’ T.J. Watt extension included full guarantees for the 2026 and ’27 seasons. Watt is more accomplished than Hendrickson, but he is also 31 and had tallied fewer sacks between the 2023 and ’24 seasons. The Bengals’ offer also trailed the Texans’ Danielle Hunter AAV of $35.6MM despite the latter being the same age with a similar resume.

Hendrickson agreed to a one-year, $21MM extension in 2023 in fear the Bengals would use the franchise tag on him in 2025. With the Tee Higgins saga lasting past that point, Hendrickson miscalculated that. He now resides in a similar situation to Haason Reddick.

Also starting slowly, Reddick joined Hendrickson as a 2017 draftee who broke through in a 2020 contract year. Both players signed $15MM-per-year deals – Hendrickson in 2021, Reddick in 2022 – they outplayed. Age became an issue for Reddick, whose 2024 holdout backfired, and it is worth wondering how much it will impact Hendrickson’s free agency.

Last year represented a clear window for Hendrickson to cash in – at 30 and coming off the two straight top-level pass-rushing seasons – but he was negotiating with a difficult adversary. And he underwent season-ending core muscle surgery after a seven-game campaign. That will dock Hendrickson’s stock, but by how much?

From 2016-25, there have been 79 10-sack seasons from players aged 27-30. In that span, only 17 such seasons exist from players aged 31-34. These are the years a Hendrickson suitor is acquiring. Among pure EDGE players, that age-31-34 sack number plummets to 11. Hendrickson should do well next week, but the decision to sign that Bengals extension in 2023 could cost him thanks to an injury-shortened 2025.

5. Rasheed Walker, T. Age in Week 1: 26

When the Rams and Ravens respectively took Alaric Jackson and Ronnie Stanley off last year’s market, Dan Moore Jr. benefited. A much-criticized Steelers tackle on his rookie contract, Moore became the NFL’s seventh-highest-paid left tackle at the time of signing. His four-year, $82MM deal – one that outflanked Jackson and Stanley’s pre-free-agency deals and Dion Dawkins and Garett Bolles’ 2024 extensions – represents a good guide for Walker, who received better reviews on his Packers rookie pact.

The Packers turned to Walker, a 2022 seventh-round pick, as their David Bakhtiari fallback option and saw him far outplay his draft position. Walker started 48 games from 2023-25, fending off first-round pick Jordan Morgan for the Green Bay LT gig. Morgan is poised to commandeer it (by default, as Broderick Jones did in Pittsburgh post-Moore), but Walker will cash in elsewhere.

Walker ranked 11th in pass block win rate last season and 14th in 2024. PFF was a bit less bullish due largely to the Penn State product’s run blocking. The advanced metrics site never ranked Walker higher than 40th overall among tackles. Similar skepticism did not derail Moore, and Walker will almost definitely do better than the $50MM guarantee Moore received from the Titans.

Seven LTs are on contracts that include at least $50MM in total guarantees. Not counting Will Campbell’s rookie deal, four more secured at least $40MM guaranteed. It would be stunning if Walker did not land at least $40MM guaranteed. Considering how rare it is that early-prime LTs hit the market – like the Steelers, the Packers used a first-round pick on a blindside successor (Morgan) – the former No. 249 overall pick will be one of this year’s FA winners.

6. John Franklin-Myers, DL. Age in Week 1: 30

The Broncos extended six players between late July and their bye week. After paying top-priority talents Courtland Sutton, Zach Allen and Nik Bonitto in camp, Denver turned to three other regulars – center Luke Wattenberg, defensive tackle Malcolm Roach and kicker Wil Lutz – during its bye. Franklin-Myers did not expect a new deal and has likely known what is about to happen on the market.

Although Franklin-Myers is approaching an age-30 season, the runway is clear for him to cash in. He is the best interior D-line option on this market – probably by a wide margin. After last year produced Milton Williams and other attractive interior D-line options, no one is rivaling Franklin-Myers – as of now, at least – in terms of unattached inside pass rushers.

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