Month: July 2016

AFC West Rumors: Raiders, Miller, Harris

Las Vegas’ readiness for a potential Raiders commitment was set for a pivotal month, but the status of the city’s negotiations on stadium particulars has experienced a delay. Nevada governor Brian Sandoval extended the Southern Nevada Tourism and Infrastructure Committee a two-month extension for finalizing a stadium plan, the Associated Press reports.

The committee previously faced a deadline to submit a proposal to Sandoval by the end of July, but they’ll now continue to work out details — like the site for the venue and how it will be funded — until as late as Sept. 30. After a Monday meeting, the cost for the Vegas venue appears to have risen from its initial $1.45 billion projection. That figure now hovers between $1.7 billion and $2.1 billion, per the AP report, which also said nine sites came up as locales for a potential future Raiders and UNLV stadium.

Previously, we’d heard the deadline was merely being pushed back until the end of August. But it now appears the Raiders’ season will begin without the franchise knowing if it has a viable path to Nevada.

Here’s more from some Western-stationed franchises, starting with the defending Super Bowl champions.

  • Von Miller‘s threat to sit out the season remains “very real,” Rand Getlin of NFL.com hears (video link). Getlin describes some of Miller’s Broncos teammates as believing he will go through with this if he and the team cannot agree to a long-term contract by 3 p.m. on Friday. The NFL.com reporter still characterizes this deal as one that will be done by Friday, however.
  • Miller, though, has not enjoyed the Broncos’ negotiating methods this offseason, and Mike Klis of 9News now isn’t so sure the sides will agree in time. “They have championship tactics,’’ Miller said, via Klis. “I don’t agree with some of the stuff they do, but obviously it works.” The Broncos have sweetened their offer to Miller. Although it remains a six-year, $114.5MM proposal, a $19MM base salary for 2019 has been moved up to be guaranteed before the start of the 2017 league year. Klis notes that Miller voicing this disapproval after the Broncos enhanced the offer doesn’t bode well, and mentions that the team’s tactics — while having resulted in many extensions during John Elway‘s GM tenure — may have played a role in driving Brock Osweiler, Julius Thomas and Elvis Dumervil out of town.
  • Using 13 past examples of players who’ve chosen to hold out, Jason Cole of Bleacher Report believes the 27-year-old Miller’s value won’t depreciate if he sits out the season. Cole uses Sean Gilbert sitting out the 1997 season as his primary example of a player benefiting because of a holdout. The Redskins defensive lineman turned down a four-year, $13MM offer from Washington and did not sign the then-$3.5MM franchise tag. Both the Dolphins and Panthers put in enticing bids for Gilbert the following year, with Carolina sending two first-round picks to Washington in 1998 and then signing him to a seven-year, $46.5MM deal. It would cost a team a first- and third-round pick — and likely a record-breaking contract — to acquire Miller in 2017 should he sit out what would be his sixth NFL campaign and be tagged again. The Broncos could still match that offer as well.
  • Chris Harris became one of those aforementioned Broncos to sign a team-friendly extension during the past few years, and he argues that Denver’s cornerback wealth helps prevent him from being universally recognized as a top-tier corner. The sixth-year player told NFL.com’s Bucky Brooks that “if [Harris and Aqib Talib] were on other teams, say if I go play for the — just name a team — Jags or something like that, it’d be easy [to be the] No. 1 corner.” The two-time Pro Bowler declined to test free agency in 2015, instead signing a five-year, $42.5MM extension with the Broncos in December of 2014.
  • Signs are pointing to Eric Berry playing the 2016 season for the Chiefs on the franchise tag.

Cowboys Sign Third-Rounder Maliek Collins

The Cowboys became the latest team to solve the third-round negotiation matrix, reaching an agreement to sign Maliek Collins on Wednesday night, Todd Archer of ESPN.com reports.

A defensive tackle from Nebraska, Collins signed his customary four-year agreement with the Cowboys, one that includes an $881K+ signing bonus. The Cowboys now have their entire draft class signed after the previous eight selections had all agreed to deals by May 31.

Language in the CBA makes third-rounders’ contracts more complex than players chosen in the other rounds, inducing the delay for many talents taken off the board late during Day 2 of the draft. However, just one now remains unsigned, Titans defensive back Kevin Byard.

Collins, though, may have to wait longer than his brethren to suit up for his team. The former Cornhusker broke his foot and underwent surgery more than five weeks ago. He’s expected to miss training camp for a team that’s already quite depleted on its front seven. Demarcus Lawrence, Randy Gregory and Rolando McClain are out due to suspensions, and the Cowboys opted not to bring back Greg Hardy.

Collins enjoyed a strong sophomore season at Nebraska, making 45 tackles — 13 of which behind the line of scrimmage — and 4.5 sacks. As a junior in 2015, though, the 300-pound interior lineman did not have quite the same statistical impact, making 29 stops and seven of those coming for loss.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

East Notes: Dolphins, JPP, Redskins

One of the Dolphins‘ higher-end UDFAs, linebacker James Burgess said (via Barry Jackson of the Miami Herald) six teams contacted him after the draft but he chose his hometown franchise, tabbing Miami as a team he could make. Burgess backtracked on a commitment to join the Miami Hurricanes years ago and chose Louisville instead, and draft expert Tony Pauline told Jackson that Burgess should have been drafted and could loom as a potential nickel presence.

Traditional weakside linebacker. Size is the only limitation. He would be a nickel linebacker. The concern is he’ll get smothered at the point of attack. Could be an eighth linebacker,” Pauline said of Burgess.

Pauline identified UDFA tight end Gabe Hughes as the Fins’ other top candidate to latch onto their 53-man roster despite not hearing his name called in the draft. The Florida Tech tight end caught 32 passes for 566 yards and three touchdowns last season, but he’ll have a bevy of players to compete against to earn a spot behind Jordan Cameron and Dion Sims. As Roster Resource shows, more experienced performers Dominique Jones, Jake Stoneburner and MarQueis Gray — and converted UCLA receiver Thomas Duarte, whom Miami took in the seventh round this year — comprise the tight end competition.

Here’s some more from Miami and the latest coming out of other Eastern locales.

  • While most of the Dolphins’ 12 UDFAs are underdogs to make the roster, long snapper Ryan DiSalvo has a chance to unseat longtime long snapper John Denney, Jackson writes. The 37-year-old Denney’s been the Dolphins’ primary deep snapper for the past 11 seasons, but DiSalvo — a rookie out of San Jose State — showed improvement in the latter stages of offseason workouts and would save the Dolphins $650K against the cap if he unseats the veteran.
  • ESPN.com’s James Walker categorizes safety Walt Aikens as having a 70% chance to make the Dolphins’ active roster. The third-year player started five games last season, but his inconsistent play helped induce Miami to sign Isa Abdul-Quddus. Walker notes that Aikens’ experience on special teams will give him the better-than-average shot of making the team.
  • Jason Pierre-Paul‘s lawsuit against Adam Schefter and ESPN for publishing his medical records that stemmed from the fireworks mishap-induced surgery last year will go to court August 25, but the network not only wants the case dismissed but seeks sanctions against the Giants defensive end for filing the lawsuit, Mike Florio of Pro Football Talk reports. The judge seeing a possible difference between reporting JPP had a finger amputated and displaying to the public improperly disclosed medical records will decide this case, one that could have JPP paying for ESPN’s legal fees if the network prevails, Florio writes.
  • In projecting which current Redskins offensive starters will be on the team three years from now, Rich Tandler of RealRedskins.com tabs Jordan Reed, Brandon Scherff and Trent Williams as those with the best chance to be blue chip players. As for Kirk Cousins, Tandler does not see Washington’s current franchise-tagged player ascending to that level, with the now-fifth-year quarterback landing on the “solid starter” tier.
  • PFR’s resident draft guru, Dave-Te Thomas, takes a look at the Bills’ rookie class in an expansive piece.

Chiefs, Eric Berry Unlikely To Reach Agreement

Earlier this offseason, many around football expected Eric Berry‘s negotiations to go smoothly due to his importance to the Chiefs both on and off the field. However, the Chiefs’ impasse with their star safety doesn’t look to be set for a resolution by Friday’s deadline. However, absent what NFL.com’s Rand Getlin describes (on Twitter) as a “significant shift” in stances from the two sides, the Chiefs and Berry aren’t likely to reach an agreement on a long-term contract by Friday’s 3 p.m. deadline.

Jason La Canfora of CBSSports.com echoes Getlin’s report (Twitter link), saying that Berry could well be set to play this season on the franchise tag. Under the terms of the $10.86MM non-exclusive tag, Berry would make more than any other safety in 2016, but he’d be without the security most of his fellow top-tier safeties have been afforded.

The NFL’s reigning comeback player of the year has his eyes set on being the league’s highest-paid safety — a mantle currently held by recently extended Vikings back-line defender Harrison Smith and his five-year, $51.25MM contract. It’s understandable the 27-year-old Berry would view himself in this light. Entering his seventh season, his two first-team All-Pro honors are two more than the fifth-year Viking, who is also 27, and his four Pro Bowl invites quadruple Smith’s Hawaii nods.

Harris and Earl Thomas are the only $10MM-per-year safeties right now, but both players received their raises much earlier in their careers before Berry has. Both signed their long-term deals with their respective teams going into their fifth seasons. One of the three 2010 first-rounders to play out his six-year rookie contract under the old CBA, Berry entered the league before both as the No. 5 overall pick that year.

Last we heard, Berry stood surprised negotiations between he and his only NFL employer to date were moving as slowly as they have. Still, John Dorsey was previously on recording saying these talks would be a slow process.

The Chiefs also reside as one of the more cap-strapped teams in the league. While a backloaded Berry pact would create some space for the team this year (they currently have a league-low $1.169MM in cap room), it would continue to saturate Kansas City’s 2017 projected cap sheet. Without Berry or Dontari Poe on the books for ’17, the Chiefs are projected have ~$4MM in cap space with little wiggle room due to the bevy of guaranteed contracts on their payroll next year.

Dorsey, though, headlined a negotiation with 2015 franchise player Justin Houston  one that did not end until the July 15 deadline — when the pass-rusher became the league’s highest-paid linebacker. So, a precedent exists here, and the sides’ lack of public acrimony should help this effort as the deadline nears.

Once Berry resumed his full-time duties at free safety last season following his heroic recovery from cancer, the Chiefs’ defense became one of the league’s best. The unit finished seventh in total defense, and Pro Football Focus ranked Berry sixth out of 88 qualified full-time safeties.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

NFC North Notes: Rodgers, Luck, Bears, Lions

After Andrew Luck became the highest-paid player in NFL history, should the Packers now give Aaron Rodgers a raise? Mike Florio of PFT notes that Rodgers – who has earned one Super Bowl MVP trophy and two league MVP awards – will earn just $12.6MM this year while Luck will be averaging $24MM+ per year in new money on his new pact.

Rodgers may be deserving of more money than the Colts QB, but what he lacks is leverage. Green Bay has Rodgers under team control for four more years with an average payout of about $17MM/year. The Packers certainly want to keep the face of their franchise happy, but there’s not much Rodgers can really do to force their hand.

Here’s more from the NFC North:

  • Rob Demovsky of ESPN.com says the Bears were smart to sign Danny Trevathan for more than just the obvious reasons. Sure, the former Denver linebacker will give Green Bay’s front seven an immediate boost, but Chicago also took an appealing option away from Packers GM Ted Thompson. it also helps that the 26-year-old has experience playing in John Fox’s defense, so there won’t be much of a learning curve for him as he joins a new team.
  • It’s not clear why the Lions had linebacker Tahir Whitehead in the doghouse for part of last season, but the team showed its support with its checkbook by re-signing him to a two-year, $9MM deal this offseason, Dave Birkett of the Detroit Free Press writes. When Stephen Tulloch went down with a knee injury early in 2014, the Temple product was elevated to the starting lineup and wound up finishing second on the team in tackles. In 2015, however, Whitehead took a backseat to Tulloch in the first half of the season but he started the final eight games and looked strong. Last year, he started nine of his 16 games, recording 47 total tackles, 1 sack, six pass deflections, and one interception. This year, Birkett can envision him clearing 100 tackles.
  • On Tuesday, we learned that the Packers were one of six teams to meet with Supplemental Draft prospect Rashaun Simonise.

Redskins Notes: Doctson, Baker, P. Smith

What kind of expectations should the Redskins set for rookie Josh Doctson? Many are excited about what the TCU product can do at the next level, but he’ll also be vying for catches against wide receivers Pierre Garcon, DeSean Jackson, and Jamison Crowder plus star tight end Jordan Reed. At 6’2″, Doctson stands as Washington’s tallest receiver and he can cover even more space with his leaping ability. Reed should receive extra attention from opposing defenses in the red zone, so Doctson could be the team’s Plan B for touchdowns thanks to his range.

Looking beyond 2016, the Redskins are hoping that Doctson can serve as the team’s WR1 or WR2 in the future as they are expected to move on from DeSean Jackson and/or Pierre Garcon after this season. In the interim, the Redskins boast one of the league’s deepest receiving cores, particularly if you include Reed.

Here’s more out of D.C.:

  • Right now, running back Keith Marshall appears to be right on the Redskins’ roster bubble, Rich Tandler of CSNMidAtlantic.com writes. Marshall’s participation in OTAs was slowed by nagging injuries, but his speed obviously helps his case with Washington coaches. Marshall will have a tougher time making the 53-man cut if the team signs Pierre Thomas, Tandler notes, but it’s not clear if the Redskins are still considering the veteran. As of late May, the Redskins were interested in signing Thomas, who spent four games with the squad in 2015. Beyond Marshall, Tandler writes that tailbacks Mack Brown and Robert Kelley are darkhorse candidates to get a spot behind starter Matt Jones and No. 2 RB Chris Thompson. For a full rundown on the Redskins’ roster, check out their depth chart on Roster Resource.
  • JP Finlay of CSNMidAtlantic.com analyzed the Redskins’ roster to evaluate the best values on the team. Ultimately, he bestowed that mantle on two players – defensive lineman Chris Baker and outside linebacker Preston Smith. Smith, a Mississippi State product taken in the second round of the 2015 draft, excelled down the stretch of his rookie year in 2015. Baker, meanwhile, is coming off a breakout season in which he amassed career highs in appearances (16, to go with 11 starts), tackles (53), sacks (six) and forced fumbles (three). Thanks to his output in 2015, Pro Football Focus (subscription required) ranked Baker a solid 22nd out of 83 qualifying interior defenders. He is currently slated to play out the three-year, $9MM contract extension he inked with the Redskins in February 2014.
  • It sounds like quarterback Kirk Cousins will play out the 2016 season under the franchise tag rather than sign a multi-year deal with Washington this week.

Impact Rookies: Buffalo Bills

The old adage that defense wins championships may or may not be true, but you’ll be hard-pressed to find a title-winning team that didn’t build heavily through the draft. Rookie classes, naturally, are evaluated on the perceived upside of the NFL newcomers, but which rookies are ready to contribute right out of the gate? And, how do they fit in with their new team schematically?

To help us forecast the immediate future of these NFL neophytes, we enlisted the help of draft guru Dave-Te Thomas who has served as a scouting personnel consultant to NFL teams for multiple decades.

Today, we continue PFR’s Impact Rookie series with his insight on the Buffalo Bills’ draft class:

There is a strange silence coming out of Bills camp – head coach Rex Ryan has yet to boast about his team’s Super Bowl prospects. The coach who thrives on positive thinking is spending the wee hours of the day huddled with his twin brother, Rob, hoping they can come up for a formula to improve their suspect run defense. Until they get that front wall operating on all cylinders, they can not even consider a postseason run with a unit that ranked 17th in the league in stopping the run (108.1 ypg), but allowed an average of 4.4 yards per carry. Only seven other teams allowed opponents a higher mark. Rex Ryan

Additionally, their Rolls Royce-priced defensive line could not manage to get to the quarterback, as the only team to register fewer sacks that the Bills (21) were the Falcons (19). At least the Ryans shed the locker room of a high priced veteran who almost wrecked their salary cap in Mario Williams. The NFL’s version of the NBA’s Dwight Howard (I think I’m much better than anybody, so why go and prove it?) was dispatched to Miami, cutting a budget albatross that went to the bank to the tune of $19.4MM last year. He rewarded them with nineteen tackles and five sacks in fifteen starting assignments.

Williams was not the only front wall defender that should have felt somewhat feel embarrassed cashing a paycheck last year. Nose tackle Marcell Dareus recorded 51 tackles and got to the quarterback twice, earning an average of $16.1MM/year with $60MM guaranteed on a deal that runs through 2022. His projected running mate inside, Kyle Williams, garnered a $7.4MM dollar check for 14 tackles and one sack. The aging and injured veteran has a $4.5MM guarantee in the bank, but looms as a roster casualty in camp, especially with rookie Adolphus Washington showing the coaches more than enough to be listed with the first team on the depth chart entering training camp.

While Jerry Hughes tied Mario Williams for the team lead with five sacks in addition to making 52 tackles, it came with a price tag average of nine million with $22MM guaranteed through the 2020 season. Behind him, linebacker Manny Lawson secured three million from the Bills and found just one quarterback in the backfield last year. All told, the team saw eight defensive tackles take home ~16.33% of their cap in 2015. Only Jacksonville ($24,389,776; 16.34% of cap) doled out more money to their interior defenders in the NFL last year.

Their paltry pass rush only cost the team 6.97% of their cap to pay off their defensive ends (21st in the NFL) and their outside linebackers received just 3.18% of the team’s cap funds (31st in the league). You get what you pay for, my grandmother always told me. To rectify that problem, it looks like the Bills went for a long-term solution, but at a possible cost at receiving immediate dividends from their top draft choice in 2016.

Continue reading about the Bills’ rookie class..

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Policy Change For Armed Forces Prospects

The road to the NFL hasn’t always been easy for players coming out of the service academies for the Army, Navy, and Air Force. Now, things should be a little easier for those talented players going forward. Brent Briggeman of the Colorado Springs Gazette obtained an updated copy of the Department of Defense Pro Sports Policy, which now stipulates that players can serve in reserves, rather than active duty. Keenan Reynolds (vertical)

Graduates can now apply to serve on reserve status instead of active duty, though the Air Force says that they will be making those decisions on a case-by-case basis and one would assume the same applies for the Army and Navy. The new policy also requires a “secured contract or binding commitment” from a professional sports team, so only players who have legitimate pro prospects will be allowed to exercise this option. It remains to be seen whether this exception will be extended to players who are offered contracts from smaller professional football leagues, such as the Arena Football League and the CFL.

This year, an exception was made for versatile Navy prospect Keenan Reynolds after he was selected No. 182 overall by the Ravens. Reynolds – who can be used as a wide receiver, kick returner, or even a quarterback – was told that he would be allowed to defer his service obligation. Now, it sounds like the exception made for Reynolds can be made for other exceptional athletes down the line. In the long run, these rule changes could also give a major boost to both Army and Navy as they look to recruit top prospects.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Charges Dropped For Jalen Overstreet

One of the prospects in this week’s Supplemental Draft received a bit of good news this week. Texas authorities have dropped the felony credit card abuse charges against Sam Houston State running back Jalen Overstreet, according to Ian Rapoport of NFL.com (on Twitter). Jalen Overstreet (vertical)

[RELATED: Six NFL Teams Meet With Supplemental Draft Prospect Rashaun Simonise]

Overstreet, who began his career at the University of Texas before being dismissed in July 2014, was indicted by a Walker County grand jury in May. If convicted, Overstreet could have faced up to two years in state prison. Beyond the alleged credit card scam, Overstreet has had other off-the-field incidents, including a marijuana possession charge and an alleged theft of an iPad. Last season, Overstreet ran for 821 yards and seven touchdowns for his FCS school.

While Overstreet’s stock may be helped by today’s development, another Supplemental Draft prospect may have hurt his stock at a recent audition. Purdue defensive tackle Ra’Zahn Howard was unimpressive in his June 8th workout for NFL teams, Jason Cole of Bleacher Report (on Twitter) hears. One GM told Cole that Howard appeared to be out of shape and is therefore “undraftable.” This news is somewhat surprising as NFL GMs who spoke to Cole just one week ago expected Howard to perhaps be the only player selected in Friday’s draft. Before his poor showing, Cole was hearing that Howard could have gone somewhere between the fifth and seventh-round.

The supplemental draft allows clubs to select players who, for one reason or another, were unable to enter the standard draft. If a team selects a player in the supplementary draft, it will lose its corresponding pick in the following year’s standard draft. For example, if a club were to select a player in the fourth round of the supplemental, it will lose its 2017 fourth-rounder as a result. Most players who enter the Supplemental Draft are not selected, enabling them to sign with any NFL team.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Tom Brady Likely To Appeal To Supreme Court

10:14am: The NFL Players Association has issued the following statement regarding Brady:

The NFL Players Association is a labor Union that protects the rights of all of its members and pursues any violations of those rights by any means necessary. We are disappointed with the decision denying a rehearing, as there were clear violations of our collective bargaining agreement by the NFL and Commissioner Roger Goodell.

Despite today’s result, the track record of this League office when it comes to matters of player discipline is bad for our business and bad for our game. We have a broken system that must be fixed.

We will review all of our options carefully on behalf of Tom Brady and all NFL players.”

9:25am: Though there is no firm decision, the expectation is that Brady will attempt to take his case to the Supreme Court, Ian Rapoport of NFL.com tweets. Brady will have 90 days to file an appeal with the SCOTUS.

8:45am: The Second United States Circuit Court of Appeals has denied Tom Brady‘s request for a rehearing, Daniel Kaplan of SBJ tweets. With that, it appears that his four-game suspension will stick. Brady’s only recourse now would now be to bring his case before the Supreme Court, but it’s very challenging for anyone to have their case heard on that level. Tom Brady (vertical)

[RELATED: Impact Rookies – New England Patriots]

Still, it’s conceivable that Brady’s legal team could file an appeal with the Supreme Court if only to effectively defer the suspension until the 2017 season. A filing with the Supreme Court could also light a fire under the NFL and force the league office to engage in settlement talks. To date, Roger Goodell & Co. have been steadfast in their refusal to negotiate with Brady’s camp, but team owners have been putting pressure on the NFL to get the Brady story out of the headlines. If faced with another year of Deflategate talk and a possible airing of dirty laundry before the highest federal court in the U.S., the commissioner might finally acquiesce and offer to cut Brady’s suspension in half or nix it entirely.

Brady, of course, is slated to be suspended for the first four games of the 2016 season after a three-judge panel reinstated the ban that was incurred as a result of the Patriots quarterback’s role in the Deflategate controversy. The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit overturned the 2015 decision by Judge Richard Berman, stating that Brady’s suspension should be upheld.

The Wells report commissioned by the NFL more than a year ago determined that Brady was “more likely than not” to have been aware of footballs being deflated below their usual levels during the AFC Championship Game against the Colts in January 2015.

If Brady’s four-game suspension is ultimately upheld, he won’t be eligible to return to regular-season action until Sunday, October 9th in Cleveland. The Patriots would be without their starting quarterback for games against the Cardinals, Dolphins, Texans, and Bills in that scenario. Understudy Jimmy Garoppolo would step into the starting role in New England if Brady is forced to miss the first month of the coming season.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.