First-round quarterbacks almost never sit throughout their rookie seasons. The Packers have, of course, executed two such plans since 2005; select other teams have also kept Round 1 QB prospects on the bench — just not many.
The Chiefs did not turn to Patrick Mahomes until Week 17 of his rookie year, and that came in a meaningless season-ender while Alex Smith prepared for a wild-card game. In the rookie-scale contract era (2011-present), some of the other players not to be called upon as non-injury-driven starters as rookies — Trey Lance, Paxton Lynch, Jake Locker — did not pan out. Teams, though, regularly pay lip service to the old-school watch-and-learn method — one that benefited Mahomes in the 2010s and Aaron Rodgers, Philip Rivers, Carson Palmer and Chad Pennington in the aughts.
Selecting Jaxson Dart 25th overall (via trade-up with the Texans), the Giants are in an interesting spot. Their refusal to draft Michael Penix Jr., J.J. McCarthy and Bo Nix — after a Drake Maye-based trade-up effort failed — last year preceded a 3-14 season and a dire QB need forming. The team settled on Russell Wilson as its bridge option, as plans to draft one of the scrutinized 2025 passers — after a Cam Ward-based trade-up failed — were well known. The Giants landed on Dart, the second QB drafted, thanks to a push from Brian Daboll.
Daboll has proclaimed Wilson as his starter at multiple junctures, but the potential Hall of Fame quarterback is now on his fourth team in five years. The 36-year-old option also readies to face what is, based on last year’s win totals at least, the NFL’s toughest schedule. The Giants would buck a well-established trend by letting Wilson play ahead of Dart all season, but Fox Sports’ Ralph Vacchiano indicates the team would be “completely fine” if this happened.
Of course, this reality would likely require Wilson to keep the Giants in the playoff hunt. It would be a bit of a stretch to expect the Giants, whose regime is on the hot seat thanks to backing Dave Gettleman‘s preferred QB option (Daniel Jones), to keep Dart benched for too long if it becomes clear they are not a viable playoff contender. How the team handles Wilson and Jameis Winston at the trade deadline in this scenario would be worth monitoring closely as well. Currently, Dart is stationed behind both on New York’s depth chart.
Gettleman had said in 2019 the Giants were OK with the Chiefs model, but the team benched Eli Manning for Jones two games in. Given Wilson’s journey since a 2022 blockbuster trade ended his Seattle stay, it will be a tough ask to prevent Daboll from promoting a player he essentially handpicked.
As detailed in our Giants Offseason In Review piece, the Daboll-Joe Schoen duo not making their own QB investment from 2022-24 would stand to influence Dart’s timeline — especially if Wilson struggles against a tough schedule early. Though, it will be on the Giants’ staff to determine how close the Ole Miss prospect is to game-ready.
Wilson played effectively for the Steelers last season, following a 26-touchdown pass/eight-interception 2023 bounce-back year in Denver. But neither team wanted him back. The Broncos paid a record-smashing dead money sum to ditch Wilson, and the Steelers preferred a few options — Rodgers, Matthew Stafford, Justin Fields — over their primary 2024 starter.
This came after a difficult finish to Pittsburgh’s schedule brought five straight losses to close a season that began 10-3. Wilson ranked 21st in QBR in Pittsburgh and 22nd in Denver over the past two seasons; that would be an upgrade for New York, but calls for Dart figure to be loud if the Giants start slowly.
