Josh Grizzard

Although the Buccaneers won their Week 18 game over the Panthers, the Falcons’ four-game win streak ultimately did them in. Carolina advanced to the wild-card round due to the NFC South’s three-way tiebreaker at 8-9, leaving Tampa Bay out of the bracket for the first time since Jameis Winston‘s 2019 finale.

Reports ahead of the Bucs’ Week 18 game tabbed Todd Bowles as more likely to stay, despite the team’s collapse, and the veteran HC confirmed as much to the Tampa Bay Times’ Rick Stroud. Bowles will be back for a fifth season as Bucs HC. Staff changes, however, are coming.

Bowles, 62, confirmed there will be changes. The prospect of the Bucs having yet another new offensive coordinator is in play, with ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler indicating the team has kicked around the idea of pairing Bowles with a new OC hire and potentially changes on the defensive side.

Josh Grizzard was believed to be on the hot seat closing out his first season as the team’s offensive play-caller. The defensive changes could include a coordinator, but as it stands, that job is vacant. Bowles calls the Bucs’ defensive plays, and the former Super Bowl-winning DC is still highly regarded there.

Bowles signed a through-2028 extension this past offseason, and the prospect of firing a coach with three years left on a contract was believed to factor into the team’s decision. The Bucs slunk from 6-2 to 7-9, failing to win another NFC South title despite the division underwhelming yet again. But Bowles is poised to have at least one more chance. This will make him the first Bucs HC to coach a fifth season since Jon Gruden‘s seven-year tenure.

The Bucs have continued to pour resources into retaining their core, regularly extending and re-signing starters while relying little on outside acquisitions. That strategy limited the Colts for a while, and the team ultimately deviated. The Bucs have enjoyed more success in that area, in part because the Saints-Falcons-Panthers trio has struggled for most of this decade, and Bowles won a playoff game as HC when the Bucs ousted the Eagles in the 2023 wild-card round. But the team has stagnated since, leading to speculation about the HC’s future.

Tampa Bay has employed a different OC in each of Bowles’ first four seasons. They fired Byron Leftwich after the 2022 season, and both Dave Canales and Liam Coen booked head coaching jobs on the back of strong Baker Mayfield seasons. Tampa Bay opted for continuity rather than an outside hire this past offseason, promoting Grizzard to the OC role. The team started strong but ran into a host of injuries. The Bucs played much of the season without wideouts Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Jalen McMillan. Bucky Irving also missed a chunk of his second season.

Offensive line issues also hounded the team, with Stroud adding ownership factored these into the decision to retain Bowles. These limitations clearly affected the offense, but the Bucs also lost late-season contests with their optimal skill-position corps available. That will turn up the heat on Grizzard.

The Bucs regressed from third to 21st in total offense from 2024 to ’25 and fourth to 18th in scoring. Grizzard being fired after an injury-plagued season would represent a tough beat, but with Bowles’ seat warming, he may need to make a move to better ensure improvement. A similar offensive cast should return in 2026, though Evans is again out of contract. As is Cade Otton. That could bring challenges for the next Bucs OC or if Grizzard manages to stay on, though the team regularly has shown the ability to re-sign pending FAs.

Bowles has not employed a true DC during his tenure, having moved from that role to his HC position midway through the 2022 offseason. The Bucs, though, did rank 20th in points allowed this season. The team lost four straight to opponents with losing records, bottoming out with a Week 15 loss to the Falcons. If nothing else, Fowler adds defensive staff additions — potentially south of the coordinator level — are being considered.

Staving off firing rumors in the past, Bowles will probably be on one of the league’s hottest seats entering the 2026 season. The defensive-minded leader will be tasked with elevating the Bucs past their place as a second-tier NFC contender, where they have resided since Tom Brady‘s unretirement.

The Buccaneers won their rain-soaked Week 18 game on Saturday. That kept alive the chances of Tampa Bay winning the NFC South despite a record of 8-9. However, the Bucs did not get the help they needed on Sunday. Atlanta beat New Orleans, creating a three-way tie atop the division’s standings. That resulted in the Panthers taking the top spot and securing the NFC’s No. 4 seed.

As such, 2025 represents a major disappointment from Tampa Bay’s perspective. The team was 6-2 when its bye week arrived, but the closing stages of the campaign proved to be disastrous. Head coach Todd Bowles has seen his job security questioned as a result, although numerous reports have pointed to him being safe. The 62-year-old has been in his current role since 2022.

Bowles – like general manager Jason Licht – signed an extension last offseason. That would make a firing this soon after a surprise, and the team is indeed hesitant to pay the buyout present in his latest pact. As ESPN’s Adam Schefter confirms (video link), ownership’s preference would be to keep Bowles in place for 2026. Jonathan Jones of CBS Sports writes that a firing would be unexpected at this point, though he adds a full evaluation will take place with the season now in the books.

While Bowles seems to be safe, Jones mentions that changes throughout the rest of the coaching staff are likely to take place. We mentioned just Thursday that offensive coordinator Josh Grizzard may be on the hot seat. The first-year coordinator had a meteoric rise to the job. His first NFL coaching job came in Miami as an offensive quality control coach. He remained in quality control for three seasons before getting promoted to wide receivers coach for the Dolphins. He only held that role for two years before being moved back to offensive quality control for two more seasons. Tampa Bay brought him on last year as pass game coordinator before promoting him to his current role to replace Liam Coen.

Throughout the season, Grizzard has been criticized for his play calling as last year’s offense — which finished fourth in scoring, third in total yards, third in passing yards, and fourth in rushing yards — devolved into this year’s performance — 15th in scoring, 14th in total yards, 17th in passing yards, and 15th in rushing yards. Some of these setbacks can be attributed to injuries — seven missed games for Bucky Irving, nine for Mike Evans, eight for Chris Godwin, 13 for Jalen McMillan, and missed games for several offensive linemen — but Grizzard’s play calling is still a key reason for why this team ended up where they did this year.

In the next few days, as Black Monday claims the jobs of several big names, we’ll see what Tampa Bay decides to do, and if Bowles is still around, how many changes he’s willing to make to his coaching staff. After a season of disappointment despite plenty of talent, the coaches could be the ones to bear the brunt of the punishment.

Ely Allen contributed to this post.

It would have been difficult to imagine at the midpoint of the season, but the Buccaneers will enter Week 18 fighting for their playoff lives. Once 6-2, the 7-9 Buccaneers will face the 8-8 Panthers on Saturday with the NFC South and a postseason berth at stake.

Despite the Buccaneers’ second-half disintegration, a report last Sunday indicated head coach Todd Bowles is not in jeopardy of losing his job. The Buccaneers then dropped their fourth straight game, a 20-17 decision against the Dolphins, potentially turning up the heat on Bowles.

It’s unknown whether ownership will reverse course on Bowles if the Buccaneers complete their collapse and miss the postseason. While the Buccaneers have managed a so-so 34-33 record in almost four full seasons under Bowles, the 62-year-old has earned some leeway from ownership after guiding the team to three straight division titles.

Last July, several months after Bowles completed his first 10-win season in Tampa Bay, the Bucs extended him through 2028. The deal includes a “hefty” buyout, which the team “doesn’t seem overly eager to pay,” Jeremy Fowler of ESPN reports.

Bowles’ extension could save him, but changes to his coaching staff are on the table, according to Fowler. Specifically, there are questions centering on first-year offensive coordinator Josh Grizzard, who worked as the Bucs’ pass game coordinator in 2024.

The Buccaneers finished last year third in total offense and fourth in scoring under OC Liam Coen, but he left to take the Jaguars’ head coaching job. Now leading a 12-4 Jacksonville team that looks like a Super Bowl contender, Coen figures to garner Coach of the Year votes. With Coen gone, Tampa Bay’s offense has plummeted to 22nd in yardage and 18th in points. While that doesn’t reflect well on the 35-year-old Grizzard, it would be unfair to place all the blame on him.

Although quarterback Baker Mayfield is on track for a third straight 17-game season, the Buccaneers’ offense has endured several injuries to major contributors. Wide receivers Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Jalen McMillan have combined to miss 30 games. Running back Bucky Irving has sat out seven, and his production when healthy has paled in comparison to his rookie output from 2024. That may have something to do with an offensive line that hasn’t been at full strength.

Center Graham Barton has played every offensive snap, but the rest of the unit hasn’t been as fortunate. Right guard Cody Mauch suffered a season-ending knee injury in Week 2, fellow guard Ben Bredeson has been on IR with a knee injury since Dec. 9, and cornerstone tackles Tristan Wirfs and Luke Goedeke have missed sizable chunks of time. Wirfs has played 11 games to Goedeke’s 10.

Both Wirfs (toe) and Goedeke (ankle) have been limited in practice this week, but they’re not on the Buccaneers’ final injury report. That’s good news for Bowles and Grizzard as they prepare for a must-win game.