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Impact Rookies: Green Bay Packers

August 12th, 2016 at 10:07am CST by Zachary Links

The old adage that defense wins championships may or may not be true, but you’ll be hard-pressed to find a title-winning team that didn’t build heavily through the draft. Rookie classes, naturally, are evaluated on the perceived upside of the NFL newcomers, but which rookies are ready to contribute right out of the gate? And, how do they fit in with their new team schematically?

To help us forecast the immediate future of these NFL neophytes, we enlisted the help of draft guru Dave-Te Thomas who has served as a scouting personnel consultant to NFL teams for multiple decades.

First Round – Kenny Clark, DL (UCLA, No. 27 overall)

Sometimes, even big men fly under the radar, as seems to be the case with this Bruins standout. Named his team’s MVP, he was a dominating force in the middle of the line, taking over starting duties as a sophomore. Well-respected by the staff and teammates, the co-captain preferred to not be in the limelight. However, NFL scouts saw him as a bright light on a dark night.

In three seasons, Clark delivered 153 tackles with six sacks and 18.5 stops behind the line of scrimmage. In his two seasons as a starter, he delivered 117 of those tackles in run force, posted a total of 28 hits for losses (assists and solos) while bringing down twelve other ball carriers for no gain. Twenty-four of those stops came inside the red zone, including seven on goal-line stands.

Clark has really come on strong in recognizing blocking schemes and it was rare to see him bite on misdirection or play action during his junior season. He has no problems taking plays from the chalkboard to the playing field, needing minimal reps to retain. He plays with very good awareness, taking advantage of his impressive arm length to keep blockers off his feet and legs. The UCLA product demonstrated that he picks up schemes quickly and he does well staying with the flow of the play to close on the ball.

Clark has a very explosive initial step with quick feet, good athleticism and balance for his size, along with the body control and low pad level to come off the snap and get an immediate advantage versus a lethargic offensive lineman. He flashes a strong, consistent hand punch, enough to consistently put the blocker up on his heels, driving with good leverage walking that lineman back into the pocket. He has that initial burst needed on movement and the suddenness to gain advantage when engaging double teams. He has good initial quickness coming off the snap and for a player of his size, that burst can surprise an offensive lineman.

Clark appears poised to show that he should have gone earlier than No. 27 in this year’s draft. Word out of Green Bay is that Clark will start at nose tackle in the base 3-4 and his skill set plus versatility will ensure that he sees plenty of time on the field as an NFL frosh.

Continue reading about the Packers’ rookies..

Second Round – Jason Spriggs, OT (Indiana, No. 48 overall)

The team might have hedged their bets on the offensive line jelling this year by taking Indiana’s Jason Spriggs in the second round. Injuries have always impacted the Packers front wall and Spriggs has obvious pedigree as a left tackle, having allowed just one sack for the pass-happy Hoosiers during his last three seasons in the lineup. He also showed impressive versatility for teams by playing well at Senior Bowl practices as a guard.

Spriggs has a tall frame with minimal body fat, but will need to add at least 20-to-25 pounds of bulk to succeed at left tackle. Fortunately, he’s entering a situation in Green Bay where he is going to be brought along behind starters David Bakhtiari and Bryan Bulaga. Still, he’ll be seeing plenty of snaps in relief of both players and, in the event of an injury, Green Bay won’t hesitate to throw him into the fire.

In pass protection, Spriggs demonstrates more than enough foot quickness to slide, good knee bend and hip flexibility, patience and a strong hand punch. He stays square and balanced when shuffling and sliding. Even when he gets over-extended, he is quick to recover, thanks to his above average athletic ability. The thing that separates him from others is his drop step/kick to gain depth and width needed to anchor. He struggled at times in 2014 with his kick slide (was playing with knee and neck injuries at the time), but made adjustments and, as the year progressed, he developed the balance and body control needed to make the reach blocks, use his change of direction agility to wall off and generate the foot quickness to recover.

When it comes to run blocking, Spriggs has a bit of work to do, but the potential is certainly there. He has the power to move the pile and drives block with leverage, but could be exceptional here with more weight. The Packers rookie is a good in-line blocker, possessing a wide base as he runs his feet well. He also has the good footwork to stay on his feet on the move and can handle the switch-off well when working in combination with his guard (see 2015 Wake Forest, Rutgers, Michigan and Purdue games).

Fourth Round – Blake Martinez, LB (Stanford, No. 131 overall)

When scouts see Martinez perform on the football field “old school” thoughts start going through their heads. While he may not be flashy, he plays with great aggression. He wasn’t the biggest “mike” guy in the draft, but when he attacks the inside gaps, he does so with authority. He is a lunch-pail toting, blue-collar level middle linebacker who has drawn comparisons to Nick Barnett and David Harris, two scrappy performers who played well above their athletic talent.

Martinez is a compactly built athlete who might lack the bulk to shed vs. the bigger offensive lineman, but shows very good balance and body control, along with the ability to stay on his feet. He has a strong hand punch to shock and reroute short area receivers, partially compensating for the lack of long arm reach to keep defenders off his body. He has a good feel for plays in front of him and the quick outside range to string plays wide.

This kid plays until the whistle and you will never see him throttle down when not involved in the play. He does a good job of making calls and no longer plays with the reckless abandon he showed at strong-side linebacker earlier in his career. The Packers recognize this and they already have him ticketed for big things on defense. As Rob Demovsky of ESPN.com noted recently, Martinez will start in the base 3-4 formation while also seeing time in other packages. The two-time captain will be relied upon as a leader, despite being one of the younger players in green and yellow on the field.

Dave-Te Thomas owns and operates The NFL Draft Report, a service providing insight to league scouting departments for over 40 years. All year round, you can read Thomas’ in-depth reviews of both blue chip prospects and diamonds in the rough by visiting the NFL Draft Report blog.

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Impact Rookies: Chicago Bears

August 11th, 2016 at 9:39am CST by Zachary Links

To help us forecast the immediate future of these NFL neophytes, we enlisted the help of draft guru Dave-Te Thomas who has served as a scouting personnel consultant to NFL teams for multiple decades.

First Round – Leonard Floyd, OLB (Georgia, No. 9 overall)

The Bears came into the draft looking to improve the talent on both of their lines. But, they instead traded up from No. 11 to No. 9 to land Georgia ‘backer Leonard Floyd. Hopefully, he survives the rigors of training camp, as his professional debut saw him carted off the practice field after he was overcome by the heat and scrimmage action.

When the NFL teams arrived in Athens for the Georgia March 17th Pro Day, they not only wanted to see how Floyd performed in drills, they also wanted to figure out what his best position might be. . That has been the “pleasant” problem for Georgia coaches during the last three years – where to put their top playmaker. It was not as if he could not perform at any of these positions, but more so that he was needed elsewhere to fill the voids created by injuries or poor performances by others. Since first putting on the Georgia uniform, Floyd played all the “name” game positions – Jack, Sam, Mike and Will. He’s lined up as a rush end and even played inside as a defensive tackle for three contests late in the 2014 campaign.

Wherever he has played, Floyd has done so at a high level. He started 32-of-38 games at various positions while recording 184 tackles that saw him deliver 33 of those stops behind the line of scrimmage. He got in on twenty quarterback sacks and pressured opposing passers 54 times. On five of those plays in the backfield, he caused fumbles, recovering two to set up Georgia touchdown drives. All in all, a good day of work is usually the norm for Floyd on Saturdays. Now, he’s likely ticketed for the outside linebacker position on Sundays with Chicago.

Floyd has never been known for being a bulky guy and his thin frame did draw considerable concerns from scouts who analyzed him in 2014. He played at 237 last season after checking in at 220 during his first two years, but impressed team decision-makers with his 244-pound weigh-in at the 2016 NFL Scouting Combine. While his frame is likely at a maximum growth potential, he demonstrated to the Bears that he has plenty of strength and also eased concerns about his surgically repaired shoulder.

Floyd has that quick first step that will usually see him gain advantage on a slower offensive lineman. He can get up field quickly and reaches the corners with good urgency to push the outside running game back in. He flashes that burst to surprise a lethargic blocker (see 2015 ULM, Vanderbilt, South Carolina, Missouri and Georgia Southern games), which allows him to get instant penetration. He has the lateral range to slip into the backfield when working in-line and with his quick hands and feet, he has no problem retreating and chasing down receivers when working in the second level (might be considered as a Sam linebacker because of this). He has the acceleration to take a wide loop around the corner and still pressure the pocket.

He stays low in his pads and has the loose hips to redirect, also displaying the second gear needed to excel in long pursuit. He is a quick twitch type with very active hands and good balance, keeping his feet on the move while doing a nice job of avoiding low blocks. Because of his shoulder surgery, Floyd was limited a bit early in the year, but as the 2015 season progressed, he showed that he actually was getting stronger and quicker deeper into the games, thanks to his excellent athletic ability. There’s no reason to doubt that he can do the same at the next level.

Continue reading about the Bears’ rookie class..

Second Round- Cody Whitehair, G (Kansas State, No. 56 overall)

Regarded as the one of the best offensive guard prospects in the draft, Whitehair spent his last 26 games lining up at the demanding left tackle position. He had previously started 22 times at left guard, but made his debut with the Wildcats first unit lining up at right tackle. With that wealth of experience, college football’s most versatile blocker could play almost anywhere on the line for the Bears. Of course, that’s a good thing in the wake of Hroniss Grasu‘s season-ending injury.

Whitehair was scheduled to take over left guard duties after the team shed Matt Slauson from their roster in the offseason, but he might have to slide further inside if Ted Larsen proves he’s not capable there. For now, the plan is for Larsen to play center and for Whitehair to start at left guard, as shown on Roster Resource.

Whitehair is not a mauler who can simply use his size to take over blocks, lock on and grind it out with the more physical defenders, but in 2015, his positioning technique saw him do a solid job of using his size to take over defenders. What he lacks in brute strength, he makes up in good hand usage and a decent punch. He has the ability to wall off and screen edge players, but must improve his base power in order to finish at the next level. Still, with his explosion and quickness, he can generate enough pop on contact to surprise an opponent.

He is really a technically sound blocker when he plays with a flat back to get movement at the point of attack. The thing you see on film is the success he has in the second level, as he has a good concept for taking proper angles to screen and wall off. When he keeps his pads down, he can gain movement on contact, but he gets most of his success for the ground game as a cut-and-reach blocker. When he tries to get too physical, he will sometimes lose his base (gets too narrow with his feet), but he does get good movement once he engages the defender, using his active hands to steer and has shown in 2015 better strength behind his hand punch to jolt.

Since moving to left tackle as a junior, Whitehair has shown marked improvement taking on edge rushers and protecting the pocket. He now keeps his head on a swivel in pass blocking scenarios (he used to put his head down, at times) and displays the initial quickness and hand technique work in his pass set to get under and lock on to a defender’s jersey. The Kansas State product has an adequate base for pass protection, unless he gets too high in his stance. He might not have the strongest anchor you will find in a left tackle, but has the recovery quickness and slide agility to stay in front of the edge rushers. The thing I like is his ability to sink his hips, slide and shuffle his feet and recoil his hands quick enough to generate another punch. It is rare to see him over-extend or get too aggressive, as he plays with a good tempo and vision. As a senior, he has been very quick with his pass set (see Louisiana Tech, TCU and Oklahoma State games). When he comes out of his stance, he sets with a good base, demonstrating the quick feet to adjust in space.

Quarterback Jay Cutler will be counting on Whitehair to do a solid job at guard as his offensive line has undergone massive changes. In fact, the entire offensive unit is in an upheaval, as Cutler is the only starter from the end of 2015 returning in 2016 at the position he played.

Fifth Round – Jordan Howard, RB (Indiana, No. 150 overall)

Howard began his college football at the University of Alabama at Birmingham in 2013. As a sophomore in 2014, he set a UAB single-season record with 1,587 rushing yards and ranked seventh among Division I FBS players with an average of 132.3 rushing yards per game. Following the shutdown of UAB’s football team, Howard transferred to Indiana prior to the 2015 season.

Howard missed several games and left a few others while dealing with a nagging ankle problem since the Hoosiers’ fifth contest. It was not the first time that he had to overcome injuries, as UAB was one of the few teams still interested in him on the recruiting trails after other colleges backed off the tailback when he suffered a torn meniscus and a pelvis stress fracture during his prep junior season.

Despite his injury-shorten season at Indiana that saw Howard miss eighteen quarters of action, he finished second in the Big Ten Conference with an average of 134.8 rushing yards per game (ninth nationally) and with 146.6 all-purpose yards per game (14th). He closed out the season with 1,213 rushing yards (third in the league 34th nationally) on 196 carries, a 6.2-yard average (third in the league), with nine rushing touchdowns, ten total TDs, and eleven receptions for 106 yards with one score.

The Bears recognize that Howard is an underrated power-type running back with a nice burst into an inside hole, as he displays excellent field vision and the burst, along with solid footwork needed to pick through traffic and find a running lane. He is very effective in either a one-back or I-formation, as he shows patience and good ability to read his blocks and follow his fullback through the rush lanes. He demonstrates good forward body lean and his leg drive allows him to fall forward and get those few extra yards breaking through arm tackles.

Howard is limited as a receiver and does not show valid blocking skills to serve as a fullback, but he does a good job of securing the ball and shows the upper body strength needed to drag multiple defenders when running between tackles. He is not a fancy runner and you will not see him make one of those nifty cutback-and-explode moves, but he will run hard through the holes. For a 235-pounder, he can generate enough straight-line speed. You won’t see much of a breakaway gear from him, but he is functionally fast enough to get outside and make it hard for safeties to get the angle.

What Howard does best is break tackles and that is why the Bears feel he is a valid short yardage candidate in tandem with the speedy Jeremy Langford. He’s proven that he can get on the edge or into space, but he is better served following inside blocks and moving the pile. He’s a patient runner, but also has some ability to spin off or sidestep a defender near the line of scrimmage, where his powerful stiff-arm ability has been very successful in preventing secondary types from bringing him down once he negotiates past the second level.

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

The Beat: Bob Condotta On The Seahawks

August 10th, 2016 at 11:02am CST by Zachary Links

With the season fast approaching, we’re chatting with beat writers from around the league to gain insight on each team’s offseason and how those moves will impact the season ahead.

Now, we continue the series by discussing the Seahawks with Bob Condotta of the The Seattle Times. You can follow Bob on Twitter @bcondotta and check out his stories here.

Zach Links: Marshawn Lynch dominated headlines this offseason after he announced his retirement in February and reportedly may have waffled a bit on the decision in May. Was Marshawn giving real thought to playing in 2016? If so, did he want to play somewhere other than Seattle?

Bob Condotta: My understanding is no, that he was never thinking of playing this season in Seattle or anywhere else.

Zach Links: Recently, the Seahawks extended coach Pete Carroll through 2019 and GM John Schneider through 2021. Did the Seahawks attempt to get Carroll to sign through 2021 to match up with Schneider?

Bob Condotta: I haven’t been able to determine that. But years on contracts has not seemed to matter much to Carroll since his initial deal. He also signed a three-year extension following the Super Bowl win in 2013, so the one he just got matches that one. Despite whatever chatter is out there, there’s no real thought that Carroll would ever leave Seattle for another job. But with Schneider being 20 years younger than Carroll, there was a thought it was important to sew him up for as long as possible. So I think that accounts for the difference in contracts.

Zach Links: In 2014, Michael Bennett signed a team-friendly deal to stay in Seattle. In 2015, he began complaining about his under-market contract and he continues to be unhappy with the pact. Do you think the Seahawks will cave and give him a significant pay bump this summer?

Bob Condotta: Hard to tell. I do know Bennett would like them to. His agent and the team have continued to have negotiations. But the Seahawks have worries about setting a precedent of giving new deals to players with more than a year remaining on their contracts. That’s the only reason they have hesitation about giving Bennett a new contract.

Continue reading about the Seahawks..

Zach Links: Doug Baldwin‘s new four-year, $46MM extension ($24.25MM in guarantees) makes him one of the highest-paid wide receivers in the NFL. Were you at all surprised by the size of the deal?

Bob Condotta: No. Baldwin is one of those players whose value to the Seahawks may be hard for people outside of Seattle to really ascertain. Baldwin in a lot of ways embodies everything that the Seahawks preach — an undrafted free agent who initially forged his way on to the roster via special teams and has embraced every role the team has given him on the way to becoming one of the most productive receivers in the NFL. Given the way the Seahawks play, merely judging him by his stats is to miss the point of all that Baldwin does for the Seahawks. But the Seahawks understand that, and also know that the other Seahawks understand what Baldwin’s value is to the team. Seattle has been aggressive about rewarding its own core players, those who grew up in the organization. Baldwin was simply the latest to get his reward.

Zach Links: The Seahawks signed former Pro Bowl guard Jahri Evans late last week. What, in your opinion, does he have left in the tank at this point?

Bob Condotta: Really hard to tell at this point, with Evans just one practice in to being a Seahawk. Ask me in a week or so and I can give a better answer. It may be especially hard to tell in the first week since the Seahawks are initially working Evans at left guard while he played right guard during his New Orleans career. Seattle is doing that cause it wants to see if Evans can be a swing guard — it’s unlikely he would beat out Germain Ifedi to be the right guard at this point. But if he can play left guard or show some versatility, that’s what the Seahawks want to see.

Zach Links: Do you think the Seahawks will wrestle the NFC West crown away from the Cardinals this year?

Bob Condotta: I certainly think they can. Seattle had a lot of issues last season that they don’t have entering this season — a hold out, injuries to every key player in the secondary, to name two — and also have a quarterback and receiving group entering the prime of its career. Seattle and Arizona may be the two best teams in the NFC by the time the season is done. But while the Seahawks certainly respect Arizona they don’t fear the Cardinals. The Seahawks feel if they are healthy and playing right they can beat anybody.

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Offseason In Review: Miami Dolphins

August 10th, 2016 at 11:00am CST by Dallas Robinson

With the exception of the Rams, perhaps no team in the NFL defines mediocrity more than the Dolphins. Since winning the AFC East with an 11-5 record in 2008, Miami has not earned another postseason appearance, posting a 49-63 record during that time while never winning more than eight games in a single season. A new coaching staff is now in place, and tasked with the same assignment that prior regimes have failed to complete time and again: dethrone the Patriots as division champions.

Notable signings:

Mario Williams, DE: Two years, $17MM. $8.485MM guaranteed. $1.5MM available annually via incentives.
Isa Abdul-Quddus, S: Three years, $12.75MM. $4.225MM guaranteed.
Andre Branch, DE: One year, $2.75MM. $2.5MM guaranteed.
Matt Moore, QB: Two years, $3.55MM. $2.25MM guaranteed.
Jason Jones, DE: One year, $1.535MM. $1.01MM guaranteed.
Jermon Bushrod, OL: One year, $1.5MM. $985K guaranteed.
Arian Foster, RB: One year, $1.5MM. $400K guaranteed. $2MM available via incentives.
Kraig Urbik, G: Two years, $2.5MM. $250K guaranteed.
Spencer Paysinger, LB: One year, $840K. $200K guaranteed.
Sam Young, T: One year, $910K. $150K guaranteed.
MarQueis Gray, TE: One year, $675K.
Isaiah Pead, RB: One year, $675K.
Griff Whalen, WR: One year, $675K.
Jacques McClendon, G: One year, minimum salary benefit.
James-Michael Johnson, LB: One year, minimum salary benefit.
Danny Lansanah, LB: One year, minimum salary benefit.
Daniel Thomas, RB: One year, minimum salary benefit.
Chris Culliver, CB: One year, details unknown.

Perhaps no club swung and missed more often while searching for help at a single position than the Dolphins as they trawled for a new running back after losing Lamar Miller during free agency. Miami eyed options such as James Starks and Chris Johnson, offering the latter more money than did the Cardinals (with whom he ultimately re-signed), and even signed the Broncos’ C.J. Anderson to a restricted free agent offer sheet. But after Denver matched on Anderson, the Dolphins did little to augment their backfield over the next four months except select Kenyan Drake — who doesn’t project as a starter in 2016 — in the third round of April’s draft.

In mid-July, however, Miami finally struck a deal with veteran back Arian Foster, whom the club had first met with all the way back in March. Foster will turn 30 years old before the regular season begins, and the torn Achilles he suffered last season was just the latest in a long line of injuries that have limited him throughout his career. But, when he’s healthy, Foster is electric. In the four seasons when he’s managed to play 13+ games, Foster has rushed for at least 1,200 yards and eight touchdowns, adding an average of 50 receptions during those campaigns.

Second-year pro Jay Ajayi, Foster’s direct competition for snaps, is no beacon of health himself, as knee issues worried some draft observers in 2015 and caused Ajayi to fall to the fifth round. And regardless of the fact that Ajayi was listed as the first-team back on Miami’s “official” depth chart released this week, the Fins are clearly hoping Foster can serve as their bell-cow back. As Armando Salguero of the Miami Herald recently tweeted, Foster has shown during camp that he’s “head and shoulders the best running back on the Dolphins'” roster.

The group blocking for Foster and/or Ajayi could look a little different this season, especially at the guard position, where Miami added veterans Jermon Bushrod and Kraig Urbik. The latter is probably going to serve as depth, but the Dolphins reportedly want Bushrod to win the right guard job instead of Billy Turner. Bushrod, 31, is a career left tackle, and he’s acknowledged the difficulty of not only moving to the interior, but to the opposite side. Miami has locked-in options at center and both tackle spots, but guard will be an area to watch during camp, as Bushrod, Urbik, Turner, Laremy Tunsil, and Dallas Thomas will all compete for time.

Miami also added trench reinforcements on the defensive side of the ball, agreeing to terms with three veteran defensive ends to augment a rotation that already includes former All Pro Cameron Wake. After losing Olivier Vernon and Derrick Shelby during the free agent period, the club’s first move was to sign former Bills defensive end Mario Williams, who had reportedly been seeking $10MM annually. While he didn’t reach that mark, there’s some question as to whether Williams is worth the $8.5MM average he did receive.

During his final season in Buffalo, Williams posted only five sacks and graded as the league’s No. 93 edge defender among 110 qualifiers, per Pro Football Focus, and later drew criticism from Bills head coach Rex Ryan, who said Williams complained about having to drop into coverage. New Dolphins head coach Adam Gase said Williams is going to be a “different guy” in South Beach, and he’ll have to be to justify his salary.

Along with Williams, Miami also signed Jason Jones, who last played for the Lions, and inked ex-Jaguar Andre Branch. Jones, for his part, was an especially solid addition, as the Dolphins were able to land him for only $1.5MM on a one-year contract. He’ll act as a rotational run-stuffer behind Wake and Williams. Branch, meanwhile, can’t stop the run and has never lived up to his second-round draft status, but he’s a capable pass-rusher who can produce in limited snaps. Miami could conceivably move either Williams or Wake inside next to Ndamukong Suh on passing downs, allowing Branch to get after the quarterback from the edge.

Just today, the Dolphins agreed to terms with free agent cornerback Chris Culliver, signing the former 49er/Redskin to a one-year deal. Culliver, 28 next week, didn’t draw much interest on the open market after being released by Washington, and that’s likely due to concerns about his ACL, which he tore in November. There aren’t many details available about the one-year pact as of yet, but Ian Rapoport of NFL.com did note that the deal can be worth “up to $5MM.” That type of phrasing can mean many different things, and we’ll need to know the complete specifics before fully analyzing the deal, but it likely doesn’t offer much in the way of guarantees.

Aside from a few veteran linebackers who will likely earn playing time via special teams (Spencer Paysinger, Danny Lansanah), the Dolphins’ only other notable signing was that of safety Isa Abdul-Quddus, whom they lured away from the Lions with a three-year deal. Abdul-Quddus was excellent after wresting away a starting job from James Ihedigbo last year, posting 40 tackles and ranking as the No. 21 safety in his eight starts, according to PFF. However, IAQ has only posted a half-season’s worth of production during his five-year career, so there’s definitely some risk in this contract, but that uncertainty is somewhat negated by the modest financials.

Continue reading about the Dolphins’ offseason…

Quinton Coples, DE: Released
Louis Delmas, S
Jason Fox, T: Waived
Brent Grimes, CB: Released
Greg Jennings, WR: Released then retired
Rishard Matthews, WR
Brice McCain, CB: Released
Lamar Miller, RB
Damontre Moore, DE: Waived
Derrick Shelby, DE
Kelvin Sheppard, LB
Olivier Vernon, DE: Rescinded transition tag

The Dolphins lost several interesting players this offseason, but none was more impactful than defensive end Olivier Vernon, who signed a massive deal (five years, $85MM, $40MM guaranteed) after Miami rescinded his transition tag. The argument can be made that the Dolphins made a mistake by not assigning Vernon the franchise tag — which would have been worth about $15.7MM — from the start. Mario Williams, Andre Branch, and Jason Jones account for roughly $10.7MM on Miami’s 2016 cap, so for $5MM more, the club could have retained one of the league’s elite edge defenders instead of signing three mid-range options.

But rationalizing the Dolphins’ choice with Vernon is also possible, although it requires one to view the team’s front office in a different light. Miami has traditionally employed a “stars-and-scrubs” approach to roster-building, but allowing Vernon to walk in free agency and instead sign multiple defensive ends is the antithesis of that philosophy. Once the Dolphins placed the transition tag on Vernon, and subsequently realized a number of clubs were willing to pay him far more that they were, Miami had no choice but to revoke the tag, as doing so enabled them to recoup a 2017 compensatory pick. The ideal solution, though, was probably to franchise Vernon, and either live with him on a one-year deal, or see what the trade market had to offer.

Vernon wasn’t the only pass-rusher the Dolphins saw go elsewhere this offseason, as Derrick Shelby left South Beach after a four-year run. Shelby is only 27 years old and graded as the league’s No. 21 edge defender last season (per PFF), but it’s hard to discount that he’s registered only nine sacks over his entire career. Sacks aren’t everything, as pressures, hits, and hurries also affect a quarterback’s rhythm, and Shelby is a good run defender, too. But the Falcons were willing to hand him $18MM over four years, including $7.5MM in guarantees, a price that the Dolphins (rightly) weren’t willing to match.

Aside from Miami’s two defensive line defections, the club’s most notable loss was running back Lamar Miller, who left for Houston after the Dolphins never seriously entertained re-signing him. Miami (especially its prior coaching staff) never seemed to fully trust Miller, as his high-water mark for carries was only 217. Miller is a productive running back who’s averaged 4.6 yards per carry over the duration of his career, and he actually got better when he received more carries, rushing for 5.1 yards per carry when he got those 217 attempts in 2014. Still, choosing not to hand veteran running backs multi-year contracts is a strategy that will never hear any argument from me.

Elsewhere among the skill positions, wide receivers Rishard Matthews (free agency) and Greg Jennings (release/retirement) won’t be members of the 2016 Dolphins. Jennings failed to put up any sort of numbers during his one-year stint with Miami, so we won’t waste much time on him. Matthews, however, posted the best season of his career in 2015, catching 43 passes for 662 yards (15.4 yards/reception) while scoring four times. The 26-year-old signed a reasonable $5MM per year deal with the Titans, but the Dolphins never had any intention of going that high to retain him.

Jumping back to the defensive side of the ball, Miami cut bait with cornerback Brent Grimes (and his wife, Miko) after the pair spent three seasons with the club. Numerous reasons could have contributed to Grimes’ release, including the fact that he’s now 33 and is getting beat in coverage more often, but Miko’s controversial comments on social media reportedly played a role in the Dolphins asking Grimes to accept a pay cut (which he refused). A number of teams refused to entertain the idea of signing Grimes thanks to Miko’s antics, but he eventually landed $7MM guaranteed from the Buccaneers. Miko (shockingly) has since attacked Miami’s front office and ownership with ethnic slurs.

Grimes is the more high-profile player, but fellow corner Brice McCain might be the more important loss. McCain was forced to play outside corner last year, and predictably struggled, given that he’s much more suited for the slot. As Armando Salguero of the Miami Herald has argued, McCain would likely be an improvement over Bobby McCain (no relation), who is currently projected to start inside for the Dolphins, and Brice wasn’t very expensive, as he secured only $1MM guaranteed from Tennessee. Fellow defensive back Louis Delmas is also gone, but he didn’t play a snap in 2015 after suffering yet another knee injury during the preseason.

Two more veterans — linebacker Kelvin Sheppard and offensive tackle Jason Fox — won’t be back with the Dolphins after each played more snaps than they should have in 2015. Sheppard is now a Giant after playing on more than 60% of Miami’s defensive plays last season, but he’s not a lock to make the final New York roster and won’t be missed in South Beach. Fox, meanwhile, was forced to play more than 80% of the Dolphins’ snaps thanks to injuries along the front five, but graded as one of the six worst tackles in the league, according to PFF.

Trades:

Acquired CB Byron Maxwell, LB Kiko Alonso, and a 2016 first-round pick (No. 13) from the Eagles in exchange for a 2016 first-round pick (No. 8).
Acquired a 2016 second-round pick (No. 38) from the Ravens in exchange for a 2016 second-round pick (No. 42) and a 2016 fourth-round pick (No. 107).
Acquired a 2016 third-round pick (No. 86) from the Vikings in exchange for a 2016 sixth-round pick (No. 186), a 2017 third-round pick, and a 2017 fourth-round pick.
- 2017 fourth-rounder acquired by Vikings will be a compensatory pick if Dolphins receive one.
Acquired two sixth-round picks (Nos. 196 and 204) and a 2016 seventh-round pick (No. 250) from the Patriots in exchange for a 2016 fifth-round pick (No. 147).
Acquired a 2016 sixth-round pick (No. 186) from the Vikings in exchange for a 2016 sixth-round pick (No. 196) and a 2016 seventh-round pick (No. 227).
Acquired a 2016 seventh-round pick (No. 223) from the Browns in exchange for CB Jamar Taylor and a 2016 seventh-round pick (No. 250).

Miami and personnel chief Mike Tannenbaum clearly don’t hold draft capital in the same high regard that many other clubs around the league do, as the Dolphins consistently sacrificed future value for the present, trading away multiple picks to move up and acquire single selections. It’s a curious way to build a roster, and as Chase Stuart of Football Perspective wrote, it’s a strategy that is “emblematic of an organization that puts little emphasis on depth relative to star power.”

Take Miami’s Day 2 trade with the Vikings, for example. According to Stuart’s value chart, the Dolphins paid something close to 176 cents on the dollar (!) to trade up and draft draft Leonte Carroo. Minnesota, as Stuart detailed, essentially picked up a free fourth- and sixth-round pick by simply waiting until next year to make their choices. Miami either doesn’t understand this concept, or fails to recognize the extremely heavy discount that it is placing on future draft picks.

Tannenbaum & Co. also took a bath when trading for veterans, as they traded away the equivalent of a early fifth-round pick to acquire Byron Maxwell, his hefty contract, and Kiko Alonso. Miami may still have some hope that Maxwell can turn into a playable No. 1 cornerback, and Alonso will be cheap in 2016 as he plays out his rookie contract.

But Maxwell’s massive contract is an entity unto itself, and even though the rest of Maxwell’s prorated bonus accelerated onto the Eagles’ cap and the Dolphins were able to restructure Maxwell’s deal, the trade still makes little sense. Miami will pay Maxwell a guaranteed $8.5MM this season and is on the hook for $3MM guaranteed in 2017, so the fact that Philadelphia was able to both dump that contract plus acquire extra draft capital is rather astonishing.

Draft picks:

1-13: Laremy Tunsil, T (Ole Miss)
2-38: Xavien Howard, CB (Baylor)
3-73: Kenyan Drake, RB (Alabama)
3-86: Leonte Carroo, WR (Rutgers)
6-186: Jakeem Grant, WR (Texas Tech)
6-204: Jordan Lucas, DB (Penn State)
7-223: Brandon Doughty, QB (Western Kentucky)
7-231: Thomas Duarte, TE (UCLA)

Even if he never succeeds in the NFL, Laremy Tunsil will likely be remembered for the foreseeable future given the drama that surrounded him on draft night. As most surely recall, Tunsil — who was thought to be the favorite to be selected with the first overall pick before the Titans traded down — was considered a lock to be chosen in the top-six, but a free fall began a video surfaced showing Tunsil smoking out of a bong. Clubs at the top of the draft, most notably the Ravens, weren’t able to gather on the information quickly enough (and also may have had injury concerns about the Ole Miss tackle), leading Tunsil to tumble down that board until Miami snatched him up at No. 13.

And though Tunsil is considered one of the premier left tackle prospects to enter the league in some time, he’ll begin his career at guard thanks to the presence of Branden Albert on the blindside. Albert, however, is entering his age-32 season, and has missed time in each of the last four seasons, meaning Tunsil is quite likely to see action at left tackle this season. Offensive line expert Lance Zierlien of NFL.com compared Tunsil to Cowboys tackle Tyron Smith during the pre-draft process, and if Tunsil even comes close to matching Smith’s production, the Dolphins will have made the right choice.

Miami was also counting on Xavien Howard to start early in his career, as the club has little depth behind Byron Maxwell in the secondary. The former Baylor Bear looked like the favorite to land the Dolphins’ No. 2 corner job, but after suffering a knee injury during minicamp, Howard underwent surgery and is now on the active/PUP list. Rookie defensive backs nearly always face a steep learning curve, and Howard will now encounter an even more difficult challenge given that he will miss a portion of training camp.

Skill position players Kenyan Drake and Leonte Carroo, meanwhile, don’t figure to play large roles during their rookie years given that they’re each pretty far down the depth chart. Drake could be listed as low as fourth among Miami’s running backs, and it would take a number of injuries for him to see playing time (but given that Arian Foster and Jay Ajayi are the team’s top two backs, health concerns are certainly on the table). Carroo, meanwhile, has a clearer path to snaps, but he’s behind Kenny Stills for the moment.

Extensions and Restructures:

Cameron Wake, DE: Extended through 2017. Two years, $14.125MM. $10MM guaranteed. $2.5MM available via incentives.
Ndamukong Suh, DT: Restructured contract to create $16MM in cap space, converting $20MM in 2016 base salary into a signing bonus.
Byron Maxwell, CB: Restructured contract after trade from Eagles. Lowered 2017 base salary from $10MM to $8.5MM in exchange for $2MM increase in 2017 guarantee.
Jordan Cameron, TE: Accepted pay cut, creating $1.5MM in cap space by reducing 2016 base salary from $7.5MM to $6MM in exchange for a $5MM guarantee.
Koa Misi, LB: Accepted pay cut, creating $1.275MM in cap space by reducing 2016 base salary from $4.275MM to $3MM.

Cameron Wake was already set to make roughly $8.3MM for the 2016 season, so while the Dolphins could have asked him to accept a pay cut (especially given that’s coming off injury), the club instead lowered Wake’s cap hit for the upcoming campaign while adding $3MM in guarantees for 2017. As Jason Fitzgerald of Over the Cap wrote in his analysis of the deal, Miami is clearly projecting Wake for a solid season, and if the veteran defensive end does return to his old form, then the team has indeed scored a below-market deal. And the risk is negligible, because if Wake does fall off a cliff, the Dolphins will have paid him only ~$1.7MM more than was originally scheduled.

While Wake’s new deal can be rationalized, the same cannot be said for the restructuring of Ndamukong Suh‘s pact. Already one of the most onerous contracts in NFL history, Suh’s deal now contains an extra $4MM in prorated bonus money in each of the next five years, which gives the star defensive tackle enviable protection against being released. Realistically, Miami now cannot move on from Suh until after the 2019 campaign.

That timeline will be acceptable if Suh continues his current level of production (though he’s still making considerably more than any other defensive tackle), but if Suh experiences a dropoff, the Dolphins will be in an undesirable situation. Additionally, there wasn’t a pressing need for Miami to restructure this deal — though they were tight on cap space, the club made other moves (releasing Brent Grimes and Greg Jennings, forcing Jordan Cameron and Koa Misi to accept pay cuts) that created fiscal room. The Fins have essentially locked themselves into a half-decade of a highly-paid Suh when they weren’t required to do so.

Other:

Promoted college scouting director Chris Grier to general manager to replace Dennis Hickey.
Hired Adam Gase as head coach to replace Dan Campbell (interim).
Hired Clyde Christensen as offensive coordinator to replace Zac Taylor.
Hired Vance Joseph as defensive coordinator to replace Lou Anarumo. Reassigned Anarumo to defensive backs coach.
Signed RB C.J. Anderson to a four-year, $18MM RFA offer sheet, which the Broncos matched.
Claimed DT Chris Jones off waivers.
Learned DE Dion Jordan was granted reinstatement.
Signed 12 undrafted rookie free agents following the draft.

New general manager Chris Grier will have a voice in Miami’s front office, but Mike Tannenbaum clearly still runs the show and maintains final say on personnel decisions. Changes to the coaching staff will likely have a larger impact on the upcoming season, as Adam Gase landed the Dolphins’ head coaching position after being considered for several openings during the 2015 offseason. Gase has been very successful during his NFL career, helping lead one of the most productive offenses in league history while with the Broncos, and turning around Jay Cutler‘s career with the Bears.

Gase will call the offensive plays in South Beach, meaning new OC Clyde Christensen will maintain more of a planning role, and serve as a sounding board for quarterback Ryan Tannehill. Christensen’s last two pupils were Peyton Manning and Andrew Luck, so he should have a shot at bringing the best of Tannehill to the forefront. On defense, former Bengals defensive backs coach Vance Joseph secured the coordinator role after having been Denver’s first choice for the same job during the 2015 offseason. He’ll try to rescue a unit that ranked just 25th in Football Outsiders’ DVOA last year.

One possible member of Joseph’s unit is former third overall pick Dion Jordan, who earned his conditional reinstatement from the NFL and has since been cleared to practice after presumably meeting the league’s requirement of counseling. However, Jordan is recovering from offseason knee surgery and apparently hasn’t looked great during practice sessions, so he’s no lock to make the squad, especially given that the Dolphins added a good deal of help to their defensive line over the past several months.

Top 10 cap hits for 2016:

Ndamukong Suh, DT: $12,600,000
Ryan Tannehill, QB: $11,640,000
Branden Albert, T: $10,150,000
Mike Pouncey, C: $10,025,000
Cameron Wake, DE: $8,525,000
Byron Maxwell, CB: $8,500,000
Reshad Jones, S: $8,202,942
Jordan Cameron, TE: $8,000,000
Mario Williams, DE: $6,500,000
Koa Misi, LB: $3,603,000

New head coach Adam Gase has drawn rave reviews at every stop during his career, and the laudation hasn’t ceased now that he’s made his way to Miami. Gase is seen as the savior who can rectify Ryan Tannehill‘s career, and while he may able to turn around the franchise quarterback (with the help of an improved offensive line), the Dolphins’ defense needs to take just as big a leap forward if the club has any serious hopes of contention in 2016.

Information from Over the Cap, Spotrac, and Roster Resource was used in the creation of this post. Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Impact Rookies: New York Giants

August 9th, 2016 at 10:14am CST by Zachary Links

To help us forecast the immediate future of these NFL neophytes, we enlisted the help of draft guru Dave-Te Thomas who has served as a scouting personnel consultant to NFL teams for multiple decades.

General manager Jerry Reese went to the credit union often during the offseason, spending over $200MM to improve his team’s defensive front seven issues. But, despite some questionable purchases, the draft provided the team with two stud newcomers in cornerback Eli Apple and receiver Sterling Shepard, as both are expected to immediately contribute. Cooper Taylor’s tenure with New York could be coming to an end, especially if third round pick, Darian Thompson, is as good as he advertised during mini camp.

While Shepard is expected to at least earn a slot position, he could move outside if Victor Cruz continues to deal with injury issues. If Cruz fails to return to form, California free agent, Darius Powe, or off-the-field bad boy, Roger Lewis, might have a chance to secure the final receiver spot coming out of training camp.

First Round – Eli Apple , CB (Ohio State, No. 10 overall)

Our staff touted Eli Apple as the best cornerback in the draft not named Jalen Ramsey since Day One. We even provided our contracted teams with a very detailed statistical comparison chart that featured Apple, Ramsey, Mackensie Alexander, Vernon Hargreaves III, and William Jackson III. It seems Giants brass agreed, taking the Buckeye with the tenth pick.

The early first round surprise could be starting by the time the season opener rolls around, at least as the nickel corner. He’s likely to ease Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie off the roster after the season to take his place opposite high-priced Rams addition, Janoris Jenkins. The first thing you notice about this former Buckeye is his natural playmaking instincts. He understands how receivers are trying to attack coverage and he is a master at reading quarterbacks’ eyes when having to drop into zone coverage. He also does an excellent job of mid-pointing high-low routes.

Apple is an explosive, quick-twitch athlete with a sudden closing burst, especially when receivers catch the ball in front of him. He possesses that second gear needed to track the ball downfield and he’s fast enough to recover when gets caught out of position. Thanks to his fluid hips, he can make the smooth transition when forced to change directions quickly. When he stays under control and keeps his knees bent, is a good tackler in space.

The two-time letter-winner started all but one of the 28 games he has appeared in. As a redshirt freshman, he collected 53 tackles and broke up thirteen passes, as opposing quarterbacks often tried to challenge the first-time starter. Eight of those thirteen pass break-ups came on third-down snaps and all three of his interceptions were followed by Buckeyes touchdown drives during their 2014 national championship campaign.

The Buckeyes cornerback can consistently break up passes when in position, as he also has the athleticism to reach around the receiver and disrupt the action without committing the penalty. When he breaks up those passes, more often it is the result of violent hits right as the ball arrives. While not a valid ball thief, he does have the natural hands to reach out and pluck the ball to make the tough interception.

Teams were very leery to fire the ball into Apple’s territory in 2015, and he managed just 28 tackles, as a result. However, he impressed scouts with his outstanding coverage skills, as he not only defended nine passes (including one interception), but only 14-of-67 passes targeted in his area were completed (20.9%). He delivered twenty third-down stops, three more on fourth-down snaps. Proving to be one of the most physical cornerbacks in college, he jammed/rerouted his main pass coverage assignments away from 38 incomplete passes last season, the second-highest total in the NCAA FBS ranks. In short: the future is bright for the Giants’ first-round choice.

Continue reading about the Giants’ rookies..

Second Round – Sterling Shepard, WR (Oklahoma, No. 40 overall)

One of our staff’s favorites in this draft class, the Giants found a Hines Ward clone in this sensational Sooner receiver. Shepard plays with a lot of moxie and will soon endear himself to Big Blue fans. With Victor Cruz hoping to return to action in 2015, Shepard will likely fill slot receiver duties but after one look at his performance level, he can easily make Giants fans forget about their injured wide receiver.

It is especially pleasing when an “old dog” scout like myself sees a legacy come along. Years ago, while scouting the Midwest, Sterling’s dad, Derrick, captured attention from teams during his career at Oklahoma (1983-86). Derrick had managed to catch 75 passes during his career with the Sooners, also averaging 8.5 yards on 70 punt returns and 24.2 yards as a kickoff returner. He went on to play for Washington, New Orleans and Dallas until 1991, compiling a 9.1-yard average via 75 punt returns, a 15.2-yard average as a receiver and a 19.7-yard average running back 51 kickoffs.

Shepard has that explosive playing burst to easily gain separation after the catch. He shows above average lateral agility and balance when changing direction, doing an excellent job of extending for the ball and keeping his feet inbounds when working along the sidelines. He is a smooth open field runner who accelerates instantly coming out of his breaks and he has the burst to blow by defensive backs consistently (see 2015 Tulsa, Texas, Kansas, Iowa State and Baylor contests). He has loose hips and good feet to get in and out of his cuts and his quick first step lets him explode off the line. Shepard also has the hip wiggle and head fakes to elude defenders after the catch.

His second level speed can rival any other receiver in the collegiate ranks and he has also become a very a good student of the game, showing keen awareness for the sidelines and chains, along with the presence to come back to assist the quarterback when the pocket is compromised. When watching him on film, his ability to adjust on the move and sit down is evident as he shows fine big-play quickness after the catch. He quickly finds the open areas and works back to the ball, making nice adjustments to the poorly thrown pass.

Third Round – Darian Thompson, S (Boise State, No. 71 overall)

The Boise State master ball hawk will only have to change his jersey to a different shade of blue now that he is joining the Giants. Once considered a late first round prospect, some teams shied away from the defender with a conference record nineteen interceptions under his belt, as he did not perform well in the agility tests at the combine. Still, you can’t teach a stopwatch to play football and his thievery success indicates that Thompson might have some “skills” in that area.

Since moving into the starting lineup for the final six games of his freshman year, Thompson was the Broncos’ defensive stalwart. He posted 243 tackles for Boise State, delivering fifteen stops behind the line of scrimmage from his free safety position. While he is not the greatest leaper in this draft class (31-inches), evident by his nine pass break-ups through 51 games, he does show the natural hands needed to make the big plays.

Thompson is an instinctive player who is rarely caught out of position. He patiently waited his chance to start as a freshman, spending that time excelling on special teams and using the film room to gain lots of knowledge on his opponents. Thompson shows good ability to learn and retain the playbook. It is his ability to quickly react to the run or pass that might see him use his power and size better as a strong safety at the next level.

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Impact Rookies: Philadelphia Eagles

August 8th, 2016 at 3:34pm CST by Zachary Links

To help us forecast the immediate future of these NFL neophytes, we enlisted the help of draft guru Dave-Te Thomas who has served as a scouting personnel consultant to NFL teams for multiple decades.

First Round – Carson Wentz, QB (North Dakota State, No. 2 overall)

“You can never have enough arms,” might be what you hear from the Philadelphia Phillies pitching coach, but it looks like Eagles GM Howie Roseman took that phrase to heart with his recent dealings at the quarterback position. He turned a journeyman quarterback (Mark Sanchez) to the Broncos for a conditional seventh-round pick in 2017. Sanchez had played in thirteen games for the Eagles since he joined the team in 2014, but with Doug Pederson taking over as head coach, the team decided to blow up the quarterback position.

It was expected that Pederson would hang his coaching future to the fragile body of Sam Bradford, but in a surprising move, the team handed a high-priced multi-year deal to one of Pederson’s old quarterback students – Chase Daniel. There were rumblings that even with those two in the fold, that names like 49ers disgruntled passer, Colin Kaepernick, was brought up in serious discussions held by the front office. Even then, free agent Robert Griffin III was considered for added depth.

Then, the rumors refused to die – the Eagles wanted to move up in the draft and were in talks with Tennessee for the top pick, before the Titans agreed to ship that choice to the Rams. Roseman then turned to Cleveland, pulling off a trade that saw the Eagles send the Browns their eighth overall selection, their third round pick (No. 77 overall) and fourth round choice (No. 100) in the 2016 draft, along with a first rounder in 2017 and a second round pick in 2018. In addition to securing the second pick in the draft, Philadelphia also took home a fourth round in 2017 in the exchange.

Roseman did not hesitate to snatch away Carson Wentz after the Rams selected California’s Jared Goff, . Word was that if the Rams took Wentz, the Eagles simply would have taken Goff instead. Actually, for the system Pederson runs, Wentz might be a glass slipper fit, while Goff would have had to adjust from the system he was developed under in California.

In just two years as a starter, Wentz has delivered the Bison a pair of NCAA Football Championship Subdivision national championships. He has started just 23 games, compiling a 20-3 record at the helm. A right wrist fracture sidelined him for most of the second half of the 2015 schedule, but he returned in time to help the team record its fourth consecutive FCS title.

Despite having just two seasons as a starter under his belt at NDSU, you could tell from that first practice that Wentz was a good student of the game, one that can easily adjust from college ball to raise his game to another level in a pro-style passing attack. There is no question that he has a solid feel for pre-snap reads, doing a nice job of making checks and locating secondary targets (he distributed the ball to an average of eight different receivers per game in 2014-15). He is a smart passer with keen eyes scanning the field and follows through with his progressions. With innate instincts and ever-improving developing decision making skills, it seems like he’s not far off from being able to handle a pro offense.

With Bradford starting and Daniel also on the depth chart, Wentz does not have a clear path to play in 2016. At least, not just yet. If the oft-injured Bradford finds himself sidelined again, we could see the rookie under center. Wentz still needs time to develop, of course, but he already has the acumen to lead an NFL offense if called upon.

Continue reading about the Eagles’ rookie class..

Third Round – Isaac Seumalo, OG/C (Oregon State, No. 79 overall)

The Wentz trade did not leave the Eagles with a ton of wiggle room, as they did not get back into the draft picture until taking Isaac Seumalo at No. 79. The Eagles failed to address cornerback needs until the sixth round, but they at least made a solid pick for their offensive line in the third.

Seumalo’s versatility is a major plus as he started 23 games at center, nine at right guard, three at left tackle, and two at right tackle. He joined the OSU program out of local Corvallis High School, where he was rated the second-best offensive lineman in the country by Super Prep during his senior season. He followed his brother, Andrew, who played defensive tackle for OSU from 2009-12 and currently serves the team as a coach’s assistant.

The four-star recruit and one of the best pulling guards in the nation was thrust into the starting lineup at center during his first season at Oregon State, the first true freshman to start in the pivot for the team since Roger Levasa in 1978. He was one of just two first-year centers to make his debut as a starter that year. A knee injury prevented him from playing in the 2013 season opener, but he returned to start ten games at center and two more at right tackle. The All-Pac 12 Conference choice suffered a foot injury in the Hawaii Bowl and it would force him to sit out the entire 2014 campaign.

Seumalo returned to action last season and collected 73 knockdowns in the process, making twelve touchdown-saving blocks while bouncing around the line. He started nine games at right guard and three more at left tackle on the way to receiving All-Pac 12 and Academic All-Pac 12 accolades.

When it comes to run blocking, Seumalo comes off the snap with his hands on the rise and is very effective at walling off the defender. He hits with tremendous force and is very good at clubbing the defender in the head or chop blocking to take the opponents off their feet. His raw strength will neutralize even the strongest of bull rushes and he is very effective at creating movement and pushing the pile. He is an efficient road grader who consistently plays with leverage. He keeps his feet moving upon initial contact and is very good at using his hands to move the pile. He has the brute strength to overpower and controls the action with his quick first step and low pad level to maintain position with a strong base.

Seumalo might lack ideal height to play on the edge, but with his quick kick slide, he does a very good job of neutralizing pocket pressure and can hold his own in passing situations. He has the strength and wide base to hold ground firmly at the point of attack and keeps his hands active to defeat counter moves. He has the keen vision to quickly locate and pick up stunts and flashes good pass set, knee bend and anchor to beat even the quicker defensive tackles.

With his kick slide and lateral agility, he could be very effective playing in front of the quarterback at center. As shown on Roster Resource, Seumalo is slated to be in a key reserve role for the Eagles this year. Free agent pickup Stefen Wisniewski should be the first choice if Jason Kelce, Allen Barbre, or Brandon Brooks suffer an injury, but Seumalo is next up on the interior O-Line depth chart.

Seventh Round – Jalen Mills, CB (LSU, No. 233 overall)

Mills enters training camp listed second on the depth chart behind Nolan Carroll at right cornerback, but he should at least garner playing time as the slot corner as a rookie. Before long, either Mills or Eric Rowe could be a logical replacement for Rodney McLeod at safety, if he cannot live up to his pricey free agent deal. Rowe is expected to challenge Leodis McKelvin at the left corner spot, but he also could pose a challenge for Mills in the slot.

There was a lot to like about Mills for scouts this year, but he still found himself under the microscope for a May 2014 incident in which he was arrested and charged with second-degree battery. The Baton Rouge Police confirmed that Mills allegedly punched a woman in the mouth at the door of his apartment on May 4th. The victim told police she was briefly unconscious and required several stitches on her lip and later identified Mills in a police lineup. Charges were later reduced and Mills was reinstated to the team in time for fall camp.

Mills has always been an invaluable piece in the Tigers secondary, first starting off his career as a field cornerback. He made 57 tackles with two thefts and five pass break-ups while starting all thirteen games as a freshman. He took over slot corner duties in 2013, responding with 67 tackles that included three sacks. In 2014, Mills took over free safety duties, as he delivered 62 tackles. During 2015 August drills, Mills suffered a fibula fracture that would force him to miss the first half of the season. He returned to start six times at the slot cornerback position, where he responded with 30 tackles and one sack through seven appearances.

Mills is quick to locate the ball, as he is very consistent in anticipating and jumping the routes. He might lack that explosive second gear, but shows the burst and urgency to close on the play in a hurry. He is better with the action in front of him, thanks to his keen feel for taking proper angles. He is very physical when making the tackle and shows good intensity getting to the rush lanes. He has the change of direction agility to cover along the sidelines and shows above average hand usage and extension to attack the ball in the air and reach around the receiver to deflect or pick off the pass.

Of course, Mills’ off-field incident and his injury history are major red flags. However, Mills has the natural talent to be an impact player at the next level and could prove to be a tremendous late-draft value for the Eagles.

For what it’s worth, the Eagles also think they might have a seventh-round find for their feeble pass rush in Alex McCalister, who recorded twelve sacks last season. An imposing-looking athlete with arms nearly 37-inches long, he was also a red flag draft pick, as issues off the field led to his dismissal at Florida.

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

The Beat: Justin Rogers On The Lions

August 8th, 2016 at 12:40pm CST by Zachary Links

With the season fast approaching, we’re chatting with beat writers from around the league to gain insight on each team’s offseason and how those moves will impact the season ahead.

Now, we continue the series by discussing the Lions with Justin Rogers of the Detroit News. You can follow Justin on Twitter @Justin_Rogers and check out his stories here.

Zach Links: Marvin Jones was the best available wide receiver this year and the Lions pounced quickly to sign him. Do you think he’ll be targeted almost as much as Golden Tate this year? Will his five-year, $40MM contract be a good deal in the long run for the Lions?

It could be close, but I still expect Tate to be targeted at a higher rate, simply because he’s a bit more lethal on throws close to the line of scrimmage. That said, Matthew Stafford and Jones have developed chemistry rapidly, and the former Bengals wide receiver is truly a good fit in the Lions offense, offering a skill set that makes him a threat at all levels, including the deepest parts of the field.

A lot of people scoffed at $8MM per year for Jones, but it felt right at the time and seems like an even better value when you see the potential he has in the offense. Obviously time will tell, but I could see Jones catching 80 balls for close to 1,000 yards this year, and we all understand his potential in the red zone.

Zach Links: The Lions added some notable names at WR late in the offseason by signing Anquan Boldin and Andre Roberts. What does Boldin have left in the tank? Do you think that Roberts can get back to his old form?

Justin Rogers: Based on the fact that he caught nearly 70 balls in San Fran last season, Boldin obviously isn’t running on fumes. He’s looked like a nice fit in the slot, giving the Lions’ nickel corners fits with the way he uses his thicker frame to box out the defender and create extra separation on routes across the middle.

The Lions have a lot of weapons, so they don’t need Boldin to be a focal point of the offense. Depending on the health of Eric Ebron, Boldin will be the fourth or fifth option in the passing game and catching 40-50 balls would be an upgrade from what the team has recently been working with at WR3.

Zach Links: Many expected the Lions to use their first-round pick on Taylor Decker and they did not disappoint when it was their turn at the podium in April. Do you expect Decker to shine right off of the bat or will he need some time to develop, as rookie left tackles often do?

Continue reading about the Lions..

Justin Rogers: The Lions aren’t messing around, plugging the rookie in as the starting left tackle on Day 1. While they could still flip him to the right side if he struggles in the preseason, the expectation, at this point, is he’ll stick on the blindside.

Naturally, there will be struggles. It’s a big jump in competition and he’ll face some of the best athletes in the world rushing from that side, but it probably won’t be a massive drop-off from Riley Reiff. And with Reiff moving to the right side, solidifying the weakest link on Detroit’s line, the unit, on the whole, should be improved.

Zach Links: Were you surprised by the Lions’ decision to keep Jim Caldwell as head coach? What does he have to do this year in order to continue in that role in 2017?

Justin Rogers: Not really. In two seasons, Caldwell has gone 18-14 with a playoff appearance. Obviously last season’s start was embarrassing, but the way they fought to the end and responded to mid-season coaching staff changes, speaks to the roster’s unwillingness to quit on their coach.

It’s a low-risk proposition for general manager Bob Quinn. You stick with the guy the players like and respect and see if they can maintain the momentum from the end of last season, and if it doesn’t work, you install your guy.

Even though Quinn said it won’t strictly on making the playoffs playoffs, I do anticipate a postseason berth is the only way Caldwell can guarantee his return in 2017.

Zach Links: The Lions have Ziggy Ansah under team control through 2017 after exercising his fifth-year option. Do you expect the two sides to start discussing an extension soon?

Justin Rogers: Maybe next offseason, but there’s no rush. The team has other key contributors from that 2013 draft class, namely Theo Riddick, Devin Taylor, Larry Warford and Sam Martin to get done first. Plus, Stafford is also up for an extension in short order.

They can wait on Ansah, and the franchise tag, while never ideal, is always in your back pocket if his agent is playing hardball.

When Ansah does sign a long-term deal, it’s going to be massive.

Zach Links: How do you see this season playing out for the Lions? Will they make the playoffs after their sub-.500 showing last year?

Justin Rogers: For me, it hinges on two things. First, how well does the young offensive line gel? If it’s quickly, and Stafford gets better protection and there are some more consistent holes opened in the run game, the offense can be pretty good.

On defense, everyone wants to know if DeAndre Levy is healthy and back to form. He’s currently on the non-football injury list after missing nearly all of the 2015 campaign with a hip injury. Take him away and the team’s overall talent at linebacker is average, at best. With him, you have a Pro Bowl-caliber playmaker behind an under-the-radar front four.

With Levy healthy, 9-10 wins is realistic, especially considering the favorable schedule. Without him, seven seems more likely.

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

PFR Originals: 7/31/16 – 8/7/16

August 7th, 2016 at 10:43am CST by Dallas Robinson

The original content and analysis produced the PFR staff during the past week:

PFR has continued to look back at the offseasons for all 32 clubs, examining the major signings, departures, trades, and other notable offseason events for each team. We covered four clubs over the past week:
- Atlanta Falcons
- New England Patriots
- Oakland Raiders
- Seattle Seahawks
PFR is analyzing each team’s rookie class with the assistance of scouting guru Dave-Te Thomas, who has served as a consultant to NFL teams for multiple decades. Dave covered two clubs last week:
- Dallas Cowboys
- Oakland Raiders
- Washington Redskins
In PFR’s new series The Beat, Zach Links is conducting interviews with beat writers, columnists, and TV personalities about the team that they cover. This week, Zach spoke with spoke with Adam Teicher of ESPN.com about the Chiefs, Eric Berry, Kansas City’s offensive line, rookie Chris Jones, and the club’s coaching staff.
Zach rounded up the best of the football blogs in the latest edition of Pigskin Links.

Offseason In Review: New England Patriots

August 6th, 2016 at 9:30am CST by Ben Levine

It was a typical offseason for the Patriots. A looming suspension/punishment for the organization or star player. The defection of a star defender. The acquisition of notable veterans and high-upside players. A flurry of draft-night trades. In other words, it wasn’t a normal offseason by any other standard.

While the fanbase was primarily focused on the looming suspension of Tom Brady, the Patriots front office did an admirable job of retooling many spots on their roster. With several impending defensive free agents, the Patriots dealt off Chandler Jones, replacing him with players like Chris Long and Shea McClellin. The team lost Brandon LaFell to free agency, but they added a younger piece in wideout Chris Hogan (as well as talented tight end Martellus Bennett). They even drafted a quarterback!

The whole Deflategate fallout seemed to dominate offseason talk, so many of the Patriots moves went under the radar. However, per usual, the team added enough depth to offset any of their notable subtractions. As a result, the Patriots should once again be in the driver’s seat for the AFC title.

Notable signings:

Chris Hogan, WR: Three years, $12MM. $7.5MM guaranteed. Bills declined to match RFA offer sheet.
Shea McClellin, LB: Three years, $8.95MM. $3.5MM guaranteed.
Chris Long, DE: One year, $2.375MM. $1MM guaranteed.
Nate Ebner, S: Two years, $2.4MM. $500K guaranteed.
Clay Harbor, TE: Two years, $3MM. $400K guaranteed. $500K available annually via incentives.
Donald Brown, RB: One year, minimum salary benefit. $300K guaranteed.
LaAdrian Waddle, T: Two years, $2.35MM. $250K guaratneed. $1.4MM available via incentives.
Terrance Knighton, DT: One year, $2.05MM. $250K guaranteed. $2.5MM available via incentives.
Markus Kuhn, DT: One year, $1.2MM. $140K guaranteed.
LeGarrette Blount, RB: One year, $1MM. $100K guaranteed. $1MM available via incentives.
Nate Washington, WR: One year, minimum salary benefit. $60K guaranteed.
James Develin, FB: One year, $750K. $50K guaranteed.
Frank Kearse, DE: One year, minimum salary benefit. $30K guaranteed.
E.J. Biggers, CB: One year, minimum salary benefit. $25K guaranteed.
Ramon Humber, LB: One year, minimum salary benefit. $25K guaranteed.
Vinnie Sunseri, S: Contract terms unknown.

While most of the Patriots offseason discussion focused on the quarterback and trades, the teams various signings seemed to fly under the radar. Still, the team managed to add several players via free agency who should contribute to this year’s squad.

Considering the injury concerns for receivers Julian Edelman and Danny Amendola, the Patriots went hard after several free agent wideouts. After kicking the tires on Marvin Jones and Mohamed Sanu, the team ended up settling on former Bills receiver Chris Hogan – a player coach Bill Belichick had long coveted. The former Bills wideout has put up solid numbers over the past two seasons, compiling 77 catches, 876 yards, and six touchdowns during the span. As things currently stand, the 27-year-old would be the team’s third receiver, and the former Monmouth standout can also reportedly serve as an emergency punter.

Hogan wasn’t the only weapon added to Brady’s arsenal. The team signed veteran receiver Nate Washington, who caught 47 passes for 658 yards with the Texans last season. While the 32-year-old has proven to be a durable, consistent option, there’s no certainty that he’ll ultimately make the team.

Elsewhere on offense, the Patriots signed tight end Clay Harbor. The 29-year-old showed that he could be a competent piece of the passing game throughout his tenure with the Jaguars, although he settled into more of a blocking role in 2015. The Patriots value versatility, and Harbor’s ability to play both tight end and fullback will likely earn him a spot on the roster. Speaking of the fullback position, the team brought back incumbent James Develin, who missed all of last season while recovering from a broken tibia. The 28-year-old appeared in all 32 games for the Patriots between 2013 and 2014, including 10 starts.

With a number of intriguing veteran options on the running back market, there was a general assumption that the Patriots would look to add some reinforcement to their backfield. After all, the team finished 30th in rushing yards last season, and the team ultimately had to rely on 32-year-old Steven Jackson during the postseason. Furthermore, considering Brady’s impending suspension, the Patriots wouldn’t be able to lean on the passing game through the first month of the season.

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As the end of the day, the team did little to improve the run game. The Patriots brought back LeGarrette Blount, who spent parts of the past three seasons in New England. After having average 4.9 yards per attempt through his first 21 games with the Patriots, the 29-year-old saw those numbers dip to 4.3 yards per attempt last season. The team also brought in veteran running back Donald Brown, who spent the past two seasons with the Chargers. The former first-rounder had averaged 5.3 yards per carry during his final season with the Colts, but those numbers dropped to 3.1 yards per carry over the past two years. Fortunately, the team could also look forward to the return of Dion Lewis, whose breakout season ended with a torn ACL. Through seven games, the 25-year-old compiled 234 yards on 49 attempts (as well as an impressive 388 yards on 36 catches).

LaAdrian Waddle could be blocking for the duo in 2016, although there’s no certainty that the 25-year-old will make the roster. The former undrafted free agent was added by the Patriots last December following two-plus seasons with the Lions. As PFR’s Zach Links noted, Waddle was rated as Pro Football Focus’ worst qualified offensive tackle in the league, and the lineman hasn’t been capable of staying healthy throughout his career.

On the other side of the ball, the Patriots did an admirable job of adding solid veterans on affordable deals. The most notable addition was linebacker Shea McClellin, who spent his entire four-year career in Chicago. The former first-round pick has averaged 13 games a season throughout his career, and after having his fifth-year option declined, he finished 2015 with a career-high in tackles (81). The 27-year-old’s ability to play both linebacker and defensive end will certainly earn him a significant role on the team.

The Patriots continued their offseason theme of adding former first-round picks by signing former second-overall pick Chris Long to a one-year deal. The 31-year-old hasn’t been particularly healthy over the past two seasons, playing in a total of 18 games. Still, the defensive end was a force from 2010 through 2013, and playing behind both Rob Ninkovich and Jabaal Sheard should preserve the veteran throughout the campaign.

Elsewhere on the defensive line, the Patriots seemingly added a starting defensive tackle in veteran Terrance Knighton. ‘Pot Roast’ is still going strong after seven seasons in the league, and the 30-year-old has only missed an incredible four games throughout his career. After two seasons with the Broncos, Knighton spent 2015 with the Redskins, where he compiled 29 tackles and 1.5 sacks in 15 games. The team did select Malcom Brown in the first-round of the 2015 draft, but the departures of Akiem Hicks and Sealver Siliga meant the team needed some depth at the position.

To round out the defensive line, the Patriots also added defensive tackle Markus Kuhn. The four-year veteran spent his entire career with the Giants, where he compiled 39 tackles and 1.5 sacks over 24 games between the past two seasons. The Patriots also signed defensive end Frank Kearse, who followed a promising 2014 campaign (15 tackles, three sacks) with a disappointing 2015 season.

The Patriots brought back safety Nate Ebner on a two-year deal. While the Olympic rugby player probably won’t get much play in the defensive backfield, he’ll surely play a role on special teams. As our own Sam Robinson noted, Ebner finished last season with 11 special teams tackles, the third-best total on the team.

Meanwhile, free agent addition E.J. Biggers could establish a role at cornerback for the Patriots. The former seventh-round pick surely won’t unseat starters Malcolm Butler and Logan Ryan, but he’ll be competing with a collection of players for that third or fourth corner spot. The Patriots also added an intriguing prospect in safety Vinnie Sunseri, although the 22-year-old will certainly have an uphill battle to make the roster. The same goes for linebacker Ramon Humber, although the former Saint could easily carve out a role on the squad. The former North Dakota State standout established himself as a formidable special teams force during his time in New Orleans, and the team’s muddled linebacker depth means the 28-year-old could also contribute on defense.

Notable losses:

It’d be a stretch to say that any of the departed Patriots free agents played a major role for the 2015 squad, but there were several players who will certainly be missed.

From an actual snap-count standpoint, receiver Brandon LaFell is the team’s most significant loss. Following a 2014 campaign where he set career-highs in receptions (74), yards (953) and touchdowns (seven), the veteran wideout struggled through injuries and inconsistencies in 2015. LaFell finished the campaign with 37 receptions, 515 yards, and no touchdowns, numbers that rival his career-lows.

Besides LaFell, the team lost another trio of wideouts, although none of the three saw the field for the Patriots in 2015. Former Rams receiver Brandon Gibson was a buy-low grab by the Patriots following two underwhelming seasons in Miami, but he was placed on the injured reserve prior to the season. Former fourth-rounder Josh Boyce never established himself through his three seasons in New England, compiling only nine receptions for 121 yards. Brian Tyms had several big games for the Pats in 2014, but an achilles injury kept him off the field last season.

The loss of veteran linebacker Jerod Mayo will likely have more of an impact on the locker room than the actual field. After being drafted 10th overall, the University of Tennessee product instantly established himself as a presence in the middle of the Patriots defense. From 2008 through 2012, Mayo only missed three regular season games, and he earned a pair of Pro Bowl appearances and a first-team All-Pro selection during that span. After having played 12 combined games between 2013 and 2014, Mayo did see the field for all 16 contests in 2015. However, the veteran started only eight games while barely playing 400 snaps, resulting in a career-low in tackles (47). A shoulder injury ultimately kept Mayo from playing in the AFC Championship game, and the 30-year-old announced his retirement less than a month later.

Tight end Scott Chandler was brought on board to provide another talented target to Brady’s arsenal, but the veteran wasn’t nearly as productive as he was in Buffalo. Between 2011 and 2014, Chandler averaged 45 receptions, 528 receiving yards, and four touchdowns a season. In 2015, he compiled only 23 receptions, 259 yards, and four scores. While the 31-year-old did contribute as a blocker and special teamer, the presence of other tight ends made the veteran expendable.

Perhaps the most surprising subtraction was defensive lineman. The 2014 first-round pick struggled with injuries throughout his Patriots tenure, although he did show brief flashes when he did see the field. Reports indicated that the move was attributed to Easley’s knees, as well as “off-field issues.” With plenty of talent on the defensive line, the front office clearly believed they were better off without the headache.

The Patriots lost another pair of defensive linemen in Akiem Hicks and Sealver Siliga. Hicks ultimately played in 13 games for the squad after being acquired from the Saints, totaling 21 tackles and three sacks. Siliga had spent the past three seasons in New England, compiling 5.5 sacks in 25 games. The duo combined for 636 snaps last season, but the free agent and rookie additions (as well as the increased roll for former first rounder Malcom Brown) should reduce the sting of the departures.

The Patriots will see a bit of a makeover in their secondary, as the team lost four defensive backs. The most notable subtraction was safety Tavon Wilson, who played in 54 games during his four seasons in New England. Following an impressive rookie campaign where he picked off four passes, Wilson struggled to hold a consistent role in the following seasons. The trio of Tarell Brown, Rahsaan Melvin, and Leonard Johnson ultimately proved to be nothing more than experiments in 2015, with none of the three playing more than 200 snaps.

The team didn’t ask back running back Steven Jackson, who had four unwhelming games (including playoffs) with the Patriots last season. Meanwhile, veteran center Ryan Wendell started 44 games for the Patriots between 2012 and 2014, earning him a captain distinction prior to the 2015 campaign. However, injuries and the presence of Bryan Stork kept Wendell off the field, and the 30-year-old still hasn’t found a job for 2016. Considering his familiarity with the offense, the veteran could presumably return if the team is seeking additional offensive line help.

Trades:

Acquired C/G Jonathan Cooper and a 2016 second-round pick (No. 61) from the Cardinals in exchange for LB Chandler Jones.
Acquired TE Martellus Bennett and a 2016 sixth-round pick (No. 204) from the Bears in exchange for a 2016 fourth-round pick (No. 127).
Acquired a 2016 third-round pick (No. 78) and a 2016 fourth-round pick (No. 112) from the Saints in exchange for a 2016 second-round pick (No. 61).
Acquired a 2016 fifth-round pick (No. 147) from the Dolphins in exchange for two 2016 sixth-round picks (Nos. 196 and 204) and a 2016 seventh-round pick (No. 250).
Acquired a 2016 seventh-round pick (No. 225) and a 2017 fourth-round pick from the Seahawks in exchange for a 2016 fifth-round pick (No. 147).
Acquired a conditional 2017 seventh-round pick from the Lions in exchange for LB Jon Bostic.

The team’s two biggest offseason moves undoubtedly came via trade. With several talented defenders becoming eligible for an extension, the Patriots had some interesting decisions to make regarding their impending payouts. The team somewhat solved their issues in mid-March, dealing defensive end Chandler Jones to the Cardinals. The 26-year-old started 52 games for the Patriots after being selected in the first round of the 2012 draft, averaging nine sacks a season. Jones had one of his best seasons in 2015, compiling 44 tackles and 12.5 sacks in 15 games. While the subtraction of a player of Jones caliber is never a positive, the Patriots are fortunate to have enough depth on the defensive line. Jabaal Sheard will presumably take Jones’ spot in the starting lineup, while 2015 draft picks Geneo Grissom and Trey Flowers could be the future at the position.

In return, the Patriots acquired offensive lineman Jonathan Cooper and a second-round pick. The guard was the seventh overall pick in 2013, but injures derailed much of his tenure in Arizona. Cooper missed his entire rookie season with a broken fibia, and he only appeared in 24 games (11 starts) over the past two seasons. The 26-year-old is currently slotted in as the team’s starting right guard, although it’s worth noting that the Patriots spent a pair of 2015 draft picks on offensive guards (Shaq Mason, Tre’ Jackson). The team predictably dealt off the second-rounder for additional draft picks, which we’ll get to in a moment.

Only two days following the Jones trade, the Patriots acquired tight end Martellus Bennett from the Bears. While the Patriots’ previous tight end additions proved to be nothing less than insurance for Rob Gronkowski, Bennett should be able to carve out a significant role in the passing game. Although his 2015 campaign was a bit underwhelming, the 29-year-old still averaged 69 receptions, 705 yards, and nearly five touchdowns a season during his three years in Chicago. Bennett (6-foot-6, 273 pounds) is similar to Gronk (6-foot-6, 265 pounds), so fans shouldn’t necessarily expect the second-coming of the Gronkowski/Aaron Hernandez duo. However, there’s no denying the tight end’s talent in the passing game, and it’s easy to envision Bennett being one of Brady’s five favorite targets (alongside Gronkowski, Edelman, Amendola, and Lewis).

Otherwise, the Patriots made a number of moves to acquire picks during the draft. The team dealt off the second-round pick acquired from Arizona, and they acquired a pair of draft picks that ultimately turned into offensive lineman Joe Thuney and wideout Malcolm Mitchell. The Patriots also ended the draft having acquired a pair of 2017 draft picks.

Draft picks:

2-60: Cyrus Jones, DB (Alabama)
3-78: Joe Thuney, OL (North Carolina State)
3-91: Jacoby Brissett, QB (North Carolina State)
3-96: Vincent Valentine, DT (Nebraska)
4-112: Malcolm Mitchell, WR (Georgia)
6-208: Kamu Grugier-Hill, LB (Eastern Illinois)
6-214: Elandon Roberts, LB (Houston)
6-221: Ted Karras, OL (Illinois)
7-225: Devin Lucien, WR (Arizona State)

The Patriots forfeited their first round pick as a result of the Deflategate fiasco, but the team still managed to emerge with five rookies selected in the first four rounds.

With their second-round pick, the Patriots selected Alabama defensive back Cyrus Jones. While the talented defender may not be tall enough to establish himself as a top corner, he’ll certainly be able to contribute in the slot. Jones also put up impressive return numbers during his three years in college, including a 23.4-yard kick return average and an 11.9-yard punt return average. While it may take the rookie sometime to carve out a roll on defense, Belichick could easily lean on Jones in the return game in an attempt to preserve Amendola and Edelman.

The Patriots have added several offensive guards over the past few seasons, leading some to question the selection of lineman Joe Thuney. However, the North Carolina State product has the ability to play both guard and tackle, and recent reports have indicated that the rookie is already taking hold of the starting left guard spot. Thuney’s presence could also allow the team to move on from lineman Marcus Cannon.

The Patriots continued to surprise with their next third-round pick, selecting Thuney’s college quarterback, Jacoby Brissett. The speedy signal-caller had two solid seasons in the ACC, completing around 60-percent of his passes and running for another 899 yards. The rookie will back up Jimmy Garoppolo through the first month of the season, although if the Patriots simply needed a third quarterback, they could have signed one of a number of available free agents. Rather, the selection may indicate that the Patriots are hoping to capitalize on a potential Garoppolo breakout. If the third-year quarterback plays well enough during Brady’s absence, the Patriots could deal the signal-caller while still having a talented prospect in their back pocket.

With defensive tackle Alan Branch under contract, it’s unlikely that third-round pick Vincent Valentine will be able to contribute in 2016. However, both Branch and Knighton are on the wrong side of 30, so the Nebraska product could have a future role on this squad. Fourth-rounder Malcolm Mitchell has some big-play potential, although the wideout competing with a number of players for the team’s fourth receiver slot.

Among the team’s later-round picks, linebacker Kamu Grugier-Hill has already shown flashes during camp. There’s no reason why the Eastern Illinois product couldn’t beat out Rufus Johnson, Jonathan Freeny, or Ramon Humber for the Patriots’ fourth linebacker slot. Depending on the health of the Patriots receivers, seventh-rounder Devin Lucien could even see some time on the field.

Extensions and Restructures:

Tom Brady, QB: Extended through 2019. Two years, $41MM. $28MM guaranteed.
Patrick Chung, S: Extended through 2018. One year, $5.7MM. $2.4MM guaranteed.
Danny Amendola, WR: Accepted pay cut, creating $3,8887,500 in cap space by reducing 2016 base salary from $5MM to $1.25MM. $100K signing bonus.

Tom Brady has continually been willing to restructure his contract, allowing the Patriots to have more cap flexibility. The star quarterback signed another extension this offseason, with the contract lasting until Brady is 42-years-old. Brady has been a relative bargain for the Patriots in recent years, never accounting for more than a $15MM cap number.

The Patriots also extended safety Patrick Chung’s contract through 2018, raising the veteran’s 2016 salary in the process. Since returning to New England in 2014, Chung has started 29 of his 31 games, averaging 85 tackles and 8.5 passes defender during that span.

Perhaps the most notable contract restructuring was that of wideout Danny Amendola. There were questions regarding whether the 30-year-old and his $5MM salary would stick around for 2016. However, the wideout took a massive pay cut, reducing that number to $1.25MM. Despite several injuries, the receiver has established himself as one of Brady’s targets over the past few years. While the team presumably wouldn’t have missed a beat without Amendola, his veteran presence will certainly be appreciated (especially if Edelman misses considerable time).

Looking forward, the team has several notable players up for extensions, and it may not be easy for the squad to lock up the entire group long-term. Four starting defenders will actually be reaching free agency in 2017, including Jamie Collins, Dont’a Hightower, Malcolm Butler (restricted free agent), and Jabaal Sheard. The Chandler Jones trade provided a bit of clarity on the team’s overall thinking (mostly that Jones was towards the bottom of the Patriots’ list of long-term priorities). However, there’s still no evident pecking order when it comes to inking these players to extensions, although Collins’ youth and production would likely put him in line for the largest payday. Per usual, Belichick and the front office will likely be exploring which of the four players would be willing to stay in New England on team-friendly deals.

It’s also worth noting that the Patriots are working with Gronkowski on an extension, despite the tight end having four years left on his contract. The 27-year-old’s base salary peaks at $9MM in 2019.

Other:

Re-hired Dante Scarnecchia as offensive line coach to replace Dave DeGuglielmo.
Declined 2017 fifth-year option for G Jonathan Cooper ($11.902MM).
Learned QB Tom Brady‘s four-game suspension was reinstated by U.S. Court of Appeals. Brady will not fight the suspension.
Learned TE Michael Williams would miss the 2016 season after tearing his ACL.
Signed eight undrafted rookie free agents following the draft.

Despite the flurry of offseason moves, quarterback Tom Brady commanded the media’s attention. Nearly 18 months after the infamous AFC Championship Game, Brady announced that he would drop the appeal of his four-game suspension stemming from the Deflategate fiasco. While the NFL Player’s Association could continue the appeals, the organization is operating under the assumption that Brady will miss the first four games of the upcoming season. Anticipation of a suspension may have prompted the team to draft quarterback Jacoby Brisset, with the rookie presumably backing up fill-in starter Jimmy Garropolo through the first month.

While the Brady suspension will presumably have a negative impact on the squad, the return of offensive line coach Dante Scarnecchia should have more than a positive impact. The long-time coach retired following the 2013 season after 32 years in the league, including 30 in New England. Dave DeGuglielmo replaced the coach on the sidelines for the past two seasons, and despite modest rushing and sack numbers, the unit was continually outclassed by talented defensive lines (as seen in this year’s AFC Championship Game against the Broncos).

News of Michael Williams torn ACL certainly wasn’t encouraging, but the team should more than make up for his absence with Bennett and Harbor. Meanwhile, the team’s decision to not pick up guard Jonathan Cooper’s contract was not much a surprise, as the team will likely let the former first-rounder prove himself during his first season in New England.

Finally, none of the team’s undrafted free agents figure to play much of a role at the start of the season, although the Patriots seemingly find a diamond in the rough every few years. Considering the uncertainty at the pair of positions, if two players had an opportunity to emerge, it could be running back D.J. Foster (Arizona State) and cornerback Jonathan Jones (Auburn).

Top 10 cap hits for 2016:

Tom Brady, QB: $14,000,000
Nate Solder, T: $10,322,666
Devin McCourty, S: $7,397,500
Dont’a Hightower, LB: $7,751,000
Jabaal Sheard, LB: $6,812,500
Rob Gronkowski, TE: $6,618,750
Chris Hogan, WR: $5,500,000
Sebastian Vollmer, T: $5,208,334
Martellus Bennett, TE: $5,185,000
Marcus Cannon, OL: $4,754,168

The Patriots are rarely predictable when it comes to offseason moves. While the 2014 offseason saw the addition of several big names (led by Darrell Revis), the 2015 offseason was more about the team’s subtractions (including Revis, Brandon Browner, Vince Wilfork, and Shane Vereen).

The team’s 2016 offseason saw the best (and worst) of both worlds. While the loss of Chandler Jones will certainly sting, the team will certainly welcome additions like Long, McClellin, and Bennett. Of course, the team is also returning the majority of the core that made it to last year’s conference championship game. Since the team seemingly got stronger, we should only expect more of the same this upcoming season.

Contract information from Over the Cap, Spotrac, and Roster Resource was used in the creation of this post. Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Impact Rookies: Washington Redskins

August 5th, 2016 at 11:04am CST by Zachary Links

To help us forecast the immediate future of these NFL neophytes, we enlisted the help of draft guru Dave-Te Thomas who has served as a scouting personnel consultant to NFL teams for multiple decades.

First Round – Josh Doctson, WR (TCU, No. 22 overall)

Washington knew it was their defensive unit that needed the most immediate help, but in the opening round, finding a precise route runner like Josh Doctson still available was just too good for the team to pass up. While most analysts felt the Redskins would go for secondary help with the 22nd overall selection, the arrival of the TCU standout could make the 2016 season the final one for either Pierre Garson or DeSean Jackson – or both. The selection of Doctson broke the hearts of Minnesota and Cincinnati, picking right after Washington. Both teams did not make it a secret that they both coveted the services of the Horned Frog.

Doctson saw injuries sideline him at the end of the year, as he underwent wrist surgery. He sat out the final two regular season contests vs. Oklahoma and Baylor before returning briefly in the Alamo Bowl, but he was a non-factor vs. Oregon. Ultimately, he was one of three finalists for the Biletnikoff Award (nation’s top receiver) and garnered first-team All-American honors.

Doctson eased his way into the Horned Frogs lineup for six games in 2013, as he managed to pull in 36 balls for a 12.2-yard average. Based on that debut, few could have imagined that he would begin his two-year tear through the school record books. Perhaps due to league politics, Texas Christian officials were just as puzzled as our staff was when it was announced in 2014 that Doctson was only named to the league’s second-team postseason squad.

Doctson has a rangy, angular build with long arms and legs. Has a frame built for quickness – split high, lean and well-defined with big hands. He might lack the bulk desired from today’s flankers, but he shows good upper body muscle tone, tight waist and hips, good arm length and hand width, tapered thighs and calves, along with a good bubble.

He lacks outstanding speed, but Doctson is a smooth route runner with the ability to stretch the field and separate, along with the natural hands needed to make the difficult catches. He displays above average balance and crisp change of direction agility to gain valid yardage after the catch and has the ability to extend while tip-toeing along the sidelines for the soft pluck. He does a good job of gaining separation off the snap due to his initial quick step. The thing you see on the field is his natural feel for making adjustments on the move, displaying good fakes and a bit of con in him to set up defensive backs in attempts to get open. He does a very nice job of sitting down and uncovering, allowing with showing good boundary awareness to keep his feet working along the sidelines. He also shows very good vision to separate after the catch. While he’ll have some adjusting to do at the next level, Doctson offers certain tools and instincts that you wouldn’t typically expect to see out of a rookie.

Continue reading about the Redskins’ rookie class..

Second Round – Su’a Cravens, LB/S (USC, No. 53 overall)

Cornerbacks William Jackson III and Artie Burns were still available when the team took Doctson, but while corner was a need, the team was not impressed with either player. At least, not as a first round option. More pressing needs were at safety, where Dashon Goldson had a miserable season as their starter on the strong-side last season. Goldson was jettisoned from the team after the 2015 schedule and Denver’s David Bruton was brought in to at least occupy the spot temporarily.

The future there could be second round USC standout, Su’a Cravens, as he also offers the team a versatile piece that could be an option at weak-side linebacker, but with serious questions at middle linebacker, the former Trojan will be moving around quite a bit in camp to fins the perfect place to groom this standout talent. Based on the current depth chart, Ryan Kerrigan is capable of holding forth at weak-side ‘backer, but the interior defenders, Will Compton and Perry Riley might have to be looking over their shoulders, if Cravens is shifting inside. They will also have to fend off challenges from Mason Foster and Boston College strongman, 2016 seventh rounder, Steve Daniels, if they hope to hold on to a roster spot by September.

Cravens created a pleasant dilemma for teams evaluating his draft stock. Most 3-4 aligned teams consider him a better fit as a weak-side outside linebacker, but our staff feels that he should either return to his early career roots as a hybrid strong/safety/linebacker or make the switch to the defensive backfield a permanent one. Playing on the weak-side in 2015, he led the team with 86 tackles, 5.5 sacks, and fifteen stops-for-loss.

Still, he was also highly effective in the short area passing game, allowing just 15.3*% of the passes targeted into his area (6-of-39) to be completed. Along the way, he rerouted sixteen opponents away from pass plays, broke up six other throws and intercepted two others. In 2014, playing more in the backfield, he delivered 68 tackles that included a team-best seventeen stops behind the line of scrimmage, nine pass break-ups and an interception that he returned for a score.

Cravens is a superb space player, but can also be an impact performer when challenging multiple blockers in tight quarters. He is very quick and active with his hands to control and get off blocks in attempts to get to the ball. Cravens is also strong for his size and can hit with leverage to stun lead blocks and cause a pile, compensating for not having great “sand in his pants” to take on linemen. The USC product has more than enough functional strength to take on blocks and shed vs. slot receivers, tight ends and fullbacks.

Cravens has above average strength to attack the outside leg of the ball carrier to quickly impede that opponent’s forward progress (see 2015 Arizona State, Notre Dame and Utah games). It is rare to see him get out of control, as he is a calculating and aggressive hitter who closes fast, hits face up and wraps solidly. He is the type that collides with ball carriers upon initial contact and has the strength to shed blocks and stay on the ball.

The youngster offers the the speed to cover ground from sideline-to-sideline and the smarts to switch assignments with great anticipation skills. Cravens is well-equipped to play linebacker or safety in either man-coverage or zone-coverage schemes. The Redskins may have found a real gem in the second round this year.

Sixth Round – Nate Sudfeld, QB (Indiana, No. 187 overall)

The Redskins won’t have to commit to rising star Kirk Cousins after he accepted the one-year franchise tender. Of course, we’ll know whether that was a wise move for Washington by this time next year. If Cousins repeats his performance from last season, a much heftier payday is on the horizon. Perhaps hedging their bets, in case Cousins is actually in a walk year, they might have found one of the draft’s better day value picks when rifle-armed Nate Sudfeld was still available in the sixth round. While lacking in mobility, the Hoosier’s arm strength is unquestioned. Besides, the team could no longer fool themselves that Colt McCoy would be a capable fill-in, could they?

Size, arm strength, and intelligence set Sudfeld apart from the rest of the QB class this year. Brother Zach was a standout tight end at Nevada and at Indiana, the younger brother found the national spotlight, proving that he was fully recovered from 2014 injury woes.

Sudfeld has a tall and good developing thickness on his frame, similar to that of a tight end than a quarterback. He has an exceptional wing span with long arms and towers over defensive lineman, making it better for him to scan the field. No one will confuse Sudfeld for a prime Michael Vick, but he offers adequate athleticism on the move, along with the thick thighs and strength to break tackles as a ball carrier. Even with his big frame, good chest thickness with muscle definition, broad shoulders and long limbs, he has yet to reach his maximum growth capacity.

Sudfeld is a good student of the game, raised in a pro-style passing attack during both his prep and college playing days. There is no question that he is a smart passer with keen eyes scanning the field, doing a nice job of making reads and following through with his progressions, evident by the minimal amount of his passes that were intercepted (2.26% of 752 attempts). He has those innate instincts, along with developing decision making skills that makes one feel he can handle a pro offense in a short time, with patient coaching. A true “student of the game,” Sudfeld has the potential to be a starter somewhere down the line. If something should happen to Cousins during the 2016 season, he may prove to be a more capable fill-in than McCoy.

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

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